1998-58037-Ordinance No. 98-084 Recorded 12/18/19989S- 580? 7 REVIEWED
170 - 0542 ` 1
I LEGAL COUNSEL
BEFORE THE BOARD OF COUNTY COMMISSIONERS OF DESCHUTES COUNTY, OREGON
An Ordinance Amending PL -20, Deschutes County 98 DEC -1.8` AM 8: 366
Comprehensive Plan, Adopting a Coordinated
Population Projection and Declaring an Emergency. * MARY SUE PLM sOLLO W
COUNTY CLERK
ORDINANCENO.98-084
WHEREAS, pursuant to ORS 195.036, Deschutes County, acting as the coordinating body under
ORS 195.025, is required to establish and maintain a population projection for the County, including the
Cities of Bend, Redmond and Sisters: and
WHEREAS, the County and the Cities of Bend, Redmond and Sisters have coordinated to establish
population forecasts for their respective governing boundaries; now, therefore,
THE BOARD OF COUNTY COMMISSIONERS OF DESCHUTES COUNTY, OREGON,
ORDAINS as follows:
Section 1. REPEAL AND REPLACE. The text of the "Population" section in the "Existing
Conditions" chapter on pages 15-16 of PL -20, the Deschutes County Year 2000 Comprehensive Plan, is
hereby repealed in its entirety and replaced with the text and table set forth in Exhibit "A," attached hereto
and by this reference incorporated herein.
Section 3. EFFECTIVE DATE. This Ordinance being necessary for the immediate preservation of
the public peace, health and safety, an emergency is declared to exist, and this Ordinance takes effect on its
passage.
DATED this 16 day of December, 1998.
ATTEST:
0, .1 1
Recording Secretary
Page 1 of 1 - ORDINANCENo. 98-084 (12/30/98)
Draft #2, 11 /3/98
OF COUNTY
NAN
RMERT L. NIPPI
LINDA L. SWEAR
ISSIONERS
REGON
, Chair
t1998
DEC
/v1dCR0p ED'
DEC Yln� 1998
1 7 0 - 05'13
POPULATION
Oregon Revised Statute (ORS 195.025(1)) requires the counties to coordinate local
plans and population forecasts. Deschutes County coordinated with the cities of Bend
Redmond and Sisters to develop a coordinated population forecast. In 1996, the cities
and the county reviewed the most recent population forecasts from the Portland State
University Center for Population Research and Census, the Department of
Transportation, Woods and Poole, the Bonneville Power Administration and the State
Department of Administrative Services Office of Economic Analysis. After review of
these projections and analysis of recent local growth statistics, housing needs and
projections, the cities and Deschutes County agreed on the coordinated population
forecast displayed in Table A. In 1998 or 1999, all three cities expect to adopt updated
comprehensive plans. The cities will use the coordinated population forecast numbers
in their revised comprehensive plans.
Between the years 1998 and 2020, the non -urban population is projected to increase by
30,842. This population forecast is based on an average house hold size of 1.95
persons. This household size is based on census data that shows a large percentage
of retirement households and second homes in the non -urban county. The county
calculated the capacity of the non -urban area to absorb the projected population based
on the best estimate of the number of existing vacant lots plus the potential new lots
that could be created under present zoning and land use regulations. The source for
the numbers is a 1995 report prepared by the county: Land Use Inventory and MUA-10
& RR -10 Exception Areas. The numbers from this report were refined using county GIS
data. Table B displays the potential new dwellings in exception areas, resort areas
unincorporated communities, and exclusive farm use and forestland.
The five-year growth rate for non -urban population should decrease over time from
approximately 24 percent in 1995 to 8 percent in 2020. This decline in growth rate will
occur as available buildable lots in the county are used and the growth shifts to the
available land in the urban areas.
In the fall of 1998, the Oregon Water Resources Department acknowledged that
virtually all groundwater in the Deschutes River basin discharges to the rivers of the
basin. The Water Resources Department may place restrictions on the consumptive
use of groundwater to protect the free flowing nature of the Deschutes River, instream
water rights and existing water rights. These restrictions may affect the use of
groundwater resources for future development and consequently affect the future
growth and allocation of population in the County and the three urban jurisdictions.
EXHIBIT "A" to ORDINANCE NO. 98-084 (12/30/98)
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TABLE B
Deschutes County
Non Urban Population Capacity
Exception Area
Potential New Dwellings
Sisters RR10
780
Sisters MUA10
269
Teirebonne MUA 10
354
Tumalo MUA10
322
Bend East MUA10
188
Bend North/Tumalo RR10
390
Redmond West MUA10
303
Bend East RR 10
409
Redmond/Terrebonne RR 10
390
Deschutes River Woods
999
La Pine North
2800
Sun River South
3585
Subtotal = 10789
Resort Areas Potential New Dwellin=
SunRiver 650
Black Butte 100
Eagle Crest 300
Inn at 70' Mountain/Widgi Creek i'l 17
Subtotal = 1167
Unincorporated Communities
Potential New Dwelling
Alfalfa
3
Brothers
5
Deschutes Junction
4
Deschutes River Woods
5
Hampton
6
La Pine
824
Millican
15
Spring River
0
Tecrebonne
156
Tumalo
100
Whistlestop
3
Wickiup Junction
10
Wild Hunt
0
Subtotal = 1131
EXHIBIT "B" to ORDINANCE 98-084 (December 30, 1998)
Summary Table for Non Urban Population Ca ap city
New dwellings in Rural Exception Areas
New dwellings Resorts
New dwellings Unincorporated Communities
New dwellings Bend Urban Reserve
New dwellings Farm
New dwellings Nonfarm
170 - 0-5d6
10789
1167
1131
100
50
2700
Total = 15,937
Total Dwellings x 1.95 persons/ household =31.077
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EXHIBIT "B" to ORDINANCE 98-084 (December 30, 1998)