2003-1172-Ordinance No. 2003-078 Recorded 8/13/2003REVIEWED
LEGAL COUNSEL
REVIEWED
CODE REVIEW COMMITTEE
COUNTY
NANCYUTES BLANKENSHIP,FFICIAL COUNTY CLERKS c 2003-1172
COMMISSIONERS' JOURNAL 0811311003 01110147 PM
2003-1172
For Recording Stamp Only
BEFORE THE BOARD OF COUNTY COMMISSIONERS OF DESCHUTES COUNTY, OREGON
An Ordinance Amending Title 23, the Deschutes
County Comprehensive Plan, of the Deschutes
County Code, to Repeal a Coordinated Population
Forecast for Deschutes County and the cities of Bend,
Redmond, and Sisters, Adopted through Ordinance
2003-001, and Declaring an Emergency.
* ORDINANCE NO. 2003-078
*
WHEREAS, the Board of County Commissioners ("Board") adopted a revised coordinated population
forecast for Deschutes County and the cities of Bend, Redmond and Sisters on March 26, 2003 through
Ordinance 2003-001 after coordinating with the cities on the development of the forecast; and
WHEREAS, the amendments to Deschutes County Code (DCC) Section 23.16.020, Population, adopted
through Ordinance 2003-001, became effective on June 25, 2003; and
WHEREAS, the Sisters Forest Planning Committee, one of the parties before the County, filed a timely
Notice of Intent to Appeal to seek judicial review of this forecast before the Oregon Land Use Board of Appeals
(LUBA); and
WHEREAS, the Board believes that is in the public interest to address the questions raised in the appeal
before the people of Deschutes County; and
WHEREAS, the Board believes that it is in the best interest of the County to repeal the original
ordinance adopting the forecast for the purpose of addressing the issues raised on appeal and adopting any new
findings in support of the population forecast; and
WHEREAS, ORS 197.610(2) authorizes a local government to submit an amendment to its
comprehensive plan or land use regulations to the Department of Land Conservation and Development
("DLCD") "with less than 45 days' notice if the local government determines that there are emergency
circumstances requiring expedited review; and
WHEREAS, the Board has determined that the need to address the issues raised in the appeal is an
emergency circumstance requiring prompt repeal of the ordinance and, therefore, less than 45 days' notice to
DLCD; now, therefore,
THE BOARD OF COUNTY COMMISSIONERS OF DESC1 UTES COUNTY, OREGON, ORDAINS
as follows:
Section 1. AMENDMENT. DCC 23.16.020, Population, is amended to read as described in Exhibit
"A," attached hereto and by this reference incorporated herein, with new language underlined and language to
be deleted in stfiketh ettgh.
PAGE 1 of 2 - ORDINANCE NO. 2003-078 (8/13/03)
Section 2. EMERGENCY. This Ordinance being necessary for the immediate preservation of the
public peace, health and safety, an emergency is declared to exist, and this Ordinance takes effect on its passage.
DATED this� day of , 2003.
BOARD OF COUNTY COMMISSIONERS
OF DESCHU.TZ-S COUNTY, OREGON
R. LUKE, Chair
TOM DEWOLF, Commissioner
C AEL M75ALY, ommissioner
Date of 1st Reading: / day of , 2003.
Date of 2°a Reading: l Aday of,, 2003.
Record of Adoption Vote
Commissioner Yes No Abstained Excused
Dennis R. Luke
Tom DeWolf
Michael M. Daly
Effective date: day of
2003.
ATTEST:
Recording Secretary
PAGE 2 of 2 - ORDINANCE NO. 2003-078 (8/13/03)
EXHIBIT "A"
23.16.020. Population.
ORS 195.025(1) requires the counties to coordinate local plans and population forecasts. Deschutes County
coordinated with the cities of Bend Redmond and Sisters to develop a coordinated population forecast In
1996, the cities , and the cGounty reviewed the most recent population forecasts
from the Portland State University Center for Population Research and Census, the Department of
Transportation, Woods and Poole, the Bonneville Power Administration and the State Department of
Administrative Services Office of Economic Analysis. After review of these projections, the cities and
Deschutes County agreed on the coordinated population forecast adopted by the Geualj, in 1998 thfough
isplayed in Table A. In 1998 or 1999 all three cities expect to adopt updated
comprehensive plans. The cities will use the coordinated population forecast numbers in their revised
comprehensive]p ans.
Between the years 1998 and 2020 the non -urban population is projected to increase by 30,842. This
population forecast is based on an average household size of 1.95 persons This household size is based on
census data that shows a large percentage of retirement households and second homes in the non -urban
county. The county calculated the capacity of the no area to absorb the projected population based on
the best estimate of the number of existing vacant lotslup s the potential new lots that could be created under
present zoning and land use regulations. The source for the numbers is a 1995 report prepared b
y the
county: Land Use Inventory and MUA-10 & RR -10 Exception Areas The numbers from this report were
refined using county GIS data. Table B displa sY the potential new dwellings in exception areas resort areas
unincorporated communities, and exclusive farm use and forestland
The five-year growth rate for non -urban population should decrease over time from approximately 24
percent in 1995 to 8 percent in 2020. This decline in growth rate will occur as available buildable lots in the
county are used and the growth shifts to the available land in the urban areas
between the fall of 2001 and ear4y 2003 to eeeMina4e the development efthe updeAed pepulation for-eeast
in 2003. Table A displays the 2000 2025 eeer-Eliaa4ed pepula4ion &r-eeast.
Between the yeafs 2000 and -2025, the County estifaa4es the pepukAien of the unineer-perated eatiffty will
gr-ew by 28,851 people, ef 60 pefeent. This fer-eeast assumes an avefage annual gfe3A4h f:a4e of 1.89 per-ee
per- year-. The fer-eeast shows the tmifieefpar-ated eeuf4y will eentinue to gf:ew a4 Fa4es slewef than these -8f.
gr-eyo4h will slew in the Fur -a! unineer-per-ated peftiefis Of the Getif4y as available land is develeped. Per-ing
the last 10 yeafs of the fer-eeast, ffafn 2015 to 2025, the Cauf+ty estifnates thm popula4ion gr-e3mh will slew
to a rate of appr-e*imately ene (1) per-eent per- year- wAil the eetinty r-eaehes buildetit ef: additional lands
beeeffie available in either- destination r-es@As or- r
PAGE 1 of 5 - EXHIBIT "A" TO ORDINANCE 2003-078 (8/13/03)
EXHIBIT "A"
In the fall of 1998, the Oregon Water Resources Department acknowledged that virtually all groundwater in
the Deschutes River basin discharges to the rivers of the basin. The Water Resources Department may place
restrictions on the consumptive use of groundwater to protect the free flowing nature of the Deschutes
River, instream water rights and existing water rights. These restrictions may affect the use of groundwater
resources for future development and consequently affect the future growth and allocation of population in
the County and the three urban jurisdictions.
PAGE 2 of 5 - EXHIBIT "A" TO ORDINANCE 2003-078 (8/13/03)
TABLE A
Deschutes County
Coordinated Population Forecast
PAGE 3 of 5 - EXHIBIT "A" TO ORDINANCE 2003-078 (8/13/03)
Bend UGB
Redmond UGB
Sisters UGB
Non -Urban County
Total
Coun
Population
Year
July 1 st
Population
Five
Year
Increase
July 1st
Population
Five
Year
Increase
July 1st
Population
Five
Year
Increase
July 1 st
Population
Five Year
Increase
11990
32,550
8,635
900
32,873
74,958
1995
39,720 j
22.03%
12.585
45.74%
945
5.00%
40,850
24.27%
94,100
1996
41,210
42,239
1997
42,652
43,675
1998
44,038
45,160
1999
45,359
46,695
;2000''
46 607
17.34%
17 41
37.00%
1 100
16.40%
48,283
18.20%
113,231
2001
47,772 1
49,852
2002
48,847
51,472
2003
49,946
53,145
2004
51,069
54,740
2005
52 193
11.99%
22,414
30.00%
1,250
13.64%
56,382
16.77%
132 39
2006
53,341
57,932
2007
54,488
59,525
2008
55,632
61,014
2009
56,801
62,447
2010
57 937
11.00%
28,241
26.00%
1,400
12.00%
63,853
13.25%
151,431
2011
59,095
1
65,225
2012
60,218 1
66,530
2013
61,362
67,794
2014
62,467
69,014
2015"-
63,591
9.76%
32,548
15.25%
1,550
10.71%
70,222
9.98%
167,911
2016
64,672
71,451
2017
65,772
72,594
2018
66,758
73,756
2019
67,760
74,899
2020
68,776
8.15%
i 35.8-45
10.130/. 1
1,710
10.32%
76,022
8.26%
182,353
PAGE 3 of 5 - EXHIBIT "A" TO ORDINANCE 2003-078 (8/13/03)
EXHIBIT "A"
Non -Urban Population Cal2aci
Potential
New
Dwellin s
Exception Area
Potential
New
Dwellin s
Sisters RR10
780
Sisters NWA 10
269
Terrebonne MUA10
354
Tumalo MUA10
322
Bend East MUA10
188
Bend North/Tumalo RR 10
390
Redmond West NWA 10
303
Bend East RR 10
409
Redmond/Terrebonne RR 10
390
Deschutes River Woods
999
La Pine North
2,800
Sunriver South
3,585
SUBTOTAL
10.789
Resort Areas
Potential
New
Dwellin s
Sunriver
650
Black Butte
100
Eagle Crest
300
Inn at 7th Mountain/ Widsi
117
Creek
SUBTOTAL
1,167
Unincorporated Communities
Potential
New
Dwellin s
Alfalfa
3
Brothers
5
Deschutes Junction
4
Deschutes River Woods
5
Hamton
6
La Pine
824
Millican
15
Spring River
0
Terrebonne
156
Tumalo
100
AListlestop
3
Wickiup Junction
10
Wild Hunt
0
SUBTOTAL
1,131
TABLE B
Deschutes County
PAGE 4 of 5 - EXHIBIT "A" TO ORDINANCE 2003-078 (8/13/03)
EXHIBIT "A"
- _��r..,-r:scarrrr rrrsrr..resse7etsre:��I.11TS.TS�.UT.T.A
.. . .. ..
(Ord. 2003-078 § 1, 2003; Ord. 2003-001 § 1, 2003; Ord. 2000-017 § 1, 2000; Ord. 98-084 § 1, 1998; PL -
20,1979)
PAGE 5 of 5 - EXHIBIT "A" TO ORDINANCE 2003-078 (8/13/03)
ON-
W:iw:
...
- _��r..,-r:scarrrr rrrsrr..resse7etsre:��I.11TS.TS�.UT.T.A
.. . .. ..
(Ord. 2003-078 § 1, 2003; Ord. 2003-001 § 1, 2003; Ord. 2000-017 § 1, 2000; Ord. 98-084 § 1, 1998; PL -
20,1979)
PAGE 5 of 5 - EXHIBIT "A" TO ORDINANCE 2003-078 (8/13/03)