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HomeMy WebLinkAboutGoal 11 Exception Discussion - So County TO: Board of County Commissioners FROM: Peter Russell, Senior Transportation Planner DATE: December 22, 2014 MEETING: December 29, 2014 SUBJECT: Work session with staff on Goal 11 exception to allow sewers on rural lands in southern Deschutes County BACKGROUND The Department of Environmental Quality (DEQ) convened an advisory committee in 2010 to study the problem in southern Deschutes County of nitrates, shallow groundwater, on-site septic systems, and rural sewer systems. The advisory committee recommended the problem be addressed with sewers rather than upgraded on-site septic systems. Sewering rural lands require an exception to Statewide Planning Goal 11, Public Facilities Planning. Such an exception is specifically allowed to mitigate a public health hazard. The DEQ advisory committee in 2013 recommended pursuing this course. PROPOSAL Deschutes County has worked with the Department of Land Conservation and Development (DLCD) and DEQ on preparing draft findings for a Goal 11 Exception. The County set a Dec. 18 deadline to receive the materials from DEQ and DLCD to read and prepare a summary for the Board of County Commissioners’ (Board) Dec. 29 work session. DLCD delivered the materials on Dec. 19. Staff has not had time to review and prepare a summary for the Board, but will be prepared to discuss the DEQ/DLCD materials at the Dec. 29 work session. Staff has also completed a draft request for proposals (RFP) for a traffic analysis to comply with the Transportation Planning Rule (TPR) as part of the Goal 11 process. DEQ/DLCD plan to hold outreach meetings over the winter in southern Deschutes County to hear feedback from the public. The Goal 11 exception findings could be modified based on that feedback. Once the draft burden of proof for the Goal 11 exception is finalized, the County will follow its normal process for a land use application. This will include a work session with the Planning Commission, then a public hearing before the Planning Commission, a work session before the Board, and then a public hearing before the Board. December 19, 2014 PAGE 1 OF 23 – DRAFT EXHIBIT “X” TO ORDINANCE 2014-XXX DRAFT FINDINGS GOAL 11 EXCEPTION TO ALLOW SEWER SERVICE TO RURAL LANDS IN SOUTH DESCHUTES COUNTY The amendments to Deschutes County’s Comprehensive Plan are described in Ordinance 2015-XXX, Exhibits A, B, and C. New language is underscored and deleted text is shown as strikethrough. I. ACTION This report supports an amendment to the Deschutes County comprehensive plan to include an exception to Statewide Planning Goal 11 , “Public Facilities and Services,” to allow sewer service to rural land in South Deschutes County. See Attachment A for a map of the affected area. The specific parcels that would receive sewer service have not been identified and the financing mechanism to establish treatment and disposal facilities has not been developed. Development of these specific elements of a South Deschutes County sewage facilities plan would not be practical until the area is eligible for sewer service. For reasons explained in these findings, an exception to Goal 11 is justified. II. BACKGROUND A. Groundwater Quality of in South Deschutes County The La Pine sub-basin of the Upper Deschutes River is underlain by a shallow aquifer that currently supplies the primary source of drinking water for approximately 18,000 people. The soils in the region are highly porous and permeable with no impervious layer that protects the aquifer from pollution sources. In addition, the region’s soils are young, pumice-based (volcanic), and relatively lo w in organic matter. Recharge from natural (precipitation) or human (residential onsite system discharges or irrigation) sources moves rapidly down through surface soils to the aquifer. The water table ranges in depth from less than two feet to about thirty feet below land surface. Recharge (precipitation that reaches groundwater) from infiltration of precipitation averages 2.0 inches per year; the balance of water from precipitation evaporates, transpires, or discharges via surface runoff to rivers. Groundwater discharges in the basin include baseflow contributions to the Deschutes and Little Deschutes Rivers, evapotranspiration by vegetation, and water pumped from wells. Regional groundwater characteristics include temperatures that are among the lowest in the state, generally 42.5°F (6° C) to 48.2° F (9° C) and high dissolved oxygen content (3 mg/L to 6 mg/L). Groundwater velocities are low and, at the water table, groundwater is generally oxic (oxygen rich conditions); however, at depths ranging from near zero to more than fifty feet below the water table it becomes suboxic (depleted oxygen PAGE 2 OF 23 – DRAFT EXHIBIT “X” TO ORDINANCE 2015-XXX conditions) and natural nitrate reduction (denitrification) can occur.1 Denitrification thus keeps deeper portions of the La Pine aquifer essentially nitrate-free, but the oxic portions remain vulnerable to nitrate contamination from onsite systems, the primary anthropogenic source. Nitrate contamination of the oxic groundwater is a concern in this region because the shallow oxic aquifer is the desired drinking water supply for individual domestic wells and because of the potential for nitrogen-enriched groundwater to discharge to the nitrogen-limited rivers in the region.2 Development in rural areas threatens groundwater quality in southern Deschutes County through onsite system discharges. About 15,000 lots of one-half to one-acre in size were platted prior to enactment of Oregon’s land use planning laws in the 1960s and 1970s. These lots are located within a corridor near the scenic Deschutes River and the Little Deschutes River. Subdivision developers marketed these lots nationally with no promise of infrastructure improvements and without an understanding of the region’s high water table or the aquifer’s vulnerability. Currently, about 6,400 improved lots in the La Pine region use conventional onsite systems and individually owned drinking water wells. Most of these wells draw from the most vulnerable upper 100 feet of the aquifer. South Deschutes County has been the focus of extensive local, state and federal attention beginning in the early 1980s with the identification of significant groundwater impacts from onsite wastewater treatment systems in the La Pine Unincorporated Community. Provided below is a timeline of events related to water quality in the region. The Department of Land Conservation and Development (DLCD) in July 1996 began a program to study the more than 12,000 residential lots platted in the 1960s and ‘70s in an area of approximately 42 square miles, which are primarily served by on-site septic systems. The Department of Environmental Quality (DEQ) assisted with the process as did the United States Geological Survey (USGS), which produced a model of groundwater movement and pollution. The result was this area of southern Deschutes County was at risk of having nitrate levels exceed federal and state standards for drinking water. A final report was issued to DLCD in 1999. DEQ and Deschutes County have been working cooperatively for more than a decade to find an appropriate solution to this growing concern. In 2008, the county adopted ordinances effectively requiring advanced treatment technology systems that would reduce nitrate concentrations in wastewater. One of the ordinances was repealed as the result of a successful citizens’ referendum vote in 2009 to overturn the ordinances and the other was repealed by the Board of County Commissioners in 2011. In October 2009, Deschutes County Commissioners requested that DEQ take over the effort t o find appropriate solutions to the increasing groundwater contamination caused by wide use of onsite wastewater treatment and disposal. 1 Oregon Health Authority Fact Sheet on Nitrates, available at http://public.health.oregon.gov/HealthyEnvironments/DrinkingWater/Monitoring/HealthEffects/Pages/nitrat e.aspx. 2 The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s Drinking Water Standards are available at http://water.epa.gov/drink/contaminants/index.cfm . PAGE 3 OF 23 – DRAFT EXHIBIT “X” TO ORDINANCE 2015-XXX Since that time, DEQ has engaged a steering committee comprised of Deschutes and Klamath County citizens to consider local circumstances and make recommendations for a long-term solution. DEQ received the recommendations from the committee in summer 2013.3 One of those recommendations was to pursue an area wide Goal 11 exception to allow a broader range of options for domestic wastewater treatment and disposal. B. Land Use and Zoning Considerations Providing centralized sewer service to some or all of the area is among the options under consideration to address the groundwater quality challenge explained above. For the area outside the La Pine urban growth boundary, provision of sewer service is limited by this provision in Statewide Planning Goal 11: Local Governments shall not allow the establishment or extension of sewer systems outside urban growth boundaries or unincorporated community boundaries, or allow extensions of sewer lines from within urban growth boundaries or unincorporated community boundaries to serve land outside those boundaries, except where the new or extended system is the only practicable alternative to mitigate a public health hazard and will not adversely affect farm or forest land. This provision of Goal 11 is implemented by OAR 660 -011-0060. This rule is quoted and discussed in subsection IV.C of this report. Statutes and the statewide planning goals provide an opportunity for relief from goal requirements on a case-by-case basis through an “exceptions” process. This report supplies facts and findings to support an exception to Goal 11 for South Deschutes County to permit sewer service to rural land. These findings do not support or propose changing the designation of any property on the Deschutes County comprehensive plan or zoning map. The purpose of sewerage is to serve existing and planned residential development to alleviate groundwater contamination from onsite wastewater disposal systems, not to increase the development potential of the area. III. AFFECTED AREA The area affected by the exception is generally comprised of unincorporated, nonfederal property located between Sunriver and the Klamath County border. A map specifically identifying the location of lands subject to this exception is included as Attachment. 3 ODEQ. 2013. South Deschutes/North Klamath Groundwater Protection: Report and Recommendations. Nigg, E. and R. Baggett. 32pp. http://www.deq.state.or.us/wq/onsite/docs/SDNKreportrec.pdf PAGE 4 OF 23 – DRAFT EXHIBIT “X” TO ORDINANCE 2015-XXX IV. REVIEW CRITERIA Ordinance 2014-XXX adopts these findings for a Goal 11 exception to allow sewer service to rural lands in southern Deschutes County. Deschutes County lacks specific approval criteria in Deschutes County Code (DCC) Titles 18, 22, or 23 for a legislative plan and text amendment. The county is a co-applicant with DEQ, which has partnered with DLCD; these findings demonstrate compliance with the applicable Oregon Revised Statutes (ORS), Oregon Administrative Rules (OAR), statewide planning goals, and the county’s comprehensive plan. DEQ and DLCD were the subject experts for the ORS, OAR, and Statewide Planning Goals and prepared the findings for those areas; County staff prepared the findings that pertained to the Comprehensive Plan. The findings address requirements contained in the following state and local regulations: A. ORS 197, Comprehensive Land Use Planning B. OAR Chapter 660, Division 4, Interpretation of Goal 2 Exceptions Process C. OAR Chapter 660, Division 11, Public Facilities Planning D. OAR Chapter 660, Division 12, Transportation Planning E. Statewide Planning Goal 11, Public Facilities and Services F. Other Statewide Planning Goals G. Deschutes County Comprehensive Plan H. Newberry Country: A Plan for Southern Deschutes County A. ORS 197.732, Goal Exceptions The pertinent sections of ORS 197.732 with findings are provided below. (2) A local government may adopt an exception to a goal if: (a) The land subject to the exception is physically developed to the extent that it is no longer available for uses allowed by the applicable goal; (b) The land subject to the exception is irrevocably committed as described by Land Conservation and Development Commission rule to uses not allowed by the applicable goal because existing adjacent uses and other relevant factors make uses allowed by the applicable goal impracticable; or (c) The following standards are met: (A) Reasons justify why the state policy embodied in the applicable goals should not apply; (B) Areas that do not require a new exception cannot reasonably accommodate the use; (C) The long term environmental, economic, social and energy consequences resulting from the use at the proposed site with measures designed to reduce adverse impacts are not significantly more adverse than would typically result from the same proposal being located in areas requiring a goal exception other than the proposed site; and PAGE 5 OF 23 – DRAFT EXHIBIT “X” TO ORDINANCE 2015-XXX (D) The proposed uses are compatible with other adjacent uses or will be so rendered through measures designed to reduce adverse impacts. FINDINGS: The provisions of ORS 197.732 are further refined and interpreted by Statewide Planning Goal 2 and OAR chapter 660, divisions 4 and 11.The legal tests established in state statute are satisfied by adequately responding to the applicable provisions of the administrative rules. Please see the applicant’s response to OAR chapter 660, divisions 4 and 11 in Subsections IV.B. and IV.C. of this report. (4) A local government approving or denying a proposed exception shall set forth findings of fact and a statement of reasons that demonstrate that the standards of subsection (2) of this section have or have not been met. FINDING: The findings in this document provide the factual basis for the Goal 11 exception based on the standards of the applicable administrative rules and county comprehensive plan policies. B. OAR chapter 660, division 4: Interpretation of Goal 2 Exceptions Process Pertinent rules relating to exceptions generally, with findings, are provided below. OAR 660-004-0000(2): An exception is a decision to exclude certain land from the requirements of one or more applicable statewide goals in accordance with the process specified in Goal 2, Part II, Exceptions. The documentation for an exception must be set forth in a local government’s comprehensive plan. Such documentation must support a conclusion that the standards for an exception have been met. The conclusion shall be based on findings of fact supported by substantial evidence in the record of the local proceeding and by a statement of reasons that explains why the proposed use not allowed by the applicable goal, or a use authorized by a statewide planning goal that cannot comply with the approval standards for that type of use, should be provided for. The exceptions process is not to be used to indicate that a jurisdiction disagrees with a goal. FINDING: This Goal 11 exception is supported by facts and evidence and a statement of reasons why the proposal should be approved contained in this report. These items are offered in detail in the response to the provisions of OAR 660-004-0020 and -0022 and OAR 660-011-0060(9), below. OAR 660-004-0010(1): The exceptions process is not applicable to Statewide Goal 1 “Citizen Involvement” and Goal 2 “Land Use Planning.” The exceptions process is generally applicable to all or part of those statewide goals that prescribe or restrict certain uses of resource land, restrict urban uses on rural land, or limit the provision of certain public facilities and services. These statewide goals include but are not limited to: * * * (c) Goal 11 “Public Facilities and Services” as provided in OAR 660-011- 0060(9); * * * PAGE 6 OF 23 – DRAFT EXHIBIT “X” TO ORDINANCE 2015-XXX FINDING: The administrative rule expressly recognizes that Goal 11 could be subject to an exception proposal. Subsection C of this section addresses the standards specified in OAR 660-011-0060(9), which is the applicable exception language. 660-004-0018, Planning and Zoning for Exception Areas (4) “Reasons” Exceptions: (a) When a local government takes an exception under the “Reasons” section of ORS 197.732(1)(c) and OAR 660-004-0020 through 660-004- 0022, plan and zone designations must limit the uses, density, public facilities and services, and activities to only those that are justified in the exception. FINDINGS: The purpose of this Goal 11 exception is to allow sewer service on rural lands in southern Deschutes County. This exception does not authorize any other uses that would not be permissible under the existing comprehensive plan and implementing ordinances. The exception does not amend existing limits in the plan on uses, densities, or activities. The exception findings do justify a change in limitations on a public facility – sewerage – but the uses served by the sewer are not proposed to become more intensive as a result of the new service. The county plan must limit sewer service to those areas justified in this exception. OAR 660-004-0020(2): The four standards in Goal 2 Part II(c) required to be addressed when taking an exception to a goal are described in subsections (a) through (d) of this section, including general requirements applicable to each of the factors: (a) “Reasons justify why the state policy embodied in the applicable goals should not apply.” The exception shall set forth the facts and assumptions used as the basis for determining that a state policy embodied in a goal should not apply to specific properties or situations, including the amount of land for the use being planned and why the use requires a location on resource land; FINDINGS: In this case, the applicable state policy resides in Goal 11. The application seeks relief from this provision of Goal 11: Local Governments shall not allow the establishment or extension of sewer systems outside urban growth boundaries or unincorporated community boundaries, or allow extensions of sewer lines from within urban growth boundaries or unincorporated community boundaries to serve land outside those boundaries, except where the new or extended system is the only practicable alternative to mitigate a public health hazard and will not adversely affect farm or forest land. OAR 660-004-0020(2)(a) essentially requires a three-part response: (1) a description of the reason or reasons that justify why the state policy embodied in the applicable goal PAGE 7 OF 23 – DRAFT EXHIBIT “X” TO ORDINANCE 2015-XXX should not apply; (2) a description of the use being planned; and (3) why the use requires a location on resource land. Reasons Goal 11 Should Not Apply. The Goal 11 prohibition on providing sewer service to rural land should not apply to South Deschutes County because onsite sewage treatment and disposal systems are not protecting the groundwater quality in the area. For the reasons explained below, sewerage is needed to prevent continued contamination of groundwater. Residents of south Deschutes and north Klamath counties face challenging wastewater disposal conditions. The area has porous, sandy, pumice soil derived from volcanic events and a shallow, vulnerable aquifer, both of which allow for the potential contamination of drinking water. These local conditions are unusual, as other parts of the state have finer silt and clay-like subsurface soil that can form a protective layer above the groundwater. Historical groundwater contamination in the downtown core of La Pine offers a good illustration of the challenges facing much of the region. Studies of groundwater contamination, hydrology and the effects of nitrates were conducted in southern Deschutes County beginning in the late 1970s. Well monitoring and analysis in La Pine was performed in response to very high nitrate concentrations in drinking water . Nitrate concentrations in drinking water wells commonly exceeded the drinking water standard of 10 mg/L nitrate-nitrogen and were elevated as high as 42 mg/L and were linked to wastewater disposal from individual septic systems.4 Elevated (i.e., above natural background) levels of nitrate-nitrogen entering groundwater are likely to also be associated with other wastewater contaminants entering the groundwater. Contamination in La Pine became so severe in the early 1980s that La Pine constructed a sewer system providing better treatment and land disposal of wastewater in order to reduce nitrogen concentrations in drinking water supplies. The operation of this sewer system resulted in markedly improved groundwater quality in town. Monitoring wells for the wastewater treatment plant have demonstrated steadily improving groundwater conditions following improved treatment and disposal. This historical contamination is both evidence of the vulnerability of the aquifer and a cause for concern throughout the region, as the soil and groundwater conditions in La Pine are similar to those throughout much of southern Deschutes and northern Klamath counties. Other surveys and studies over the years point to increasing groundwater contamination throughout the region. A survey of groundwater data in 1993 and mo deling in 1995 by DEQ indicated elevated nitrate concentrations and concern for future aquifer -wide 4 Oregon Health Authority Fact Sheet on Nitrates, available at http://public.health.oregon.gov/HealthyEnvironments/DrinkingW ater/Monitoring/HealthEffects/Pages/nitrat e.aspx. PAGE 8 OF 23 – DRAFT EXHIBIT “X” TO ORDINANCE 2015-XXX increases. Recent sampling of monitoring wells in the area demonstrated a small but statistically significant increase in nitrate concentration between 1995 and 2011.5 The U.S. Geological Survey completed a La Pine National Demonstration Project and mathematical modeling effort in 2007.6 The demonstration project was designed to test innovative treatment technologies that would reduce nitrogen loading to groundwater from onsite systems. The USGS also produced a three-dimensional model to estimate the effects of nitrates in the shallow aquifer of a large area in southern Deschutes and northern Klamath counties.7 These studies have reached the conclusion that the groundwater aquifer is vulnerable to increasing concentrations of nitrates and other contaminants associated with domestic sewage. The USGS study predicted nitrate concentrations increasing above the federally adopted drinking water standard throughout the area over time. Concentrations would increase for about 140 years after full build-out, at which time more than 9,000 acres would have groundwater concentrations exceeding 10 mg/L. Deschutes County attempted to address the area-wide groundwater problem through various ordinances and requirements. For a period of time, certain residential developments were required by county ordinance to install Advanced Treatment Technology (ATT) onsite wastewater treatment and disposal systems. After those ordinances were repealed and rescinded, the county asked DEQ to take the lead in groundwater protection. DEQ then began conducting site -by-site groundwater risk assessments to determine which sites were required to install ATT systems while the county ordinances were in effect. The nitrogen-reducing ATTs provide the best onsite treatment option, but they do not truly address the long-term problem or offer the best level of groundwater protection for the area as a whole. As steering committee members acknowledged in their recommendations, the area would be best served by allowing more options to deal with the larger concerns of area-wide contamination. The steering committee also acknowledged the limitations of the ATT requirement and recommended a moratorium on such systems until a more comprehensive solution could be made available to land owners. The steering committee realized that such options would require an area-wide exception to Goal 11, and they recommended DEQ and Deschutes County pursue the exception. DEQ agrees with this recommendation because an exception to Goal 11 provides 5 NEED CITATIONS TO THESE STUDIES 6 Williams, J.S., D.S. Morgan and S.R. Hinkle. 2007. Questions and answers about the effects of septic systems on water quality in the La Pine area, Oregon. USGS Factsheet 2007-3103. http://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/2007/3103/ 7 Morgan, D.S., S.R. Hinkle, R.J. Weick. 2007. Evaluation of approaches for managing nitrate loading from on-site wastewater systems near La Pine, Oregon USGS Scientific Investigations Report 2007-5237 http://pubs.usgs.gov/sir/2007/5237/ PAGE 9 OF 23 – DRAFT EXHIBIT “X” TO ORDINANCE 2015-XXX residents with a tool to pursue meaningful and long-term groundwater protection in a way that is not currently available to them. An area-wide Goal 11 exception would allow for an acceptable level of wastewater control and is necessary to protect public health in the area over the long term. The area requires a regional solution to what is truly an area-wide problem – one with risk increasing the longer a comprehensive solution is not in place. Up to this point, public agencies including DEQ have looked at individual property risk on a site-by-site basis. This strategy will fail because it prohibits greater regional planning and infrastructure to address a significant and regional public health risk. This risk is compounded by the relatively high density of development in the area, as more than 75 percent of the approximately 14,000 properties in the area are two acres or smaller. There is little precipitation in the area to dilute contaminants . Too many septic systems were discharging into porous soil and over time there would be increasing contamination of the shallow, vulnerable aquifer that many people were using as their drinking water supply The Use Being Planned. In this case, most of the area proposed for sewage service has already been developed with permitted residential uses. In most exception proposals, “the use being planned” would add to the built environment by enabling development activity (i.e., residential, industrial, commercial, etc.) not allowed by the existing zoning. Goal 11 exceptions require a different perspective. The Land Use Board of Appeals (LUBA) has held, “In the context of a Goal 11 exception to extend public facilities to serve proposed development of lands outside the urban growth boundary, the ‘proposed use’ can only be the proposed development to be served by the facility extension and not the extended public facility.” Todd v. City of Florence, 52 Or LUBA 445 (2006). In this case, the “use being planned” is __ existing residential units and __ potential new units allowed by existing zoning. This situation resembles Todd because it would authorize the establishment or extension of sewer service in order to support development. This situation is distinguishable because the proposed facility in this case is necessary to support the “use being planned” in order to improve the area’s groundwater quality over time. The subject lands are planned and zoned to receive residential development. Failing to authorize sewer service will eventually create unacceptable levels of contamination in the groundwater and place citizens at risk of health concerns. Location on Resource Land. This Goal 11 exception does not generally request a location on resource land. Instead, sewer service would be available to residential development on lands planned and zoned for residential use. Small amounts of resource lands are includes but no upzoning will occur. Most of this development exists. Some potential for future development on existing platted lots is possible. OAR 660-004-0020(2) (continued) PAGE 10 OF 23 – DRAFT EXHIBIT “X” TO ORDINANCE 2015-XXX (b) “Areas that do not require a new exception cannot reasonably accommodate the use”. The exception must meet the following requirements: (A) The exception shall indicate on a map or otherwise describe the location of possible alternative areas considered for the use that do not require a new exception. The area for which the exception is taken shall be identified; (B) To show why the particular site is justified, it is necessary to discuss why other areas that do not require a new exception cannot reasonably accommodate the proposed use. Economic factors may be considered along with other relevant factors in determining that the use cannot reasonably be accommodated in other areas. Under this test the following questions shall be addressed: (i) Can the proposed use be reasonably accommodated on nonresource land that would not require an exception, including increasing the density of uses on nonresource land? If not, why not? (ii) Can the proposed use be reasonably accommodated on resource land that is already irrevocably committed to nonresource uses not allowed by the applicable Goal, including resource land in existing unincorporated communities, or by increasing the density of uses on committed lands? If not, why not? (iii) Can the proposed use be reasonably accommodated inside an urban growth boundary? If not, why not? (iv) Can the proposed use be reasonably accommodated without the provision of a proposed public facility or service? If not, why not? (C) The “alternative areas” standard in paragraph B may be met by a broad review of similar types of areas rather than a review of specific alternative sites. Initially, a local government adopting an exception need assess only whether those similar types of areas in the vicinity could not reasonably accommodate the proposed use. Site specific comparisons are not required of a local government taking an exception unless another party to the local proceeding describes specific sites that can more reasonably accommodate the proposed use. A detailed evaluation of specific alternative sites is thus not required unless such sites are specifically described, with facts to support the assertion that the sites are more reasonable, by another party during the local exceptions proceeding. FINDINGS: Regarding OAR 660-004-0020(2)(b)(A), a map of the area subject to this exception is provided in Attachment A. Regarding paragraph (b)(B), areas that do not require a new exception cannot reasonably accommodate the use because, as described above, the use in this case is PAGE 11 OF 23 – DRAFT EXHIBIT “X” TO ORDINANCE 2015-XXX residential development on lands planned and zoned for that use, with some resource lands included that are. Identified resource lands have an existing settlement pattern and are either adjacent to rural residential exception areas or surrounded by federal land. This Goal 11 exception will create the ability to support existing homes and some future households with sewer service, which is necessary to preserve the integrity of the area’s groundwater. The existing homes and lands planned and zoned for development will continue to occupy their current locations and will continue to utilize local aquifers as a domestic water source. Utilizing a different area is not possible. In other words, the development pattern is where it is. To best protect public health, the exception area includes unincorporated, nonfederal portions of Deschutes County except those areas already authorized for sewers generally located south of Sunriver and north of Klamath County (see Attachment A). This is generally the area in Deschutes County studied by the USGS (see Attachment G). Deschutes County determined that groundwater protection is necessary for this area because groundwater was determined to be vulnerable to contamination from individual onsite wastewater disposal systems. The exception area includes all existing platted lots and other lands necessary for community water supply and wastewater treatment infrastructure. No up-zoning or increases in development densities other than allowed by current zoning shall occur within the Goal 11 exception area. Regarding accommodation of the use on nonresource land or existing exceptions land (paragraphs (b)(B)(i) and (ii)), these provisions assume the proposal is for an exception to Goal 3 or Goal 4 – the “resource goals.” The “applicable goal” in this case is Goal 11. “Uses not allowed by the applicable goal” in this case are not “nonresource uses,” but rather rural uses provided with sewer service. To address the these provisions in the context of a Goal 11 exception, the purpose of the exception is to allow an additional option – sewerage – for contending with a groundwater quality problem associate d with existing residential development. LUBA has ruled that “the use” in a Goal 11 exception is the development at the end of the sewer line, not the sewer line itself (Todd v. City of Florence, 52 Or LUBA 445 (2006)). Existing homes cannot reasonably be expected to relocate. The small amount of future development currently permitted in the area could potentially be prohibited and those development rights transferred to a different location that does not require an exception, but that would not contribute significantly to solving the groundwater problem or alleviate the need for this exception. For these same reasons, the proposed use cannot be reasonably accommodated inside an urban growth boundary (paragraph (b)(B)(iii)). This Goal 11 exception will create the ability to support existing homes and some future households with sewer service, which is necessary to preserve the integrity of the area’s groundwat er. The existing homes and lands planned and zoned for development will continue to occupy their current locations and will continue to utilize local aquifers as a domestic water source. In this Goal 11 exception, the “use being planned” is existing homes and some new residences on lands planned and zoned for residential development. The proposed facilities would be sewer service that is not otherwise available under Goal 11. Existing PAGE 12 OF 23 – DRAFT EXHIBIT “X” TO ORDINANCE 2015-XXX and possible residential development in these areas cannot be reasonably accommodated without the opportunity to receive sewer service because, as described in this document, sewer service is necessary to guard against unacceptable levels of pollution in the area’s groundwater that would expose citizens to health risks. OAR 660-004-0020(2) (continued) (c) “The long-term environmental, economic, social and energy consequences resulting from the use at the proposed site with measures designed to reduce adverse impacts are not significantly more adverse than would typically result from the same proposal being located in areas requiring a goal exception other than the proposed site.” The exception shall describe: the characteristics of each alternative area considered by the jurisdiction in which an exception might be taken, the t ypical advantages and disadvantages of using the area for a use not allowed by the Goal, and the typical positive and negative consequences resulting from the use at the proposed site with measures designed to reduce adverse impacts. A detailed evaluation of specific alternative sites is not required unless such sites are specifically described with facts to support the assertion that the sites have significantly fewer adverse impacts during the local exceptions proceeding. The exception shall include the reasons why the consequences of the use at the chosen site are not significantly more adverse than would typically result from the same proposal being located in areas requiring a goal exception other than the proposed site. Such reasons shall include but are not limited to a description of: the facts used to determine which resource land is least productive, the ability to sustain resource uses near the proposed use, and the long-term economic impact on the general area caused by irreversible removal of the land from the resource base. Other possible impacts to be addressed include the effects of the proposed use on the water table, on the costs of improving roads and on the costs to special service districts; FINDING: The “use being planned” is composed of existing dwellings and some new dwellings allowed outright on land planned and zoned for residential use and under certain restrictions on lands zoned for resource use. The proposed public service includes sewer service that is not otherwise allowed under Goal 11. OAR 660-004- 0020(2)(c) requires an analysis of impacts from the use being located in alternative “areas.” In this exception, the area in question will be the same for any alternative. This criterion arguably does not apply. Instead, the environmental, social, economic, and energy (ESEE) consequences of providing sewer service compared to not providing that service are presented herein. Environmental Consequences. A long-term environmental consequence of no sewer service has been studied by DEQ and USGS (see footnotes 5, 6 and 7) All of these studies showed long-term degradation of groundwater quality caused by residential onsite sewage disposal systems. Since a large majority of the residential uses already exist, limiting additional development will not solve the problem. Nitrates will continue to accumulate in the groundwater, which is also the areas’ drinking water, ultimately PAGE 13 OF 23 – DRAFT EXHIBIT “X” TO ORDINANCE 2015-XXX exceeding safe drinking water standards. See subsection II.A, “Groundwater Quality of in South Deschutes County,” in these findings. A long-term environmental consequence of providing sewer service to some or all of the affected area will be a slowing and ultimately a reversal of the degradation of water quality South Deschutes County. Since the problem this exception is intended to solve relates to safe drinking water, provision of drinking water to the affected area is another potential solution option that should be considered. The long-term environmental consequences of providing drinking water to the area instead of providing sewer service include continued contamination of groundwater. Groundwater is not just drinking water. It also serves as a barometer of overall ecosystem health. To put it another way, a healthy ecosystem does not have contaminated ground water. Providing drinking water service rather than sewer service may solve the safe drinking water problem, but it does not solve the larger issue of groundwater quality in South Deschutes County. On balance, the long-term environmental consequences of providing sewer service to the affected area are positive because groundwater quality in the affected area will at least get no worse, and is likely to improve. Economic Consequences. Providing sewer service will have long-term economic consequences, while not providing the service will have different economic consequences. The affected area is rural and no service district currently exists to establish the system, so there is no existing tax base to subsidize a sewer system project. Costs will be entirely borne by residents and property owners within the affected area (with any state or federal assistance that may materialize). If sewer service is not provided, groundwater quality will continue to degrade and Deschutes County will at some point in the future be forced to contend with a water supply that does not meet safe drinking water standards. Waiting to address the problem will result in a more widespread issue because additional dwellings will have been built. A larger network of sewer lines and a higher-capacity treatment system will likely be required if a solution to the groundwater quality problem is not addressed sooner. While the potential number of ratepayers may be greater in the future, diluting each individual user’s rate, this does not necessarily make the no-build alternative the lower-cost option. Interest rates are at an historically low level and construction c osts tend to increase over time. Establishing a sewer system is expensive. No feasibility studies have been conducted so the most appropriate system technology has not been determined. The sequencing of installation has not been established (it is not anticipated that the entire affected area will be sewered at once, if ever). Completion of these plans would not be prudent before approval of this Goal 11 exception. Consequently, a financing plan has not been completed and detailed costs of the system are not available, but general conclusions can be made nonetheless. In any case, it is reasonable to assume that installation and operation of an entirely new sewer system will lead to relatively high rates for ea ch hookup in the affected area. PAGE 14 OF 23 – DRAFT EXHIBIT “X” TO ORDINANCE 2015-XXX The alternative long-term economic consequences are not “build” versus “no-build,” but rather “now” or “later.” Addressing the problem before it gets worse has long-term economic benefits to ratepayers in the affected area. Social and Energy Consequences. No social or energy consequences have been identified that would be different for the alternatives under consideration. Summary. The long-term ESEE consequences of establishing a sewer system to address groundwater quality problems in the affected area versus continuing with onsite sewage disposal systems favors establishing a system. The long-term environmental consequences clearly favor establishment of the system. The long-term economic consequences are not as clearly in favor of the system but available information shows that establishing a system earlier will be beneficial. The long-term social and energy consequences of various alternatives are the same for each alternative. OAR 660-004-0020(2) (continued) (d) “The proposed uses are compatible with other adjacent uses or will be so rendered through measures designed to reduce adverse impacts.” The exception shall describe how the proposed use will be rendered compatible with adjacent land uses. The exception shall demonstrate that the proposed use is situated in such a manner as to be compatible with surrounding natural resources and resource management or production practices. “Compatible” is not intended as an absolute term meaning no interference or adverse impacts of any type with adjacent uses. FINDING: The “proposed uses” are existing homes and some new households on lands planned and zoned for residential development. The prohibition in Goal 11 on sewer service to rural lands works in concert with Goal 14, “Urbanization,” to direct urban development inside urban growth boundaries. That is, comprehensive plans are to provide for an orderly transition from rural to urban uses. A patchwork of urban-type subdivisions scattered across the landscape is generally incompatible with adjacent farm and forest uses and wildlife habitat conservation. Rural residents often find nearby high-density development incompatible with their rural environment. Sewer service does not cause, but it enables, a checkerboard pattern of high-density subdivisions. The Deschutes County comprehensive plan and zoning limit development in the affected area to a rural level of development. The rural residential zoning is limited to one dwelling per lot and new lots must be 10 acres in size. Resource zoning under goal 3 & 4 require even larger minimum parcel sizes and have greater restrictions regarding land divisions. Sewer service allowed under this exception will not increase the residential density of the area beyond what would develop without the sewer because the county comprehensive plan and zoning will not change . OAR 660-004-0020(3): If the exception involves more than one area for which the reasons and circumstances are the same, the areas may be considered as a PAGE 15 OF 23 – DRAFT EXHIBIT “X” TO ORDINANCE 2015-XXX group. Each of the areas shall be identified on a map, or their location otherwise described, and keyed to the appropriate findings. FINDING: To best protect public health, the exception area includes unincorporated, nonfederal portions of Deschutes County except those areas already authorized for sewers generally located south of Sunriver and north of Klamath County (see Attachment A). This is the general area in Deschutes County studied by USGS. Deschutes County determined that this area is necessary for groundwater protection and where groundwater was determined to be vulnerable to contamination from individual onsite wastewater disposal systems. OAR 660-004-0020(4): For the expansion of an unincorporated community described under OAR 660-022-0010, including an urban unincorporated community pursuant to OAR 660-022-0040 (2), the reasons exception requirements necessary to address standards 2 through 4 of Goal 2, Part II(c), as described in of subsections (2)(b), (c) and (d) of this rule, are modified to also include the following: * * * FINDING: The exception does not involve an expansion of an unincorporated community described under OAR 660-022-0010. Therefore, the provisions of OAR 660- 004-0020(4) are not applicable. OAR 660-004-0022: An exception under Goal 2, Part II(c) may be taken for any use not allowed by the applicable goal(s) or for a use authorized by a statewide planning goal that cannot comply with the approval standards for that type of use. * * * Reasons that may allow an exception to Goal 11 to provide sewer service to rural lands are described in OAR 660-011-0060. * * * FINDING: Sewer service to rural land is not permitted by Goal 11. The criteria in OAR 660-011-0060 area addressed below. C. OAR chapter 660, division 11: Public Facilities Planning Pertinent rules relating to implementation of Goal 11, with findings, are provided below. OAR 660-011-0060(2): Except as provided in sections (3), (4), (8), and (9) of this rule, and consistent with Goal 11, a local government shall not allow: (a) The establishment of new sewer systems outside urban growth boundaries or unincorporated community boundaries; (b) The extension of sewer lines from within urban growth boundaries or unincorporated community boundaries in order to serve uses on land outside those boundaries; (c) The extension of sewer systems that currently serve land outside urban growth boundaries and unincorporated community boundaries in order to serve uses that are outside such boundaries and are not served by the system on July 28, 1998. PAGE 16 OF 23 – DRAFT EXHIBIT “X” TO ORDINANCE 2015-XXX FINDINGS: This rule section provides a prohibition on most rural sewer service. Subsection (2)(a) of this rule is pertinent to the circumstances in South Deschutes County. The proposed system has not yet been designed, so the affected area may be served by establishment of new sewer system (subsection (a)) or by extension of lines from within an urban growth boundary (La Pine) or unincorporated community (Sunriver) to these lands outside the community (subsection (b)). OAR 660-011- 0060(2)(c) does not apply. Because of this prohibition, which implements the same prohibition in Goal 11, an exception to Goal 11 is required to establish or extend a sewer system to the affected area. The reasons Goal 11 should not apply, and findings showing the exception complies with relevant administrative rules, are provided in the previous section of this findings document. OAR 660-011-0060(3), (4), and (8), referenced in Section (2), do not apply to the circumstances in the affected area and therefore are not relevant to this exception. Specifically, no components of a sewer system to serve lands inside an urban growth boundary are proposed, there is no specifically declared public health hazard, and there is no existing sewer district or sanitary authority. OAR 660-011-0060(9): A local government may allow the establishment of new sewer systems or the extension of sewer lines not otherwise provided for in section (4) of this rule, or allow a use to connect to an existing sewer line not otherwise provided for in section (8) of this rule, provided the standards for an exception to Goal 11 have been met, and provided the local government adopts land use regulations that prohibit the sewer system from serving any uses or areas other than those justified in the exception. Appropriate reasons and facts for an exception to Goal 11 include but are not limited to the following: (a) The new system, or extension of an existing system, is necessary to avoid an imminent and significant public health hazard that would otherwise result if the sewer service is not provided; and, there is no practicable alternative to the sewer system in order to avoid the imminent public health hazard, or (b) The extension of an existing sewer system will serve land that, by operation of federal law, is not subject to statewide planning Goal 11 and, if necessary, Goal 14. FINDINGS: Subsections (a) and (b) represent two alternative justifications for an exception to Goal 11. However, Deschutes County finds that this language is not exclusive. In other words, it is possible to justify an exception to Goal 11 under circumstances that do not comport with OAR 660-011-0060(9)(a) or (b). See Foland v. Jackson County, 61 Or LUBA 264 (2010). In this case, the reason Goal 11 should not apply relates to long-term effects on water quality. See findings for compliance with OAR chapter 660, division 4 in the previous section of this findings document. After decades of studies and monitoring, DEQ has determined that there is a growing health threat of groundwater contamination caused by onsite septic systems in the area of south Deschutes and north Klamath counties. Public health can best be protected through a range of treatment and disposal options not allowed under Goal 11. PAGE 17 OF 23 – DRAFT EXHIBIT “X” TO ORDINANCE 2015-XXX There has not been “an imminent health hazard” as referenced in subsection (a). Many studies over the years show groundwater contamination in the La Pine study area. Most recently, the USGS studies and reports indicated a slow-moving but expanding plume of human effluent-tainted groundwater. Over time, that plume will spread to deep areas of the aquifer and will become so widespread that the drinking water becomes unusable. There is a real threat from nitrates, pharmaceuticals, personal hygiene byproducts and organic wastewater compounds entering groundwater. The current trend must be reversed to protect human health in the long term. This contamination is occurring at a rate that allows for some planning; the threat to public health is not imminent, but it is inevitable. This rule requires that the Goal 11 exception be accompanied by “land use regulations that prohibit the sewer system from serving any uses or areas other than those justified in the exception” adopted by Deschutes County. Along with this exceptions document, the county adopts new Comprehensive Plan Policy __, which states: ______________. D. OAR chapter 660, division 12: Transportation Planning OAR 660-012-0060, “Plan and Land Use Regulation Amendments,” requires consideration of the effects of development allowed through a plan amendment on transportation facilities.8 Specifically, the rule requires a determination of whether the 8 OAR 660-012-0060 provides, in relevant part: (1) If an amendment to a functional plan, an acknowledged comprehensive plan, or a land use regulation (including a zoning map) would significantly affect an existing or planned transportation facility, then the local government must put in place measures as provided in section (2) of this rule, unless the amendment is allowed under section (3), (9) or (10) of this rule. A plan or land use regulation amendment significantly affects a transportation facility if it would: (a) Change the functional classification of an existing or planned transportation facility (exclusive of correction of map errors in an adopted plan); (b) Change standards implementing a functional classification system; or (c) Result in any of the effects listed in paragraphs (A) through (C) of this subsection based on projected conditions measured at the end of the planning period identified in the adopted TSP. As part of evaluating projected conditions, the amount of traffic projected to be generated within the area of the amendment may be reduced if the amendment includes an enforceable, ongoing requirement that would demonstrably limit traffic generation, including, but not limited to, transportation demand management. This reduction may diminish or completely eliminate the significant effect of the amendment. (A) Types or levels of travel or access that are inconsistent with the functional classification of an existing or planned transportation facility; (B) Degrade the performance of an existing or planned transportation facility such that it would not meet the performance standards identified in the TSP or comprehensive plan; or (C) Degrade the performance of an existing or planned transportation facility that is otherwise projected to not meet the performance standards identified in the TSP or comprehensive plan. (2) If a local government determines that there would be a significant effect, then the local government must ensure that allowed land uses are consistent with the identified function, capacity, and performance standards of the facility measured at the end of the planning period identified in the adopted TSP through one or a combination of the remedies listed in (a) through (e) below, unless the amendment meets the balancing test in subsection (2)(e) of this section or qualifies for partial mitigation in section (11) of this rule. A local government using subsection (2)(e), section (3), section (10) or section (11) to approve an amendment recognizes that PAGE 18 OF 23 – DRAFT EXHIBIT “X” TO ORDINANCE 2015-XXX newly allowed uses will “significantly affect” on existing or planned facilities, and if there is a significant effect, then the local government must “ensure that allowed land uses are consistent with the identified function, capacity, and performance standards of the facility.” _____[more]_______ additional motor vehicle traffic congestion may result and that other facility providers would not be expected to provide additional capacity for motor vehicles in response to this congestion. (a) Adopting measures that demonstrate allowed land uses are consistent with the planned function, capacity, and performance standards of the transportation facility. (b) Amending the TSP or comprehensive plan to provide transportation facilities, improvements or services adequate to support the proposed land uses consistent with the requirements of this division; such amendments shall include a funding plan or mechanism consistent with section (4) or include an amendment to the transportation finance plan so that the facility, improvement, or service will be provided by the end of the planning period. (c) Amending the TSP to modify the planned function, capacity or performance standards of the transportation facility. (d) Providing other measures as a condition of development or through a development agreement or similar funding method, including, but not limited to, transportation system management measures or minor transportation improvements. Local governments shall, as part of the amendment, specify when measures or improvements provided pursuant to this subsection will be provided. (e) Providing improvements that would benefit modes other than the significantly affected mode, improvements to facilities other than the significantly affected facility, or improvements at other locations, if the provider of the significantly affected facility provides a written statement that the system-wide benefits are sufficient to balance the significant effect, even though the improvements would not result in consistency for all performance standards. (3) Notwithstanding sections (1) and (2) of this rule, a local government may approve an amendment that would significantly affect an existing transportation facility without assuring that the allowed land uses are consistent with the function, capacity and performance standards of the facility where: (a) In the absence of the amendment, planned transportation facilities, improvements and services as set forth in section (4) of this rule would not be adequate to achieve consistency with the identified function, capacity or performance standard for that facility by the end of the planning period identified in the adopted TSP; (b) Development resulting from the amendment will, at a minimum, mitigate the impacts of the amendment in a manner that avoids further degradation to the performance of the facility by the time of the development through one or a combination of transportation improvements or measures; (c) The amendment does not involve property located in an interchange area as defined in paragraph (4)(d)(C); and (d) For affected state highways, ODOT provides a written statement that the proposed funding and timing for the identified mitigation improvements or measures are, at a minimum, sufficient to avoid further degradation to the performance of the affected state highway. However, if a local government provides the appropriate ODOT regional office with written notice of a proposed amendment in a manner that provides ODOT reasonable opportunity to submit a written statement into the record of the local government proceeding, and ODOT does not provide a written statement, then the local government may proceed with applying subsections (a) through (c) of this section. PAGE 19 OF 23 – DRAFT EXHIBIT “X” TO ORDINANCE 2015-XXX E. Statewide Planning Goals 1. Goal 1: Citizen Involvement FINDING: Deschutes County conducted multiple workshops and public hearings regarding groundwater quality in the southern part of the county generally and on the exception proposal specifically. Any interested was provided the opportunity to offer evidence and testimony as part of the review process. This exception was reviewed in accordance with Deschutes County public involvement requirements and Goal 1. 2. Goal 2: Land Use Planning FINDING: The Goal 2 exceptions process is further interpreted and implemented by the provisions of OAR chapter 660, divisions 4 and 11. See Subsections IV.B. and IV.C. of this exceptions document for findings regarding compliance with these rules. The applicable administrative rule provisions have been identified and addressed. Goal 2 is satisfied. 3. Goal 3: Agricultural Lands FINDING: This Goal 11 exception includes only a small amount of lands subject to Goal 3. Nothing in this exception would change the allowed uses in these minority portions of the exception area. Therefore, Goal 3 is not implicated. 4. Goal 4: Forest Land FINDING: This Goal 11 exception includes only a small amount of lands subject to Goal 4. Nothing in this exception would change the allowed uses in these minority portions of the exception area. Therefore, Goal 4 is not implicated. 5. Goal 5: Natural Resources, Scenic and Historic Areas, and Open Spaces FINDING: This exception does not authorize development beyond what is currently allowed by the acknowledged comprehensive plan. Existing plan and code provisions enacted by Deschutes County to protect resources under Goal 5 will remain effective. This Goal 11 exception does not conflict with the requirements of Goal 5. 6. Goal 6: Air, Water and Land Resources Quality Goal 6 provides: All waste and process discharges from future development, when combined with such discharges from existing developments shall not threaten to violate, or violate applicable state or federal environmental quality statutes, rules and standards. With respect to the air, water and land resources of the applicable air sheds and river basins described or included in state environmental quality statutes, rules, standards and implementation plans, such discharges shall not (1) exceed the carrying capacity of such resources, considering long range needs; (2) degrade such resources; or (3) threaten the availability of such resources. PAGE 20 OF 23 – DRAFT EXHIBIT “X” TO ORDINANCE 2015-XXX FINDING: This Goal 11 exception does not authorize development beyond what is authorized by the acknowledged comprehensive plan. This exception is intended to further the policy articulated in Goal 6 by preventing future violation of applicable environmental quality standards and exceedance of the carrying capacity of water and land resources of South Deschutes County. All future sewerage permitted as a result of this exception will be subject to permitting though DEQ to ensure all waste discharges comply with applicable standards and regulations. 7. Goal 7: Natural Hazards FINDING: Existing plan and code provisions enacted by Deschutes County to protect life and property from natural hazards under Goal 7 will remain effective. This Goal 11 exception does not conflict with the requirements of Goal 7. 8. Goal 8: Recreational Needs FINDING: No provision of Goal 8 applies to this exception. While there are recreation facilities in the affected area, the sewer service permitted by this Goal 11 exception will not detrimentally affect the capacity of these facilities to fulfill the recre ation needs of the area. The exception does not conflict with the requirements of Goal 8. 9. Goal 9: Economic Development FINDING: Goal 9 provides, in part, “Comprehensive plans and policies shall contribute to a stable and healthy economy in all regions of the state.” The sewer service permitted as a consequence of this exception will serve residential use and therefore should have no effect on the stability of the economy in Deschutes County or Central Oregon. The exception does not conflict with the requirements of Goal 9. 10. Goal 10: Housing FINDING: Goal 10 and its implementing rules direct that needed housing to be accommodated inside urban growth boundaries. This Goal 11 exception does not affect lands within an urban growth boundary and is not designed to create housing opportunities beyond what are currently designated in the acknowledged comprehensive plan. Goal 10 does not apply. 11. Goal 11: Public Facilities FINDING: Goal 11 is addressed in Subsection IV.D. of this exception document. 12. Goal 12: Transportation FINDING: Goal 12 is addressed in Subsection IV.E. of this exception document. 13. Goal 13: Energy Conservation Goal 13 provides: PAGE 21 OF 23 – DRAFT EXHIBIT “X” TO ORDINANCE 2015-XXX Land and uses developed on the land shall be managed and controlled so as to maximize the conservation of all forms of energy, based upon sound economic principles. FINDING: This Goal 11 exception does not authorize development beyond what is currently allowed by the acknowledged comprehensive plan. This exception does not conflict with the requirements of Goal 13. 14. Goal 14: Urbanization FINDING: Goal 14 requires that comprehensive plans provide for “an orderly and efficient transition from rural to urban land use.” Sewer service by its nature tends to be associated with urban uses. Because sewer systems are expensive to install, maintain, and operate, system operators tend to maximize the number of hookups to share costs and minimize the length of lines to minimize expenses. More, denser development leads to urbanization. However, the land proposed to be served by the sewer system permitted by this exception is currently planned and zoned to allow a rural level of use. Deschutes County concurrently adopts Comprehensive Plan Policy __, which states: “______________.” Rural use will be maintained by the plan and zoning provisions. The plan for South Deschutes County will continue to provide for an orderly and efficient transition from rural to urban land use, so the exception does not conflict with Goal 14. 15. Goals 15 through 19 FINDING: Goal 15 relates to the Willamette River and Goals 16 through 19 relate to the coastal zone and ocean. None of these are applicable to this Goal 11 exception. F. Deschutes County Comprehensive Plan Chapter 2 of the county plan, “Resource Management,” includes the following policies under Goal 5, “Protect and improve water quality in the Deschutes River Basin.” Policy 2.5.19 Coordinate with stakeholders to address water-related public health issues. a. Support amendments to State regulations to permit centralized sewer systems in areas with high levels of existing or potential development or identified water quality concerns. b. If a public health hazard is declared in rural Deschutes County, expedite actions such as legislative amendments allowing sewers or similar infrastructure. Finding: A goundwater-related public health issue has been identified, as described in Subsection II.A of this exceptions document. Deschutes County has coordinated with residents and property owners in South Deschutes County for at least 20 years in an effort to resolve the identified issue. DEQ formed a steering committee of local residents to address the issue, and the committee recommended this Goal 11 exception. Deschutes County has coordinated with DEQ and DLCD throughout the local review PAGE 22 OF 23 – DRAFT EXHIBIT “X” TO ORDINANCE 2015-XXX process. The county has complied with this policy in the development of a solution to groundwater quality issues in the affected area. Policy 2.5.20 Work with the community to expand the range of tools available to protect groundwater quality by reviewing new technologies, including tools to improve the quality and reduce the quantity of rural and agricult ural stormwater runoff. FINDING: This Goal 11 exception is part of a larger effort to add tools for addressing the groundwater quality issues in South Deschutes County. The county formerly required Advanced Treatment Technology systems for onsite sewage disposal; this effort proved unsuccessful but it demonstrates that Deschutes County has continued to search for a reasonable solution to rising nitrate levels in the groundwater. The specific technology that will be used to provide sewage disposal and treatment in the area has not been determined. Approval of new technology will ultimately be DEQ’s responsibility, but Deschutes County, through this Goal 11 exception, shall remove barriers to reasonable alternative technologies. G. Newberry Country: A Plan for Southern Deschutes County, 2012-2032 Deschutes County adopted a land use plan specifically for the southern part of the county in 2013 (Ordinance 2013-007). Pertinent goals and policies from this plan are addressed below. Goal 5: Address high groundwater lots and zoning and surveying issues. Policy 5.1 Develop a work plan with affected stakeholders to determine the future development and conservation potential of approximately 1,500 high groundwater lots. The work plan will need to incorporate the potential for an unknown number of lots to be served by centralized sewer or other methods of collection in the future, which would make them developable, where that possibility may not currently exist. The work plan shall, at a minimum, analyze: a. The impact of the newly permitted development on roads, riparian areas, wildlife habitat, and wetlands; and b. Acquisition options such as purchasing the lots, land transfe rs or other ideas. FINDING: This Goal 11 exception will allow the potential establishment of sewers on rural lands in South Deschutes County. The provided maps and written description of the affected area encompasses the approximately 1,500 lots with high groundwater. The section of this exceptions document dealing with Statewide Planning Goals 5, 6, 7, and 12 addresses Policy 5.1.a. See Subsection IV. E. of this section. As no property is being purchased at this time, Policy 5.1.b does not apply. The Goal 11 exception is consistent with Goal 5 and its policies from the Newberry Country Plan. Goal 9: Partner with the Oregon Department of Environmental Quality (DEQ) to protect groundwater and public health. PAGE 23 OF 23 – DRAFT EXHIBIT “X” TO ORDINANCE 2015-XXX Policy 9.1 Explore opportunities for Goal 11 exceptions and the full range of advance wastewater treatment opportunities, including but not limited to, the use of onsite alternative treatment technology, centralized sewer systems and cluster systems. Policy 9.2 Conduct a joint Board of County Commissioner/Planning Commission hearing in Newberry Country to: a. Discuss the South County/Northern Klamath County steering committee recommendations; and b. Allow for public comments FINDING: This Goal 11 exception is expressly specified in Policy 9.1. The Board of County Commissioners and Planning Commission held a joint meeting in La Pine on July 25, 2013, to hear the recommendations from the South County/Northern Klamath County steering committee and received public comments. V. ATTACHMENTS A. Map of Areas Subject to the Goal 11 Exception. B. Amendment to Deschutes County Comprehensive Plan. C. Amendment to Deschutes County Comprehensive Plan. D. Oregon Health Authority Fact Sheet on Nitrates. E. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Drinking Water Standards. F. South Deschutes/North Klamath Groundwater Protection: Report and Recommendations. ODEQ, 2013 G. Evaluation of Approaches for Managing Nitrate Loading from On-Site Wastewater Systems near La Pine, Oregon. 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S T OT T E R D R DEER RUN LN SA N D P IP E R R D DI A N N E R D C O L L A R D R LLO Y D W A Y PONDEROS A LOOP LE C H N E R L N HAWKS LAIR RD BATES ST SA V A G E D R DI A M O N D B A R R A N C H R D BL A C K D U C K R D BAKERSFIELD RD MO R S O N S T AMBER LN SHARP DR LIBERTY RD PE N G R A S T GREEN FOREST RD T W I N R I V E RSDR ELK AVE HI N K L E W A Y SHAWNEECIR BIG MEADOW DR YO H O D R CO A C H R D DEL PINO DR PR E B L E W A Y FEDERAL RD EV A N S W A Y WAYNE DR CORNELL DR MA R S H H A W K R D FIR LN OLD WOOD RD FAUN LN PASADENA RD PAULINA AVE CE L E S T I A L D R DE E P W O O D S R D LAGUNA RD MEADOW RD RI C H A R D W A Y WE N D Y R D JUNIPER RD E C L I P S E D R FALL RIVER DR SLY DR PITCH CT OXNARD RD MERCED RD CASCADE LN S U B A L P I N E HASHK N I F E R D AR C T I C D R INDIGO LN B E A R L N OA K D R READ LOOP CO M E T D R EL M D R BUENA VISTA DR HEIERMAN DR DE E R F I E L D D R RE M I N G T O N D R PIN E C R E S T L N C A N O E C AMP DR ABBOT DR PINE LN CE D A R R D ME T E O R D 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HEATH DR WE L C H R D S LAPINE DR RIVERLOOPDR W KILLDEER DR CUB D R EI D E R R D GRIMM RD G R A Y S Q U I R R E L D R WHITE BUCK AVE SHERRIE W A Y MU R R Y D R WHI T E O A K P L HE I D I C T PO L E P I N E R D BLACKTAIL LN F O R D H AM D R O S P R E Y R D JA C K P I N E W A Y BE A R S T YORKIE LN SUN COUNTRY DR ELKHORN LN MULE DEER LN MAL L A R D D R S C H O O L H O U S E R D B I R C H R D KINGFISHER DR ISLA N D L O O P W A Y FE S T I S A V E LO S T P O N D E R O S A R D PI N E S T WHITE TAIL LN PA R K E R R D EL K D R BEAVER DR DERRINGER DR CA S C A D E S T MERGANSER DR SH A Y L N WA L L I N G L N DO E L O O P SIL V E R L A K E L N CASPERDR LITTLE RIV ERDR P I N E P L BLUE BIRD LN WI C K I U P A V E E M E A D O WRD STRAWN RD RIVERLOOP D R E DILLON WAY HO L T Z C L A W R D SE E V E R S R D L O W E L L W A Y FRIENDLY ST YODER LN FRANCES LN MOUNTAIN SHEEP LN WA Y S I D E L O O P B R E N D A D R P RAI RIE VIEW DR LACAR LN MI T C H E L L R D W I L L O W S T BEVERLY LN GULL DR BASSETT DR O L D S T A G E R D NA T I O N A L R D LOST LN P O N D E R O S A R D ELENA LN CANVASBACK DR JACOBSEN RD CURLEW DR AL L E N D R GUSS WAY AVO C E T D R AN C H O R W A Y FA W N L O O P HE M L O C K R D CO N E P L DIPPER LN S F A W N D R PLEASANT ST WILLOW LN TIM B E R L A N E L O O P BIG BUCK LN AL P S C T MA R T E N L N G REENWOOD DR GLE N W O O D D R BA N D L E Y R D RU GUELFI RD AL J E A N R D SPRINGWOOD RD KO K A N E E L N T R E E D U C K R D TEIL CT BO N N I E W A Y WALK ER WAY HARLEQUIN DR EGRET DR GREBE RD SERP E N T I N E D R TRUMPETER LN L I CH EN WAY SHEILA WAY MOUNT AIN G O A T L N CU L T U S L N MU N S O N S T CO Y O T E R D ASSEMBLY WAY BLACKFEATHER LN AUKLET DR C E N T R A L W A Y QUARTZ HILL PIN E T R E E D R TA N O A K P L WADDELL RD V E L V E T C T PENNY CT B E A R D R DI A N A L N BU F F L E H E A D R D PO L A R R D FINDLEY D R V A L E C T GOLDEN EYE DR BU R L MOCKINGBIRD LN F S 4 3 5 0 MO W I C H L N RO B I N L N MEMORIAL LN SACRAMENTO RD CON T O R T A P L MO O S E R D S U N D O W N D R WAGO N T R L L O G B R I D G E D R FISHER LN HU S K Y L N PA M L N YA E G E R W A Y PINTAIL DR S PRUCECT RAINBOW C T CALDWELL DR E D E N S T HAKKILA AVE BU T T E D R HOLG A T E C T SH I E L D S D R RANCH PL AUTUMNCT MOUNTAIN VIEW LN ASPEN P L A L I C E D R SABLE RO C K L O O P G A T E H O USELN LU C K Y L N GROSS LN EVERGREEN LN BETTY DR SA N T A B A R B A R A D R WYATT DR S W I S S P I N E CW REEVE S L N BI V O U A C R D JUDD LN PI N E C T F I R E G L A S S L O O P S N O W F L A K E L N CA R I B O U R D F E R N DELLLN PO W E L L L N C R E S C E N T C R E E K D R NUTHATCH WAY FAIRWAY LN CARRINGTON AVE RI L E Y L N E N T E R P RISE DR SITKA WO O D C H U C K D R GADWALL DR WIDGEON DR N O B L E F I R NORTHWO O D D R TURQUOISE DR VISTA LN TEL E G R A P H R D C A MBIUM S P R I N G R I V E R DR FRONTAGE RD DEE R R U N R D B E AR B ER R Y SUZA CT P I N N A C L E L N HA F D A H L L N SUTTER CT TRACY RD B U L L W H I P D R VE N T U R E L N MEADOW WAY JIL L I A N L N B A R B E R R Y C I R C A L D E R A S P R I N G S D R W A G O N MASTER WAY F O R E S T W A Y GUSS L N FALCON LN MANNING CT CASSIDY DR BO B W H I T E C T EASTWIND CT HA R P E R R D LISA LN LA D Y B U G L N THOLSTRUP DR EARL CT E ROSEMEAD MO S S R D BRADLEY RD H O L L I N S H E A D P L KODIAK LN WOODGRE E N C T C A R E F R E E L N NATOMA CT L O N E E A G L E L N D G P L A I N V I E W D R D I S C O V E R Y L N EARL CT W HE N L N RANDY CT BULL BAT LN PR O N G H O R N D R LAKE LN H O L G A T E R D L O S T R I D E R LOOP YELLOWPINELO O P M E S Q U I T E BUSHBERRY CT P E P P E R M I L L C I R TRADER LN KE L V E L C T TALLWOOD CT D E E R L N K N O B C O N E SN I P E R D C A R T E R C T BITTER BRUSH RD R I V E R B I R C H LONGLEAF P I N E SUNSET LN W O O D D U C K C T RE D F O X L N JA C K P I N E R D HO M E S T E A D R D TREE L A N D C T CLUSTERCABIN L N YELLOWOOD CT CURL L E AF CEDAR CT BURLWOOD LN TR O U T L N VICTORY WAY BL U E W O O D A V E W HITEWATE R L O O P WILLOW CT BETTY CT HOLIDAY LN MINK CT RE D P I N E WH I S P E R I N G P I N E S R D CHIPMUNK LN S U N R I S E C T FO X G L E N L O O P E L K L N S T A T I O N M A S T E R W A Y HOLIDAY C T BEAR PAW LN ST I L L W E L L S T SPRING BUTTE LN G L O W S T O N E L O O P WESTWIND CT DR A K E D R DARIN LN HEA R T W O O D W RIG H T P OI NT WA Y J A M I E W A Y LAUR ELRD RED BEAR LN BEAVERPL LIVEWOOD CT EAG L E C T RANI WAY E A G L E L N RE E V E C T HEMLOCK CT SA L Z E R S T BRISTLECONE LN CASSIDY CT BR O O K T R O U T C T ST A G S T SNOW CAP R D AG U I L A R C T SU G ARBERRY FO U N T A I N E B L E A U D R G U ADALUPEWAY BU C K S T LO N E S O M E P I N E R D SO M B R I O C T WADELL DR M A C C T PYROLA AB B O T H O U S E L N HENN A C T EL M R D CIRC L E 1 FAWN CT CHAPMAN LN PINE D A L E C T F I N G E R C O N E B R I D G E C T F E R N D A L E P L QU A I L L N B I R D S EYECT PA C I F I C W I L L O W SWEETGUM LY N X D R FER N D A L E C T MICKLE LN PIONEERLN S P RIN G R I V E R L O O P HE R R E L L L N C E N T R A L L N DOE PL GRO V E D A L E C T G REATHALL LOOP LA N D E R S C T FIRE G L A S S C T GREEN HEART JUN O C T TE R N R D E PARK LN P E Y T O N P L JACKPINELN SH O R T L E A F MA L L A R D L N OL D M A I N C T P A R K L A NDLN MO U N T A I N V I E W C T SHAW PINE CT SANDY CT T R A P P E R L N DER B Y C T BA R T O N W A Y H I D D E N G L E N C T PATH F I N D E R L N SH A D O W C T DONNER PL OAKRIDGE PL B E A V E R D R 4TH ST 3RD ST HU N T I N G T O N R D WEST DR 5TH ST 6TH ST 2ND ST PA R K W A Y D R 6T H S T F O RESTLN CENTE R D R Legend La Pine City Limit Urban Unincorporated Community County Zoning Exclusive Farm Use - La Pine Subzone Forest Use 1 Forest Use 2 Flood Plain Multiple Use Agricultural Open Space & Conservation Rural Industrial Rural Commercial Rural Residential Surface Mining Rural Service Center Zoning RSC M/C - Mixed Use / Commercial La Pine Zoning Mixed Use Commercial Commercial / Residential Mixed Use Commercial District Neighborhood Commercial Neighborhood Community Facility Limited Traditional Commercial Public Facility Riparian Area - Little Deschutes River Open Space & Park Master Plan Residential Residential District Residential Multi-Family Industrial 00 . 510.25 Miles Zoning Z June 4, 2014 N:\Custom\County\CDD\Planning\PeterRussell\SouthCountyZoning\ProjectFiles\SoCoZoning.mxd DISCLAIMER: The information on this map was derived from digital databases on Deschutes County’s G.I.S. Care was taken in the creation of this map, but it is provided "as is". Deschutes County cannot accept any responsibility for errors, omissions, or positional accuracy in the digital data or the underlying records. There are no warranties, express or implied, including the warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose, accompanying this product. However, notification of any errors will be appreciated. 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information about nitrate and its health effects • Safely using nitrate-contaminated water • Learning about nitrate levels in your drinking water • Removing nitrate from drinking water • For more information General information about nitrate and its health effects What is nitrate and where does it come from? Nitrate is a naturally occurring oxide of nitrogen. Nitrogen is present in the air and reacts with oxygen and ozone to produce nitrate. Nitrate is an essential component of living things and is a major part of animal manure, human sewage waste and commercial fertilizers. Nitrates and nitrites can be associated with septic systems and have been used for centuries as fertilizers, in explosives and as food preservatives. When does nitrate in drinking water become a health concern? Nitrate is measured in milligrams per liter (mg/L) (1 mg/L = 1 part per million (ppm)). Nitrate occurs naturally in surface and groundwater at concentrations up to 1-2 mg/L. At these naturally occurring levels, nitrate is not harmful to health. The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has established the safe drinking water standard (also called maximum contaminant level) for nitrate as 10 mg/L as measured nitrogen (NO 3 -N). If your water has nitrate levels above 10 mg/L, it is advisable to switch to bottled water. How can nitrate affect my health? Nitrate is a potential health hazard. Drinking water that has high levels of nitrate can cause health effects such as: • Methemoglobinemia or "blue baby syndrome," which results from nitrate decreasing the blood's capacity to carry oxygen, especially in infants who receive baby formula mixed with water containing nitrate above 10 mg/L. • Potential increased risk of: o Recurrent respiratory infections, o Thyroid dysfunction, o Negative reproductive outcomes such as spontaneous abortion and o Certain cancers including cancer of the stomach or bladder. Safely using nitrate-contaminated water Can I wash my food with nitrate-contaminated water? If nitrate levels in your water are above 10 mg/L, you should use bottled water or water from a safe source to wash, prepare and cook your food. Can I irrigate or water my garden with nitrate-contaminated water? Yes. What about bathing and showering? Nitrate does not easily enter the body through the skin. Bathing, swimming and showering with water that has levels of nitrate over 10 mg/L is safe as long as you avoid swallowing the water. Supervise small children when they are bathing and brushing teeth to ensure they do not swallow the water. What about washing dishes, utensils and food preparation areas? Only a very small amount of water clings to smooth surfaces, like dishes. Water having more than 10 mg/L of nitrate can be safely used to wash and sanitize dishes, tables and eating utensils. What about general cleaning and laundry? Very little water remains on washed surfaces and in laundered fabrics. Because these articles are not placed in the mouth, water having more than 10 mg/L of nitrate can be safely used for general cleaning and washing of clothing, bedding and linens. What about my pets? Animals should not drink water that is above 10 mg/L. Learning about nitrate levels in your drinking water For people on municipal or public water systems: Public drinking water providers are required to monitor for nitrate and ensure levels remain below the drinking water standard of 10 mg/L. They are also required to make those results public. If your water comes from a public water system, you can find results on the Oregon Drinking Water Services Data Online website. Your drinking water provider is also required to provide a Consumer Confidence Report to its customers every year. This report contains the most recent nitrate test results. For private well owners: If your drinking water comes from your own well, you will have to find a laboratory that does water testing for private property owners. These labs can provide information and instructions for getting your well water tested. For a list of accredited laboratories in Oregon, contact the Oregon Environmental Laboratory Accreditation Program (ORELAP) or view the list online: ORELAP Accredited Laboratories (pdf). Water containing 5-10 mg/L nitrate as nitrogen should be tested every quarter for at least one year to determine if levels are increasing or vary seasonally. Since nitrate levels can vary over time, annual testing is recommended at a minimum for all drinking water sources. Removing nitrate from drinking water For public drinking water system operators: Nitrate can be reduced or removed entirely from drinking water, but treatment processes are expensive and require careful maintenance and monitoring. Current treatments include ion exchange resins, reverse osmosis, electrodialysis and either biological or chemical denitrification. If treatment is not possible for your system, you should consider developing a different water source, blending with a different source or connecting to another safe water source in the area. Water that is to be used for drinking, beverage-making or food preparation can be obtained from a known safe source and used on a temporary basis. Non-ingestion uses of water pose much less hazard, but are not entirely safe if nitrate levels are significantly above the drinking water limit. Before deciding on treatment equipment, contact Oregon Drinking Water Services for information and advice. For private surface water intake owners: Don't boil the water! Boiling contaminated water does not remove nitrate; it can increase nitrate levels. Private well treatment options: First, make sure that you are not contributing to the problem. Take action to prevent nitrate sources on your property from contaminating your own groundwater (e.g., properly maintain your septic system, reduce fertilizer use within 100 feet of the well and move livestock or manure piles away from the well area). Non-treatment options include developing a different water source, blending in water from another source or connecting to another safe water source in the area. Several treatment methods can remove nitrate from drinking water, including ion exchange and reverse osmosis; ion exchange is the most common. Treatment equipment must be carefully maintained in order to work properly and might not be effective if nitrate levels are very high. Treated water should be tested at least once a year. Untreated water should be tested at least every three years. Check to be sure that any treatment system is certified by a recognized, third-party testing organization that meets strict testing procedures established by the American National Standards Institute (ANSI) and National Sanitation Foundation (NSF) International. For more information • Private surface water intake owners that have questions and concerns about nitrate in their water can contact the Center for Health Protection by phone at 971-673-0400 or by email at general.toxicology@state.or.us. • U.S. Environmental Protection Agency – Nitrate in Drinking Water Updated: March 2013 Jump to main content or area navigation. 1. A-Z Index 2. Advanced Search 3. What are you looking for? • Learn the Issues o AirChemicals and ToxicsClimate ChangeEmergenciesGreener LivingHealth and SafetyLand and CleanupPesticidesWasteWaterScience & Technology o AirClimate ChangeEcosystemsHealthLand, Waste and CleanupPesticidesSubstances and ToxicsSustainable PracticesWaterLaws & Regulations o By Business SectorBy TopicComplianceEnforcementLaws and Executive OrdersPolicy and GuidanceRegulationsAbout EPA o Administrator Gina McCarthyCurrent LeadershipOrganization ChartStaff DirectoryPlanning, Budget, and ResultsJobs and InternshipsHeadquarters OfficesRegional OfficesLabs and Research CentersContact Us Water: Drinking Water Contaminants You are here: Water Drinking Water Drinking Water Contaminants Drinking Water Contaminants • Drinking Water Contaminants Home • Basic Information about Drinking Water Contaminants On this Page • National Primary Drinking Water Regulations • List of Drinking Water Contaminants and (MCLs) • National Secondary Drinking Water Regulations • List of Secondary Drinking Water Regulations • Unregulated Contaminants National Primary Drinking Water Regulations National Primary Drinking Water Regulations (NPDWRs or primary standards) are legally enforceable standards that apply to public water systems. Primary standards protect public health by limiting the levels of contaminants in drinking water. Visit the list of regulated contaminants with links for more details. • List of Contaminants and their Maximum Contaminant Levels (MCLs) • Regulation Development • EPA's Regulated Contaminant Timeline (PDF) (1 pp, 86 K ) (About PDF) • National Primary Drinking Water Regulations- The complete regulations regarding these contaminants is available from the Code of Federal Regulations Website Information on this section • Alphabetical List (PDF) (6 pp, 924 K) (About PDF) EPA 816-F-09-0004, May 2009 List of Contaminants and their (MCLs) An alphabetical listing with links to fact sheets on the primary drinking water regulations. • Microorganisms • Disinfectants • Disinfection Byproducts • Inorganic Chemicals • Organic Chemicals • Radionuclides Microorganisms Contaminant MCLG1 (mg/L)2 MCL or TT1 (mg/L)2 Potential Health Effects from Long-Term Exposure Above the MCL (unless specified as short- term) Sources of Contaminant in Drinking Water Cryptosporidium zero TT3 Gastrointestinal illness (such as diarrhea, vomiting, and cramps) Human and animal fecal waste Microorganisms Contaminant MCLG1 (mg/L)2 MCL or TT1 (mg/L)2 Potential Health Effects from Long-Term Exposure Above the MCL (unless specified as short- term) Sources of Contaminant in Drinking Water Giardia lamblia zero TT3 Gastrointestinal illness (such as diarrhea, vomiting, and cramps) Human and animal fecal waste Heterotrophic plate count (HPC) n/a TT3 HPC has no health effects; it is an analytic method used to measure the variety of bacteria that are common in water. The lower the concentration of bacteria in drinking water, the better maintained the water system is. HPC measures a range of bacteria that are naturally present in the environment Legionella zero TT3 Legionnaire's Disease, a type of pneumonia Found naturally in water; multiplies in heating systems Total Coliforms (including fecal coliform and E. Coli) zero 5.0%4 Not a health threat in itself; it is used to indicate whether other potentially harmful bacteria may be present5 Coliforms are naturally present in the environment; as well as feces; fecal coliforms and E. coli only come from human and animal fecal waste. Turbidity n/a TT3 Turbidity is a measure of the cloudiness of water. It is used to indicate water quality and filtration effectiveness (such as whether disease-causing organisms are present). Higher turbidity levels are often associated with higher levels of disease-causing microorganisms such as viruses, parasites and some bacteria. These organisms can cause symptoms such as nausea, cramps, diarrhea, and associated Soil runoff Microorganisms Contaminant MCLG1 (mg/L)2 MCL or TT1 (mg/L)2 Potential Health Effects from Long-Term Exposure Above the MCL (unless specified as short- term) Sources of Contaminant in Drinking Water headaches. Viruses (enteric) zero TT3 Gastrointestinal illness (such as diarrhea, vomiting, and cramps) Human and animal fecal waste Top of page Disinfection Byproducts Contaminant MCLG1 (mg/L)2 MCL or TT1 (mg/L)2 Potential Health Effects from Long-Term Exposure Above the MCL (unless specified as short-term) Sources of Contaminant in Drinking Water Bromate zero 0.010 Increased risk of cancer Byproduct of drinking water disinfection Chlorite 0.8 1.0 Anemia; infants and young children: nervous system effects Byproduct of drinking water disinfection Haloacetic acids (HAA5) n/a6 0.0607 Increased risk of cancer Byproduct of drinking water disinfection Total Trihalomethanes (TTHMs) --> n/a6 --> 0.0807 Liver, kidney or central nervous system problems; increased risk of cancer Byproduct of drinking water disinfection Top of page Disinfectants Contaminant MCLG1 (mg/L)2 MCL or TT1 (mg/L)2 Potential Health Effects from Long- Term Exposure Above the MCL (unless specified as short-term) Sources of Contaminant in Drinking Water Chloramines (as Cl 2 ) MRDLG=41 MRDL=4.01 Eye/nose irritation; stomach discomfort, anemia Water additive used to control microbes Chlorine (as Cl 2 ) MRDLG=41 MRDL=4.01 Eye/nose irritation; stomach discomfort Water additive used to control microbes Chlorine dioxide (as ClO 2 ) MRDLG=0.81 MRDL=0.81 Anemia; infants and young children: nervous system effects Water additive used to control microbes Top of page Inorganic Chemicals Contaminant MCLG1 (mg/L)2 MCL or TT1 (mg/L)2 Potential Health Effects from Long- Term Exposure Above the MCL (unless specified as short-term) Sources of Contaminant in Drinking Water Antimony 0.006 0.006 Increase in blood cholesterol; decrease in blood sugar Discharge from petroleum refineries; fire retardants; ceramics; electronics; solder Arsenic 0 0.010 as of 01/23/06 Skin damage or problems with circulatory systems, and may have increased risk of getting cancer Erosion of natural deposits; runoff from orchards, runoff from glass and electronicsproduction wastes Asbestos (fiber > 10 micrometers) 7 million fibers per liter (MFL) 7 MFL Increased risk of developing benign intestinal polyps Decay of asbestos cement in water mains; erosion of natural deposits Inorganic Chemicals Contaminant MCLG1 (mg/L)2 MCL or TT1 (mg/L)2 Potential Health Effects from Long- Term Exposure Above the MCL (unless specified as short-term) Sources of Contaminant in Drinking Water Barium 2 2 Increase in blood pressure Discharge of drilling wastes; discharge from metal refineries; erosion of natural deposits Beryllium 0.004 0.004 Intestinal lesions Discharge from metal refineries and coal- burning factories; discharge from electrical, aerospace, and defense industries Cadmium 0.005 0.005 Kidney damage Corrosion of galvanized pipes; erosion of natural deposits; discharge from metal refineries; runoff from waste batteries and paints Chromium (total) 0.1 0.1 Allergic dermatitis Discharge from steel and pulp mills; erosion of natural deposits Copper 1.3 TT7; Action Level=1.3 Short term exposure: Gastrointestinal distress Long term exposure: Liver or kidney damage People with Wilson's Disease should consult their personal doctor if the amount of copper in their water exceeds the action level Corrosion of household plumbing systems; erosion of natural deposits Inorganic Chemicals Contaminant MCLG1 (mg/L)2 MCL or TT1 (mg/L)2 Potential Health Effects from Long- Term Exposure Above the MCL (unless specified as short-term) Sources of Contaminant in Drinking Water Cyanide (as free cyanide) 0.2 0.2 Nerve damage or thyroid problems Discharge from steel/metal factories; discharge from plastic and fertilizer factories Fluoride 4.0 4.0 Bone disease (pain and tenderness of the bones); Children may get mottled teeth Water additive which promotes strong teeth; erosion of natural deposits; discharge from fertilizer and aluminum factories Lead zero TT7; Action Level=0.015 Infants and children: Delays in physical or mental development; children could show slight deficits in attention span and learning abilities Adults: Kidney problems; high blood pressure Corrosion of household plumbing systems; erosion of natural deposits Mercury (inorganic) 0.002 0.002 Kidney damage Erosion of natural deposits; discharge from refineries and factories; runoff from landfills and croplands Nitrate (measured as Nitrogen) 10 10 Infants below the age of six months who drink water containing nitrate in excess of the MCL could become seriously ill and, if untreated, may die. Symptoms include shortness of breath and blue-baby syndrome. Runoff from fertilizer use; leaking from septic tanks, sewage; erosion of natural deposits Nitrite 1 1 Infants below the age of six months Runoff from fertilizer Inorganic Chemicals Contaminant MCLG1 (mg/L)2 MCL or TT1 (mg/L)2 Potential Health Effects from Long- Term Exposure Above the MCL (unless specified as short-term) Sources of Contaminant in Drinking Water (measured as Nitrogen) who drink water containing nitrite in excess of the MCL could become seriously ill and, if untreated, may die. Symptoms include shortness of breath and blue-baby syndrome. use; leaking from septic tanks, sewage; erosion of natural deposits Selenium 0.05 0.05 Hair or fingernail loss; numbness in fingers or toes; circulatory problems Discharge from petroleum refineries; erosion of natural deposits; discharge from mines Thallium 0.0005 0.002 Hair loss; changes in blood; kidney, intestine, or liver problems Leaching from ore- processing sites; discharge from electronics, glass, and drug factories Top of page Organic Chemicals Contaminant MCLG1 (mg/L)2 MCL or TT1 (mg/L)2 Potential Health Effects from Long- Term Exposure Above the MCL (unless specified as short-term) Sources of Contaminant in Drinking Water Acrylamide zero TT8 Nervous system or blood problems; increased risk of cancer Added to water during sewage/wastewater treatment Alachlor zero 0.002 Eye, liver, kidney or spleen problems; anemia; increased risk of cancer Runoff from herbicide used on row crops Organic Chemicals Contaminant MCLG1 (mg/L)2 MCL or TT1 (mg/L)2 Potential Health Effects from Long- Term Exposure Above the MCL (unless specified as short-term) Sources of Contaminant in Drinking Water Atrazine 0.003 0.003 Cardiovascular system or reproductive problems Runoff from herbicide used on row crops Benzene zero 0.005 Anemia; decrease in blood platelets; increased risk of cancer Discharge from factories; leaching from gas storage tanks and landfills Benzo(a)pyrene (PAHs) zero 0.0002 Reproductive difficulties; increased risk of cancer Leaching from linings of water storage tanks and distribution lines Carbofuran 0.04 0.04 Problems with blood, nervous system, or reproductive system Leaching of soil fumigant used on rice and alfalfa Carbon tetrachloride zero 0.005 Liver problems; increased risk of cancer Discharge from chemical plants and other industrial activities Chlordane zero 0.002 Liver or nervous system problems; increased risk of cancer Residue of banned termiticide Chlorobenzene 0.1 0.1 Liver or kidney problems Discharge from chemical and agricultural chemical factories Organic Chemicals Contaminant MCLG1 (mg/L)2 MCL or TT1 (mg/L)2 Potential Health Effects from Long- Term Exposure Above the MCL (unless specified as short-term) Sources of Contaminant in Drinking Water 2,4-D 0.07 0.07 Kidney, liver, or adrenal gland problems Runoff from herbicide used on row crops Dalapon 0.2 0.2 Minor kidney changes Runoff from herbicide used on rights of way 1,2-Dibromo-3- chloropropane (DBCP) zero 0.0002 Reproductive difficulties; increased risk of cancer Runoff/leaching from soil fumigant used on soybeans, cotton, pineapples, and orchards o-Dichlorobenzene 0.6 0.6 Liver, kidney, or circulatory system problems Discharge from industrial chemical factories p-Dichlorobenzene 0.075 0.075 Anemia; liver, kidney or spleen damage; changes in blood Discharge from industrial chemical factories 1,2-Dichloroethane zero 0.005 Increased risk of cancer Discharge from industrial chemical factories 1,1-Dichloroethylene 0.007 0.007 Liver problems Discharge from industrial chemical factories cis-1,2-Dichloroethylene 0.07 0.07 Liver problems Discharge from industrial chemical factories trans-1,2-Dichloroethylene 0.1 0.1 Liver problems Discharge from industrial chemical Organic Chemicals Contaminant MCLG1 (mg/L)2 MCL or TT1 (mg/L)2 Potential Health Effects from Long- Term Exposure Above the MCL (unless specified as short-term) Sources of Contaminant in Drinking Water factories Dichloromethane zero 0.005 Liver problems; increased risk of cancer Discharge from drug and chemical factories 1,2-Dichloropropane zero 0.005 Increased risk of cancer Discharge from industrial chemical factories Di(2-ethylhexyl) adipate 0.4 0.4 Weight loss, liver problems, or possible reproductive difficulties. Discharge from chemical factories Di(2-ethylhexyl) phthalate zero 0.006 Reproductive difficulties; liver problems; increased risk of cancer Discharge from rubber and chemical factories Dinoseb 0.007 0.007 Reproductive difficulties Runoff from herbicide used on soybeans and vegetables Dioxin (2,3,7,8-TCDD) zero 0.00000003 Reproductive difficulties; increased risk of cancer Emissions from waste incineration and other combustion; discharge from chemical factories Diquat 0.02 0.02 Cataracts Runoff from herbicide use Endothall 0.1 0.1 Stomach and Runoff from herbicide Organic Chemicals Contaminant MCLG1 (mg/L)2 MCL or TT1 (mg/L)2 Potential Health Effects from Long- Term Exposure Above the MCL (unless specified as short-term) Sources of Contaminant in Drinking Water intestinal problems use Endrin 0.002 0.002 Liver problems Residue of banned insecticide Epichlorohydrin zero TT8 Increased cancer risk, and over a long period of time, stomach problems Discharge from industrial chemical factories; an impurity of some water treatment chemicals Ethylbenzene 0.7 0.7 Liver or kidneys problems Discharge from petroleum refineries Ethylene dibromide zero 0.00005 Problems with liver, stomach, reproductive system, or kidneys; increased risk of cancer Discharge from petroleum refineries Glyphosate 0.7 0.7 Kidney problems; reproductive difficulties Runoff from herbicide use Heptachlor zero 0.0004 Liver damage; increased risk of cancer Residue of banned termiticide Heptachlor epoxide zero 0.0002 Liver damage; increased risk of cancer Breakdown of heptachlor Hexachlorobenzene zero 0.001 Liver or kidney problems; reproductive Discharge from metal refineries and agricultural chemical Organic Chemicals Contaminant MCLG1 (mg/L)2 MCL or TT1 (mg/L)2 Potential Health Effects from Long- Term Exposure Above the MCL (unless specified as short-term) Sources of Contaminant in Drinking Water difficulties; increased risk of cancer factories Hexachlorocyclopentadiene 0.05 0.05 Kidney or stomach problems Discharge from chemical factories Lindane 0.0002 0.0002 Liver or kidney problems Runoff/leaching from insecticide used on cattle, lumber, gardens Methoxychlor 0.04 0.04 Reproductive difficulties Runoff/leaching from insecticide used on fruits, vegetables, alfalfa, livestock Oxamyl (Vydate) 0.2 0.2 Slight nervous system effects Runoff/leaching from insecticide used on apples, potatoes, and tomatoes Polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs) zero 0.0005 Skin changes; thymus gland problems; immune deficiencies; reproductive or nervous system difficulties; increased risk of cancer Runoff from landfills; discharge of waste chemicals Pentachlorophenol zero 0.001 Liver or kidney problems; increased cancer Discharge from wood preserving factories Organic Chemicals Contaminant MCLG1 (mg/L)2 MCL or TT1 (mg/L)2 Potential Health Effects from Long- Term Exposure Above the MCL (unless specified as short-term) Sources of Contaminant in Drinking Water risk Picloram 0.5 0.5 Liver problems Herbicide runoff Simazine 0.004 0.004 Problems with blood Herbicide runoff Styrene 0.1 0.1 Liver, kidney, or circulatory system problems Discharge from rubber and plastic factories; leaching from landfills Tetrachloroethylene zero 0.005 Liver problems; increased risk of cancer Discharge from factories and dry cleaners Toluene 1 1 Nervous system, kidney, or liver problems Discharge from petroleum factories Toxaphene zero 0.003 Kidney, liver, or thyroid problems; increased risk of cancer Runoff/leaching from insecticide used on cotton and cattle 2,4,5-TP (Silvex) 0.05 0.05 Liver problems Residue of banned herbicide 1,2,4-Trichlorobenzene 0.07 0.07 Changes in adrenal glands Discharge from textile finishing factories 1,1,1-Trichloroethane 0.20 0.2 Liver, nervous system, or circulatory problems Discharge from metal degreasing sites and other factories 1,1,2-Trichloroethane 0.003 0.005 Liver, kidney, or Discharge from Organic Chemicals Contaminant MCLG1 (mg/L)2 MCL or TT1 (mg/L)2 Potential Health Effects from Long- Term Exposure Above the MCL (unless specified as short-term) Sources of Contaminant in Drinking Water immune system problems industrial chemical factories Trichloroethylene zero 0.005 Liver problems; increased risk of cancer Discharge from metal degreasing sites and other factories Vinyl chloride zero 0.002 Increased risk of cancer Leaching from PVC pipes; discharge from plastic factories Xylenes (total) 10 10 Nervous system damage Discharge from petroleum factories; discharge from chemical factories Top of page Radionuclides Contaminant MCLG1 (mg/L)2 MCL or TT1 (mg/L)2 Potential Health Effects from Long-Term Exposure Above the MCL (unless specified as short-term) Sources of Contaminant in Drinking Water Alpha particles none7 --- ------- zero 15 picocuries per Liter (pCi/L) Increased risk of cancer Erosion of natural deposits of certain minerals that are radioactive and may emit a form of radiation known as alpha radiation Beta particles and photon emitters none7 --- ------- zero 4 millirems per year Increased risk of cancer Decay of natural and man- made deposits of certain minerals that are radioactive and may emit forms Radionuclides Contaminant MCLG1 (mg/L)2 MCL or TT1 (mg/L)2 Potential Health Effects from Long-Term Exposure Above the MCL (unless specified as short-term) Sources of Contaminant in Drinking Water of radiation known as photons and beta radiation Radium 226 and Radium 228 (combined) none7 --- ------- zero 5 pCi/L Increased risk of cancer Erosion of natural deposits Uranium zero 30 ug/L as of 12/08/03 Increased risk of cancer, kidney toxicity Erosion of natural deposits Top of page Notes 1 Definitions: • Maximum Contaminant Level Goal (MCLG) - The level of a contaminant in drinking water below which there is no known or expected risk to health. MCLGs allow for a margin of safety and are non-enforceable public health goals. • Maximum Contaminant Level (MCL) - The highest level of a contaminant that is allowed in drinking water. MCLs are set as close to MCLGs as feasible using the best available treatment technology and taking cost into consideration. MCLs are enforceable standards. • Maximum Residual Disinfectant Level Goal (MRDLG) - The level of a drinking water disinfectant below which there is no known or expected risk to health. MRDLGs do not reflect the benefits of the use of disinfectants to control microbial contaminants.) • Treatment Technique (TT) - A required process intended to reduce the level of a contaminant in drinking water. • Maximum Residual Disinfectant Level (MRDL) - The highest level of a disinfectant allowed in drinking water. There is convincing evidence that addition of a disinfectant is necessary for control of microbial contaminants. • 2 Units are in milligrams per liter (mg/L) unless otherwise noted. Milligrams per liter are equivalent to parts per million (PPM). 3 EPA's surface water treatment rules require systems using surface water or ground water under the direct influence of surface water to o (1) disinfect their water, and o (2) filter their water or o meet criteria for avoiding filtration so that the following contaminants are controlled at the following levels: o  Cryptosporidium: Unfiltered systems are required to include Cryptosporidium in their existing watershed control provisions  Giardia lamblia: 99.9% removal/inactivation.  Viruses: 99.99% removal/inactivation.  Legionella: No limit, but EPA believes that if Giardia and viruses are removed/inactivated, according to the treatment techniques in the Surface Water Treatment Rule, Legionella will also be controlled.  Turbidity: For systems that use conventional or direct filtration, at no time can turbidity (cloudiness of water) go higher than 1 Nephelometric Turbidity Unit (NTU), and samples for turbidity must be less than or equal to 0.3 NTUs in at least 95 percent of the samples in any month. Systems that use filtration other than the conventional or direct filtration must follow state limits, which must include turbidity at no time exceeding 5 NTUs.  Heterotrophic Plate Count (HPC): No more than 500 bacterial colonies per milliliter.  Long Term 1 Enhanced Surface Water Treatment: Surface water systems or groundwater under the direct influence (GWUDI) systems serving fewer than 10,000 people must comply with the applicable Long Term 1 Enhanced Surface Water Treatment Rule provisions (such as turbidity standards, individual filter monitoring, Cryptosporidium removal requirements, updated watershed control requirements for unfiltered systems).  Long Term 2 Enhanced Surface Water Treatment Rule: This rule applies to all surface water systems or ground water systems under the direct influence of surface water. The rule targets additional Cryptosporidium treatment requirements for higher risk systems and includes provisions to reduce risks from uncovered finished water storage facilities and to ensure that the systems maintain microbial protection as they take steps to reduce the formation of disinfection byproducts.  Filter Backwash Recycling: The Filter Backwash Recycling Rule requires systems that recycle to return specific recycle flows through all processes of the system's existing conventional or direct filtration system or at an alternate location approved by the state. 4 No more than 5.0% samples total coliform-positive (TC-positive) in a month. (For water systems that collect fewer than 40 routine samples per month, no more than one sample can be total coliform-positive per month.) Every sample that has total coliform must be analyzed for either fecal coliforms or E. coli if two consecutive TC-positive samples, and one is also positive for E.coli fecal coliforms, system has an acute MCL violation. 5 Fecal coliform and E. coli are bacteria whose presence indicates that the water may be contaminated with human or animal wastes. Disease-causing microbes (pathogens) in these wastes can cause diarrhea, cramps, nausea, headaches, or other symptoms. These pathogens may pose a special health risk for infants, young children, and people with severely compromised immune systems. 6 Although there is no collective MCLG for this contaminant group, there are individual MCLGs for some of the individual contaminants: o Trihalomethanes: bromodichloromethane (zero); bromoform (zero); dibromochloromethane (0.06 mg/L): chloroform (0.07 mg/L. o Haloacetic acids: dichloroacetic acid (zero); trichloroacetic acid (0.02 mg/L); monochloroacetic acid (0.07 mg/L). Bromoacetic acid and dibromoacetic acid are regulated with this group but have no MCLGs. 7 Lead and copper are regulated by a treatment technique that requires systems to control the corrosiveness of their water. If more than 10% of tap water samples exceed the action level, water systems must take additional steps. For copper, the action level is 1.3 mg/L, and for lead is 0.015 mg/L. 8 Each water system must certify, in writing, to the state (using third-party or manufacturer's certification) that when acrylamide and epichlorohydrin are used to treat water, the combination (or product) of dose and monomer level does not exceed the levels specified, as follows: o Acrylamide = 0.05% dosed at 1 mg/L (or equivalent) o Epichlorohydrin = 0.01% dosed at 20 mg/L (or equivalent) Top of page National Secondary Drinking Water Regulations National Secondary Drinking Water Regulations (NSDWRs or secondary standards) are non- enforceable guidelines regulating contaminants that may cause cosmetic effects (such as skin or tooth discoloration) or aesthetic effects (such as taste, odor, or color) in drinking water. EPA recommends secondary standards to water systems but does not require systems to comply. However, states may choose to adopt them as enforceable standards. o National Secondary Drinking Water Regulations - The complete regulations regarding these contaminants is available from the Code of Federal Regulations Web Site. o For more information, read Secondary Drinking Water Regulations: Guidance for Nuisance Chemicals. List of National Secondary Drinking Water Regulations Contaminant Secondary Standard Aluminum 0.05 to 0.2 mg/L Chloride 250 mg/L Color 15 (color units) Copper 1.0 mg/L Corrosivity noncorrosive Fluoride 2.0 mg/L Foaming Agents 0.5 mg/L Iron 0.3 mg/L Manganese 0.05 mg/L Odor 3 threshold odor number pH 6.5-8.5 Silver 0.10 mg/L Sulfate 250 mg/L Total Dissolved Solids 500 mg/L Zinc 5 mg/L Top of page Unregulated Contaminants This list of contaminants which, at the time of publication, are not subject to any proposed or promulgated national primary drinking water regulation (NSDWRs), are known or anticipated to occur in public water systems, and may require regulations under the Safe Drinking Water Act (SDWA). For more information check out the list, or visit the Drinking Water Contaminant Candidate List (CCL) website. o Drinking Water Contaminant Candidate List (CCL) website o Unregulated Contaminant Monitoring Program (UCM) o Information on specific unregulated contaminants  MTBE (methyl-t-butyl ether) in drinking water Oregon Department of Environmental Quality South Deschutes/North Klamath Groundwater Protection: Report and Recommendations By: Eric Nigg and Robert Baggett July 2013 Groundwater Program Water Quality Division 811 SW 6th Avenue Portland, OR 97204 Phone: (541) 633-2036 (800) 452-4011 Fax: (541) 388-8283 Contact: Robert Baggett www.oregon.gov/DEQ DEQ is a leader in restoring, maintaining and enhancing the quality of Oregon’s air, land and water. State of Oregon Department of Environmental Quality This report prepared by: Oregon Department of Environmental Quality 811 SW 6th Avenue Portland, OR 97204 1-800-452-4011 www.oregon.gov/deq Contact: Robert Baggett 541-633-2036 Alternative formats (Braille, large type) of this document can be made available. Contact DEQ’s Office of Communications & Outreach, Portland, at 503-229-5696, or toll-free in Oregon at 1-800-452-4011, ext. 5696. South Deschutes/North Klamath Groundwater Protection Project Steering Committee State of Oregon Department of Environmental Quality i Contents Executive Summary 1 Committee Background and History 2 Recommendations 5 Goal 11 Exception (Unanimously Approved 1/9/13) ..........................................................................5 Groundwater Monitoring (Unanimously Approved 3/5/13) ...............................................................5 Governance (Unanimously Approved 4/2/13) ....................................................................................6 Livestock (Unanimously Approved 1/9/13) ........................................................................................6 Point Sources (Unanimously Approved 1/9/13)..................................................................................6 ATT Moratorium (Approved 7-1 on 6/4/13) .......................................................................................6 Disadvantaged Community Financing Solutions (Approved 7 - 1 on 6/4/13) ....................................7 Outreach and Community Education (Unanimously Approved 6/4/13) .............................................7 Alternative “Green” Solutions (Unanimously Approved 6/4/13) .......................................................7 Arguments 8 Goal 11 Exception: Argument in Favor .................................................................................................................................. 8 Groundwater Monitoring: Argument in Favor ........................................................................................................................ 9 Governance Entity: Argument in Favor .................................................................................................................................. 9 ATT Moratorium: Argument in Favor ..............................................................................................10 ATT Moratorium: Argument in Favor .................................................................................................................................. 11 ATT Moratorium: Argument Against (David Crider)........................................................................................................... 11 Groundwater Monitoring Funding: Argument in Favor ........................................................................................................ 11 Livestock Ordinance: Argument in Favor ............................................................................................................................. 12 Point Source Regulation and Monitoring: Argument in Favor ............................................................................................. 12 Disadvantaged Community Financing Solutions: Argument in Favor ................................................................................. 12 Outreach and Community Education: Argument in Favor .................................................................................................... 12 Green Solutions: Argument in Favor .................................................................................................................................... 13 Appendix A 14 Appendix B 15 Meeting Dates/Times ............................................................................................................................................................ 15 Appendix C 19 List of Presenters ................................................................................................................................................................... 19 Appendix D 20 Southern Deschutes County and Northern Klamath County Groundwater Protection Project Steering Committee Charter ................................................................................................................................................................ 20 I. Purpose ..........................................................................................................................................20 II. Background ..................................................................................................................................20 South Deschutes/North Klamath Groundwater Protection Project Steering Committee State of Oregon Department of Environmental Quality ii III. Committee Charge .................................................................................................................22 IV. Decision Making Process .......................................................................................................23 V. Public Involvement ................................................................................................................23 VI. Committee Meeting Schedule, Work Plan and Guidelines ....................................................23 VII. Communications and Media Coverage: .................................................................................25 VIII. Process Support ..................................................................................................................25 IX. Committee Membership .........................................................................................................25 Appendix E 27 Appendix F 28 Acknowledgements ............................................................................................................................................................... 28 South Deschutes/North Klamath Groundwater Protection Project Steering Committee State of Oregon Department of Environmental Quality 1 Executive Summary There is a long history of groundwater contamination from septic systems in Southern Deschutes County. Severe groundwater contamination in the area of La Pine motivated partners to build a wastewater treatment and disposal plant to serve the city in the late 1980s. Conditions within the City of La Pine have improved, but regional shallow groundwater outside of the city has shown continued elevated levels of nitrates, which can be a “tracer” indicating the presence of partially treated sewage. Testing and research indicate the vast majority of contamination comes from onsite (septic) wastewater treatment systems, meaning discharge from residential septic systems is seeping into the groundwater that is used as a primary drinking water source. The problem is caused by existing developed and undeveloped platted lots, local geology and geography. The area has porous, sandy pumice soil derived from volcanic events and many shallow groundwater aquifers, both of which allow the potential for contamination. These local conditions are unusual, as other parts of the state have finer silt and clay-like surface and sub- surface soils that can form protective layers above groundwater. In an effort to protect groundwater throughout the area, Deschutes County passed an ordinance in 2008 requiring homeowners to upgrade their septic systems. Voters overturned that ordinance in a special election the next year, spurring Deschutes County to seek DEQ’s assistance in addressing the problem. Soon after, DEQ sought volunteers for a local citizen Steering Committee to recommend affordable solutions to protect area groundwater. DEQ solicited volunteers through a direct mailing that went to more than 10,500 residences in the area. DEQ interviewed two dozen candidates and selected 11 regular members and three alternates. Members met regularly for almost three years, spending considerable time learning and discussing many issues related to septic systems and groundwater contamination. The group studied topics including geology, soils, hydrogeology, toxicology, and septic system technology. They also learned about the political, financial and regulatory entities involved in wastewater management. The committee ultimately considered and approved a list of ten recommendations to address groundwater contamination in the area. They also conducted extensive public outreach to talk directly with the community about the problem and the potential solutions. The recommendations include a range of ideas, strategies and best practices. Among these recommendations is an exception to state planning rules that would allow multi-residence wastewater treatment systems outside of existing urban growth boundaries and sanitary districts, and allow establishment of a sanitary authority. They include establishing a groundwater monitoring program and a moratorium of the current Alternative Treatment Technology (ATT) requirement while some of the recommendations are being pursued. There is also a recommendation to continue offering education and outreach to the community. In June 2013, the committee fulfilled its goal of providing these recommendations to DEQ. Having fulfilled its mission, the committee then voted to disband. South Deschutes/North Klamath Groundwater Protection Project Steering Committee State of Oregon Department of Environmental Quality 2 Committee Background and History The committee began with a question: Does the area have a groundwater contamination problem? In a word, the answer was yes. The area’s shallow, unprotected groundwater and pumice-based sandy soils mean that water soluble substances put on or in the ground will likely end up in the groundwater. While fertilizers, pesticides and livestock manure can contribute contaminants to the groundwater, most groundwater contamination comes from individual onsite septic systems. All types of onsite systems in the region – standard septic, sand filter and ATT systems -- discharge contaminants into the ground. Over time, many of these contaminants drain through the sandy, porous soil and reach the groundwater, which can be as low as two feet below the ground surface in some areas. Compounding the risk is the fact that there are about 14,000 properties in the area with over 75% of the properties in neighborhoods having parcels of 2 acre or less in size. Add in the fact that there is minimal precipitation in the area to dilute contaminants and the problem becomes clear: too many septic systems are discharging to porous soil and over time there will be increasing contamination of the shallow vulnerable aquifers that many people are using as their drinking water supply. Members learned to distinguish between the slower rate of aquifer-wide contamination and the more immediate threat to contaminated wells located in some neighborhoods. The committee also learned a lot about how the pumice soils naturally filters some pathogens, while more water- soluble substances like nitrates, detergents, pharmaceuticals and personal care products were more likely to reach groundwater. The committee also reviewed well test data, confirming that the risk of contamination varied by neighborhood based on a range of factors. Another important realization by the committee was learning that there was very little risk of the contamination reaching the deep wells that serve places like Bend and Sunriver. Although many people – including elected officials and the media – claimed otherwise, analysis showed very little risk of contamination extending beyond the Upper Deschutes River-La Pine Sub Basin. Water quality tests and studies conducted on the regional aquifers indicate that the risk to people outside of this area is actually quite low. In order to obtain more current data, the committee urged DEQ to conduct re-testing on about 51 sites throughout the region. Those results showed slight – though statistically significant – increases in groundwater contamination when compared to testing on the same sites conducted years earlier. However, that increase was not as great as previously predicted. Although the committee was established by DEQ, members recognized that the breadth of the problem would require assistance from a number of other agencies. Whenever possible, the committee relied on personnel and resources from those agencies, including inviting guest speakers to some meetings. Those speakers were useful in helping committee members see the problem from other perspectives. Once the committee members had a comprehensive grasp of the problem and its causes, they considered the options. They could: South Deschutes/North Klamath Groundwater Protection Project Steering Committee State of Oregon Department of Environmental Quality 3 1. Do nothing and maintain the status quo 2. Protect public health by treating the drinking water supply 3. Promote more monitoring and site-specific testing 4. Take a phased approach to reduce contamination 5. Promote a “one size fits all” solution and apply it to the entire area A lot of thought and discussion went into the five options listed above. In general, the thought process behind each of the above considerations is as follows: 1. The committee very much wanted to be good stewards of the environment, so doing nothing was not determined to be a viable option. Also, with the requirement to install ATT systems, “doing nothing” meant continuing to require homeowners to spend considerable money on a “solution” that actually resulted in significant contamination for a majority of residents. 2. Members also believed that if the community did not take steps to address the problem now, it would only grow worse in the coming years. Once groundwater contamination becomes widespread, it can be difficult – if not impossible – to get rid of. Addressing the problem relatively early, rather than waiting decades longer, seemed the most prudent action. For all of these reasons, doing nothing to address groundwater contamination was not considered an option for the committee. 3. The committee talked about whether the problem was really related to drinking water, groundwater, or both. While some people believe the problem can best be addressed by ensuring safe drinking water, that approach ignores the environmental damage being caused to the groundwater and to local rivers and streams. Members discussed numerous ways to ensure safe drinking water, including filtrations, requiring public water systems and drilling deeper individual wells. But each of these solutions was insufficient in treating the larger issues, and they presented a whole new set of technical challenges not dissimilar from dealing with wastewater itself. Ultimately, the committee felt that treating drinking water might solve some of the human health impacts, though it would do nothing to address the larger environmental problems of groundwater contamination. 4. Throughout the nearly three years that the committee met, the importance of monitoring became more and more evident. Members talked about how any potential solution should include widespread monitoring of groundwater and well testing. Monitoring was seen to be the only reliable way to gauge the seriousness of the problem, and the more data that is available the easier it is to start working toward site/neighborhood-specific solutions to the problem. Additionally, a good monitoring program would be useful in determining effectiveness of the protective solutions. 5. When the committee looked at neighborhoods throughout the region, it became clear that some areas would need different approaches and solutions. Members spent a lot of time considering different risk criteria, including housing density, depth of the first groundwater, depth of drinking water wells, local subsurface geology and the relative age of septic systems. Also, in some areas, different solutions might need to be phased in over a longer period of time. With all of these variables taken together, members realized they may need to take a phased, long-term approach to the problem. South Deschutes/North Klamath Groundwater Protection Project Steering Committee State of Oregon Department of Environmental Quality 4 6. The one-size-fits-all solution was rejected by both the voters and committee members. As the committee learned more about the situation it became clear that the ATT one-size- fits-all solution would not have adequately protected the groundwater in some areas while requiring expensive alternative solution that were unnecessary in other areas. Because of the unique characteristics of affected neighborhoods, the inflexibility of a one size fits all solution would be extremely costly while not adequately protecting the groundwater. After significant discussion, the committee decided to focus their time and attention on options three and four. So, with those aims in mind, the committee met with many experts in a variety of related fields. They spoke with science and research-based experts, including a hydrologist, soil engineer, chemist, and toxicologist. They learned directly from industry experts about the various types of septic treatment systems available. The committee also learned quite a bit about sanitation authorities, special districts and state laws pertaining to the extension of sewer lines outside of urban growth boundaries and existing districts. Members also discussed low interest loans, grants and other financing options. The committee met nearly 50 times, including 33 regular meetings, eight work sessions and five community outreach meetings. The committee also visited the Sunriver Resort and Eagle Crest Resort Wastewater Treatment Plants and staffed an information booth at the 2012 La Pine Frontier Days 4th of July Celebration. A list of people who presented information to the committee is included in the appendix. People can also access audio files of every meeting and find other reference materials at http://www.southdeschutesnorthklamathgroundwater.com/documents. More project information is also available at http://www.deq.state.or.us/wq/onsite/sdesch-nklam.htm. After nearly three years of discussing nearly every facet of the problem and debating potential solutions, the group turned their focus to the recommendations. The committee finalized those recommendations in June 2013. South Deschutes/North Klamath Groundwater Protection Project Steering Committee State of Oregon Department of Environmental Quality 5 Recommendations Goal 11 Exception (Unanimously Approved 1/9/13) • Provide a Goal 11 exception for the at-risk areas in South Deschutes and North Klamath counties for the following reasons: o Lots were platted prior to statewide goals requiring 10 acre rural lots (in Deschutes County. South Deschutes County currently of 10271 non-sewer lots:  6174 (60%) are 1 acre or less  8737 (85%) are 2 acres or less o North Klamath County currently of 4181 lots  2177 (52%) are 1 acre or less  3140 (75%) are 2 acre or less o Provide better treatment opportunities than individual on site systems for the protection of groundwater, both in reducing nitrates and better treatment of other contaminants • This exception will allow the extension of sewers into the area • This exception will allow groups of citizens to implement public sewage treatment systems, such as cluster systems. These decentralized cluster systems would not require huge infrastructure expense • These centralized systems will allow better treatment of contaminants beyond nitrates and better treatment than ATT onsite systems. • This Goal 11 exception would not mandate a system be installed. Groundwater Monitoring (Unanimously Approved 3/5/13) • Request that DEQ design a testing program to determine whether there is a groundwater contamination problem, and if so, where it might be located. o Tests first water o Start with highest risk sections (neighborhoods) identified by (existing well test data, density, well depth). See MonitorCriteria.xlsx for simple ranking. o Uses representative samples of the neighborhoods o Do 10% – 20% of neighborhoods each year • If sample results from the first water test warrant it, increase the number of wells tested to possibly include additional first water wells and drinking water wells in the neighborhood. Alternatively, provide an on-demand targeted testing approach that tests source, receptor, and transport. • What should be tested for? o Nitrates cheap test – 10 minute sample for nitrate testing only. Flush take sample. o Retest wells with highest nitrate detection levels for other contaminants (such as pharmaceuticals…) • Monitoring managed by a sanitation authority with DEQ doing the monitoring until a sanitation authority is established. • Use this monitoring program in addition to the real estate transaction data • The DEQ should pursue all sustainable funding opportunities to support groundwater monitoring in the area. South Deschutes/North Klamath Groundwater Protection Project Steering Committee State of Oregon Department of Environmental Quality 6 Governance (Unanimously Approved 4/2/13) Form a Sanitation Authority to protect the groundwater in the affected area spanning South Deschutes and North Klamath counties. • The Authority will manage groundwater monitoring. • The Authority will help with neighborhood implementation of community waste water systems (allowed under the Goal 11 exception). • The Authority can assist in establishing Local Improvement District (LID), a special district or similar entity to finance community waste water systems for areas within the Authority where they are necessary. • Authority will explore financing options that may include: grants, loans and taxes • Provide required maintenance and management for community waste water systems within the Authority • Ensure individual systems are maintained (pumped and serviced as necessary) • Manage the overall basin nitrate load and risk to groundwater • Monitor performance based standards for alternative solutions (see green solutions) Livestock (Unanimously Approved 1/9/13) • In Deschutes County (Klamath has an ordinance) institute an ordinance that limits the number of livestock per acre to reduce risk to groundwater contamination. For instance Klamath ordinance is: R2 zone allows two large animals (horse, etc.) and 24 small animals (chickens, etc. not dogs or cats) PER ACRE. • Provide education about how best to manage livestock to reduce risk to groundwater o How to treat waste o How to dispose of deceased livestock Point Sources (Unanimously Approved 1/9/13) • Point Sources (nurseries, golf courses) o Investigate establishing a permitting/groundwater monitoring program for all golf courses, nurseries and other point sources • Commercial RV and Manufactured/mobile Home Parks. o Require equivalent treatment as residential (ensure equal regulations and treatment for residence and commercial). o Require a Water Pollution Control Facilities Permit for new and existing properties. ATT Moratorium (Approved 7-1 on 6/4/13) • The moratorium will have an end date with specific community actions to include a Goal 11 exception, a monitoring program and a governance entity or substantial progress toward its creation must have been made. Five years seems reasonable. An extension might be necessary, based on progress made toward the above goals. • When the Governance Entity is created, it will work with DEQ and the counties to determine what happens at the moratorium end date. South Deschutes/North Klamath Groundwater Protection Project Steering Committee State of Oregon Department of Environmental Quality 7 • During the moratorium, property owners that have to do a major repair have the option of installing an ATT or repairing or replacing existing systems without an upgrade. This is done with the understanding that if progress is not made toward program goals (listed above in paragraph 1), they will have to upgrade. The moratorium would extend to undeveloped lots that already have existing systems in place. • The moratorium would apply to new development. Disadvantaged Community Financing Solutions (Approved 7 - 1 on 6/4/13) • DEQ shall research how other states have established financial aid for sewage treatment solutions and propose an approach to use in Oregon. Outreach and Community Education (Unanimously Approved 6/4/13) • With the delivery of these recommendations the Citizen Advisory Committee has completed our charter and will disband • Prior to disbanding initial outreach materials will be developed • To ensure ongoing community involvement with groundwater protection an outreach committee should be formed that will o Identify and outreach opportunities o Coordinate outreach delivery. Members from the current committee may be called on to participate in or lead the outreach events o Maintain and improve outreach materials • This committee should be made up of people with marketing/outreach interest and experience, and should be a small team of no more than 5 people with support from DEQ and the counties. • This committee should have access to enough funding to make outreach successful Alternative “Green” Solutions (Unanimously Approved 6/4/13) Disposing of human waste is a worldwide problem. There are many innovating approaches being developed. People in the affected areas must be able to use new approaches to treat human effluent. In order to use current and future new technologies the DEQ must develop performance standards for treatment and any system that provides the necessary performance level should be acceptable if effective safeguards are in place to ensure the new systems are properly used and maintained. With the advent of Oregon grey water permitting a composting toilet solution should be acceptable. To ensure the toilets are used effectively: • Inspection of composting systems could be added to or included in current grey water permit language; an additional fee for that inspection of the composting component might need to be considered. • Language and parameters for disposal of the composted material is already established. • The cost of permits for composting toilets should remain affordable. South Deschutes/North Klamath Groundwater Protection Project Steering Committee State of Oregon Department of Environmental Quality 8 Arguments Goal 11 Exception: Argument in Favor All onsite systems discharge contaminants including nitrates. Chart 6.2 below shows the nitrate discharge from various systems tested during the La Pine National Demonstration Project. The discharge and water soluble substances are pulled down by gravity until they meet the groundwater. Area precipitation also joins the groundwater. Because we have a low amount of precipitation in the area the effluent discharge doesn’t get diluted like it does in wetter areas. As neighborhood lot sizes decrease the concentrations of discharge in the groundwater increases geometrically. Effect of Parcel Size on Effluent Concentrations in Groundwater – the chart on the right shows that ½ acre lot neighborhoods (point A) will reach an equilibrium point where over 50% of the groundwater comes from onsite septic systems. The type of system installed doesn’t affect this ratio, though it may reduce certain pollutants in the groundwater. Because many lots in the South Deschutes/North Klamath area were platted before Oregon’s land use rules were in place the number of small lots in the area resemble a more urban configuration. The breakdown of lot sizes for each county in the area are: South Deschutes/North Klamath Groundwater Protection Project Steering Committee State of Oregon Department of Environmental Quality 9 South Deschutes County currently of 10271 non-sewer lots: • 6174 (60%) are 1 acre or less • 8737 (85%) are 2 acres or less North Klamath County currently of 4181 lots • 2177 (52%) are 1 acre or less • 3140 (75%) are 2 acre or less Based on these lot sizes 85% of Deschutes and 75% of Klamath county properties in the area are at risk of having groundwater that is comprised of at least 25% of partially treated sewage. In addition there are a number of sewer systems in the area and some required a Goal 11 exception. These exceptions clearly indicate the onsite systems are not adequate in densely populated neighborhoods. Clearly onsite systems are not an adequate approach to protect the groundwater and therefore we need a broadly defined Goal 11 exception for the area so protection of groundwater and drinking water is adequate. Committee Member Comment on the Goal 11 Exception (John Blakinger): I think one of the key successes the committee had was bringing Department of Land Conservation and Development (DLCD), DEQ and Deschutes and Klamath counties together about the Goal 11 exception. We've come a long way toward a Goal 11 exception. Groundwater Monitoring: Argument in Favor Having reliable data about groundwater contamination in the area is essential to deciding when and where additional treatment approaches must be installed. The committee urged DEQ to conduct re-testing on about 51 sites throughout the region. Those results showed slight – though statistically significant – increases in groundwater contamination when compared to testing on the same sites conducted years earlier. However, that increase was not as great as previously predicted. The real-estate transaction well test data may be a useful indicator of where a problem may be. One limitation of real estate transaction test data is that it is not designed to provide contamination levels of first water, which the committee wanted to protect. Instead of sampling first water, it sampled wells of various depths. To get a more accurate picture of groundwater contamination in the area, a monitoring program must be implemented. Such a program would also support a phased approach chosen by the committee, and could help dictate where more or less treatment is needed. Governance Entity: Argument in Favor A governance entity will manage and analyze the groundwater monitoring data. It would also help implement community wastewater treatment solutions. The entity could oversee maintenance of all systems and provide cost savings through economies of scale. When it is determined an area must implement a special treatment solution the Governance entity could help with bridge financing. South Deschutes/North Klamath Groundwater Protection Project Steering Committee State of Oregon Department of Environmental Quality 10 The entity will have access to funding through long-term loans, grants and taxes. By pooling our money together we’ll be able to assist those who have financial limitations, and spread the cost of treatment solutions over time. Financing examples: • Loan: For example, if a solution that costs $15,000 per property where financed through a 2% 30 year loan, the payment for each property (not including operational costs) would be $55.44 per month. • Taxes: if a $0.50 per $1000 of assessed value ($50/year for a$100,000 property) were instituted it would bring in about $600,000 per year for the area. The governance entity will be managed by an elected board of residents so it will be under community control. Committee Member Comment on Governance (David Crider): The public will have to decide if they want another governance entity governing our septic issues. The public may want to address septic issues by neighborhood and or subdivisions without the governance entity and the taxes that go with it. The solution is to start now working on a phase solution to groundwater protection and carry it forward. ATT Moratorium: Argument in Favor What value does de-nitrification offer? 1. In some USGS reports nitrates are referred to as a tracer or indicator of septic effluent. Why would we want to reduce the indicator? Won't that give people a false sense of security when nitrate levels in drinking water is 2 mg/l instead of 5 mg/l - even though the percentage of well water coming from septic is unchanged (at 10 %)? 2. The health impact of nitrates is controversial. The blue baby syndrome concern that triggered the EPA nitrate standard set in 1951 has been widely discredited. There are some medical journal articles that suggest a health risk link, but the evidence is mixed. See appendix for links to nitrate health impact studies. 3. The impact to rivers in the area from high nitrates is questionable. Quoting from report, Scientific Investigations Report 2007–5239. “Contributions of toxic ground water, and therefore, potential contributions of NO3 - to rivers in the study area probably are limited primarily to areas where rivers bend toward the outside of the riparian environment. Thus, contributions of NO3 - to rivers likely are restricted to relatively small areas of river reaches. However, the potential effects of such N loads to rivers might not be negligible because rivers can be highly sensitive to changes in nutrient fluxes (nutrient over-enrichment represents the single greatest source of impairment to rivers in the United States; U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 1998).” In dense neighborhoods ATT systems will not protect the groundwater even from nitrates (see Goal 11 argument above), therefore the ATT systems should not be installed in dense neighborhoods (less than 2 acre lots). South Deschutes/North Klamath Groundwater Protection Project Steering Committee State of Oregon Department of Environmental Quality 11 There are limited funds in the area so we should use them to solve the long-term problem. The moratorium would be for 5 years so the long-term solution: Goal 11 Exception, Groundwater Monitoring and Governance Entity can be put in place. A moratorium would have wide support and demonstrate to the community that the government agencies are interested in long-term concerns and solutions. The moratorium will help generate community support for those long-term solutions. Nitrate contamination is not an imminent threat to human health. While there is an increasing trend of contamination, it is progressing slower than predicted, which allows more time to address the problem over the long term. ATT Moratorium: Argument in Favor The original ATT ordinance was an area-wide requirement largely put in place based on predictions of future contamination in the area. In 2011 the committee initiated a retest of some of the wells measured in previous studies. A statistician reviewed the results of the 39 wells that were retested, and based on a t-test determined there is an increasing trend in the measured contaminant - Nitrate-Nitrogen (or Nitrate-N). This trend is below the rate that led to the ordinance. The retest was done about 16 years after the original samples, with an average increase in the contaminant of .17 (median) to .49 (mean) over that period. In addition he reviewed the Real-estate transaction database to determine area-wide trends in contamination levels (based on Nitrate-Nitrogen (or Nitrate-N). Again he determined there was an increasing trend though not at the rate that led to the ordinance. The 10 year increase of the contaminant: Regression analysis .005 - .444 mg/liter, Sen Slope analysis .25 - .405 mg/liter. This analysis demonstrates that the contamination is not increasing at the rate that was predicted before, and therefore we have time to implement an effective, long-term solution. ATT Moratorium: Argument Against (David Crider) Public water systems have a set-back from septic systems. However, in Northern Klamath County along the river and wetlands, four public water systems well fields are being protected by the current ATT system requirement. An ATT moratorium would put those four system’s shallow wells 70 feet deep at risk for unknown contamination! Those public water systems and an unknown number of private wells in the same area provide drinking water to 300 plus households. An ATT Moratorium is not protecting groundwater while someone else is going to try for a long-term solution. Groundwater Monitoring Funding: Argument in Favor Monitoring is important, and it takes money. We believe money dedicated to increasing monitoring is well spent, and DEQ should pursue all options to secure funds for this purpose. South Deschutes/North Klamath Groundwater Protection Project Steering Committee State of Oregon Department of Environmental Quality 12 Livestock Ordinance: Argument in Favor Klamath County limits the number of livestock allowed per acre in an effort to reduce the risk of groundwater contamination. Deschutes County could benefit from a similar ordinance. The county could also provide education to people about how to treat livestock waste and dispose of animal carcasses. Point Source Regulation and Monitoring: Argument in Favor DEQ should consider establishing a monitoring system for such sources as nurseries and golf courses. Both have the potential to contaminate groundwater, mainly through the application of fertilizers. In addition manufactured home and RV parks should also be monitored to ensure safe treatment of human sewage. The agency currently does not monitor such potential sources. A monitoring program could provide more information and lead to regulation in order to protect the groundwater from those sources. Disadvantaged Community Financing Solutions: Argument in Favor Other states have recently approved language that directs state environmental agencies to more closely consider cost before requiring community solutions to environmental problems. As some parts of south Deschutes and north Klamath counties are economically challenged, DEQ should analyze the financial cost to homeowners before taking further action to address groundwater contamination. Some homeowners in the area are living on fixed monthly incomes and may not be able to afford the septic upgrades DEQ will require. This recommendation doesn’t ask DEQ to do anything except look at how other states have approached these types of situations, and then to consider the financial means of the community before requiring solutions, while still protecting the groundwater. Outreach and Community Education: Argument in Favor Community education is about more than these recommendations. It is about spreading better information about stewardship, including how we can make more informed decisions to protect our groundwater. It is also important for people to better understand the shallow groundwater that exists in most of the region. In particular, it is important to understand how susceptible the groundwater it is to contamination, including from things like herbicides. It is crucial that citizens have as much information as possible about groundwater contamination in South Deschutes and North Klamath counties. They need to be made aware of the problem and the various solutions being proposed. The committee made a big effort to educate the community about the issue, and that effort should continue even after the committee itself has disbanded. The issue of groundwater contamination is not going away any time soon, and the more people know about it the more likely it is that they will be committed to finding solutions. South Deschutes/North Klamath Groundwater Protection Project Steering Committee State of Oregon Department of Environmental Quality 13 Green Solutions: Argument in Favor Simple doesn’t mean less effective. The use of composting toilets and greywater treatment can be an effective solution, and consideration for their use should not be so readily dismissed. With the area of concern so broad this decentralized use should be embraced as it has been in Scandinavian countries since the 70’s. A huge reduction in water in composting toilets as compared to conventional flush toilets would be a benefit. Pharmaceuticals, including amoxicillin for example, are reduced in the composting process (see http://www2.gtz.de/Dokumente/oe44/ecosan/en-degradation-of-amoxicillin-in-composting-toilet- 2006.pdf). Nitrate loading of streams and rivers that result in low oxygen issues would be negligible with the use of composting toilets. Nitrate reduction is accomplished to a greater degree than the currently mandated ATT’s. Where an ATT has issues on property used only as a vacation home, composting toilets do not have this problem; they continue to work when not in use. A greywater septic system with a smaller requirement for its leach field is a viable solution for smaller lots in some of the area of concern. South Deschutes/North Klamath Groundwater Protection Project Steering Committee State of Oregon Department of Environmental Quality 14 Appendix A Nitrates impact are controversial, may even be healthful http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/18268290 Individual studies that suggest potential health risks: Nitrate can help create carcinogenic N-nitroso compounds in obese men: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22833653 Nitrates plus vitamin pills = higher breast cancer rate: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22642949 Nitrates plus Viagra = hypotension and syncope: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/23140258 Nitrates can cause subclinical hypothyroidism in women: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22339761 Nitrates can cause papillary and follicular thyroid cancer in older men: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20824705 Nitrate is a dietary risk in stomach cancer: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22844547 Gastric cancer: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22757672 Esophageal cancer: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22146401 Colon cancer: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21976196 South Deschutes/North Klamath Groundwater Protection Project Steering Committee State of Oregon Department of Environmental Quality 15 Appendix B Meeting Dates/Times Steering Committee Work Session 6 p.m., June 19, 2013 Steering Committee Meeting 6 p.m., June 4, 2013 Steering Committee Meeting 6 p.m., May 7, 2013 Steering Committee Community Outreach 6:30 p.m., April 22, 2013 Steering Committee Meeting 6 p.m., April 2, 2013 Steering Committee Community Outreach 6:30 p.m., March 20, 2013 Steering Committee Meeting 6 p.m., March 5, 2013 Steering Committee Work Session 6 p.m., February 28, 2013 Steering Committee Meeting 6 p.m., February 5, 2013 Steering Committee Community Outreach 6 p.m., January 24, 2013 Steering Committee Meeting 6 p.m., January 9, 2013 Steering Committee Work Session 6 p.m., December 13, 2012 Steering Committee Meeting 6 p.m., December 4, 2012 Steering Committee Work Session 6 p.m., November 14, 2012 Steering Committee Meeting 6 p.m., November 6, 2012 South Deschutes/North Klamath Groundwater Protection Project Steering Committee State of Oregon Department of Environmental Quality 16 Steering Committee Community Outreach 6:30 p.m., October 25, 2012 Steering Committee Meeting 6 p.m., October 2, 2012 Steering Committee Community Outreach 6 p.m., September 13, 2012 Steering Committee Meeting 6 p.m., September Sept. 4, 2012 Steering Committee Work Session 2 p.m., August 30, 2012 Steering Committee Work Session 6 p.m., August 21, 2012 Steering Committee Work Session 2 p.m., August 15, 2012 Steering Committee Meeting 6 p.m., August 7, 2012 Steering Committee Meeting 6 p.m., July 11, 2012 Steering Committee Meeting 6 p.m., June 5, 2012 Steering Committee Meeting 6 p.m., May 1, 2012 Steering Committee Meeting 6 p.m., April 3, 2012 Steering Committee Meeting 6 p.m., March 6, 2012 Steering Committee Meeting 6 p.m., February 7, 2012 Steering Committee Meeting 6 p.m., January 9, 2012 Steering Committee Meeting 6 p.m., December 6, 2011 Steering Committee Meeting 6 p.m., November 1, 2011 South Deschutes/North Klamath Groundwater Protection Project Steering Committee State of Oregon Department of Environmental Quality 17 Steering Committee Meeting 6 p.m., October 4, 2011 Steering Committee Meeting 6 p.m., September 13, 2011 Steering Committee Meeting 6 p.m., August 2, 2011 Steering Committee Meeting 6 p.m., July 14, 2011 Steering Committee Meeting 6 p.m., June 15, 2011 Steering Committee Meeting 6 p.m., May 3, 2011 Steering Committee Meeting 6 p.m., April 5, 2011 Steering Committee Meeting 6 p.m., March 1, 2011 Steering Committee Meeting 6 p.m., February 1, 2011 Steering Committee Meeting 6 p.m., January 4, 2011 Steering Committee Meeting 6 p.m., December 7, 2010 Steering Committee Meeting 6 p.m., November 9, 2010 Steering Committee Meeting 6 p.m., September 9, 2010 South Deschutes/North Klamath Groundwater Protection Project Steering Committee State of Oregon Department of Environmental Quality 18 Steering committee Co-Chair John Blakinger engages the public at a community outreach session at Thousand Trails Community Club near Sun River on March 20, 2013 South Deschutes/North Klamath Groundwater Protection Project Steering Committee State of Oregon Department of Environmental Quality 19 Appendix C List of Presenters 02-01-11 - Eric Moeggenberg, Oregon Dept. of Ag, Impacts of Livestock to Groundwater 03-01-11 - Rich Hill, DEQ Groundwater Hydrogeologist, La Pine Area Municipal Land Application 05-03-11 - Steve Hinkle, USGS - review of USGS Studies of the La Pine Area 06-15-11 - Jason Churchill, Orenco Systems, Nitrate & Statistics 09-13-11 - Brenda Hoppe, Oregon Health Authority, Nitrate & Private Well Water Safety 12-06-11 - Dan Harschbarger, N. Klamath Co. resident, Herbicide-picloram spray event 01-09-12 - Brent Nicholas, Oregon Dept. of Ag, Herbicide-picloram spray event 02-07-12 - Dale Mitchell, Oregon Dept. of Ag, PARC, Herbicide-picloram spray event 03-06-12 - Steve Wert, Individual & Cluster Onsite Wastewater System Technologies 03-06-12 - John Huddle, Statistics 05-15-12 – Laurie Craighead, Deschutes County District Attorneys Office, Sanitary Authorities and Districts 06-21-12 - Ken Jones, Attorney, Specializing In Special Districts in Oregon 07-11-12 - Jon Jinings, Dept. of Land Conservation & Development, Goal 11 Exception Criteria 08-07-12 - Ron Doughten, DEQ Graywater Reuse Coordinator, Graywater Reuse Requirements 11-06-12 - Morgan Brown, Whole Water Systems, Green Solutions to Wastewater Reuse 02-28-13 - Bill Cagle, Orenco Systems, Cluster Onsite Systems Technology, Design, Costs 02-28-13 - Melora Golden, Mathew Lippincott, Molly Danielsson, Oregon ReCode, Green Methods of Wastewater Disposal South Deschutes/North Klamath Groundwater Protection Project Steering Committee State of Oregon Department of Environmental Quality 20 Appendix D Southern Deschutes County and Northern Klamath County Groundwater Protection Project Steering Committee Charter The Oregon Department of Environmental Quality DEQ has the responsibility and authority for protecting all waters in the state, including groundwater. Through public awareness, outreach and establishment of committees DEQ seeks input and recommendations in these efforts. For any collaborative process to operate smoothly, it is necessary for those involved to agree at the outset on the purpose for the process and on the procedures by which the group will govern its discussions, deliberations, and decision-making. The members of the S. Deschutes/N. Klamath Groundwater Protection Project Steering Committee agree to operate under this Charter. I. Purpose The purpose of the committee is to provide recommendations to the DEQ on how to best protect the groundwater and prevent groundwater contamination of surface waters in the area of South Deschutes and North Klamath Counties. These recommendations may impact areas beyond the boundaries of the USGS study described below. The committee will be an advisory level forum for collaborative efforts related to development of a groundwater contamination reduction and protection plan. The participants are voluntarily working together to achieve a mutually acceptable outcome that satisfies, to the greatest degree possible, the interests of all citizens in the groundwater protection area. The committee will be responsible for all decisions and actions that are publicly identified as the committee’s. II. Background In some areas of Oregon, groundwater contamination comes from a combination of agricultural chemicals, animal waste and individual septic systems. Based on studies, the aquifers beneath the developed residential areas in both south Deschutes and north Klamath Counties are showing an increasing trend of nitrate contamination. The major source of contamination is from onsite septic systems. In 1999 a groundwater work group, jointly formed by DEQ and Deschutes County, recommended taking action and creating an area-wide rule to address groundwater contamination concerns in the southern portion of the county. As a result of those recommendations as well as assistance from local, state and federal agencies and support from political leaders at all levels, DEQ and Deschutes County received federal funding from the United States Environmental Protection Agency EPA for the La Pine National Decentralized Wastewater Treatment Demonstration Project and a USGS groundwater study and modeling project. Extensive field research and study shows that within the defined study area, the underlying groundwater of south Deschutes and north Klamath Counties is threatened by continued use and South Deschutes/North Klamath Groundwater Protection Project Steering Committee State of Oregon Department of Environmental Quality 21 placement of traditional onsite wastewater treatment systems (traditional meaning - standard, pressure distribution and sand filter systems). The United States Geological Service USGS conducted a hydrological study that included portions of Deschutes and Klamath Counties within Townships, 19, 20, 21, 22, and 23, and Ranges 9, 10, and 11, see figure 1 on page 3. The primary objective of the study was to develop a thorough understanding of the hydrologic and chemical processes that affect the movement and fate of nitrogen within the shallow aquifers of the study area. A secondary objective was to provide a method for analyzing the effects of existing and future development on water quality. Discharge from onsite wastewater (septic) systems is considered a primary and significant source of anthropogenic nitrogen pollution to shallow groundwater in the study area. The demonstration project showed that some new types of individual onsite wastewater systems that were specifically designed to enhance nitrate removal through de-nitrification can better protect groundwater. In addition, the possible extension of existing community sewer systems and the use of cluster onsite wastewater systems with the same proven de-nitrification capabilities are options to consider in protecting the shallow groundwater aquifers throughout the area. Some area aquifers have no natural protective barriers to the ground surface, are very vulnerable to contamination from surface activities, are interconnected, and have surface water (river) influences. Generally water tables in the area are shallow, typically is less than 20 ft below land surface, and in some low-lying areas rises seasonally to within 2 ft of land surface. Sandy soils derived from pumice contain little organic matter and allow rapid infiltration of onsite wastewater effluent.1 Groundwater in the shallow aquifer is becoming contaminated with nitrates and if left unchecked, will eventually reach unsafe levels. The EPA has set a maximum contaminant level for nitrate in drinking water to be 10 mg/l. An increasing trend of nitrate contamination can often indicate that other forms of domestic wastewater contaminants may be entering the groundwater. To protect the quality of drinking water in the local aquifers, Deschutes County Commissioners passed an ordinance in 2008 to require eventual upgrades on all septic systems. County voters overturned the ordinance in a special election in March 2009. As result, in July 2009 Deschutes County Commissioners asked DEQ to take the lead in the efforts to resolve the issue. DEQ hosted town hall meetings in February and May 2010 with citizens and agreed to assemble a steering committee of citizens representing the South Deschutes and North Klamath affected areas to meet with and provide recommendations to DEQ. 1 U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY Scientific Investigations Report 2007–5237, http://pubs.usgs.gov/sir/2007/5237/section2.html South Deschutes/North Klamath Groundwater Protection Project Steering Committee State of Oregon Department of Environmental Quality 22 Figure 1. Location of study area and extent of the nitrate fate and transport model. III. Committee Charge DEQ and the committee will assess information needs and agree on a process to move forward. 1. DEQ and the committee will focus on the following: a. How to keep all citizens in the affected area informed of the process b. What must we resolve before moving forward c. What new information do we need to move forward d. What options/solutions need to be considered e. Other areas as defined South Deschutes/North Klamath Groundwater Protection Project Steering Committee State of Oregon Department of Environmental Quality 23 DEQ and the committee can form subgroups and designate subgroup members as needed. At the direction of DEQ and the committee, subgroup members may develop draft products such as research briefs, planning documents and other items and make recommendations to DEQ and the committee. Subgroups will not make decisions on behalf of DEQ and the committee. Scientific and technical input will be provided on an “as-needed” basis by DEQ staff, committee members, staff from other identified local, state, and federal agencies, consultants or other designated entities or experts as agreed upon by DEQ and the committee. To the extent DEQ or a committee member is relying on the expertise of scientific or technical staff, those scientific or technical staff must be made available for discussion with other members of the committee if requested or needed. These technical advisers will not make decisions on behalf of DEQ and the committee. Alternate committee members (see Section X – Committee Membership) are invited to participate in discussions and all related matters. Alternates offer input but may not vote or concur on procedural or substantive decisions unless they are taking the place of an absent member. Alternate members must abide by the operating principles within this document. When a member is absent an attending alternate will be a fully voting member of the committee. The chair will select the alternate in a rotation. 2. The committee will produce a draft report that summarizes research, key discussions and recommendations. DEQ staff will draft the report in collaboration with the committee chair and the committee members will review it for completeness. Once finalized all members will be asked to sign the report. IV. Decision Making Process The committee will operate collaboratively. The committee will strive to reach the consent of all members, and may require voting to determine the positions of members. If the committee cannot agree within a reasonable amount of time, the final report will note the different perspectives on the issue or issues. DEQ is the final decision-maker in the process. V. Public Involvement All meetings will be open to the public. For the committee to function without interruption, public comments will be taken during specified times as noted on each meeting agenda. Additionally, citizens who wish to discuss proposals are encouraged to communicate directly with committee members or DEQ project staff. VI. Committee Meeting Schedule, Work Plan and Guidelines 1. Committee Meeting At least seven members must be present to make decisions. Committee meetings will likely be evening meetings (6:00 pm to 9:00 pm) to assist with public outreach and involvement. Half-day meetings (9:00 am - noon or 1:30pm - 4:30pm) or an occasional all-day meeting (9:00 am-4:00 pm with a 1-hour lunch) may be necessary. All meetings will be held in the La Pine area unless an alternate location is identified by the committee. The duration of the committee is one year, but may be extended as necessary. Routine monthly meetings are currently scheduled for the first Tuesday of every month from Dec. 2010 to June 2011 at the Midstate Community Meeting Room located at 16755 Finley South Deschutes/North Klamath Groundwater Protection Project Steering Committee State of Oregon Department of Environmental Quality 24 Butte Road in La Pine. The meeting dates are December 7, January 4, February 1, March 1, April 5, and June 7. The meetings will be held in the evening with members arriving at 5:45 PM, the meeting starting at 6 PM and ending at 9 PM. Changes to the meeting schedule or location may occur as necessary. 2. Process Overview a. Meeting Materials: DEQ staff will prepare and make materials available to committee members through a web posting or mailing at least one week prior to each meeting. The committee chairperson will collaborate with DEQ staff on agenda development. b. Meeting Summaries: DEQ staff will prepare and post committee meeting notes and the audio recording on the DEQ website. Minutes will summarize significant issues raised during the discussion and committee recommendations. c. Public Records and Confidentiality: Committee records, such as formal documents, discussion drafts, meeting summaries, and exhibits are public records and will be posted with the committee record on DEQ’s website. All committee communications are public record and will be disclosed if requested. d. Process Conclusion: The committee will submit a report and recommendations to DEQ. The report will include sections for individual views if agreement was not reached on a topic. 3. Ground Rules All committee members commit to each of the following: a. Comply with Oregon ethics laws. b. Attend each meeting to ensure continuity throughout the process. If a committee member is absent for two consecutive meetings, he or she may be replaced by an alternate member. c. Review proposed or draft documents and reports in a timely manner (by a date agreed upon by the committee). d. Treat everyone and their opinions with respect. e. Engage in good faith discussions. f. Act in good faith in all aspects of the collaborative effort. g. Refrain from personal attacks or prejudiced statements against other committee members. h. Express consistent views and opinions in the committee and in other forums. i. Allow one person to speak at a time. j. Comment constructively and specifically on issues. k. Consult regularly with constituencies and provide their input. l. Stay focused on the specific charge as outlined in this charter. m. Will not represent one’s personal or organization’s views as views of the committee. n. Will not represent or misrepresent the views of any other member, group, or the committee as a whole. South Deschutes/North Klamath Groundwater Protection Project Steering Committee State of Oregon Department of Environmental Quality 25 4. Information Exchange Committee members will provide information as much in advance as possible of the meeting. The members will also share all relevant information with each other to the maximum extent possible. If a member believes the relevant information is proprietary in nature, the member will provide a general description of the information and the reason for not providing it. VII. Communications and Media Coverage: Eric Nigg, DEQ’s Eastern Region water quality manager, or Robert Baggett, the steering committee’s assigned DEQ staff, will respond to media inquiries associated with the organization, structure, process, and charge of the committee. The chair or appointee of the committee will represent and speak for the committee to the media. While free to communicate with the media and others, committee members recognize that the collaborative process is enhanced when they raise ideas and concerns at a formal committee meeting. Additionally, members recognize that the way in which positions are publicly represented may affect the ability of the committee to work together. VIII. Process Support DEQ is responsible for providing staff support to the committee by providing background and technical information about the technologies available to protect groundwater, public health and the environment. DEQ will consult with other agencies and stakeholders, as needed, to support the committee. Some agencies and stakeholders may be asked to provide or present information to the committee. IX. Committee Membership The committee will be comprised of 11 primary members and some alternate members. Alternate members attend meetings and are ready to step in if a primary member is absent or leaves the committee. Alternates will take turns filling in for absent committee members. If a primary member leaves the committee, the remaining primary members will select a replacement from the alternative members. If a tie vote occurs DEQ will make the final selection. Any member may withdraw from the committee at any time after discussing the withdrawal with the DEQ project staff and committee chair. Any member that withdraws from the committee shall remain bound by the good faith and other provisions of these operating principles. Present and future committee members will be appointed by DEQ Deputy Director Joni Hammond. The initial appointment of committee members is for one year. Towards the end of the year, with consultation of the committee, DEQ will consider extending member appointments, rotating alternate members into the committee, and/or seeking some new applicants for the committee. The committee will be chaired by John Blakinger, and co-chaired by Robert Ray as approved by the DEQ Deputy Director Joni Hammond. South Deschutes/North Klamath Groundwater Protection Project Steering Committee State of Oregon Department of Environmental Quality 26 The chair will be responsible for: • Facilitating meetings; • Working with DEQ staff to set the agenda • Keeping members focused on the issues and objectives; • Ensuring that all members adhere to the process and ground rules; • Representing the committee to the media. Primary committee members: John Blakinger; David Crider; Judy Forsythe; Bill Gaetano; Aileen Harmon; Gary Mose; Marietta Qual; Robert Ray; Conrad Ruel; Leon Shields; Lee Wilkins Alternate committee members: Allen Hammermann; Ray McKinley; Sunni Rounds Agency-technical advisors: TBA DEQ project staff: Linda Hayes-Gorman, Eastern Region Administrator, (541) 633-2018 Eric Nigg, Eastern Region Water Quality Program Manager, (541) 633-2035 Robert Baggett, Natural Resource Specialist 4 and SD/NK GWPP Coordinator (541) 633-2036 Greg Svelund, Eastern Region Communication and Outreach Rep. (541) 633-2008 By my signature I agree to the conditions stated within this charter and any future amendments agreed to by the committee and DEQ. John Blakinger, David Crider, Judy Forsythe, Bill Gaetano, Aileen Harmon, Gary Mose, Marietta Qual, Robert Ray, Conrad Ruel, Leon Shields, Lee Wilkins, Allen Hammermann, Ray McKinley, Sunni Rounds. A member of the public addresses the audience at a community outreach session at Thousand Trails Community Club near Sun River on March 20, 2013 South Deschutes/North Klamath Groundwater Protection Project Steering Committee State of Oregon Department of Environmental Quality 27 Appendix E DEPARTMENT OF ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY SOUTH DESCHUTES COUNTY AND NORTH KLAMATH COUNTY GROUNDWATER PROTECTION PROJECT STEERING COMMITTEE STATEMENT OF ETHICS To serve the public interest with compassion for the welfare of all people in the affected areas, it is our obligation to act with integrity. To that end, we will perform our work without bias. • We shall avoid a conflict of interest or even the appearance of a conflict of interest in our deliberations. • We recognize that poor behavior on the part of any committee member can cloud public opinion of this committee’s work. • We will actively listen to the community concerns and endeavor to deal even- handedly to ensure that recommendations are relevant to solutions of community problems. • We shall have special concern for the long range consequences of this committee’s recommendations and we shall pay special attention to the inter- relatedness of the issues. • We shall not deliberately or with reckless indifference fail to provide adequate, timely, clear and accurate information. South Deschutes/North Klamath Groundwater Protection Project Steering Committee State of Oregon Department of Environmental Quality 28 Appendix F Acknowledgements Thank you to the entities that assisted the steering committee process by allowing use and public access to their facilities: Midstate Electric, Community Meeting Room, 16755 Finley Butte Road, La Pine, OR - 32 Committee Regular Meetings & 5 Committee Work Sessions La Pine Senior Activity Center, 16450 Victory Way, La Pine, OR 97739 - Two Public Hearings & 3 Public Information Meetings Crescent Community Club Building, Crescent Cut-Off Road, Crescent, OR - A Community Outreach Meeting Deschutes River Recreation Homesites (DRRH) Clubhouse, 17200 Milky Way - A Community Outreach Meeting Living Water of La Pine Church, 52410 Primrose Lane, La Pine, OR - A Community Outreach Meeting Thousand Trails Clubhouse, 17480 S. Century Drive, Bend, OR 97707 - A Community Outreach Meeting High Lakes Christian Church, 52620 Day Rd., La Pine, OR 97739 - A Community Outreach Meeting Special Thanks To: All Final Steering Committee Members: John Blakinger, Co-Chair, Robert Ray, Co-Chair, David Crider, Bill Gaetano, Allen Hammerman, Lola Nelson, Marrietta Qual, Conrad Ruel, Lee Wilkins, Other Steering Committee Members: Judy Forsythe, Aileen Harmon, Ray McKinely, Gary Mose, Leon Shields Shelley Miesen, Executive Assistant, Midstate Electric Cooperative Tim Berg, GIS Specialist, Deschutes County Community Development Bill Scally and Ed Criss, KITC FM 106.5 The Newberry Eagle, Central Oregon Nickel Ads and The FrontierAdvertiser Evaluation of Approaches for Managing Nitrate Loading from On-Site Wastewater Systems near La Pine, Oregon Scientific Investigations Report 2007–5237 Prepared in cooperation with the Oregon Department of Environmental Quality and Deschutes County U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Cover: Photograph of Little Deschutes River near La Pine, Oregon. (Photograph taken by David Morgan, U.S. Geological Survey, 2000.) Evaluation of Approaches for Managing Nitrate Loading from On-Site Wastewater Systems near La Pine, Oregon By David S. Morgan, Stephen R. Hinkle, U.S. Geological Survey, and Rodney J. Weick, Oregon Department of Environmental Quality Prepared in cooperation with the Oregon Department of Environmental Quality and Deschutes County Scientific Investigations Report 2007–5237 U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey U.S. Department of the Interior DIRK KEMPTHORNE, Secretary U.S. Geological Survey Mark D. Myers, Director U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, Virginia: 2007 For product and ordering information:World Wide Web: http://www.usgs.gov/pubprod Telephone: 1-888-ASK-USGS For more information on the USGS—the Federal source for science about the Earth, its natural and living resources, natural hazards, and the environment: World Wide Web: http://www.usgs.govTelephone: 1-888-ASK-USGS Any use of trade, product, or firm names is for descriptive purposes only and does not imply endorsement by the U.S. Government. Although this report is in the public domain, permission must be secured from the individual copyright owners to reproduce any copyrighted materials contained within this report. Suggested citation: Morgan, D.S., Hinkle, S.R., and Weick, R.J., 2007, Evaluation of approaches for managing nitrate loading from on-site wastewater systems near La Pine, Oregon: U.S. Geological Survey Scientific Investigations Report 2007-5237, 66 p. iii Contents Abstract ...........................................................................................................................................................1 Introduction.....................................................................................................................................................2 Purpose and Scope ..............................................................................................................................4 Description of Study Area ...................................................................................................................4 Conceptual Model of Ground-Water System ............................................................................................5 Geologic Setting ....................................................................................................................................5 Three-Dimensional Hydrogeologic Model .......................................................................................7 Subsurface Geologic Data .........................................................................................................7 Lithologic Unit Sections and Fluvial Sediment Mapping .......................................................7 Transition Probability Geostatistical Modeling .......................................................................8 Hydraulic Conductivity ................................................................................................................9 Ground-Water Recharge ...................................................................................................................12 Ground-Water Flow ............................................................................................................................14 Ground-Water Discharge ..................................................................................................................15 Streams and Springs .................................................................................................................15 Evapotranspiration ....................................................................................................................19 Wells .........................................................................................................................................19 Nitrogen Fate and Transport .............................................................................................................20 Nitrogen Loading from On-Site Wastewater Systems .................................................................22 Nitrate Fate and Transport Simulation Models .......................................................................................24 Modeling Approach ............................................................................................................................24 Model Parameters ..............................................................................................................................26 Hydraulic Conductivity ..............................................................................................................26 Porosity ........................................................................................................................................26 Dispersion ...................................................................................................................................26 Model Stresses ...................................................................................................................................26 Recharge .....................................................................................................................................27 Rivers .........................................................................................................................................27 Springs .........................................................................................................................................27 Evapotranspiration ....................................................................................................................27 Transect Model ...................................................................................................................................28 Boundaries and Discretization ................................................................................................28 Calibration and Sensitivity ........................................................................................................28 Simulated Travel Time and Comparison with Ground-Water Age .....................................31 Study-Area Model...............................................................................................................................31 Boundaries and Discretization ................................................................................................32 Calibration and Sensitivity ........................................................................................................32 Calibration of Ground-Water Flow .................................................................................32 Comparison of Simulated and Measured Nitrate Concentrations ...........................35 Management Scenario Simulations ................................................................................................36 iv Nitrate Loading Management Model .......................................................................................................43 Formulation of Nitrate Loading Management Model ...................................................................43 Constraints on Ground-Water Nitrate Concentration ..........................................................43 Constraints on Discharge of Nitrate from Ground Water to Streams ...............................45 Constraints on Reduction of Nitrate Loading ........................................................................45 Response-Matrix Technique for Solution of Nitrate Loading Management Model ................46 Application of Model ..........................................................................................................................48 Sensitivity of Optimal Solution to Water-Quality Constraints .............................................49 Ground-Water Nitrate Concentration ............................................................................49 Ground-Water Nitrate Discharge Loading to Streams ...............................................50 Sensitivity of Optimal Solution to Nitrate Loading Constraints ..........................................50 Sensitivity of Optimal Solution to Cost Factors .....................................................................51 Spatial Distribution of Loading for Optimal Solution ............................................................52 Comparison of Scenario Simulations and Optimal Solution ...............................................53 Limitations and Appropriate Use of Models ............................................................................................56 Simulation Models ..............................................................................................................................56 Management Model ...........................................................................................................................57 Summary and Conclusions .........................................................................................................................57 Acknowledgments .......................................................................................................................................59 References Cited..........................................................................................................................................59 Appendix A. Vertical Hydraulic Head Gradient Data from Measurements Made on the Deschutes and Little Deschutes Rivers, in the La Pine, Oregon, Study Area, October 23– November 4, 2000 ..............................................................................63 Contents—Continued Plate Plate 1. Selected cross sections showing lithologic units of the La Pine region, Oregon ……………………………………………………………………[In pocket] v Figures Figure 1. Map showing location of La Pine study area, Oregon, and extent of the nitrate fate and transport model …………………………………………………………3 Figure 2. Map showing generalized geology and hydrogeologic units of the La Pine region, Oregon ……………………………………………………………………6 Figure 3. Cross sections showing three dimensional hydrogeologic model of the La Pine, Oregon, study area …………………………………………………………10 Figure 4. Graphs showing distributions of estimated hydraulic conductivity values from slug tests and well-yield data ……………………………………………………12 Figure 5. Map showing distribution of mean annual recharge, water-table elevation contours (June 2000), and locations of monitoring wells in the La Pine, Oregon, study area ………………………………………………………………13 Figure 6. Hydrographs showing water levels in selected wells in the La Pine, Oregon, study area …………………………………………………………………………14 Figure 7. Map showing gaining and losing reaches of the Deschutes and Little Deschutes Rivers and locations of measurement sites for gain-loss surveys between October 1995 and October 2000 in the La Pine, Oregon, study area ……17 Figure 8. Map showing estimated thickness of oxic ground-water layer in the shallow aquifer in the La Pine, Oregon, study area …………………………………………21 Figure 9. Graph showing annual and cumulative estimated nitrate loading from on-site wastewater systems in the La Pine, Oregon study area, 1960–2005 ………………23 Figure 10. Map showing spatial relations between the upper Deschutes Basin regional ground-water model, the La Pine study area model, and the transect model ……25 Figure 11. Plan and section views of the transect model showing simulated water-levels, ground-water travel time, and particle paths in the La Pine, Oregon, study area ………………………………………………………………29 Figure 12. Map showing contours of simulated and observed heads (June 2000) for the La Pine, Oregon, study area ………………………………………………………34 Figure 13. Graph showing simulated head residuals and observed heads (June 2000) from the La Pine, Oregon, study area ……………………………………………35 Figure 14. Boxplots showing measured and simulated nitrate concentrations in the La Pine, Oregon, study area, 1999 ……………………………………………………36 Figure 15. Map showing simulated nitrate concentrations near the water table in the La Pine, Oregon, study area, 1999 ……………………………………………………37 Figure 16. Graph showing historical nitrate loading from on-site wastewater systems and eight nitrate loading scenarios tested with the study-area model ……………39 Figure 17. Map showing simulated equilibrium ground-water nitrate concentrations near the water table for the base scenario in the La Pine, Oregon, study area ………………………………………………………………………………41 Figure 18. Map showing simulated equilibrium ground-water nitrate concentrations near the water table for 20 milligrams N per liter advanced treatment on-site wastewater systems in the La Pine, Oregon, study area …………………………42 Figure 19. Map showing locations of management areas and ground-water nitrate concentration constraint locations in the Nitrate Loading Management Model for the La Pine, Oregon, study area ………………………………………44 vi Figure 20. Map showing locations of management areas near Burgess Road and management area 31 in the La Pine, Oregon, study area …………………………47 Figure 21. Graph showing sensitivity of optimal loading solutions to ground-water nitrate concentration constraints in the La Pine, Oregon, study area ……………49 Figure 22. Graph showing sensitivity of optimal loading solutions to constraints on the minimum reduction in ground-water discharge loading to streams in the La Pine, Oregon, study area …………………………………………………………50 Figure 23. Graph showing sensitivity of optimal solution to minimum decentralized wastewater treatment performance standards for future homes in the La Pine, Oregon, study area …………………………………………………………51 Figure 24. Diagram showing sensitivity of optimal solutions to relative cost difference of nitrate loading reduction for existing and future homes in the La Pine, Oregon, study area ………………………………………………………………52 Figure 25. Map showing optimal reduction in nitrate loading from existing homes in the La Pine, Oregon, study area ………………………………………………………54 Figure 26. Map showing optimal reduction in nitrate loading from future homes in the La Pine, Oregon, study area …………………………………………………………55 Figure 27. Graphs showing comparison of loading and water quality between optimal and nonoptimal management scenarios for the La Pine, Oregon, study area ……56 Figures—Continued Tables Table 1. Markov chain model parameters and transition probabilities in the final hydrofacies model …………………………………………………………………9 Table 2. Hydraulic conductivity estimates from slug test data from wells near LaPine, Oregon ……………………………………………………………………………11 Table 3. Basin information for water-level monitoring wells in the La Pine, Oregon, study area …………………………………………………………………………15 Table 4. Summary of data from stream gain-loss surveys on the Deschutes and Little Deschutes Rivers in the La Pine, Oregon, study area, 1995–2000 …………………18 Table 5. Values of horizontal and vertical hydraulic conductivity for hydrofacies based on field data and model calibration in the La Pine, Oregon, study area ……………30 Table 6. Summary of eight on-site wastewater management scenarios tested with the study-area model in the La Pine, Oregon, study area ……………………………39 Table 7. Summary of model simulation results for eight on-site wastewater management scenarios tested with the study-area model in the La Pine, Oregon, study area ………………………………………………………………40 Table 8. Response coefficients relating the effects of loading in nearby areas to the nitrate concentration at a constraint location in management area 31 in the La Pine, Oregon, study area ………………………………………………………48 vii Conversion Factors, Datums, and Abbreviations and Acronyms Conversion Factors Multiply By To obtain acre 0.4047 hectare (ha) cubic foot per second per mile (ft3/s/mi)0.04560 cubic meter per second per kilometer (m3/s/km) cubic foot per second (ft3/s)0.02832 cubic meter per second (m3/s) cubic foot per second per square mile [(ft3/s)/mi2] 0.01093 cubic meter per second per square kilometer [(m3/s)/km2] foot (ft)0.3048 meter (m) foot per day (ft/d)0.3048 meter per day (m/d) foot squared per day (ft2/d)*0.09290 meter squared per day (m2/d) gallon (gal)3.785 liter (L) gallon per day (gal/d)0.003785 cubic meter per day (m3/d) inch (in.)2.54 centimeter (cm) inch per year (in/yr)25.4 millimeter per year (mm/yr) kilograms per day (kg/d)2.205 pound per day (lb/d) kilogram per year (kg/yr)2.205 pound per year (lb/yr) mile (mi)1.609 kilometer (km) million gallons per day (Mgal/d)0.04381 cubic meter per second (m3/s) pound, avoirdupois (lb)0.4536 kilogram (kg) pound per year (lb/yr)0.4536 kilogram year (kg/yr) square mile (mi2)2.590 square kilometer (km2) *Transmissivity: The standard unit for transmissivity is cubic foot per day per square foot times foot of aquifer thickness [(ft3/d)/ft2]ft. In this report, the mathematically reduced form, foot squared per day (ft2/d), is used for convenience. Concentrations of chemical constituents in water are given either in milligrams per liter (mg/L) or micrograms per liter (µg/L). Datums Vertical coordinate information is referenced to the North American Vertical Datum of 1929 (NAVD 29). Horizontal coordinate information is referenced to the North American Datum of 1983 (NAD 83). Elevation, as used in this report, refers to distance above the vertical datum. viii Abbreviations and Acronyms Abbreviations and Acronyms Meaning kg N/yr kilograms of nitrogen per year lb N/yr pounds of nitrogen per year mg N/L milligrams of nitrogen per liter my million years NDP La Pine National On-Site Wastewater Demonstration Project NLMM Nitrate Loading Management Model ODEQ Oregon Department of Environmental Quality PLSS Public Land Survey System RMSE root mean square error TDC Transferable Development Credit USEPA U.S. Environmental Protection Agency USGS U.S. Geological Survey Conversion Factors, Datums, and Abbreviations and Acronyms—Continued Abstract This report presents the results of a study by the U.S. Geological Survey, done in cooperation with the Oregon Department of Environmental Quality and Deschutes County, to develop a better understanding of the effects of nitrogen from on-site wastewater disposal systems on the quality of ground water near La Pine in southern Deschutes County and northern Klamath County, Oregon. Simulation models were used to test the conceptual understanding of the system and were coupled with optimization methods to develop the Nitrate Loading Management Model, a decision-support tool that can be used to efficiently evaluate alternative approaches for managing nitrate loading from on-site wastewater systems. The conceptual model of the system is based on geologic, hydrologic, and geochemical data collected for this study, as well as previous hydrogeologic and water quality studies and field testing of on-site wastewater systems in the area by other agencies. On-site wastewater systems are the only significant source of anthropogenic nitrogen to shallow ground water in the study area. Between 1960 and 2005 estimated nitrate loading from on-site wastewater systems increased from 3,900 to 91,000 pounds of nitrogen per year. When all remaining lots are developed (in 2019 at current building rates), nitrate loading is projected to reach nearly 150,000 pounds of nitrogen per year. Low recharge rates (2–3 inches per year) and ground-water flow velocities generally have limited the extent of nitrate occurrence to discrete plumes within 20–30 feet of the water table; however, hydraulic-gradient and age data indicate that, given sufficient time and additional loading, nitrate will migrate to depths where many domestic wells currently obtain water. In 2000, nitrate concentrations greater than 4 milligrams nitrogen per liter (mg N/L) were detected in 10 percent of domestic wells sampled by Oregon Department of Environmental Quality. Numerical simulation models were constructed at transect (2.4 square miles) and study-area (247 square miles) scales to test the conceptual model and evaluate processes controlling nitrate concentrations in ground water and potential ground-water discharge of nitrate to streams. Simulation of water-quality conditions for a projected future build-out (base) scenario in which all existing lots are developed using conventional on-site wastewater systems indicates that, at equilibrium, average nitrate concentrations near the water table will exceed 10 mg N/L over areas totaling 9,400 acres. Other scenarios were simulated where future nitrate loading was reduced using advanced treatment on-site systems and a development transfer program. Seven other scenarios were simulated with total nitrate loading reductions ranging from 15 to 94 percent; simulated reductions in the area where average nitrate concentrations near the water table exceed 10 mg N/L range from 22 to 99 percent at equilibrium. Simulations also show that the ground-water system responds slowly to changes in nitrate loading due to low recharge rates and ground-water flow velocity. Consequently, reductions in nitrate loading will not immediately reduce average nitrate concentrations and the average concentration in the aquifer will continue to increase for 25–50 years depending on the level and timing of loading reduction. The capacity of the ground-water system to receive on-site wastewater system effluent, which is related to the density of homes, presence of upgradient residential development, ground-water recharge rate, ground-water flow velocity, and thickness of the oxic part of the aquifer, varies within the study area. Optimization capability was added to the study-area simulation model and the combined simulation-optimization model was used to evaluate alternative approaches to management of nitrate loading from on-site wastewater systems to the shallow alluvial aquifer. The Nitrate Loading Management Model (NLMM) was formulated to find the minimum reductions from projected future loading required to maintain or restore ground-water nitrate concentrations or ground-water discharge of nitrate to streams below user- specified levels. Sensitivity analysis of the NLMM showed that loading primarily is constrained by nitrate concentration in the shallow part of the oxic ground-water system, within 5–10 feet of the water table. Evaluation of Approaches for Managing Nitrate Loading from On-Site Wastewater Systems near La Pine, Oregon By David S. Morgan1, Stephen R. Hinkle1, and Rodney J. Weick2 1 U.S. Geological Survey 2 Oregon Department of Environmental Quality 2 Evaluation of Approaches for Managing Nitate Loading from On-Site Wastewater Systems near La Pine, Oregon Introduction Rural residential areas near La Pine in southern Deschutes County and northern Klamath County, Oregon (fig. 1) have experienced rapid growth in recent years. More than 9,000 residential lots, ranging in size from 0.5 to 10 acres, are in the area where existing and future homes will rely on individual on-site wastewater systems and wells for wastewater disposal and water supply. Most existing wells have screened intervals within 50 ft of land surface and extract water from alluvial sands and gravels that constitute the primary aquifer in the area. The water table is shallow, typically is less than 20 ft below land surface, and in some low-lying areas rises seasonally to within 2 ft of land surface. Sandy soils derived from pumice contain little organic matter and allow rapid infiltration of on-site wastewater effluent. The vulnerability of the shallow aquifer has led to concern by County and State land-use and environmental- health regulators that ground-water quality may be impaired if development continues at planned densities using conventional on-site wastewater systems. (In this report, conventional on-site systems include standard, pressure-distribution, and packed-bed [sand] filter systems). Another potential concern is the quality of local streams. The Deschutes and Little Deschutes Rivers, which flow through developed areas near La Pine, have been listed as “water-quality impaired” for temperature and turbidity; nutrient loading from ground water has been identified as a potential contributor to excessive algal growth in some reaches (Anderson, 2000; Jones, 2003) that may exacerbate water-quality concerns. On-site wastewater systems are the principal source of nitrogen to the shallow ground-water system in the La Pine area (Century West Engineering, 1982; Oregon Department of Environmental Quality, 1994; Hinkle and others, 2007a). On-site wastewater systems do not remove nitrogen from wastewater; however, most nitrogen is converted from organic nitrogen and ammonium to nitrate before it reaches the saturated part of the ground-water system (water table). Once in the saturated zone, nitrate generally is stable in the presence of oxic ground water (ground water that contains dissolved oxygen). Adsorption or chemical reactions within the flow system do not readily remove nitrate. Nitrate is a human health concern because it can cause methemoglobinemia (Blue- Baby Syndrome) in infants (http://www.atsdr.cdc.gov/HEC/ CSEM/nitrate/). Nitrogen also is an environmental concern as a potential source of nutrient enrichment to streams. Nutrient enrichment contributes to algal blooms detected in the Deschutes and Little Deschutes Rivers. The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) has established 10 mg N/L as the maximum allowable nitrate concentration in drinking water for public water supply systems. Oregon, by statute, has established a nitrate concentration of 7 mg N/L as the value at which action may be taken to control water-quality degradation by regulatory means. The present location of the city of La Pine (fig. 1) was the first concentrated development within the study area. The first building permits recorded in what was then called the “core area” date from 1910. In 2006, the core area was incorporated as the city of La Pine. Degradation of ground-water quality by on-site wastewater systems was first documented in the core area in 1979 by Oregon Department of Environmental Quality (ODEQ) after samples from 46 wells revealed that water from 8 wells contained nitrate concentrations greater than 10 mg N/L (Cole, 2006) and a maximum of 26 mg N/L. Nitrate concentrations in ground water as much as 41 mg N/L were detected in a follow-up study in 1982 (Century West Engineering, 1982). These results led to an ODEQ administrative rule requiring community sewage collection, treatment, and disposal for the core area. In 1993, ODEQ sampled 36 wells in residential areas near La Pine as part of its statewide Ambient Groundwater Monitoring Program and detected nitrate concentrations greater than 2 mg N/L in 19 wells. They concluded that elevated concentrations were caused by anthropogenic influences (on-site wastewater systems) (Cole, 2006). Concentrations were greater than 10 mg N/L in 4 (11 percent) of the 36 wells sampled. In 1994, Deschutes County requested that ODEQ further evaluate ground-water quality in the area. Water from more than 120 domestic and public water-supply wells was sampled in 1994 and 1995 and ODEQ delineated several areas of elevated nitrate concentrations underlying the most densely developed parts of the region (R.J. Weick, ODEQ, written commun., 1998; Cole, 2006). As part of the 1995 assessment, ODEQ constructed simplified nitrate transport models which included basic assumptions on nitrogen chemistry. The ODEQ transport models predicted that nitrate concentrations would exceed drinking water standards within 20 years of full build-out (R.J. Weick, ODEQ, written commun., 1998; Cole, 2006). In 1999, a nitrate concentration threshold of 5 mg N/L was selected for the La Pine area by the Deschutes County Working Group on Groundwater Issues for the South Deschutes Basin to serve as a “proactive target to protect the Basin’s groundwater quality.” The working group also recommended that ODEQ “…address these problems and concerns by considering the adoption of a geographic rule… to protect the Basin’s groundwater resource.” (http://www. co.deschutes.or.us/download.cfm?DownloadFile=507DDA68- BDBD-57C1-902813CCF281DDF0). Introduction 3 Figure 1. Location of La Pine study area, Oregon, and extent of the nitrate fate and transport model. OR19-0049_fig 01 Base modified from U.S. Geological Survey 1:500,000 state base map, 1982 with digital data from U.S. Bureau of the Census, TIGER/Line (R), 1990 and U.S. Geological Survey Digital Line Graphs published at 1:100,000 Publication projection is Lambert Conformal Conic Standard parallels 42º20' and 44º40', central meridian -120º30' Datum is NAD83 T 19 S T 20 S T 24 S T 23 S T 22 S T 21 S R 11 ER 10 ER 9 E DESCHUTES CO. L A K E C O . KLAMATH CO. EXPLANATION Sewered area Alluvium Basalt, andesite Existing home within model area and not served by sewer Transect well locations Geologic unit Pauli n a Ri v e r RIV E R DE S C H U T E S De s c h u t e s Little Creek Creek Cresc e n t River Fall S p r i n g R i v e r Lo n g C r e e k Wickiup Reservoir 97 97 31 31 Masten Road River Sprin g Century South R o a d Road Butt e Finley Drive Burgess Road 5 KILOMETERS 5 MILES0 0 43°35' 40' 121°20'25'30'35'121°40' 45' 50' 43°55' Ex t e n t o f s t u d y a r e a m o d e l DeschutesBasin CascadeRange NewberryVolcanoUpperDeschutesBasin La Pineregion OREGON Bend Sunriver Sunriver La Pine La Pine Lo n g P r a i r i e La Pine core area Wickiup JunctionBurgesstransect Century transect 4 Evaluation of Approaches for Managing Nitate Loading from On-Site Wastewater Systems near La Pine, Oregon In 1999, Deschutes County and ODEQ identified the need for an improved understanding of the processes that affect the transport and fate of nitrogen in the La Pine area before making decisions among alternatives for managing ground-water quality. To help achieve that understanding, Deschutes County and ODEQ applied for and received funding from the USEPA to evaluate methods to protect ground-water quality in the area (Oregon Department of Environmental Quality, 2004a) as part of the La Pine National On-Site Wastewater Demonstration Project (NDP). The objectives of the NDP also included (1) assessing the effectiveness of advanced treatment (denitrifying) systems for on-site wastewater and (2) developing a more complete and useful understanding of processes that affect nitrogen in the ground-water system. The second objective was the subject of a cooperative study by the ODEQ, Deschutes County Community Development Department (CDD) and the Oregon Water Science Center of the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS). The primary objective of this study was to develop a thorough understanding of the hydrologic and chemical processes that affect the movement and fate of nitrogen within the shallow aquifers of the La Pine region. A secondary objective was to provide a method for analyzing the effects of existing and future development on water quality. This understanding will provide local and State resource management agencies with information and tools needed to determine the probable effects of present and future land use on nitrogen concentrations in the shallow aquifer and on nitrogen loading from ground water to the Deschutes and Little Deschutes Rivers. Purpose and Scope This report describes conceptual, simulation, and management models of the ground-water system near the community of La Pine in central Oregon. The description of the conceptual model provides a background for the development of the simulation and management models and includes the geologic framework, hydrologic processes, and processes affecting nitrate transport and fate. The description of the simulation model includes a discussion of how the processes and boundaries of the system were represented in a computer simulation model, how the model was calibrated, and the results of predictive simulations. The simulation model was enhanced as a decision-support tool (management model) by incorporating optimization techniques that allow users to identify management solutions that will meet water quality goals. The discussion of the management model includes a description of the method of incorporating optimization techniques with the simulation model, the formulation of the management problem, and analysis of the sensitivity of optimal management solutions to the values of various constraints. Description of Study Area The La Pine study area encompasses about 250 mi2 within the Deschutes River drainage basin in central Oregon (fig. 1). The area is drained by the Deschutes River and tributaries including the Little Deschutes, Spring, and Fall Rivers. Land-surface elevation ranges from about 4,000 ft near the Deschutes River at the northern boundary of the study area, to nearly 5,700 ft at the peaks of volcanic buttes in the northwestern corner of the study area. Most of the study area lies in the relatively low-relief alluvial plain of the Deschutes and Little Deschutes Rivers at elevations between 4,150 and 4,300 ft. The populated areas in the study area include low and medium density rural-residential subdivisions adjacent to and between the Deschutes and Little Deschutes Rivers extending northward from La Pine to the community of Sunriver (fig. 1). The subdivisions are surrounded by Federal lands managed by the U.S. Forest Service and Bureau of Land Management. The study area boundaries were selected to include the most densely populated parts of southern Deschutes County and northern Klamath County, where on-site wastewater systems are the predominant method of wastewater disposal for existing and future residential development. The boundaries also were selected to include the principal area of the shallow alluvial aquifer that provides drinking water for most of the population in the La Pine area. The data collection and analysis for this study was focused in the 247 mi2 area of the study-area flow and transport simulation model (fig. 1). Residential development in the area began to accelerate in the 1960s (Century West Engineering, 1982) and almost 3,000 new residential lots were created in the 1970s in response to demand for vacation homes and full-time residences. Although lots range in size from 0.5 to more than 10 acres, 58 percent of lots in the study area in 2000 were less than 1 acre and 82 percent were less than 2 acres. The population of the area was less than 1,000 in 1960, and increased to about 5,600 in 1981 (Century West Engineering, 1982), and was approximately 14,000 in 2000 (U.S. Bureau of the Census, 2000). Land use is primarily low- to medium-density residential. Commercial and medium density residential areas are in the incorporated City of La Pine (including the La Pine “core area” and Wickiup Junction area) and industrial development is immediately east of the core area. Agricultural lands cover less than 4 percent of the study area and most of that area is nonirrigated pasture (Tim Berg, Deschutes County Community Development Department, written commun., 2004). The climate of the area primarily is controlled by eastward moving air masses from the Pacific Ocean. Orographic precipitation in the Cascade Range results in more than 200 in/yr in some locations, although precipitation rates in the lower part of the Deschutes River basin average as little as 10 in/yr. Mean annual (1971–2000) precipitation in the La Pine area ranges from 16 to 24 in. (Daly and Gibson, 2002). Conceptual Model of Ground-Water System 5 Conceptual Model of Ground-Water System Geologic Setting The La Pine study area of the upper Deschutes River basin is a sediment-filled graben feature that lies within the geologically complex transition area between three geologic provinces: the Cascade Range, the Basin and Range Province, and the High Lava Plains. The La Pine study area shares attributes characteristic of each of these geologic provinces. The Cascade Range forms the western margin of the La Pine study area. Newberry volcano forms the eastern study area margin and transition between the extensional Basin and Range Province and the High Lava Plains. North to north- northwest trending and northeast trending en echelon faults define the eastern boundary of the graben forming the La Pine study area. The Cascade Range is a constructional feature of north- south trending eruptive centers that extends from northern California to southern British Columbia and has been volcanically active for the past 35 million years (Sherrod and Pickthorn, 1989). In central Oregon, these volcanic eruptive centers are stratovolcanoes, such as the North, Middle, and South Sister, and Mount Jefferson, all with elevations greater than 10,000 ft (Lite and Gannett, 2002). The Basin and Range Province is a region of crustal extension that covers most of the western United States and is characterized by north to northwest trending sub parallel fault-bounded down-dropped grabens forming fault-block ranges with basins typically 10–20 mi wide. In central Oregon, the La Pine graben is defined by north-northwest trending and northeast trending down-dropped faults (Allen, 1966; MacLeod and Sherrod, 1992) forming the sediment- filled 10–15-mi wide subbasin with characteristics similar to those of Basin and Range extensional features along the northwestern transitional boundary in northeastern California and northwestern Nevada. The north–south trending graben that underlies the La Pine study area is estimated to have down-dropped 1,800 to 2,400 ft based on gravity and aeromagnetic anomalies (Couch and Foote, 1985; MacLeod and Sherrod, 1992) Formation of the basin began during the mid-Pleistocene between 0.6 and 1 my (million years) ago (Couch and Foote, 1985; Gettings and Griscom, 1988; Sherrod and Pickthorn, 1989; MacLeod and Sherrod, 1992; MacLeod and others, 1995) and subsequently has been filled with several hundred feet of sediment. Nearly 1,400 ft of sediment have been penetrated by deep water-supply wells drilled in the study area. Descriptions of sediment lithology in drillers’ reports for water wells indicate that graben formation was concurrent with volcanism and late Pleistocene glacial outwash deposition. Periods of active volcanism and quiescence and fluvial and lacustrine deposition during graben development created a complex sequence of intercalated lava flows, ignimbrites, and alluvial deposits. The depositional history is further complicated by fluvial-lacustrine deposition during the Pleistocene. Many basin-fill sediments in the La Pine study area are fine-grained lacustrine silt and clay. Within these fine-grained deposits are fine to coarse fluvial sand and gravel channel- fill deposits and discontinuous cinder, pumice- and ash-fall beds. Methane, ammonium, and reduced iron detected in water well samples (Hinkle and others, 2007a) from these fine-grained deposits indicate a predominant quiescent marsh and lake depositional environment with episodic volcanic deposition. This low-energy depositional environment may be related to the onset and development of Newberry volcano about 0.7 my ago. MacLeod and others (1995) indicated that Newberry lavas backed up against Cascade Range lava flows, blocking the channel of the Deschutes River which created a lake and marsh environment over much of the study area. A pumice bed exposed near the top of the lacustrine deposits and about 35 ft (10.8 m) below the fluvial/lacustrine contact at Pringle Falls on the Deschutes River is 0.22 to 0.17 my old (Herrero-Bervera and others, 1994). About 0.2 my ago the depositional environment probably underwent an abrupt change from lacustrine to predominantly fluvial with deposition of heterogeneous silt, fine to coarse sand, gravel, and pumaceous sand and gravel. These deposits are likely associated with Pleistocene glaciation of the Cascade Range and Newberry Volcano. These high- energy deposits are capped by a study area wide 3–5 ft-thick pumice- and ash-fall deposit from the Mt. Mazama eruption of 7,627 ± 150 years ago (Zdanowicz and others, 1999). The Deschutes, Little Deschutes, and Fall Rivers have reworked and down-cut through the Mt. Mazama pumice and ash-fall deposit. The high degree of heterogeneity noted in lithologic descriptions in drillers’ reports indicate an active fluvial depositional environment in the central and southern parts of the La Pine study area and deposition more characteristic of a lacustrine environment in the northern part of the study area. Based on interpretation of more than 460 water-well logs, fluvial silt, sand, and gravel deposits were determined to range in thickness from less than 10 ft in the northern study area, to as much as 100 ft in the central and southern parts of the study area (fig. 2). A thin veneer of gravel overlying a paleosol was observed in several monitoring wells in the study area. The presence of the paleosol may represent post-Pleistocene glacial soil development. The thin sand and gravel veneer overlying the paleosol may represent the brief early Holocene glacial event that predates the mid-Holocene Mt. Mazama eruption. 6 Evaluation of Approaches for Managing Nitate Loading from On-Site Wastewater Systems near La Pine, Oregon Figure 2. Generalized geology and hydrogeologic units of the La Pine region, Oregon. OR19-0049_fig 02 Base modified from U.S. Geological Survey 1:500,000 state base map, 1982 with digital data from U.S. Bureau of the Census, TIGER/Line (R), 1990 and U.S. Geological Survey Digital Line Graphs published at 1:100,000 Publication projection is Lambert Conformal Conic Standard parallels 42º20' and 44º40', central meridian -120º30' Datum is NAD83R 9 E R 10 E R 11 E T 21 S T 22 S T 23 S T 24 S T 20 S T 19 S DESCHUTES CO. L A K E C O . KLAMATH CO. Spri n g Riv e r Fall River Cresc e n t Creek Creek Little De s c h u t e s DE S C H U T E S RIV E R Ri v e r Pauli n a Lo n g C r e e k 5 KILOMETERS 5 MILES0 0 Wickiup Reservoir 97 97 31 31 Burgess Road Drive Finley Butt e Road R o a d South Century Spring River Masten Road Sunriver Sunriver La Pine La Pine 43°55' 50' 45' 121°40'35'30'25'121°20' 40' 43°35' A’ D C B D’ C’ B’ A Ex t e n t o f s t u d y a r e a m o d e l EXPLANATION Geologic unit Alluvium Basalt, andesite Thickness of fluvial deposits, in feet within model boundary 0-20 20-40 40-60 60-80 80-100 Trace of section shown in plate 1 Other sections Well used to construct sections A A’ DeschutesBasin CascadeRange NewberryVolcanoUpperDeschutesBasin La Pineregion OREGON Bend Conceptual Model of Ground-Water System 7 Three-Dimensional Hydrogeologic Model A detailed characterization of subsurface heterogeneity can substantially improve the reliability of models of ground-water contaminant transport (Fogg, 1986; Anderson 1987; Johnson and Dreiss, 1989). In this study, standard hydrogeologic interpretation and analysis techniques, including construction of two-dimensional geologic sections and surface maps, were used in conjunction with transition probability geostatistics to develop a three-dimensional hydrogeologic model that represents the heterogeneity of the complex glaciofluvial system. Subsurface Geologic Data The primary source of subsurface geologic data was the nearly 5,400 drillers’ reports available (as of 1999) for domestic and public water supply wells in the study area. Although these reports are plentiful, the quality of lithologic descriptions in the reports is inconsistent. The spatial distribution of domestic wells also is not ideal for developing a detailed, three-dimensional geologic model of the ground- water system; as would be expected, domestic wells are concentrated in areas of residential development and tend to be completed at the shallowest depth that a satisfactory yield can be obtained. A subset of 346 wells was visited as part of this and previous studies (Gannett and others, 2001) to determine accurate locations and collect water-level and other data. The subset of wells visited was selected to provide the best spatial distribution within the study area and good descriptions of geologic materials penetrated by the well. Drillers’ reports for an additional 118 wells were selected to provide information in areas where field-located wells were not available. Although these wells were not visited, the drillers’ reports included superior descriptions of geologic materials and well locations could be accurately estimated using tax lot information. Descriptions of geologic materials were transcribed to a database from the drillers’ reports using a standardized set of lithologic descriptors developed for this study. A two- letter descriptor was assigned to the primary lithology, and, if needed, secondary lithology reported by the driller for each depth interval. For example, if the driller reported a layer of “gravel with sand” between 40 and 80 ft, the interval was assigned a primary descriptor of GR for gravel and a secondary descriptor of SA for sand. This system retained most of the detail of the original description by the driller and allowed for comparison and analysis of lithology between wells. Thirty-six descriptors were used to describe primary and secondary lithology. Combinations of the primary and secondary descriptors resulted in 157 unique lithologic descriptors for the 464 wells used in the analysis. Lithologic Unit Sections and Fluvial Sediment Mapping The 157 unique lithologic descriptors were grouped into six lithologic units. Five lithologic units comprised unconsolidated sediments: clay-silt, pumice-sand, sand, sand-gravel, and gravel. The sixth lithologic unit represented consolidated and semi-consolidated volcanic rocks such as basalt, basaltic andesite, and tuff. The lithologic unit data for each well were stored in a Geographic Information System (GIS) database that facilitated data interpretation and construction of 34 two-dimensional cross sections through the study area showing the thickness and extent of the primary lithologic units. Locations of the sections are shown in figure 2 and selected sections are shown on plate 1. Although deep wells are somewhat sparse in the study area, the sections show that as much as 100 ft of fluvial silt, sand, and gravel overlie predominately fine-grained lacustrine sediments throughout the study area (plate 1). A relatively sharp transition exists between the overlying fluvial sediments and the basal lacustrine silt and clay, basalt, and volcaniclastic deposits. The elevation of the top of the lacustrine sediments was mapped using data from the 464 wells (fig. 2). Infrequent sand and gravel lenses as well as pumice and ash beds are present within the basal lacustrine sediments, but because of their discontinuous nature, they are not regionally significant sources of water to wells. The thickness of the fluvial sediments that constitute the primary aquifers in the study area was computed by subtracting the elevation of the top of the basal lacustrine sediments from land surface elevation (fig. 2). The greatest thicknesses of fluvial sediments are in the central, east-central, and south-central parts of the study area where higher elevations occur within the study area. Deposition of Pleistocene alluvial sediments from fans emanating from Newberry volcano contributes to the thickness of coarse sediments on the eastern margin of the study area. The total thickness (unsaturated and saturated) of fluvial sediments exceeds 60 ft over much of this area. The fluvial sediments are thinner in three areas: (1) within the floodplain of the Little Deschutes River where they have been eroded, (2) at the margins of the study area where they overlie shallow tuffs and basaltic and andesitic volcanic rocks, and (3) in the northern part of the study area where lacustrine sediments are closer to the surface (fig. 2). Interpretation of the geologic data during construction of the two-dimensional sections revealed that there is a greater degree of heterogeneity within the fluvial part of the system than could be delineated using traditional methods of interpretation using drillers’ reports as the primary data source. The drillers’ reports were useful for defining the vertical heterogeneity at each well location; however, because 8 Evaluation of Approaches for Managing Nitate Loading from On-Site Wastewater Systems near La Pine, Oregon of the distance between wells and the uncertainty in the lithologic descriptions, it was not possible to accurately represent the lateral heterogeneity of the fluvial hydrofacies. Another consideration was the difficulty in constructing a fully three-dimensional hydrogeologic model from the two- dimensional representations in the lithofacies sections. Important information on the nature and proportion of lithologic units and dimensions and interconnectedness of depositional features was gained through the process of constructing the lithologic unit sections. This information and the location of the lower boundary of the fluvial aquifer system were used as supplemental information in the development of the three-dimensional hydrogeologic model described in the next section. Transition Probability Geostatistical Modeling A transition probability geostatistical approach was used to model the heterogeneity of the fluvial sediments that constitute the shallow aquifer near La Pine. The method was applied using the suite of programs, Transition Probability Geostatistical Software (T-PROGS), documented by Carle (1999). T-PROGS implements a transition probability/Markov approach to geostatistical analysis and simulation of spatial distributions of categorical variables (such as hydrofacies). The approach uses the probabilities of lateral and vertical transitions between hydrofacies to define spatial variability. The transition probabilities, volumetric proportion of facies, and mean lengths of depositional features are the parameters used to fit a three-dimensional Markov chain model to geologic data from drillers’ logs and subjective knowledge based on an understanding of the depositional environment. Once a satisfactory Markov chain model is obtained, it is used in sequential indicator simulation with simulated annealing to produce realizations of the subsurface facies distributions that are conditioned using the observed geologic data. One advantage of the transition probability method is the ability to easily incorporate subjective or “soft” geologic information into the Markov chain model. Details on the theoretical development of the transition probability method, as wells as examples and comparisons with other methods, are given in Carle and Fogg (1996, 1997), Carle and others (1998), and Weissmann and others (1999). The transition probability method was used to model the distribution of facies within the fluvial sediments only. The lacustrine sediments were not included because the transition probability method is predicated on the assumption that all the sediments within the modeled area were emplaced under similar depositional conditions. A hydrofacies is defined as one or more lithologic units that have similar hydraulic characteristics. Three hydrofacies were used in the hydrogeologic model: (1) clay-silt, (2) sand, and (3) gravel. The five lithologic units used to subdivide the fluvial sediments in the sections on plate 1 were reduced to three hydrofacies by combining units with similar hydraulic characteristics. The clay-silt hydrofacies represent flood plain deposits with low hydraulic conductivity. The sand hydrofacies include varying amounts of silt and represent levee and proximal overbank deposits with moderate hydraulic conductivity. The gravel hydrofacies includes varying amounts of sand and represents channel deposits with high hydraulic conductivity. In the rare case where there are abundant, high quality core data, geophysical logs, and detailed lithologic descriptions, the parameters for the Markov model can be estimated directly from bivariate statistics (variograms) for the hydrofacies. More commonly, as in the La Pine study area, most available geologic data are obtained from drillers’ reports. Another limitation of the well data stems from the lack of correspondence between the scale of depositional features (for example, channel deposits) that have mean lengths of 10s or 100s of feet, and the spacing of data points (wells) that may be 100s or 1,000s of feet. The disparity in the scales of the system and the data available to characterize it makes quantifying lateral transition probabilities based solely on well data difficult. However, the transition probability approach provided a means of including the geologic knowledge gained through the process of developing the two-dimensional lithologic unit sections. The mean lengths of the high-hydraulic conductivity gravel hydrofacies and the low hydraulic conductivity clay- silt hydrofacies were estimated by manually measuring the length of lithologic units interpreted in the 34 lithologic unit sections (examples shown on plate 1) and computing average lengths for each hydrofacies in the lateral (strike and dip) and vertical dimensions. The depositional strike was aligned with the northeast-southwest strike of the study area (fig. 2). The estimates of lateral mean lengths for the gravel hydrofacies based on the lithologic unit sections were larger than expected for channel deposits typically found in fluvial systems analogous to the Little Deschutes and Deschutes River systems in the La Pine study area. The lateral mean lengths for the gravel hydrofacies were reduced based on measurements of present channel geometry, and meander and oxbow features identified from aerial photography. The estimated mean lengths for the gravel hydrofacies were modified through a trial and error process until the Markov chain model produced a hydrofacies realization that was consistent with geomorphologic observations. Conceptual Model of Ground-Water System 9 The volumetric proportions of the hydrofacies were 10, 50, and 40-percent for gravel, sand, and clay-silt, respectively. The sand hydrofacies was selected as the “background” category because it represented the highest proportion of materials in the system. The transition probabilities (table 1) need only be specified for the nonbackground hydrofacies. The probabilities are expressed as decimal percentages; for example, there is a 30-percent probability of transitioning from the gravel facies to the clay-silt facies in the strike or dip direction, but only a 15-percent probability of transitioning from clay-silt to gravel. The grid used to create the fluvial hydrofacies model had cell dimensions of 500 ft horizontally along the depositional strike and dip and 5 ft vertically. These cell dimensions were sufficiently small to allow good representation of the gravel and clay-silt facies (within the sand matrix) with mean horizontal and vertical lengths of 1,500–8,100 ft and 8–10 ft, respectively (table 1). The overall dimensions of the modeled region are 138,000 by 50,000 ft along the depositional strike and dip, and 120 ft along the vertical dimension. The T-PROGS program was used with the Markov chain parameters to generate the three-dimensional distribution of the fluvial hydrofacies. The elevation of the base of the fluvial sediments was contoured using drillers’ log data; and cells within the hydrogeologic model below the base of the fluvial sediments were assigned to the lacustrine hydrofacies. The surficial geologic map (fig. 2) was used to assign cells to the basalt hydrofacies and land surface elevation from a DEM was used to “remove” cells from the hydrogeologic model that were above land surface. Sections through the complete three- dimensional hydrogeologic model are shown in figure 3. Once the appropriate parameters for the Markov Chain model are determined, many equally probable realizations of the hydrostratigraphy of the fluvial hydrofacies can be simulated using the T-PROGS program. Each realization would be consistent with the data from drillers’ logs and interpretations made during construction of the two- dimensional sections used to estimate the mean lengths. The capability to generate many realizations of the hydrostratigraphy represents a potentially powerful tool for evaluating the effects of hydrogeologic uncertainty on simulation models. Using multiple realizations, uncertainty in simulated nitrate concentrations resulting from uncertainty in the hydrogeologic model could be evaluated. While time consuming, this capability could provide important information on the sensitivity of model results to hydrogeologic uncertainty. This capability would be especially useful for contaminant transport models in highly heterogeneous systems with large contrasts in hydraulic conductivity between hydrofacies where the objective was to simulate individual contaminant plumes. This approach was not used in the current study because (1) although the fluvial sediments in the La Pine study area are somewhat heterogeneous, the hydraulic conductivities of the hydrofacies that compose them fall within a relatively small range; and (2) the purpose of the model in this study was to estimate mean concentrations over relatively large areas as a tool for evaluating watershed-scale wastewater management approaches. Variability at the scale of individual model cells caused by uncertainty in the hydrogeologic model would not impose significant limitations on the use of the model. Hydraulic Conductivity Hydraulic conductivity is the characteristic of a porous medium that describes its ability to transmit water, and is expressed in units of length per unit time (for example, feet per day). The hydraulic conductivity of most geologic materials is vertically anisotropic; that is, hydraulic conductivity is greater in the horizontal direction than in the vertical direction. Simulation of three dimensional ground-water flow, as was done for this study, requires estimates of both the horizontal and vertical components of hydraulic conductivity. Horizontal hydraulic conductivity estimates were made for alluvial sediments and volcanic rocks using data from well-yield tests reported in 221 drillers’ reports and slug tests done in 24 monitoring wells constructed for this study. Transmissivity is another measure of the ability of porous materials to transmit water, and is equal to the product of hydraulic conductivity and the saturated thickness of the material. Transmissivity has units of length squared per time (for example, feet squared per day) and can be estimated using the Theis nonequilibrium equation and solving as reported in Vorhis (1979). Minimum data required from the well-yield test include pumping rate, drawdown, and time pumped. Only field-located wells with complete construction information that included well depth, casing diameter, and open or screened intervals were used in the analysis. The method of Vorhis (1979) yields a solution to the Theis equation in which transmissivity is expressed as a function of storage coefficient. Table 1. Markov chain model parameters and transition probabilities in the final hydrofacies model. Hydrofacies Mean length (feet) Strike Dip Vertical Gravel 3,000 1,500 10 Clay-silt 8,100 5,600 8 Hydrofacies (From To) Transition probability (decimal percentage) Gravel Clay-silt 0.3 0.3 0.4 Clay-silt Gravel .15 .15 .25 10 Evaluation of Approaches for Managing Nitate Loading from On-Site Wastewater Systems near La Pine, Oregon OR19-0049_fig 03 Above ground Lacustrine clay-silt Volcanics: basalt, andesite Fluvial gravel Fluvial sand Fluvial clay-silt EXPLANATION Hydrofacies 4,350 4,300 4,250 4,200 4,150 4,100 EL E V A T I O N , I N F E E T 4,350 4,300 4,250 4,200 4,150 4,100 EL E V A T I O N , I N F E E T 4,350 4,300 4,250 4,200 4,150 4,100 EL E V A T I O N , I N F E E T 4,350 4,300 4,250 4,200 4,150 4,100 EL E V A T I O N , I N F E E T 4,350 4,300 4,250 4,200 4,150 4,100 EL E V A T I O N , I N F E E T 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 260 275 MO D E L R O W N U M B E R 4,350 4,300 4,250 4,200 4,150 4,100 EL E V A T I O N , I N F E E T MODEL COLUMN NUMBER 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Notes: Each row and column is 500 feet wide. Model is truncated at elevation of 4,350 feet. Figure 3. Three dimensional hydrogeologic model of the La Pine, Oregon, study area. Conceptual Model of Ground-Water System 11 Appropriate transmissivity values were selected by assuming a storage coefficient in the range normally assumed for confined aquifers (0.001) for deep wells and a storage coefficient (specific yield) in the range normally assumed for unconfined aquifers (0.10) for shallow wells. Wells were assigned unconfined storage coefficients if their open intervals did not extend more than 30 ft below land surface in the northern part of the study area or 50 ft in the southern part (south of the confluence of Paulina Creek and the Little Deschutes River) (fig. 1). Horizontal hydraulic conductivity was estimated at each well by dividing the estimated transmissivity by the length of the perforated and (or) uncased intervals of the well. Horizontal hydraulic conductivities computed using the well-yield test data range from 0.15 to 2,500 ft/d, with a geometric mean of 60 ft/d and median of 21 ft/d. Gannet and others (2001) reported similar results from an analysis of 175 well-yield tests in the La Pine basin, in which the median transmissivity was 901 ft2/d. If a typical effective aquifer thickness of 50 ft is assumed, the transmissivity reported by Gannett and others (2001) is equivalent to a hydraulic conductivity of 18 ft/d. If well-yield data are reported accurately, the principal sources of error using this approach are head losses due to poor well construction and uncertainty in storage coefficient estimates. Sensitivity analysis showed that transmissivity, and therefore hydraulic conductivity, computed for a range of storage coefficients spanning three orders of magnitude (10-1 to 10-4) differed by an average of 50 percent. Uncertainty related to storage coefficient is not considered an important source of error. Overestimation of hydraulic conductivity can occur using this method if a well only partially penetrates a thick, homogeneous aquifer in which substantial vertical flow toward the well can occur. The effects of partial penetration are not likely to be important in data from wells in the La Pine study area because the heterogeneity of the alluvial sediments would limit vertical flow near the well. Slug tests were done at 24 monitoring wells installed along two transects for this study. One transect was located in the northern part of the study area near South Century Drive and the other was located in the south-central part of the area near Burgess Road (fig. 1). The Burgess Road transect included tests of 17 wells at 6 sites and the South Century Drive transect included tests of 8 wells at 6 sites (table 2). Table 2. Hydraulic conductivity estimates from slug test data from wells near LaPine, Oregon. [Slug tests were conducted in April and September 2000. Latitude and Longitude: in degrees, minutes, seconds; North American Datum of 1927. Altitude: referenced to National Geodetic Vertical Datum of 1929. Abbreviations: USGS: U.S. Geological Survey. Symbols: –, no data] USGS site identification No. Project well name Local No. State identification No. Latitude Longitude Altitude (feet) Depth (feet) Hydraulic conductivity (feet per day) 434202121301501 Burgess 5.1 22.00S/10.00E-02BBC01 DESC 52678 43°42'01.89"121°30'15.21"4,210.9 23.9 15 434202121301502 Burgess 5.2 22.00S/10.00E-02BBC02 DESC 52677 43°42'01.89"121°30'15.21"4,211.1 36.9 24 434202121301503 Burgess 5.3 22.00S/10.00E-02BBC03 DESC 52676 43°42'01.89"121°30'15.21"4,210.9 49.0 .6 434203121305401 Burgess 4.1 22.00S/10.00E-03ABC01 DESC 52681 43°42'02.68"121°30'53.68"4,223.6 26.5 18 434203121305402 Burgess 4.2 22.00S/10.00E-03ABC02 DESC 52679 43°42'02.68"121°30'53.68"4,223.3 33.2 58 434203121305403 Burgess 4.3 22.00S/10.00E-03ABC03 DESC 52680 43°42'02.68"121°30'53.68"4,223.3 49.3 6.4 434206121311701 Burgess 3.1 22.00S/10.00E-03BBD01 DESC 52684 43°42'05.78"121°31'17.04"4,233.4 22.5 11 434206121311702 Burgess 3.2 22.00S/10.00E-03BBD02 DESC 52682 43°42'05.78"121°31'17.04"4,233.3 30.5 45 434206121311703 Burgess 3.3 22.00S/10.00E-03BBD03 DESC 52683 43°42'05.78"121°31'17.04"4,233.4 38.6 55 434206121312901 Burgess 2.1 22.00S/10.00E-03BBB01 DESC 52688 43°42'05.67"121°31'28.92"4,239.2 23.1 17 434206121312902 Burgess 2.2 22.00S/10.00E-03BBB02 DESC 52686 43°42'05.67"121°31'28.92"4,239.0 30.0 23 434206121312903 Burgess 2.3 22.00S/10.00E-03BBB03 DESC 52687 43°42'05.67"121°31'28.92"4,239.0 36.3 – 434206121312904 Burgess 2.4 22.00S/10.00E-03BBB04 DESC 52685 43°42'05.67"121°31'28.92"4,239.0 52.3 7.7 434213121295901 Burgess 6.1 21.00S/10.00E-35CDC1 DESC 53163 43°42'12.64"121°29'59.34"4,198.6 14.7 9.0 434213121295902 Burgess 6.2 21.00S/10.00E-35CDC2 DESC 53159 43°42'12.64"121°29'59.34"4,198.7 45.0 1.3 434213121324101 Burgess 1.1 22.00S/10.00E-05AAA01 DESC 52690 43°42'13.02"121°32'41.42"4,257.7 34.7 64 434213121324102 Burgess 1.2 22.00S/10.00E-05AAA02 DESC 52689 43°42'13.02"121°32'41.42"4,257.6 50.5 33 434910121275501 Century 1.1 20.00S/11.00E-19CCC1 DESC 53166 43°49'10.08"121°27'55.27"4,178.2 12.1 12 434910121275502 Century 1.2 20.00S/11.00E-19CCC2 DESC 53178 43°49'10.08"121°27'55.27"4,178.0 68.3 .3 434945121273501 Century 2 20.00S/11.00E-19BDB DESC 53184 43°49'44.61"121°27'35.32"4,175.4 11.1 8.8 435007121272701 Century 3 20.00S/11.00E-18CDC1 DESC 53175 43°50'07.04"121°27'27.31"4,173.9 8.9 97 435026121272101 Century 4 20.00S/11.00E-18CAA DESC 53185 43°50'25.67"121°27'20.64"4,174.1 10.7 57 435030121271401 Century 5 20.00S/11.00E-18ACC1 DESC 53160 43°50'29.75"121°27'14.15"4,172.9 11.7 5.2 435035121270801 Century 6.1 20.00S/11.00E-18ACA1 DESC 53164 43°50'34.68"121°27'08.15"4,171.9 10.7 31 435035121270802 Century 6.2 20.00S/11.00E-18ACA2 DESC 53158 43°50'34.68"121°27'08.15"4,171.8 64.0 .8 12 Evaluation of Approaches for Managing Nitate Loading from On-Site Wastewater Systems near La Pine, Oregon The wells ranged from 8.9 to 68 ft deep and were completed with 2-ft long screens. Falling- and rising-head tests were run with initial-head displacements of 1–2 ft. Test data were analyzed using the method of Bower and Rice (1976), with the assumptions that the effects of storage can be ignored and the change in saturated thickness of the aquifer is negligible. Horizontal hydraulic conductivities computed using the slug test data range from 0.3 to 98 ft/d, with a geometric mean of 25 ft/d and median of 15 ft/d (fig. 4, table 2). The 10th and 90th percentile values of hydraulic conductivity (0.6 and 60 ft/d) span only two orders of magnitude which, even when considering that the tests selectively target coarser materials, suggest that hydraulic conductivity is relatively uniform in the area compared to some alluvial environments. The 10th–90th percentile range in hydraulic conductivity for the well-yield test data was 4 to 94 ft/d. The 10th percentile hydraulic conductivity is greater for this data set because the slug tests are conducted on water-supply wells selectively screened to the most permeable sediments and more thoroughly developed. Median values from well-yield and slug test data were similar (21 and 15 ft/d, respectively). Geometric mean hydraulic conductivity values were greater for the well-yield test data (60 ft/d) because several basalt wells included large (> 100 ft/d) hydraulic conductivity values that skewed the mean (fig. 4). The agreement between the median values from both data sets indicates that both estimation methods provide good information on the hydraulic characteristics of the basin- fill sediments. Ground-Water Recharge The shallow alluvial ground-water system in the study area is recharged primarily by infiltration of precipitation (rainfall and snowmelt), with lesser amounts resulting from lateral ground-water inflow and effluent from on-site wastewater systems. Gannett and others (2001) estimated ground-water recharge to the upper Deschutes River basin from infiltration of precipitation using a water balance model (Deep Percolation Model) developed by Bauer and Vaccaro (1987). The water balance model is based on empirical relations that quantify processes such as interception and evaporation, snow accumulation and melt, plant transpiration, and runoff. The model computes a complete daily water balance for the soil zone using measured precipitation and temperature and data describing land cover, vegetation, and soil properties. The water balance was computed within rectangular areas (cells), each with an area of 1.3 mi2. A detailed description of application of the water balance model to the upper Deschutes River basin, including model input, is available in Boyd (1996) and a summary of the results for the entire upper basin is given in Gannett and others (2001). Computed recharge from the water balance model was used to specify the initial spatial distribution of recharge within the boundaries of the simulation model. Based on calibration of simulation models in the La Pine area (see “Nitrate Fate and Transport Simulation Models”), the recharge distribution was reduced slightly; the final calibrated distribution is shown in figure 5. The mean annual recharge distribution ranges from about 2 to 20 in/yr with the greatest recharge occurring in the upland areas; however, most of the model area lies at lower elevations adjacent to the Deschutes and Little Deschutes Rivers where mean annual recharge is about 2 in/yr (fig. 5). The mean annual recharge rate for the simulation model is 3.2 in/yr (58 ft3/s). OR19-0049_Fig04 100 PERCENTAGE OF OBSERVATIONS WITH HYDRAULIC CONDUCTIVITY LESS THAN INDICATED VALUE 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 HY D R A U L I C C O N D U C T I V I T Y . I N F E E T P E R D A Y 0.1 1 10 100 1 10 100 1,000 10,000 Slug test data (n=24) Well yield test data (n=221) Figure 4. Distributions of estimated hydraulic conductivity values from slug tests and well-yield data. Conceptual Model of Ground-Water System 13 Figure 5. Distribution of mean annual recharge, water-table elevation contours (June 2000), and locations of monitoring wells in the La Pine, Oregon, study area. OR19-0049_fig 05 Base modified from U.S. Geological Survey 1:500,000 state base map, 1982 with digital data from U.S. Bureau of the Census, TIGER/Line (R), 1990 and U.S. Geological Survey Digital Line Graphs published at 1:100,000 Publication projection is Lambert Conformal Conic Standard parallels 42º20' and 44º40', central meridian -120º30' Datum is NAD83R 9 E R 10 E R 11 E T 21 S T 22 S T 23 S T 24 S T 20 S T 19 S DESCHUTES CO. L A K E KLAMATH CO. Spr i n g Riv e r Fall River Cresc e n t Creek Creek Little De s c h u t e s DE S C H U T E S RIV E R Ri v e r Pauli n a Lo n g C r e e k 5 KILOMETERS 5 MILES0 0 Wickiup Reservoir 97 97 31 31 Burgess Road Drive Finley Butt e Road R o a d South Century Spring River Masten Road Sunriver Sunriver La Pine La Pine 43°55' 50' 45' 121°40'35'30'25'121°20' 40' 43°35' Extent of s t u d y - a r e a m o d e l EXPLANATION Mean annual ground-water recharge, in inches per year 1-2 2-4 4-6 6-8 8-12 12-20 Line of equal water table elevation, in feet above North American Vertical Datum of 1929 Well location and measurement frequency 2-hour Bimonthly 4220 4210 4220 4170 4230 41904180 4240 41 6 0 4260 4210 4220 4170 4 2 3 0 419 0418 0 4 2 4 0 416 0 4 2 6 0 4200 4250 4200 4 2 5 0 DeschutesBasin CascadeRange NewberryVolcanoUpperDeschutesBasin La Pineregion OREGON Bend 14 Evaluation of Approaches for Managing Nitate Loading from On-Site Wastewater Systems near La Pine, Oregon Effluent from on-site wastewater systems also contributes to recharge of the shallow ground-water system. The annual rate was estimated for 1999 when there were about 5,200 on-site wastewater systems in the study area. The average daily volume of effluent produced per system depends on the number of occupants and their water-use habits. Deschutes County monitored several on-site systems as part of the La Pine National On-Site Demonstration Project and determined that the average daily effluent volume was 45 gallons per day per person (B. Rich, written commun., Deschutes County, 2003). La Pine households averaged 2.55 persons in 2000 (U.S. Bureau of the Census, 2000), so each household would produce an average of 115 gal/d. In 1999, about 5,200 on-site systems would have contributed 0.6 Mgal/d, (0.9 ft3/s), of recharge to the ground-water system. Ground-Water Flow Hydraulic head, or simply head, is a measure of the force that drives ground-water movement. Ground water flows from areas of high head to areas of low head. In an unconfined aquifer, such as the shallow alluvial deposits in the La Pine study area, the elevation of the water table represents the head at the upper surface of the aquifer. The rate of change in head with distance is called the hydraulic gradient, which is the slope of the water table. Ground water in deeper aquifers may be confined by lower permeability layers (for example, silt or clay). Ground water in confined aquifers may be under pressure, such that when a well penetrates the aquifer, ground water will rise in the well casing to levels above the top of the aquifer. The hydraulic gradient in the vertical direction is positive if head increases with depth, which indicates ground water is flowing upward; conversely, it is negative if head decreases with depth, and ground water is flowing downward. Water-level measurements were made in 192 wells in June 2000. Water levels from 170 wells with screened intervals in the upper 100 ft were used to construct a contour map of the water-table surface (fig. 5) used to calibrate the simulation model. Ground water in the shallow part of the system in the La Pine study area generally flows toward the rivers, which generally are gaining in the study area. Water-table contours also indicate that shallow ground water moves toward low- lying Long Prairie south of the La Pine core area (fig. 1). The water table is typically within 20 ft of land surface in the study area. The shallowest depths to water in the study area are along the lower reach of the Deschutes River and the entire Little Deschutes River. In many areas, the water table is within 5 ft of land surface and seasonally inundates low lying areas adjacent to the streams during high flows in the spring. Ground-water levels vary with time in response to changes in rates of recharge to and discharge from the ground- water system. To characterize seasonal and shorter variations, bi-monthly water-level measurements were made in 48 wells and digital recorders measured water levels every 2 hours in 9 additional wells. Most wells were monitored between March 2000 and December 2001; however, several wells in the bi-monthly network also were monitored between 1994 and 1998 as part of a previous study of the upper Deschutes basin (Gannett and others, 2001). Two long-term observation wells also are in the study area and are measured by the Oregon Water Resources Department (OWRD). These wells, one of which has been measured quarterly since 1945, provide insights on the effects of withdrawals (pumping), decadal- scale climate variation, and other influences. Three well hydrographs are shown in figure 6 to illustrate general observations regarding the response of ground-water levels to seasonal and long-term variation in recharge. Basic information for all wells included in the monitoring network is listed in table 3. Additional information for these wells, including the complete history of water-level data, is available from the USGS National Water Information System (NWIS) at http://waterdata.usgs.gov/or/nwis. OR19-0049_fig06 USGS Site ID 43440012127580121S/11E-19ccc OWRD Well ID DESC 7620 CALENDAR YEAR CALENDAR YEAR 19 4 5 19 5 0 19 5 5 19 6 0 19 6 5 19 7 0 19 7 5 19 8 0 19 8 5 19 9 0 19 9 5 20 0 0 20 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 USGS Site ID 43323112136030123S/09E-36bbc OWRD Well ID KLAM 136 30 35 40 USGS Site ID 43432812130460121S/10E-27dbb1OWRD Well ID DESC 53655 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 WA T E R L E V E L , I N F E E T B E L O W L A N D S U R F A C E 5 10 15 Depth: 100 feet (deepened from 37 feet in 1964)Open interval: 70-100 feet Depth: 21 feetOpen interval: 18-21 feet Depth: 470 feetOpen interval: 145-470 feet Figure 6. Water levels in selected wells in the La Pine, Oregon, study area. Conceptual Model of Ground-Water System 15 Recharge to the ground-water system from infiltration of precipitation and snowmelt occurs primarily in winter and early spring when evaporation and transpiration losses are at a minimum and available moisture is at a maximum. When recharge to the ground-water system exceeds discharge, ground water is added to storage and water levels rise. The response of hydraulic head to the annual recharge pulse in the winter and early spring is attenuated in deeper wells, such as KLAM 136 (fig. 6); however, the annual recharge pulse causes seasonal water-level increases of as much as 5 ft in shallow wells like DESC 53655 (fig. 6). The effects of longer- term variation in climate are evident in shallow and deep wells. Shallow (DESC 53655) and deep (KLAM 136) wells responded to the wet years from 1996 to 1998, although the response in the deep well was delayed and more gradual. The long-term monitoring well DESC 7620 is relatively shallow (100 ft) and shows that several wet and dry periods have occurred in the basin since the mid-1940s (fig. 6). The dry periods have an average length of 11 years. Based on the long- term hydrograph at well DESC 7620, water levels measured at wells in June 2000 and used to construct the water-table map in figure 5 are representative of long-term (1945–2005) mean water levels in the shallow part of the ground-water system. Ground-Water Discharge Ground water discharges to streams, springs, and wells, and by evapotranspiration. Discharge to streams and springs is the primary pathway for ground water to leave the shallow aquifers in the study area. Discharge to streams occurs as diffuse seepage through the streambed (below the water line), as discrete springs or spring complexes that form tributaries (for example, Fall River), and as seepage along the stream bank (above the water line). Evapotranspiration, which includes bare soil evaporation as well as transpiration by plants, is another mechanism for discharge where the water table is shallow. Pumping by wells also accounts for part of the overall discharge from the shallow aquifers in the study area. Streams and Springs The direction and rate of flow between ground water and streams is directly related to the direction and magnitude of the hydraulic gradient between the stream and the ground- water system. For ground water to discharge to a stream, the ground-water level must be greater than the stage of the stream. The rate of discharge to the stream is proportional to the difference between the ground-water level and the stream stage. Table 3. Basin information for water-level monitoring wells in the La Pine, Oregon, study area. [Abbreviations: USGS, U.S. Geological Survey. Frequency: B, bi-monthly; R, recorder (every 2 hours)] State identification No. USGS site identification No.Local No.Frequency DESC 52676 434202121301503 22.00S/10.00E-02BBC03 R DESC 52677 434202121301502 22.00S/10.00E-02BBC02 R DESC 52678 434202121301501 22.00S/10.00E-02BBC01 R DESC 52684 434206121311701 22.00S/10.00E-03BBD01 R DESC 52690 434213121324101 22.00S/10.00E-05AAA01 R DESC 53158 435035121270802 20.00S/11.00E-18ACA2 R DESC 53164 435035121270801 20.00S/11.00E-18ACA1 R DESC 53656 434328121304603 21.00S/10.00E-27DBB3 R DESC 53660 434657121274101 21.00S/11.00E-06CBA R DESC 937 433756121335501 22S/10E-30DDD B DESC 968 434810121305201 20S/10E-34ABC B DESC 1450 433850121302301 22S/10E-22DDD B DESC 1529 434700121285701 21S/10E-01BCD B DESC 1727 434731121341001 20S/10E-31DDC B DESC 6593 434516121295101 21.00S/10.00E-14CDD B DESC 6959 434400121291401 21S/10E-23DDD B DESC 7618 434501121272401 21S/11E-18CDA3 B DESC 7620 434400121275801 21S/11E-19CCC B DESC 7740 434217121263801 21.00S/11.00E-32CCC B DESC 9173 433948121300101 22S/10E-14CCA B DESC 9303 434752121343101 20.00S/10.00E-31DBB B DESC 9314 434534121323801 21.00S/10.00E-16BBB B DESC 9655 433959121300801 22S/10E-14CBB02 B DESC 9889 434041121330701 22.00S/10.00E-08DCC B DESC 50418 435104121282301 20.00S/10.00E-12DCB B DESC 52533 433847121302301 22.00S/10.00E-22DAA2 B DESC 52679 434203121305402 22.00S/10.00E-03ABC02 B DESC 52680 434203121305403 22.00S/10.00E-03ABC03 B DESC 52681 434203121305401 22.00S/10.00E-03ABC01 B DESC 52682 434206121311702 22.00S/10.00E-03BBD02 B DESC 52683 434206121311703 22.00S/10.00E-03BBD03 B DESC 52685 434206121312904 22.00S/10.00E-03BBB04 B DESC 52686 434206121312902 22.00S/10.00E-03BBB02 B DESC 52687 434206121312903 22.00S/10.00E-03BBB03 B DESC 52688 434206121312901 22.00S/10.00E-03BBB01 B DESC 52689 434213121324102 22.00S/10.00E-05AAA02 B DESC 53159 434213121295902 21.00S/10.00E-35CDC2 B DESC 53160 435030121271401 20.00S/11.00E-18ACC1 B DESC 53163 434213121295901 21.00S/10.00E-35CDC1 B DESC 53166 434910121275501 20.00S/11.00E-19CCC1 B DESC 53174 435007121272702 20.00S/11.00E-18CDC2 B DESC 53175 435007121272701 20.00S/11.00E-18CDC1 B DESC 53177 435030121271402 20.00S/11.00E-18ACC2 B DESC 53178 434910121275502 20.00S/11.00E-19CCC2 B DESC 53184 434945121273501 20.00S/11.00E-19BDB B DESC 53185 435026121272101 20.00S/11.00E-18CAA B DESC 53651 434029121292401 22.00S/10.00E-11DCC B DESC 53652 434026121314301 22.00S/10.00E-16AAB1 B DESC 53653 434026121314302 22.00S/10.00E-16AAB2 B DESC 53655 434328121304601 21.00S/10.00E-27DBB1 B DESC 53657 434328121304602 21.00S/10.00E-27DBB2 B DESC 53658 434212121335301 22.00S/10.00E-06AAB B DESC 53659 433703121305101 22.00S/10.00E-34DCC B DESC 53661 434226121282302 21.00S/10.00E-36ACD2 B KLAM 136 433231121360301 23S/09E-36BBC B KLAM 138 433152121281301 23S/10E-36DDC B KLAM 51668 433625121354401 23.00S/09.00E-01DAC B 16 Evaluation of Approaches for Managing Nitate Loading from On-Site Wastewater Systems near La Pine, Oregon Ground water discharge to streams and springs was estimated from gain-loss surveys of the Deschutes and Little Deschutes Rivers between October 1995 and October 2000. Gain-loss surveys, sometimes termed “seepage studies”, are used to measure increases or decreases in streamflow between upstream and downstream measurement sites that can be attributed to exchange of water between the stream channel and the underlying ground-water system. The gain-loss surveys were conducted by measuring streamflow at intervals of 1 to 10 mi on the Deschutes River between Wickiup Dam (river mile [RM] 226.7) and Benham Falls (RM 181.4) and on the Little Deschutes River between Wagon Trail Ranch (RM 43.0) and immediately upstream of the mouth (RM 0.5). Gaging stations are located below Wickiup Dam and at Benham Falls on the Deschutes River and at RM 26.7 on the Little Deschutes River (fig. 7). Tributary inflow to the Deschutes River was measured from Fall, Spring, and Little Deschutes Rivers, and tributary inflow to the Little Deschutes River was measured from Paulina Creek and Long Creek. The gain or loss to or from each reach was computed by summing the upstream and tributary inflow to the reach and deducting the downstream outflow and diversions. Any positive residual was assumed to be discharge from ground water; negative residuals were assumed to represent stream leakage (recharge) to ground water. Streamflow measurements and estimated gains and losses for surveys in October 1995, February 1996, March 2000, and October 2000, are listed in table 4. The gain-loss surveys of the Deschutes River show net gains of 143 and 166 ft3/s in 1996 and 2000. Most gains occur downstream of Harper’s Bridge, RM 191.7, where large springs discharge near river level from basalt aquifers. Spring discharge to this reach was about 170–180 ft3/s (15–20 percent of flow) in the two gain-loss surveys. Between Wickiup Dam (RM 226.7) and Harper’s Bridge the 1996 and 2000 surveys show a possible net loss of 10–40 ft3/s. Between Harper’s Bridge and General Patch Bridge, surveys showed net losses of 54 and 24 ft3/s in 1996 and 2000, respectively. Although the seepage results show apparent losses in this reach they are similar in magnitude to the estimated error of measurement (32–38 ft3/s). Other data (contours showing horizontal hydraulic head gradients toward the river and upward vertical gradients measured below the river bed) indicate that ground water discharges to the river in this reach and seepage data lack the accuracy to measure the gain in flow. Upstream of General Patch Bridge, the Deschutes River receives ground- water discharge of as much as 25 ft3/s, with most entering the river downstream of the La Pine State Recreation Area. The 10-mi reach upstream of Pringle Falls showed little or no ground-water interaction in 1996 and 2000. Overall, little net gain or loss was measured in flow of the Deschutes River upstream of Harper’s Bridge, relative to the total discharge of the river. This is probably due to the low permeability of the ash and tephra deposits that constitute much of the streambed and lack of major springs discharging directly to the channel in this reach. However, exchange between the river and the ground-water system may be occurring at a smaller scale that cannot be resolved by gain-loss surveys in which measurements are several miles apart. The multitude of meander loops likely are hydraulically connected by old channel deposits that may provide ground- water flow pathways where stream water can leave the channel and re-enter downstream. The Little Deschutes River downstream of RM 43 showed net gains ranging from 6.7 to 19.8 ft3/s in the gain-loss surveys conducted in October 1995, March 2000, and October 2000. All three surveys showed that the reach between Bridge Drive (RM 15.9) and South Century Drive (RM 5.5) received ground-water discharge; the gains in the reach ranged from 5.9 to 25.2 ft3/s (0.6 to 2.4 ft3/s/mi), although the measurement error was nearly equal to the apparent 25.2 ft3/s gain in March 2000. Gains ranging from 2.9 to 28.5 ft3/s (0.2 to 1.8 ft3/s/ mi) also were measured in the 16.3 mi reach upstream of the gaging station (at RM 26.7). The reach from South Century Drive (RM 5.5) to just upstream of the mouth (RM 0.5) had little or no gain or loss in the October surveys (1995 and 2000); however, the March 2000 survey indicated a 35 ft3/s loss in this reach. Long Creek is an intermittent tributary to the Little Deschutes that drains the area between Highways 97 and 31 to the south of La Pine. This topographically low area probably is an abandoned channel of the Little Deschutes River. Aerial photography showing lush vegetation throughout summer indicates that this area has a shallow water table and likely is a ground-water discharge area. In a typical year, Long Creek flows until the water-table declines below the streambed in June–July and then remains dry until the water table rises in response to winter-spring recharge. The October surveys probably were representative of average conditions (neutral or slight gains) on the lowermost reach of the Little Deschutes River, whereas the March 2000 survey probably was affected by high flows (about 300 ft3/s) that occurred during the seepage measurements. The area between the Deschutes River and Little Deschutes immediately upstream of their confluence is underlain by 10–15 ft of pumice, sand, and fine gravel that overlie a dense, low-permeability clay. The top of the clay is exposed in the banks of the Deschutes and Little Deschutes Rivers a few feet above the water surface at low flow. In late spring, ground- water seepage is visible on the bank at the contact between the sand and gravel and the clay. At high stream stage, as during the March 2000 survey, surface water would move from the channel into the exposed sand and gravel while the hydraulic gradient between the stream and ground water is temporarily reversed (stream stage is greater than the ground-water level). Conceptual Model of Ground-Water System 17 Figure 7. Gaining and losing reaches of the Deschutes and Little Deschutes Rivers and locations of measurement sites for gain-loss surveys between October 1995 and October 2000 in the La Pine, Oregon, study area. OR19-0049_fig 07 Base modified from U.S. Geological Survey 1:500,000 state base map, 1982 with digital data from U.S. Bureau of the Census, TIGER/Line (R), 1990 and U.S. Geological Survey Digital Line Graphs published at 1:100,000 Publication projection is Lambert Conformal Conic Standard parallels 42º20' and 44º40', central meridian -120º30' Datum is NAD83R 9 E R 10 E R 11 E T 21 S T 22 S T 23 S T 24 S T 20 S T 19 S DESCHUTES L A K E KLAMATH Sp r i n g Ri v e r Fall River Cresc e n t Creek Creek Little De s c h u t e s DE S C H U T E S RIV E R Ri v e r Pauli n a Lo n g C r e e k 5 KILOMETERS 5 MILES0 0 Wickiup Reservoir 97 97 31 31 Burgess Road Drive Finley Butt e Road R o a d South Century Spring River Masten Road Sunriver Sunriver La Pine La Pine 43°55' 50' 45' 121°40'35'30'25'121°20' 40' 43°35' Ex t e n t o f s t u d y a r e a m o d e l 0-35 24-54 1-2 11-24 1-6 170-180 0-12 3-29 6-25 RM 13.7 14063000 14056500 14057500 14064500 RM43.0 RM26.7 RM226.7 RM217.6 RM208.6 RM199.7 RM192.7 RM191.7 RM 181.4 RM5.5 RM0.5 EXPLANATION Gain or loss for stream reach—Number is gain or loss in cubic feet per second Gain—more certain Gain—less certain Loss—less certain Loss—more certain Gaging station with USGS site number—See table 4 for details Discharge measurement site with river mile—See table 4 for details 6-25 RM43.0 14063000 Lo n g P r a i r i e 18 Evaluation of Approaches for Managing Nitate Loading from On-Site Wastewater Systems near La Pine, Oregon Ta b l e 4 . Su m m a r y o f d a t a f r o m s t r e a m g a i n - l o s s s u r v e y s o n t h e D e s c h u t e s a n d L i t t l e D e s c h u t e s R i v e r s i n t h e L a P i n e , O r e g o n , s t u d y a r e a , 19 9 5 – 2 0 0 0 . [A l l v a l u e s a r e i n c u b i c f e e t p e r s e c o n d u n l e s s o t h e r w i s e n o t e d . Q i s m e a s u r e d d i s c h a r g e i n t h e m a i n s t e m r i v e r ; T r i b u t a r y Q i s m e a s u r e d t r i b u t a r y i n f l o w a b o v e t h e i n d i c a t e d r i v e r m i l e ; S e e p a g e i s t h e un m e a s u r e d g a i n ( + ) o r l o s s ( - ) a b o v e t h e i n d i c a t e d r i v e r m i l e ; E r r o r i s t h e e s t i m a t e d e r r o r m e a s u r e m e n t ( + / - ) ; S t a n d a r d d e v i a t i o n o f m e a s u r e m e n t s i s ± 5 p e r c e n t ; E r r o r i s c o m p u t e d a s s q u a r e r o o t o f t h e s u m of t h e v a r i a n c e s f o r m e a s u r e m e n t s u s e d t o c o m p u t e s e e p a g e . Da t a s o u r c e s : s o u r c e 1 i s f r o m K . G o r m a n , O r e g o n W a t e r R e s o u r c e s D e p a r t m e n t , B e n d , O R , w r i t t e n c o m m u n . ; s o u r c e 2 i s f r o m K . L e e , U . S . Ge o l o g i c a l S u r v e y , w r i t t e n c o m m u n . D a t a f o r g a g i n g s t a t i o n s a t B e n h a m F a l l s a n d n e a r L a P i n e a f t e r 1 9 9 1 a r e f r o m B u r e a u o f R e c l a m a t i o n . Ab b r e v i a t i o n : U S G S , U . S . G e o l o g i c a l S u r v e y ] Me a s u r e m e n t s i t e (U S G S s t a t i o n n o . ) Ri v e r m i l e Q Tr i b u t a r y Q Es t i m a t e d se e p a g e Er r o r Q Tr i b u t a r y Q Ap p a r e n t se e p a g e Er r o r Q Tr i b u t a r y Q Es t i m a t e d se e p a g e Er r o r De s c h u t e s R i v e r 02 - 2 1 - 1 9 9 6 ( s o u r c e : 1 ) 10 - 2 4 - 2 0 0 0 ( s o u r c e : 1 ) Be l o w W i c k i u p D a m ( 1 4 0 5 6 5 0 0 ) 22 6 . 7 12 8 27 4 At P r i n g l e F a l l s 21 7 . 6 12 6 -2 9 27 3 -1 19 At L a p i n e S t a t e R e c r e a t i o n R o a d 20 8 . 6 13 2 6 9 27 4 1 19 At G e n e r a l P a t c h B r i d g e 19 9 . 7 26 8 11 2 24 16 42 7 14 2 11 26 Ab o v e L i t t l e D e s c h u t e s 19 2 . 7 39 4 -3 3 29 At H a r p e r ’ s B r i d g e 19 1 . 7 75 8 54 4 -5 4 38 49 0 87 . 0 9 32 At B e n h a m F a l l s ( 1 4 0 6 4 5 0 0 ) 18 1 . 4 1, 0 5 0 12 0 17 2 65 88 1 21 2 17 9 52 To t a l 45 . 3 14 6 53 16 6 46 Li t t l e D e s c h u t e s R i v e r 10 - 1 0 - 1 9 9 5 ( s o u r c e : 1 ) 03 - 2 0 - 2 0 0 0 ( s o u r c e : 2 ) 10 - 2 3 - 2 0 0 0 ( s o u r c e : 1 ) Wa g o n T r a i l R a n c h 43 . 0 50 . 4 70 . 7 Ma s t e n R o a d 37 . 9 27 5 De e r R o a d 33 . 5 53 . 3 2. 9 3. 7 Do r a n c e M e a d o w R o a d 32 . 6 71 . 4 0. 7 5 Ne a r L a P i n e ( 1 4 0 6 3 0 0 0 ) 26 . 7 53 . 3 0 3. 8 30 8 4. 5 0 29 21 81 . 2 9. 8 5 Br i d g e D r i v e 15 . 9 29 6 -1 2 21 St a t e R e c r e a t i o n A r e a R o a d 13 . 7 55 . 9 2. 6 3. 9 79 . 6 -1 . 6 6 So u t h C e n t u r y D r i v e 5. 5 59 . 2 3. 3 4. 1 32 4 2. 8 0 25 22 89 . 4 9. 8 6 At C r o s s w a t e r G o l f C o u r s e b r i d g e 1. 4 57 . 4 -1 . 8 4. 1 At C r o s s w a t e r G o l f C o u r s e b r i d g e (m o u t h ) 0. 5 28 9 -3 5 22 90 . 5 1. 1 6 To t a l 42 . 5 7. 0 3. 8 7 20 19 . 8 6 Conceptual Model of Ground-Water System 19 The surveys on the Little Deschutes River in October 1995 and October 2000 are surprisingly dissimilar considering that the discharge and measurement error were relatively low for each survey. The apparent net gain in October 2000 was nearly three times that measured in October 1995. The difference between the results of the two surveys likely is explained by the water-table elevation at the time of each survey. In 1995, the basin had undergone several years of less than-normal precipitation and ground-water levels had fallen by nearly 20 ft over the previous decade in long-term observation well DESC 7620 (fig. 6). The lowering of the water table reduced the hydraulic gradient between the shallow ground water and the stream and, therefore, the ground-water discharge to the stream also was reduced. Between 1995 and 2000, ground-water levels recovered almost 15 ft, and based on the gain-loss surveys, ground-water discharge to the Little Deschutes River increased from 7 to nearly 20 ft3/s. In October–November 2000, a survey was made of the vertical hydraulic head gradient between the shallow ground- water system and the Deschutes and Little Deschutes Rivers. The purpose of the survey was to identify the locations of gaining and losing reaches of the Little Deschutes and Deschutes Rivers at a more detailed scale than possible using the gain-loss surveys in which discharge measurements were made at locations separated by as much as 10 mi. Hydraulic gradient alone cannot be used to determine the volumetric rate of flow between a stream and the aquifer. Stream-channel profiles and bed lithology data (appendix A) also were collected during the survey and later used to estimate the stream bed conductance parameters required by the simulation model. The simulation model was used to estimate the rate of ground-water flow into or out of the stream; the simulated rates were compared with estimates from the seepage surveys during model calibration. Head gradient measurements were made at 12 sites on the Deschutes River between RM 192.5 and RM 218.4 and 20 sites on the Little Deschutes River between RM 2.0 and RM 42.6 (appendix A). The average distance between head gradient measurements was 2 river miles. Measurements were made using a portable hydraulic potentiometer that was driven 1–3 ft into the streambed. The relative head difference between the stream and ground water was measured to the nearest 0.01 ft using a manometer. The design of the potentiometer and details on the procedure for measuring head gradients is given in Winter and others (1988). The dimensionless vertical hydraulic head gradient was computed at each location by dividing the head difference (ground-water level minus stream stage) by the depth of the center of the potentiometer screen below the stream bed. Ground-water discharge was indicated at 18 of 20 measurement sites on the Little Deschutes River and at all 12 sites on the Deschutes River (appendix A). Vertical hydraulic gradients ranged from -0.003 to 0.075 on the Little Deschutes River (negative gradients indicate downward flow from the river) and 0.010 to 0.060 on the Deschutes River. All gradients were upward (indicating ground-water discharge to the river) except for two sites on the Little Deschutes River (RM 28.1 and 29.5; fig. A1, table A1) where neutral or slight downward gradients were measured. Evapotranspiration Ground-water discharge to the atmosphere can occur by evaporation from bare soil and transpiration from the leaves of phreatophytes (plants whose roots draw water from the saturated zone). The rate of evaporation from bare soil diminishes rapidly with increasing depth to the water table and is negligible if the water table is more than 10 ft below land surface (Brutsaert, 1982, p. 236). Transpiration rates are dependent on the type and density of phreatophytes, climatic conditions, quality of water, and depth to water (Robinson, 1958, p. 16). These processes usually are considered together and referred to as evapotranspiration, or ET. In June 2000, the water table was within 10 ft of land surface over an area of about 22 mi2. The potential ET (PET) rate is the maximum possible rate for the local climate conditions if water is nonlimiting. As part of a regional ground-water budget, Gannett and others (2001) estimated that the PET for the saturated zone in the La Pine study area was 22 in/yr, which is equivalent to about 1.6 ft3/s/mi2. This rate would occur only if the water table was at or near land surface with full coverage of phreatophytes. Under these conditions, the maximum rate of ground-water discharge from the study area by ET would be 35 ft3/s. Because the water table is not at land surface and the coverage of phreatophytes is considerably less than 100 percent, a more reasonable estimate of total ET from the study area is in the range of 10 to 20 ft3/s. Wells Eleven public-water supply systems (Oregon Department of Human Services, 2005) served about 1,650 people in the study area in 2000. The largest water purveyor, the La Pine Water District, serves 800 residents in the central core area of La Pine. A private water system serves about 350 residents of neighborhoods north of South Century Drive, between the Deschutes and Little Deschutes Rivers. Several other small water systems serve about 500 residents of mobile home and recreational vehicle parks scattered throughout the study area. About 12,350 residents, about 90 percent of the population, obtained their water from individual, privately-owned wells in 2000. Local water use data for self-supplied rural residents in the study area was not available. Mean per capita withdrawals for self-supplied rural domestic use in Oregon is estimated to be 110 gal/d (Hutton and others, 2004); however, given the limited amount of irrigated landscaping in the La Pine 20 Evaluation of Approaches for Managing Nitate Loading from On-Site Wastewater Systems near La Pine, Oregon area, this value probably is not applicable. Deschutes County monitored wastewater effluent discharge at homes in the area as part of the La Pine Demonstration Project and determined the average per capita rate was 45 gal/d (Oregon Department of Environmental Quality, 2004b). To estimate domestic well withdrawals, it was assumed that outside water use was equal to 25 percent of total use, making the total per capita withdrawal rate equal to 60 gal/d. Assuming this rate for each of the 14,000 residents, about 0.84 Mgal/d (1.3 ft3/s) were withdrawn in 2000. Infiltration of effluent from on-site wastewater systems returns is about 45 gal/d per capita (0.63 Mgal/d total) to the ground-water system as recharge at the water table, resulting in net withdrawals of 0.21 Mgal/d (0.32 ft3/s). Nitrogen Fate and Transport As part of this study, Hinkle and others (2007a) applied geochemical and isotopic tools at various scales to provide a framework for understanding aquifer-scale nitrate source, transport, and fate. (Other wastewater contaminants, such as viruses and pharmaceuticals, were evaluated by Hinkle and others [2005].) The conceptual model resulting from this work was used to develop the transport simulation model. Nitrogen concentration data, tracer-based apparent ground-water ages, ratios of N/Cl-, N isotope data, and ground-water flow directions indicate that on-site wastewater effluent is the only significant anthropogenic nitrogen source to shallow ground water in the area. High concentrations of ammonium were measured in samples from deep ground water. Nitrogen isotopes, N/Cl- and N/C ratios, tritium- age data, and hydraulic-head gradients support a natural, sedimentary organic matter source for the high concentrations of ammonium in the deep aquifer, as opposed to an origin from on-site wastewater derived nitrogen. Most residential development in the La Pine area has occurred since 1960, with accelerated growth during 1990–2005. As a result, loading of nitrate from on-site wastewater systems is a relatively recent phenomenon that, in combination with low ground-water recharge rates, has resulted in high concentrations of nitrate near the water table. Low recharge rates and flow velocities have, for now, generally restricted nitrate occurrence to discrete plumes within 20–30 ft of the water table. Concentrations of nitrate typically are low in deeper, older ground water due to the nature and timing of nitrate loading and transport, and to loss by denitrification. Denitrification is the process of reducing nitrate into gaseous nitrogen. The process is performed by bacteria when dissolved oxygen (which is a more favorable electron acceptor) is depleted, and bacteria turn to nitrate in order to oxidize organic carbon or other electron donors. Denitrification was identified as an important geochemical process in the study area by Hinkle and others (2007a), who reported various supporting evidence, including nitrate/chloride relations, presence of excess N2 enriched in 15N, presence of N2O, and nitrate losses within a framework of progressively reduced ground water, reflecting classical geochemical evolution. Ground water in the study area evolves from oxic to increasingly reduced conditions with increasing depth below the water table. Suboxic conditions are achieved in 15–30 years, and the boundary between oxic and suboxic ground water is sharp. Nitrate is denitrified near the oxic- suboxic boundary. The denitrification process was simulated by specifying the location of the oxic-suboxic boundary within the ground- water system and applying the assumption that nitrate is rapidly converted to nitrogen gas as it is transported across the boundary. The location of the boundary was mapped within the study-area using data from 256 wells where dissolved oxygen concentrations were available (Hinkle and others, 2007a). Oxic ground water was defined as water with dissolved oxygen concentrations greater than to 0.5 mg/L. The boundary between oxic and suboxic water was constrained at each sampling site using information on the depth to the water table and well construction. The elevation of the oxic/ suboxic boundary cannot be exactly determined at wells; however, the elevation can be constrained if depth to the water table and the top of the screened interval of the well are known. The presence of suboxic water indicates that the boundary lies above the top of the screened interval and the presence of oxic water indicates that the boundary lies below the top of the screened interval. In the latter case, the well may yield a mixture of oxic and suboxic water if the boundary lies within the screened interval, or the water may be entirely oxic if the boundary lies below the screened interval. In areas where data were sparse, an understanding of general patterns of occurrence of oxic and suboxic water was used to infer the location of the boundary. The general absence of oxic water below a depth of 50 ft below the water table helped constrain the depth over large parts of the study area. Similarly, the general absence of suboxic water in ground water within 10 ft of the water table constrained the minimum thickness of the oxic part of the aquifer. However, one limitation of the data was the absence of wells in near-stream areas to constrain the boundary location. The thickness of the oxic part of the aquifer was contoured (fig. 8) and used to specify the location of the oxic-suboxic boundary in the transport model. The thickness of the oxic part of the aquifer decreases as ground water moves toward discharge areas along the Deschutes River, Little Deschutes River, and Long and Paulina Creeks. This is consistent with the aging of ground water as it moves along flow paths terminating at surface-water features in the area. Details of the implementation of the boundary are presented in the description of the simulation model. Conceptual Model of Ground-Water System 21 Figure 8. Estimated thickness of oxic ground-water layer in the shallow aquifer in the La Pine, Oregon, study area. OR19-0049_fig08 Base modified from U.S. Geological Survey 1:500,000 state base map, 1982 with digital data from U.S. Bureau of the Census, TIGER/Line (R), 1990 and U.S. Geological Survey Digital Line Graphs published at 1:100,000 Publication projection is Lambert Conformal Conic Standard parallels 42º20' and 44º40', central meridian -120º30' Datum is NAD83R 9 E R 10 E R 11 E T 21 S T 22 S T 23 S T 24 S T 20 S T 19 S DESCHUTES CO. L A K E KLAMATH CO. EXPLANATION Estimated thickness of the oxic layer—In feet, where oxic ground water is defined as water with a dissolved oxygen concentration greater than 0.5 milligrams per liter. 10-12 20 40 50 S p r i n g Ri v e r Fall River Cresc e n t Creek Creek Little De s c h u t e s DE S C H U T E S RIV E R Ri v e r Pauli n a Lo n g C r e e k 5 KILOMETERS 5 MILES0 0 Wickiup Reservoir 97 97 31 31 Burgess Road Drive Finley Butt e Road R o a d South Century Spring River Masten Road Sunriver Sunriver La Pine La Pine 43°55' 50' 45' 121°40'35'30'25'121°20' 40' 43°35' Ex t e n t o f s t u d y - a r e a m o d e l 22 Evaluation of Approaches for Managing Nitate Loading from On-Site Wastewater Systems near La Pine, Oregon Nitrogen Loading from On-Site Wastewater Systems The annual rate of nitrogen loading to the shallow aquifer system from on-site wastewater systems was estimated for 1960–2005. The simulation model was run for 1960–99 using the estimated annual loading rates as input and simulated nitrate concentrations were compared with measured concentrations. Previous investigations (Century West Engineering, 1982; Oregon Department of Environmental Quality, 1994) have concluded that the only significant anthropogenic source of nitrogen to the ground- water system in the La Pine study area is effluent from on-site wastewater systems. As previously described, Hinkle and others (2007a) also cite several lines of geochemical evidence supporting the conclusion that on-site wastewater systems are the dominant anthropogenic nitrogen source. This conclusion also is consistent with the low level of agricultural activity, limited number of livestock, and infrequent use of turf (and therefore fertilizer) in residential landscaping in the study area (Century West Engineering, 1982; Oregon Department of Environmental Quality, 1994; Hinkle and others, 2007a). Annual nitrogen loading to ground water from on-site wastewater-system effluent was estimated for each tax lot in the study area annually from 1960 to 1999. The population of the study area prior to 1960 was sufficiently small that nitrogen loading was considered negligible. Nitrogen loading estimates were compiled by tax lot, but later aggregated across larger areas for input to the simulation model. Sources considered for nitrogen loading estimates included residential, schools, motels, restaurants, and recreational vehicle and trailer parks. Tax lot data (location, property class, improvement class, year built) were provided by Deschutes County (Tim Berg, Deschutes County Department of Community Development, written commun., 2001) and Klamath County (Jim McClellan, Klamath County Department of Management Information Services, written commun., 2001). Nitrogen loading was assumed to begin when lots were developed and end when lots were connected to a centralized sewer system (see areas served by centralized sewers in figure 1). Dates of sewer installation were provided by ODEQ (Dick Nichols, ODEQ, written commun., 2001) and La Pine Special Sewer District (Andy Newton, La Pine Special Sewer District, oral commun., 2001). Nitrogen loads were calculated for each of the approximately 5,200 lots that were developed and used on-site wastewater systems in 1999. Nitrogen loading for homes was assumed to equal the product of the average number of persons per household (2.55 persons/household in the study area [U.S. Bureau of the Census, 1960, 1970, 1980, 1990, 2000]); average volume of effluent discharged to the on-site system by each person (45 gal/person/d or 170 L/person/d [U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 1980; Oregon Department of Environmental Quality, 2004b]), and average nitrogen concentration in on-site wastewater system effluent (61 mg N/L in the study area [B. Rich, ODEQ, written commun., 2001]). Nitrogen discharged from on-site wastewater systems also was assumed to be completely oxidized to nitrate in the unsaturated zone beneath the drain field. Using these assumptions, the estimated potential average nitrogen loading per home is 21 lb N/yr (9.7 kg N/yr). The potential for nitrogen loss in the unsaturated zone was evaluated by sampling packed-bed (sand) filter on-site systems in the upper Deschutes Basin. Inflow to and outflow from the sand filters was sampled at 15 sites in two networks. The first network consisted of 10 sand filters, installed 0.9 to 9.1 years prior to sampling. The second network consisted of 5 new sand filters. The first network was sampled once (October 2001) and the second network was sampled approximately bi-monthly for 3 years after installation (October 2000 – November 2003). Samples were analyzed by ODEQ as part of the La Pine NDP for nitrate, ammonium, total Kjeldahl nitrogen, and chloride. Nitrogen concentrations were adjusted for dilution and evaporation using chloride concentrations. The adjusted nitrogen concentrations from the first sand-filter network indicated median and mean nitrogen losses of 31 percent and 29 percent, respectively (ODEQ, unpub. data, 2004). Data from the second network showed that the sand filters underwent a period of maturation after installation. Using data from samples collected more than one year after installation, adjusted nitrogen concentrations from the second sand-filter network indicated median and mean nitrogen losses of 11 percent (Oregon Department of Environmental Quality, 2004b). The artificial unsaturated zone created by a sand-filter on-site system would be expected to function much like the natural unsaturated zone beneath standard on-site systems in the study area and similar rates of nitrogen loss would be expected beneath standard and sand-filter on-site wastewater systems. Based on the range of nitrogen loss indicated in the sand-filter sampling study (approximately 10 to 30 percent), nitrogen losses in the unsaturated zone were assumed to average 25 percent for conventional on-site systems (including standard, pressure-distribution, and sand- filter systems) for computing loading rates. Nitrogen loss of 25 percent in the unsaturated zone would reduce the assumed nitrogen concentration of effluent as it enters the saturated part of the ground-water system (water table) from 61 mg N/L to 46 mg N/L. For the same effluent volume, the resulting annual nitrogen loading to the ground-water system would be reduced from 21 lb N/yr (9.7 kg N/yr) to 16 lb N/yr (7.3 kg N/yr). Nitrogen loading estimates were further adjusted to account for seasonal residency. For many years a significant number of homes in the study area were second homes or vacation rentals occupied only part of the year. In 1980, about 46 percent of the population in the study area was seasonal (Century West Engineering, 1982). Seasonal residents made up an estimated 20 percent of study area population in 2000 (Keven Bryan, La Pine Postmaster, oral commun., 2000; Carla Crume, La Pine Chamber of Commerce, oral commun., 2000). To account for seasonal residents in the estimates of nitrate loading it was assumed that (1) a seasonal resident did not occupy their home for 6 months of the year, (2) seasonal Conceptual Model of Ground-Water System 23 residents were 46 percent of the population from 1960 to 1980, and (3) the percentage of seasonal residents decreased from 46 to 20 percent between 1980 and 1999. Adjusted for seasonal residency, residential nitrate loading estimates ranged from 12 to 14 lb/yr (5.6 to 6.5 kg/yr) per home between 1960 and 1999. About 9,300 residential lots in the study area depend (or will depend) on on-site systems for wastewater disposal. Nearly 8,200 lots are in Deschutes County and the remaining 1,100 lots are in Klamath County. About 1,800 additional undeveloped lots in Deschutes County may not be suitable for on-site wastewater systems due to extremely shallow water- table conditions (Tim Berg, Deschutes County Community Development Department, written commun., November 2005). Another 485 lots in Deschutes County will be served by a central sewer system scheduled to be completed in 2008 and are not included in these totals (B. Rich, Deschutes County Community Development Department, written commun., November 2005). As of 1999, homes with on-site systems had been built on 4,800 and 390 lots in Deschutes County and Klamath County, respectively. Assuming an average nitrogen loading rate of 14 lb/yr (6.5 kg/yr) per home, total residential loading in 1999 was 74,000 lb/yr (33,750 kg/yr). According to Deschutes County records, about 1,000 new homes were built between 2000 and 2005; this represents about 26 percent of the 2000 inventory of 3,900 lots in the Deschutes County part of the study area. Building data were not available for the Klamath County part of the study area for 2000–2005, however if the same growth rate is assumed, an additional 180 new homes would have been built during this period. The estimated number of homes in the study area in 2005 was 6,370 with nitrogen loading of 91,000 lb/yr (41,400 kg/yr). The remaining inventory of lots suitable for on-site systems in 2005 was 2,930, which could potentially add 42,000 lb/yr (19,000 kg/ yr) of nitrogen loading from on-site systems. These residential loading estimates are based on the assumption that 20 percent of residents were seasonal in 1999 and 2005. If all residents were full-time, the average nitrogen loading per home would be 16 lb/yr (7.3 kg/yr) and the total loading from on-site systems after all lots (9,300) were developed would be about 150,000 lb/yr (67,900 kg/yr), or about 164 percent of the 2005 estimate. As with homes, nitrogen loading for schools, motels, restaurants, and recreational vehicle and trailer parks was assumed to equal the product of the number of people using the facilities, average volume of effluent generated per person, and the average nitrogen concentration in on-site system effluent (also assumed to be 46 mg N/L for these facilities). In most instances, estimates of the number of people served by on-site systems in study area schools, motels, restaurants (data in terms of restaurant seats), and recreational vehicle and trailer parks were obtained from employees at the facilities and from the Deschutes County Department of Environmental Health. Data could not be obtained directly from some motels and recreational vehicle and trailer park sites; in these instances, data obtained from similar sites were applied. Average volumes of effluent generated in schools were reported to be 3.2 gal/d (12 L/d) per elementary school student and 5.3 gal/d (20 L/d) per middle school student (John Rexford, Operations Manager, Bend-La Pine Public School District, written commun., 2001); volumes for high school students were assumed to be the same as for middle school students. A volume of 14 gal/d (53 L/d) per restaurant seat (obtained by adjusting the value reported by Frimpter and others [1990], to estimated study area restaurant use) was used in estimates for restaurants. A volume of 34 gal/d (130 L/d) per person was used for motels (Tchobanoglous and Burton, 1991), and 45 gal/d (170 L/d) per person (same as for homes) for recreational vehicle and trailer parks. In 1999, nitrogen loading from nonresidential sources totaled about 6,600 lb/yr (3,000 kg/yr). Annual and cumulative nitrogen loading to the ground- water system from 1960 through 2005 are shown in figure 9. Annual rates for 1960–99 were estimated using the method described above. The 2005 loading rate was based on updated information on the number of homes built as of 2005; the 2000–2004 loading rates were estimated by assuming that the number of homes (and loading) increased linearly during the period and nonresidential loading remained constant at the 1999 rate of 6,600 lb/yr (3,000 kg/yr). Loading increased at a moderate rate as the population grew from 1960 to the mid-1970s. In the late 1970s, a surge in building (and nitrogen loading) occurred prior to enactment of more restrictive rules for on-site systems. Construction of a sewer system for the central business district of La Pine in 1989 caused only a minor reduction in overall nitrogen loading that was followed by rapid population growth and concurrent loading into the 2000s. In 2005, the cumulative mass of nitrogen added to the ground-water system since 1960 was more than 2 million pounds (900,000 kg). As the number of homes contributing nitrogen to ground water increases, the cumulative mass of nitrogen added to ground water rapidly increases. One-half of the total mass of nitrogen added during the 45-year period (1960–2005) was added during the last 12 years (1993–2005) (fig. 9). OR19-0049_fig09 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 CU M U L A T I V E M A S S , I N T O N S 0 200 400 600 800 1,200 1,000 LO A D I N G R A T E , I N P O U N D S P E R Y E A R T I M E S 1 , 0 0 0 0 40 20 60 80 120 100 Cumulative mass loaded Loading rate Figure 9. Annual and cumulative estimated nitrate loading from on-site wastewater systems in the La Pine, Oregon study area, 1960–2005. 24 Evaluation of Approaches for Managing Nitate Loading from On-Site Wastewater Systems near La Pine, Oregon Nitrate Fate and Transport Simulation Models Computer models were used to simulate the physical and chemical processes affecting the fate of nitrate in the shallow aquifer system near La Pine. The purpose of developing the models was to (1) test concepts of how hydrogeologic and geochemical processes affect the movement of nitrate through the ground-water system, and (2) provide tools that could be used to evaluate future water-quality conditions and alternative management options. This section describes the process of constructing and calibrating simulation models at two scales: (1) a transect model used to estimate model parameters and boundary conditions along a ground-water flow path where there is a detailed understanding of the flow system and geochemical evolution of ground-water, and (2) a study- area model covering the area where there are water-quality management concerns. This section includes: (1) discussion of the overall modeling approach used to construct and calibrate the transect and study-area models, (2) discussion of model parameters that must be specified for both models and how the values were estimated and modified during calibration, (3) discussion of hydrologic stresses specified for both models, (4) a detailed description of boundaries, discretization, and calibration of the transect model, and (5) a detailed description of boundaries, discretization, and calibration of the study-area model. Alternative management options were evaluated first by using the study-area model to simulate prescribed scenarios and then by coupling the study-area model with optimization methods. The coupled simulation and optimization model is referred to as the Nitrate Loading Management Model (NLMM). Modeling Approach The study-area model includes 247 mi2 of southern Deschutes and northern Klamath Counties (fig. 10) where either existing or planned future development uses on-site wastewater systems. The study-area model was used to simulate the long-term effects of historical and future nitrate loading from on-site wastewater systems on ground-water quality in the study area. The transect model is more detailed and includes 2.4 mi2 of the shallow aquifer system near Burgess Road (fig. 10). The transect model was used during the calibration process to (1) test basic concepts of ground-water flow and nitrate fate and transport, and (2) refine estimates of model parameters through calibration in part of the study area where abundant geologic, hydrologic, and chemical data were available to constrain the model. A regional ground-water flow model of the 4,500 mi2 upper Deschutes River basin was developed by Gannet and Lite, (2004) to address issues of water supply and ground- water/surface-water interaction. The model does not have the capability to simulate transport of nitrogen and the resolution (grid cell size) of the model grid is not adequate near La Pine to make this model an effective tool for addressing issues related to on-site wastewater systems. The regional model was used, however, to specify initial values of parameters and boundary conditions for the study area and transect models. The first step in developing the transect and study-area models was to construct a ground-water flow model and simulate the velocity and direction of ground-water movement. This velocity distribution then was used in a solute-transport model to simulate the advection and dispersion of nitrate in the ground-water system. Steady-state flow conditions were assumed for the ground-water velocity distribution; that is, it was assumed that there were no changes in storage and the direction of ground-water flow and velocity did not significantly change during the simulation period. The steady- state flow models (transect and study area) were calibrated using observations (measurements) of hydraulic head, ground- water discharge rates to rivers, and chlorofluorocarbon (CFC) based time-of-travel estimates (Hinkle and others, 2007a). The accuracy of the transport model was evaluated by simulating nitrate loading during the 40-year period 1960–99 and comparing statistical distributions of observed and simulated ground-water nitrate concentrations. Ground-water flow and nitrate transport were simulated using the programs MODFLOW-96 and MT3DMS. The U.S. Geological Survey’s MODFLOW model (Harbaugh and McDonald, 1996) is a numerical simulation program capable of simulating hydraulic heads and ground-water flow within a three-dimensional system. The MT3DMS simulation program (Zheng and Wang, 1999) uses the velocity field computed by MODFLOW to simulate the movement of dissolved chemical species in ground water due to advection and dispersion. MT3DMS also is capable of simulating the effects of chemical reactions on the concentration of dissolved species. The study-area and transect models developed for this study consist of a set of data input files that specify the boundary and initial conditions, the hydraulic and transport parameters, and the hydraulic and chemical sources and sinks specific to the study area. These input files provide the data required by the model programs (MODFLOW-96 and MT3DMS) to solve a complex set of partial differential equations that compute ground-water head and flux as well as solute concentration and flux in the subsurface. Nitrate Fate and Transport Simulation Models 25 OR19-0049_fig10 Base modified from U.S. Geological Survey 1:500,000 state base map, 1982 with digital data from U.S. Bureau of the Census, TIGER/Line (R), 1990 and U.S. Geological Survey Digital Line Graphs published at 1:100,000 Publication projection is Lambert Conformal Conic Standard parallels 42º20' and 44º40', central meridian -120º30' Datum is NAD83 R. 9 E.R. 10 E.R. 11 E. T.20 S. T.21 S. T.22 S. T.19 S. T.23 S. T.24 S. DESCHUTES CO. L A K E C O . KLAMATH CO. EXPLANATION Boundary conditions River cell Spring cell Evapotranspiration cell Sp r i n g Ri v e r Fall River Cresc e n t Creek Creek Little De s c h u t e s DE S C H U T E S RIV E R Ri v e r Pauli n a Lo n g C r e e k 5 KILOMETERS 5 MILES0 0 Wickiup Reservoir 97 97 31 31 Burgess Road Drive Finley Butt e Road R o a d South Century Spring River Masten Road Sunriver Sunriver La Pine La Pine 43°55' 50' 45' 121°40'35'30'25'121°20' 40' 43°35' Ex t e n t o f s t u d y a r e a m o d e l 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190 200 210 220 230 240 250 260 270 Columns Ro w s Extent of transect model Upper Deschutes Basin Regional Model La Pine study area model Lo n g P r a i r i e Figure 10. Spatial relations between the upper Deschutes Basin regional ground-water model, the La Pine study area model, and the transect model. 26 Evaluation of Approaches for Managing Nitate Loading from On-Site Wastewater Systems near La Pine, Oregon Model Parameters Several parameters must be specified for each cell in a model. These parameters, hydraulic conductivity, porosity, and dispersion coefficient, define the characteristics of the porous medium (geologic materials) that control the movement of ground water and the fate and transport of nitrate. Hydraulic Conductivity Initial values of hydraulic conductivity for the five major lithofacies in the hydrogeologic model were estimated using (1) results from 24 slug tests done for this study, (2) analysis of 221 well-yield tests reported by drillers, and (3) literature values. The three fluvial hydrofacies, clay-silt, sand, and gravel, were assigned values of 3, 25, and 57 ft/d, respectively, based on mean values from the slug tests. The lacustrine clay-silt hydrofacies was assigned a value of 1 ft/d. The initial value for the basalt hydrofacies was 800 ft/d based on values used by Gannett and Lite (2004) in the La Pine study area. The initial values of vertical hydraulic conductivity were derived by adopting the horizontal to vertical anisotropy ratio of 1,000 used in the regional model for the La Pine study area (Gannett and Lite, 2004). The resulting initial values of vertical hydraulic conductivity were 0.001, 0.003, 0.025, 0.057, and 0.8 ft/d for the lacustrine clay-silt, fluvial clay-silt, fluvial sand, fluvial gravel, and basalt hydrofacies, respectively. Initial values of horizontal and vertical hydraulic conductivity were assigned to each cell in the model on the basis of the hydrofacies represented in the cell. Porosity Effective porosity is defined as the amount of interconnected pore space and fracture openings available for the transmission of fluids, expressed as the ratio of the volume of interconnected pores and openings to the volume of rock (Lohman, 1972). Effective porosity generally is smaller than the total porosity of the porous medium, reflecting that some pore spaces may contain immobile water with zero ground- water seepage velocity (Zheng and Wang, 1999). However, as discussed in some detail by Zheng and Bennett (1995), this so-called effective porosity cannot be readily measured in the field due to the complexity of the pore structure. Rather, it generally must be interpreted as a lumped parameter and estimated during calibration by comparison of simulated and observed solute movement or ground-water travel time. An initial value of 0.30 was used for the effective porosity of all five hydrofacies. Dispersion The solute transport model includes the process of dispersion to account for factors such as diffusion, flow path tortuosity, and heterogeneities in the porous media that cause velocities to deviate from the average seepage velocity. The geostatistical method used to simulate the distribution of hydrofacies allowed the model to represent a great deal of the large scale heterogeneity in hydraulic properties. The scale of heterogeneities incorporated in the hydrogeologic model was, however, limited to the scale of the model grid (200 and 500 ft laterally for the transect and study-area models, respectively, and 5 ft vertically for both models). Because much of the heterogeneity occurs at scales that cannot be represented by a grid cell, the dispersion coefficient was used to represent the smaller (sub-grid cell) scale heterogeneity of the system. Additional factors, such as temporal variations in recharge rates and flow directions that affect solute transport often are incorporated into simulations as dispersion (Goode and Konikow, 1990). Dispersion is represented by three dispersivity coefficients—one for longitudinal dispersivity, which represents dispersion along the primary flow axis, and two for transverse dispersivity values, which represent dispersion in the horizontal and vertical directions normal to the axis of flow. MT3DMS allows the user to specify the longitudinal dispersivity for each model layer and to set the transverse horizontal and transverse vertical dispersivity values as a fraction of the longitudinal dispersivity. The initial value for the longitudinal dispersivity was set to 50 ft to represent sub- grid cell heterogeneity. Typically, the horizontal transverse dispersivity is much smaller than the longitudinal dispersivity and the vertical transverse dispersivity is smaller still (Zheng and Bennett, 1995). Initial values for the transverse dispersivity were set to 5 and 0.5 ft for horizontal and vertical, respectively. The final, calibrated longitudinal, transverse, and vertical dispersivity values were 60, 6, and 0.06 ft, respectively. Model Stresses Model stresses are the flows in and out of the ground- water system that are specified or simulated by the model. The stresses include recharge, discharge to springs and by evapotranspiration (ET), and exchange between streams and the ground-water system. Discharge by pumping wells is another stress, however it was not included in the model because seventy-five percent of domestic well pumping is returned as recharge from on-site wastewater systems. Nitrate Fate and Transport Simulation Models 27 Recharge is the only specified stress in the models; other stresses are simulated by the model based on relations between head in the ground-water system and stream or springs elevation or the rooting depth of plants that discharge ground water by ET. Specified flux and head-dependent flux boundary conditions were used to simulate movement of water between the ground-water system and streams, springs, and the atmosphere. Recharge by infiltration of precipitation was represented by specifying flux to the water table using the recharge (RCH) package (Harbaugh and McDonald, 1996). Streams and rivers, springs, and evapotranspiration were represented using head-dependent flow boundary options in MODFLOW-96 (RIV, DRN, and EVT packages). The locations of cells designated as head-dependent flux boundaries are shown in figure 10. Recharge The distribution of recharge by infiltration of precipitation and snowmelt was estimated for the upper Deschutes basin by Gannett and others (2001) using the Deep Percolation Model (DPM) of Bauer and Vaccaro (1987). The basin was modeled using a grid with cell dimensions of 6,000 ft per side. Gannett and Lite (2004) used estimated 1993–95 mean annual recharge to simulate steady-state conditions. The 1993–95 recharge distribution was used as the initial estimate of recharge to the study-area model; values for each cell were derived by overlaying the study-area model grid with the DPM model grid using a GIS (fig. 5). Neither recharge from on-site systems nor withdrawals by domestic wells were included in the model because, in the context of the overall water budget, these components are essentially equal and offsetting. Reductions in water level near pumping wells are not represented in the study-area model using this approach. Individual domestic wells may influence ground- water flow within localized areas (a few cells), but they would not have a significant effect on the direction and rate of ground-water flow at the scale the model is intended to be used. Rivers Ground-water discharge to and recharge from streams was simulated with the river (RIV) package of MODFLOW-96 (Harbaugh and McDonald, 1996). Data required by the RIV package include: mean stream stage, stream-channel elevation, and streambed conductance for each cell that contains a stream. All major streams in the study area were simulated using this method (fig. 10). All stream-channel elevations were estimated using a 10-m digital elevation model (DEM). The mean stage was estimated to be 4 ft above the streambed in the Deschutes River, 2 ft above the streambed in Paulina Creek and Little Deschutes River, and 1 ft above the streambed in Long Creek. Streambed conductance (SC) is calculated using the equation: SC KA b K v v =, where is the vertical hydraulic conductivity of th he streambed (LT ), is the area of the streambed within t 1 A hhe cell (L ), and is the thickness of the streambed (L). 2 b Conductance values were variable depending on the hydrofacies of the cell and the area of the stream within the cell. The initial conductance values were calculated by assuming that the vertical hydraulic conductivity of streambed sediments was 1/100th of the horizontal hydraulic conductivity of the cell. Streambed thickness was set to 1 ft throughout the model. Springs Ground-water discharge to springs was simulated with the drain (DRN) package of MODFLOW-96 (Harbaugh and McDonald, 1996). Data required by the DRN package include the spring elevation and conductance for each cell that contains a spring. This package was used to represent discharge from springs at the contact between the basin- fill sediments and volcanic rocks on the west side of the Deschutes River between the confluence with Spring River and the northern boundary of the model (fig. 10). All spring elevations were estimated using a 10-m digital elevation model (DEM) data. The conductance parameter has the same dimensions (L2T-1) as the streambed conductance; however, the parameter cannot be easily related to measurable physical characteristics of the springs. Initial values of conductance ranged from 5,000 to 10,000 ft2/d and were adjusted during calibration. Evapotranspiration Discharge from the water table by evapotranspiration (ET) was simulated using the EVT package of MODFLOW-96 (Harbaugh and McDonald, 1996). ET can occur where plants with roots extending to the water table (phreatophytes) use ground water for transpiration or where the water table is close enough to land surface to allow direct evaporation from bare soil. The EVT package uses the assumption of a linear relation between ET discharge and depth to the water table. Data required to define this relation are the potential ET rate (LT-1), depth below land surface at which ET ceases (extinction 28 Evaluation of Approaches for Managing Nitate Loading from On-Site Wastewater Systems near La Pine, Oregon depth), and land surface elevation (L). The potential ET rate was specified as 1.0 ft/d, the extinction depth was 5 ft, and the land surface elevation was specified from DEM data. Only cells where the water table was estimated to be within 10 ft of land surface were activated in the EVT package (fig. 10). The nitrate concentration in ground water used by plants in the ET process was specified as zero because the (1) part of model- simulated ET that is due to plant transpiration (as opposed to evaporation from bare soil) could not be determined, and (2) nutrient uptake by phreatophytes is species dependent and not well constrained. Transect Model The transect model was developed for a part of the ground-water system near Burgess Road (fig. 10). This area was selected for detailed scale modeling because it was the site of intensive data collection and study of changes in ground-water age and chemistry along a ground-water flow path transect (Hinkle and others, 2007a). The 3.5-mi long transect model comprises 17 wells at 6 sites (2–4 wells per site) aligned with the predominant direction of ground- water flow (fig. 11). In addition to ground-water age and chemistry data, hydraulic head, lithologic data, and hydraulic conductivity data were available from the transect wells to construct and calibrate the transect model. Boundaries and Discretization The boundaries of the transect model (fig. 11) were selected to coincide with hydrogeologic boundaries of the local flow system. The western boundary of the model is a no-flow boundary defined by the ground-water divide that coincides with the surface-water drainage divide between the Deschutes and Little Deschutes Rivers. The north and south boundaries of the model are streamline boundaries that parallel the principal direction of ground-water flow from the drainage divide to the Little Deschutes River. The Little Deschutes River, a discharge area, was simulated as a head-dependent flux boundary. The initial conceptual model of the system included a deep regional component of upward ground-water flow across the lower model boundary. The concept for the lower boundary was evaluated by applying a specified flux across the lower model boundary based on data from the regional ground-water flow model by Gannett and Lite (2004). The upward flux estimates from the regional model did not allow a good simulated match to observed conditions (head and flux) when hydraulic conductivity and recharge values were within reasonable ranges based on independent data. Little or no upward flow from a deep regional source is needed to simulate the observed distribution of head and estimated ground-water flux to the Little Deschutes River. Upward vertical gradients were measured in well pairs in the area and geochemical evidence indicates that ground-water discharge to areas near the rivers may have a deep regional component (Hinkle and others, 2007a). Seepage estimates and simulations using the transect model, however, indicate that the magnitude of regional discharge must be small compared to local recharge to the shallow alluvial aquifer. The lower boundary of the transect model was specified as a no-flow boundary. The numerical methods used by MODFLOW and MT3DMS to solve the equations for ground-water flow and solute transport require that the ground-water system be divided into discrete rectangular volumes, called cells. The rows, columns, and layers of cells that make up the three- dimensional array are collectively referred to as the model grid. The center of each cell defines a point at which the hydraulic head and solute concentration is simulated. The simulated head and concentration values are taken to represent the average values within the cell. The longest dimension of the model grid was aligned to the principal direction of ground-water flow from west to east. The grid consists of 18 rows, 92 columns and 15 layers of cells, with each cell having dimensions of 200 ft in the row and column directions and 5 ft in the vertical direction. The three-dimensional transect model was 3.5 mi in the east-west (column) direction, 0.7 mi wide in the north-south (row) direction (normal to the principal direction of flow), and 75 ft thick in the vertical (layer) direction (fig. 11). A three-dimensional hydrofacies model of the fluvial and lacustrine sediments within the transect flow model was constructed using the methods previously described for constructing the hydrofacies model for the study-area model. A sectional view through the model along row 8 is shown in figure 11C and illustrates the heterogeneity of the fluvial sediments. Transition probability geostatistical methods were used with the same model parameters (mean lengths, transition probabilities, and proportions) as were used for the study-area hydrofacies model, however the transect hydrofacies model was discretized into cells with the same dimensions as the transect simulation model. Calibration and Sensitivity The MODFLOW model was first calibrated to steady- state flow conditions using head data from the June 2000 synoptic well measurement. Data were available from 26 wells within the transect model area (fig. 11); 17 wells were piezometers installed as part of the Burgess Road transect study and 9 were existing domestic water-supply wells. Observations (either measurements or estimates) of ground-water discharge to streams were available to constrain model calibration; however, flux between the Little Deschutes River and the shallow ground-water system was difficult to characterize because of uncertainty in the seepage measurements. The apparent gains and losses for the 13-mi Nitrate Fate and Transport Simulation Models 29 Figure 11. Plan and section views of the transect model showing simulated water-levels, ground-water travel time, and particle paths in the La Pine, Oregon, study area. (Location of the transect model is shown in figure 10.) OR19-0049_fig 11 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 A. PLAN VIEW OF TRANSECT MODEL GRID B. SIMULATED TRAVEL TIME C. SIMULATED PARTICLE PATHS 4 2 3 0 4 2 2 5 4 2 2 0 4 2 1 5 4 2 1 0 4 2 0 5 4 2 0 0 4 1 9 5 4232 4228 4232 4224 4226 4226 4226 4223 4224 4212 4196 4192 41984198 4210 4226 1.1 – 11 yrs 1.2 – 27 2.1 – 16 yrs 2.2 – 31 2.3 – 52 2.4 – 53 3.1 – 20 yrs 3.2 – 25 3.3 – 43 4.1 – 24 yrs 4.2 – 25 4.3 – 38 5.1 – 33 yrs 5.2 – 48 5.3 – >60 6.1 – <34 yrs 6.2 – >47 Li t t l e De s c h u t e s Ri v e r Row 8 75 F E E T 60 0 F E E T 75 F E E T 18,400 FEET Unsaturated Lacustrine clay-silt Volcanics: basalt, andesite Fluvial gravel Fluvial sand Fluvial clay-silt 2 4230 Cell Cell simulated as stream Contour of simulated water-table elevation Well location Simulated travel time, in years Transect well location Measured water-table elevation, in feet, June 2000 Transect well No. EXPLANATION A. PLAN VIEW OF TRANSECT MODEL GRID B. SIMULATED TRAVEL TIME C. SIMULATED PARTICLE PATHS 100-110 110-120 120-140 140-160 160-180 180-200 200-230 230-260 260-310 310-380 700-1,000 380-470 470-600 600-700 0-2 2-5 5-10 10-15 15-20 20-25 25-30 30-35 35-40 40-45 45-50 50-55 55-60 60-65 65-70 70-80 80-90 90-100 Transect well screen location Simulated particle path 2 Transect well No. Hydrofacies Cell simulated as stream Transect well screen location 2 Transect well Transect well and screen number with Chloroflourocarbon-derived ground-water age1.1 – 11 yrs 4228 30 Evaluation of Approaches for Managing Nitate Loading from On-Site Wastewater Systems near La Pine, Oregon reach downstream of the gaging station (14063000) ranged from a 2.6 ft3/s gain in October 1995 to a 1.6 ft3/s loss in October 2000 (table 4). These 1995 and 2000 estimates were less than the estimated error of measurement (± 3.9 ft3/s and ±6 ft3/s, respectively). A third seepage measurement in March 2000 indicated a 12 ft3/s loss in this reach, but this loss was based on measurements at relatively high flow conditions (about 300 ft3/s) with a larger associated error. For calibration purposes, October low-flow data were interpreted to indicate that net seepage to or from this reach (1) is small relative to flow, and (2) probably varies in direction as well as magnitude depending on annual or seasonal head relations between shallow ground water and the stream. A key component of the conceptual model of the shallow flow system is that, on annual or longer time scales, there is net discharge to the Little Deschutes River. On this basis, a range of discharge to the stream for the transect model area was computed using the October 1995 seepage (2.6 ft3/s) as the minimum and the sum of seepage and estimated error of measurement (6.5 ft3/s) as the probable maximum for the range. Dividing seepage and estimated error of measurement by the length of the reach (13 mi) yielded a range of 0.20 to 0.50 ft3/s/mi and the resulting range of expected mean annual ground-water discharge to the 1.3 mi reach of the Little Deschutes in the model area was 0.3 to 0.7 ft3/s (rounded). During the calibration process, parameters such as horizontal and vertical hydraulic conductivity, recharge, and streambed conductance were adjusted, using a trial-and- error procedure, to obtain the best fit between observed and simulated head and stream flux values. The transect model also was used to evaluate estimates of upward vertical flux across the lower boundary from the regional flow model. Horizontal hydraulic conductivity (Kh) and vertical hydraulic conductivity (Kv) values were assigned to each cell according to the hydrofacies represented in the cell. The probable range of Kh based on well-yield data and slug tests and the calibrated Kh value that yielded the best model fit are listed in table 5. The probable range of vertical hydraulic conductivity for each hydrofacies was computed assuming that the probable range of the horizontal to vertical anisotropy ratio was 10 to 10,000 for the hydrofacies in the model area. The vertical anisotrophy ratio in the final model was equal to 100 for all hydrofacies. Streambed conductance was estimated on the basis of the assumption that the vertical hydraulic conductivity in streambed sediments was 1/100th of the horizontal conductivity of the hydrofacies in the model cell. A series of simulations were made to test model sensitivity to streambed conductance values. Conductance values were modified by adjusting the ratio of streambed Kv to aquifer Kh, over a range of 0.001 to 0.1, but the transect model was relatively insensitive to this parameter. Recharge estimates for the transect model area range from 1.5 to 2.1 in/yr. The lower end of the range was estimated by using a water balance model for the upper Deschutes Basin (Gannett and others, 2001); the upper end of the range was computed by using CFC-derived age data from the Burgess Road transect study (Hinkle and others, 2007a). The best model fit was obtained with a slightly higher recharge rate of 2.3 in/yr. Hydraulic heads and discharge to the stream simulated by the transect model were most sensitive to recharge and horizontal hydraulic conductivity of the fluvial clay-silt and lacustrine clay-silt hydrofacies. The fluvial sediments are relatively thinner than the lower permeability lacustrine sediments near the river and this tends to reduce the composite transmissivity of the aquifer system. The location, thickness, and extent of clay-silt hydrofacies within the fluvial sediments are relatively unimportant factors controlling ground-water flow because the contrast in hydraulic conductivity between the gravel, sand, and clay-silt hydrofacies is small compared to the contrast between the fluvial and lacustrine hydrofacies. Fitting simulated to observed heads was accomplished by adjusting values of hydraulic conductivity for each hydrofacies, until a best model fit was obtained by trial and error. Table 5. Values of horizontal and vertical hydraulic conductivity for hydrofacies based on field data and model calibration in the La Pine, Oregon, study area. [Abbreviations: Kh, horizontal hydraulic conductivity Kv, vertical hydraulic conductivity] Hydrofacies Horizontal hydraulic conductivity, Kh (feet per day) Vertical hydraulic conductivity, Kv (feet per day) Probable range Calibrated value Probable range Calibrated value Fluvial clay-silt 1–20 5 0.001–2 0.05 Fluvial sand 10–100 40 0.01–10 .40 Fluvial gravel 75–150 75 0.075–15 .75 Lacustrine clay-silt 0.1–10 10 0.0001–1 .10 Basalt 100–2,500 150 0.01–250 1.5 Nitrate Fate and Transport Simulation Models 31 The calibrated parameter values (table 5) and boundary conditions produced a good model fit to head and flux observations. Contours of simulated water-table elevation compare well with observed water-table elevations at 15 wells (fig. 11A) where measured heads represent the water table. The root mean square error (RMSE) of the head residuals at the 26 well locations was 2.7 ft. Model fit was slightly better (RMSE = 2.3 ft) at the 17 transect wells, where head measurements were more accurate because (1) measuring point elevations at the wells were surveyed, whereas elevations at other wells were estimated from topographic maps, and (2) short (2-ft) screens in the transect wells provided better observations of head within the 5-ft thick model cells, whereas screens in other wells were longer and spanned multiple model layers. The simulated heads have a slight bias that results in a steeper slope of the water table toward the Little Deschutes River. The bias probably could be reduced with further calibration if the configuration of the lacustrine-fluvial sediment boundary were modified; however, there was no basis (using existing geologic data) to modify the hydrofacies model and the bias was small and did not significantly affect average simulated flow velocities. Simulated Travel Time and Comparison with Ground-Water Age Estimates of ground-water age were used to further constrain the calibration of the transect model. Ground-water age estimates at 17 wells in 6 locations along the Burgess Road transect (fig. 11B, C) were derived from analysis of CFCs (Hinkle and others, 2007a). A particle tracking program, MODPATH, (Pollock, 1994) was used to determine the simulated travel time of ground-water from recharge locations at the water table to the well screens where CFC samples were collected from the 17 transect wells. The simulated travel times were compared with the CFC-derived age estimates to evaluate the accuracy of the simulated ground-water velocity distribution. MODPATH uses the cell-to-cell fluxes simulated by MODFLOW to compute velocity field and path lines of individual “particles” of water that may be started at any location and tracked either forward to their discharge location or backward to their recharge location. The only additional parameter required by MODPATH (that is not required by MODFLOW) is effective porosity. Effective porosity was assumed to be 0.3 for each hydrofacies within the model. For this analysis, 1,000 particles were placed in each of the 17 model cells that contained the screen of a transect well. The particles were tracked backward to their recharge locations at the water table (fig. 11C). Because of limitations of the tracking program, particles could not be placed at the exact location of the well screens within each cell, but were placed at the center of the cell and distributed along a vertical line 5-ft long (the thickness of the cell). Simulated ground-water travel time distribution is shown in figure 11B for row 8 of the transect model. The simulated distribution shows a pattern similar to the distribution of CFC-derived ages from the 17 transect wells. Generally, ground-water travel times are less than 10 years within the upper 5–15 ft of the saturated zone and travel times within 30–50 ft of the water table are less than 50 years. Simulated ground-water travel times are notably greater than CFC ages at well 4.3, the deepest at site 4. Travel times are difficult to predict at this site because the screen for well 4.3 is near the upper surface of the fine-grained, lacustrine clay-silt hydrofacies. The model predicts that “older” water will occur at this location because slow-moving water from the lacustrine sediments re-enters the fluvial sediments as it follows flow paths toward the discharge areas along the river. At the discharge end of the flow path, near the Little Deschutes River, older water occurs at shallower depths as it moves upward to discharge to the river. The relation between ground-water age and depth depicted in the section (fig. 11B) is analogous to the relation between dissolved oxygen concentration and depth described by Hinkle and others (2007a). Study-Area Model Initial estimates for many parameters in the study- area model were derived from calibration and testing of the transect model. The study-area model was first calibrated for simulation of ground-water flow using observations of head and discharge to streams. As with the transect model calibration, simulated heads were compared with water- level data from the synoptic measurement of 228 wells in June 2000 (fig. 5). Simulated ground-water discharge to streams was compared with estimates of discharge from gain-loss measurements (fig. 7, table 4). The measured head and discharge data were assumed to represent the long-term average (steady-state) conditions in the ground-water system. Once the study-area flow model was calibrated, the simulated ground-water flow directions and velocity were used to simulate the transport and fate of nitrate. Transport of nitrate from on-site wastewater systems was simulated for 1960–99 using the estimated annual nitrate loading rates. The transport model was evaluated by comparing the statistical distribution of simulated nitrate concentration with statistical distributions of measured nitrate concentrations from analyses available mostly from domestic wells. The transport model calibration period was divided into 40 1-year stress periods. During each 1-year period, the nitrate loading rate in each model cell was specified. The specified rate was dependent on the number and type (domestic, commercial, etc.) of on-site wastewater systems present. 32 Evaluation of Approaches for Managing Nitate Loading from On-Site Wastewater Systems near La Pine, Oregon Boundaries and Discretization The model grid for the La Pine study-area model includes an area of 247 mi2 (fig. 10). The grid is elongated along a northeast-southwest trend that coincides with the orientation of the structural basin, major drainages, and the depositional strike and dip of the basin-fill sediments. The axes of the grid also are orthogonal to the principal directions of ground-water flow. There are 276 rows, 100 columns, and 24 layers in the model grid. The lateral dimensions of each cell are 500 ft in both the x and y directions. The upper 23 layers of the model were each 5 ft thick and the bottom layer was 100 ft thick. The coordinates of the lower left corner of the grid are 4,609,651 ft east and 696,295 ft north (Oregon State Plane north) and the grid is rotated 15 degrees clockwise. The fluvial sand and gravel aquifers that supply most drinking water to wells in the area lie within the upper 100 ft of sediments. Between depths of 10 to 100 ft, depending on location in the study area, there is a transition from the coarser fluvial sediments to predominately fine-grained lacustrine sediments (fig. 2, pl. 1). As previously described, the fluvial deposits are heterogeneous and include fine-grained facies of clay, silt, and silty-sand. Similarly, coarse facies occur within the lacustrine deposits, although they tend to be isolated lenses. The simulation model was constructed to include the upper 120 ft of sediments so that the model would include the entire thickness of fluvial sediments. Each of the 24 model layers had a thickness of 5 ft throughout the grid. The grid for the study-area flow and transport model was defined to exactly match the dimensions of the grid used to prepare the three-dimensional hydrogeologic model described earlier in this report. Long-term well hydrographs (fig. 6) indicate that ground- water flow in the shallow part of the system is in a state of dynamic equilibrium. Seasonal and interannual variations in water level and ground-water storage are due to climatic variation, but no long term trend is evident in mean water levels. The June 2000 synoptic water level measurements (fig. 5) were assumed to represent the mean annual head distribution for the system and were used as the head observations used as calibration targets for the steady-state study-area and transect flow models. The lateral and bottom boundaries of the model were selected to include the most densely developed part of the study area and the shallow alluvial deposits that form the primary aquifers. The lateral and bottom boundaries of the model do not coincide with specific hydrologic or geologic boundaries such as geologic contacts or ground-water flow divides. The potential magnitude of flow across the lateral and lower model boundaries was evaluated by model testing and sensitivity analysis with both the transect and study area models. The upper boundary of the model is the water table, which is the top of the saturated part of the ground-water flow system. The study area transport model used steady-state flow velocities to simulate nitrate fate and transport. Nitrate loading from on-site wastewater systems was simulated for 1960–99 in forty 1-year periods. The loading for each period was computed using building records and other information as previously described (fig. 9). Nitrate loading was specified in the transport model using the mass-loading option in the source/sink mixing package of MT3DMS (Zheng and Wang, 1999). The mass loading rate to each cell, in kilograms per day, was specified at the water table for each year of the simulation. Initial nitrate concentrations were assumed to be zero at the beginning of the simulation in 1960. Based on the conceptual model for denitrification (Hinkle and others, 2007a), the transition zone from oxic to suboxic conditions was represented as a sharp boundary that does not vary significantly with time. Although the redox boundary would be expected to migrate as solid-phase electron donors are consumed by dissolved oxygen and nitrate reduction, the effectiveness of this approach for characterizing current zones of nitrate stability and instability is supported by analysis of data collected by ODEQ (Hinkle and others, 2007a). Hinkle presents field data from the area showing that 95 percent of samples with nitrate concentrations greater than 1.0 mg N/L taken from wells with known construction were screened at least partly within the mapped (fig. 8) oxic zone. The position of the boundary within the models was specified by subtracting the thickness of the oxic part of the aquifer (fig. 8) from the water-table elevation (fig. 5) to obtain the elevation of the oxic-suboxic boundary. The boundary was assumed to be in each vertical stack of cells at the top of the first fully suboxic cell. The boundary was implemented in MT3DMS by using the ICBUND array to specify a constant concentration of zero in suboxic cells (Zheng and Wang, 1999). Calibration and Sensitivity Calibration of Ground-Water Flow Ground-water fluxes across the lateral and lower boundaries of the study-area model initially were specified on the basis of the regional ground-water flow model developed by Gannett and Lite (2004). The uppermost layer of the regional model was 100 ft thick and represented both alluvial deposits and basalts. The regional model simulates large subsurface flow through the permeable basalts that underlie the northern part of the study area (fig. 2). Most of the flow remains within the basalts of the regional flow system and discharges to the Deschutes River and tributaries north of the study area (Gannett and others, 2001). Some of the flow through the basalts, however, discharges to springs that contribute to the Deschutes, Fall, and Spring Rivers in the northwestern part of the study-area model. These springs Nitrate Fate and Transport Simulation Models 33 generally are located where high permeability basalts abut lower permeability sediments, forcing ground water to discharge at land surface (Gannett and others, 2001). Where alluvial deposits occur at the lower and lateral boundaries of the study area model, the flux simulated between the regional and study-area models was generally small. This is consistent with results of testing the transect model that indicated upward leakage across the lower boundary was not required to match the observed head distribution and ground-water discharge to streams when using reasonable values for recharge and hydraulic conductivity. This result indicates that upward leakage is small compared to local recharge from infiltration of precipitation. When the simulated flux across the lower and lateral model boundary was included in the simulation, the study-area model had numerical stability problems in the northern part of the model area, which is underlain by basalt. The stability problems were characterized by large fluctuations in simulated heads that were probably caused by (1) a large flux through a relatively thin section (120 ft) of the basalts, and (2) adjacent model cells with large contrasts in hydraulic conductivity (high hydraulic conductivity basalts in immediate contact with low conductivity alluvial deposits). To test the sensitivity of model results to specified flux at the lateral and lower model boundaries, a simulation was made specifying zero flux at these boundaries. Simulated heads and flux to streams were determined to be insensitive to the regional model boundary flux where basalts were not present. Few data points were available to constrain the heads in the basalt uplands and, therefore, even though simulated heads were affected in the basalts, it is difficult to assess how well or poorly they match actual heads. The simulated discharge to springs along the Fall, Spring, and Deschutes Rivers in the northern part of the model area also were affected, but the model showed much better stability. Nearly all potential concerns related to nitrate from on-site wastewater systems are focused on parts of the study area underlain by alluvial deposits. Simulation of flux through the basalts and of discharge from large springs at the basalt-alluvium contact was of less importance and did not inhibit the ability of the model to simulate conditions in the alluvial deposits; therefore, to attain better model stability in the part of the model representing basalts, the zero-flux boundary condition was used for the lower and lateral boundaries of the study-area model. The contours defining the simulated steady-state potentiometric head surface retain the general features of the surface defined by contours of measured heads from the 2000 synoptic measurement (fig. 12). Both simulated and observed flow directions (inferred from contours) support other data (vertical head gradient and gain-loss measurements) that indicate, on an annual basis, ground water discharges to nearly all stream reaches in the study area. The model simulated the general direction of ground- water flow (northeast) accurately in the area between the Deschutes and Little Deschutes Rivers in southeast T20S/ R10E and northeast T21S/R10E; however, the model did not simulate as steep a horizontal hydraulic gradient as indicated by the contours of observed heads shown in figure 12. The location of this area between the two rivers and at the focal point of ground-water flow for a large part of the study area, make it difficult to characterize the mean annual head distribution. Seasonal differences in the stage of the Deschutes and Little Deschutes Rivers can cause relatively large seasonal variations (5–10 ft) in ground-water levels. The period of high river stage in spring coincides with the peak recharge period for the shallow aquifer. These conditions lead to larger horizontal head gradients, particularly in this area, when the water levels used to construct the contours in figure 12 were measured (June 2000). The simulated recharge and river stage conditions represent mean annual conditions, as do the simulated heads, whereas the contours shown in figure 12 may represent a seasonal extreme. The transient influence of the rivers makes it difficult to accurately simulate ground-water flow velocity and direction in this area; however, the model simulates the mean annual direction of flow and velocity reasonably well. On-site wastewater systems are not used in this area so it is not likely that the model would be used to predict concentration in this area. Long Creek was represented in the model using head-dependent flux boundaries for ET and streams to account for discharge in the topographically low area; the effects of ground-water discharge are reflected in the V-shaped simulated and observed contours (fig. 12). The mean absolute error for the 170 head observations was 7.0 ft, or about 5 percent of the range of observed heads. The difference between simulated and observed head ranged from -20 to 45 ft (fig. 13). The largest differences generally were at wells with long open intervals, in which the measured head represents a composite head for a large thickness of the system. The simulated heads used for comparison in such cases were for the model layer closest to the center of the open interval of the well. The differences between simulated and observed head generally were less than 10 ft in the central part of the study area, between the Deschutes and Little Deschutes Rivers. Errors in the simulated heads will result in errors in the ground-water velocity field that in turn will affect simulation of nitrate transport. These errors would affect simulated concentrations at small scales, but would not affect the average simulated nitrate concentration over large areas. Recharge to the water table, which was 98 percent of total recharge, was the only specified component of the simulated water budget. The mean annual recharge rate of 58 ft3/s was equivalent to an average of 3.2 in/yr within the study area model. The other components of recharge and discharge were simulated using head-dependent boundary conditions, as previously described. The simulated recharge from streams 34 Evaluation of Approaches for Managing Nitate Loading from On-Site Wastewater Systems near La Pine, Oregon OR19-0049_fig12 Base modified from U.S. Geological Survey 1:500,000 state base map, 1982 with digital data from U.S. Bureau of the Census, TIGER/Line (R), 1990 and U.S. Geological Survey Digital Line Graphs published at 1:100,000 Publication projection is Lambert Conformal Conic Standard parallels 42º20' and 44º40', central meridian -120º30' Datum is NAD83R 9 E R 10 E R 11 E T 21 S T 22 S T 23 S T 24 S T 20 S T 19 S DESCHUTES L A K E KLAMATH Sp r i n g Ri v e r Fall River Cresc e n t Creek Creek Little De s c h u t e s DE S C H U T E S RIV E R Ri v e r Pauli n a Lo n g C r e e k 5 KILOMETERS 5 MILES0 0 Wickiup Reservoir 97 97 31 31 Burgess Road Drive Finley Butt e Road R o a d South Century Spring River Masten Road Sunriver Sunriver La Pine La Pine 43°55' 50' 45' 121°40'35'30'25'121°20' 40' 43°35' Ex t e n t o f s t u d y a r e a m o d e l EXPLANATION Water-level contours—In feet above National Geodetic Vertical Datum of 1929. Contour interval is 20 feet. Simulated Measured (June 2000) 4200 4200 Lo n g P r a i r i e 42 1 0 4 2 2 0 4170 4190 418 0 4 2 4 0 4160 421 0 4 2 2 0 41 7 0 4 2 3 0 419 0 418 0 41 6 0 426 0 4200 425 0 42 0 0 4200 41 9 042 0 0 41 8 0 4 2 6 0 4270 4280 4 2 5 0 424 0 42204230 4210 42 9 0 41 6 0 4300 4310 4320 4330 4340 41 5 0 4170 4240 41 7 0 42 2 0 4230 4170 4 2 9 0 4280 4270 4260 4250 4240 4230 4220 4210 4200 4190 418 0 41 7 0 416 0 Figure 12. Contours of simulated and observed heads (June 2000) for the La Pine, Oregon, study area. Nitrate Fate and Transport Simulation Models 35 was small (1.3 ft3/s) and was from a few isolated stream reaches where simulated heads were less than the specified stage of the stream. Because the simulated system is assumed to be at steady state (no long-term change in storage), total discharge is equal to recharge. Ground-water discharge to streams accounts for 67 percent (39.5 ft3/s) of total discharge. Simulated discharge to the Little Deschutes River is 15 ft3/s which is within the range of 7 to 20 ft3/s expected on the basis of measured discharge (table 4). Simulated ground- water discharge to the Deschutes River was 12 ft3/s and was consistent with measurement data for reaches upstream of river mile 199.7. Downstream of river mile 199.7 on the Deschutes River and on the Fall River, most ground-water discharge emanates from the large springs where basaltic rocks are in contact with the lower permeability alluvial sediments. Recharge by subsurface inflow to the basaltic rocks that feed these springs was not simulated in the study-area model. The simulated discharge to ET of 16 ft3/s fell within the estimated range of 10–20 ft3/s and was distributed within the floodplain, where shallow water-table conditions persist through the dry months (fig. 10). Comparison of Simulated and Measured Nitrate Concentrations The study-area transport model simulates nitrate concentrations in ground water and in ground-water discharge to the near-stream environment. Simulated concentrations are averages for the 500-ft wide by 500-ft long by 5-ft thick model cells. With cells covering nearly 6 acres and minimum lot sizes of 0.5 acre, each cell can contain as many as about 10 homes. Nitrate data collected for this study from closely spaced sampling locations near the Burgess Road transect model (Hinkle and others, 2007a) indicate that even in mature, high-density residential areas, nitrate plumes have not coalesced to a great degree, and concentrations are highly variable at the scale of an individual model cell. Because of the high variability of nitrate concentrations in a cell, concentrations at individual wells cannot be simulated with the study-area model. The inability to delineate the edges of, and concentrations within, individual solute plumes is a limitation of transport models at the watershed scale. This limitation does not affect this study because the information from the model is intended to help understand and predict water quality conditions at scales larger than individual plumes or wells; however, it does limit the degree that measured nitrate concentration data from wells can be used for direct comparison with simulated concentrations. To assess of the ability of the study-area model to represent the primary processes that affect nitrate movement in the ground-water system, the statistical distribution of simulated nitrate concentrations was compared with distributions for two sets of measured nitrate concentrations from wells. The first measured dataset was from a synoptic sampling of 192 wells in June 2000 by ODEQ (Hinkle and others, 2007a). Only data from the 109 wells where ground water was oxic (dissolved oxygen concentration was greater than 0.5 mg/L) were used in the comparison because denitrification has been shown to be an important process where ground water is suboxic (Hinkle and others, 2007a). The second observed dataset was collected under a program administered by Oregon Department of Human Services Health Division (DHS), which requires that water from domestic wells is tested whenever a property is sold. Nitrate analyses from 1,572 such tests were available for homes in the La Pine area (Rob Keller, ODEQ, written commun., August 2006). The DHS data were collected from 1989 to 2004. Dissolved oxygen concentrations are not analyzed as part of the DHS program so it was not possible to discriminate wells that pump from the suboxic part of the system. The simulated nitrate concentrations used for comparison were from the end of the simulation period (1999) and were taken from 1,398 cells randomly selected from locations where active on-site wastewater systems existed. Only cells that contained oxic ground water were selected (because suboxic cells would have simulated concentrations of zero by default) and more than one cell could be selected from more than one layer in the same row/column. The statistical distributions of measured nitrate concentrations and the simulated concentrations are similar (fig. 14). The maximum simulated nitrate concentration was 29 mg N/L, with a mean of 2.0 mg N/L, and a median of 0.8 mg N/L, and 10 percent Figure 13. Simulated head residuals and observed heads (June 2000) from the La Pine, Oregon, study area. OR19-0049_fig13 OBSERVED HEAD, IN FEET ABOVE NORTH AMERICAN DATUM 1983 4120 4140 4160 4180 4200 4220 4240 4260 4280 4300 RE S I D U A L O F S I M U L A T E D H E A D , I N F E E T -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 36 Evaluation of Approaches for Managing Nitate Loading from On-Site Wastewater Systems near La Pine, Oregon of concentrations greater than 6 mg N/L. The maximum of the ODEQ June 2000 synoptic nitrate concentration data was 26 mg N/L, with a mean of 1.6 mg N/L, and a median of 0.3 mg N/L, and 10 percent of concentrations greater than 4 mg N/L. The maximum of the DHS real estate nitrate concentration data was 22 mg N/L, with a mean of 1.6 mg N/L, and a median of 0.5 mg N/L, and 10 percent of concentrations greater than 4.5 mg N/L. The primary difference in the three nitrate concentration distributions was the slightly greater proportion of high values in the simulated concentration distribution. This difference is likely due to simulated values being sampled from the entire thickness of the oxic part of the system, including cells near the water table where nitrate loading occurs and concentrations are greatest. Samples from the measured datasets were collected from wells where the screened intervals typically were below the water table and would be less likely to include water with high nitrate concentrations. Good agreement between the summary statistics of the measured and simulated nitrate concentrations (mean, median, 90th percentile, and maximum) indicates that the simulated mass of nitrate in the ground-water system at the end of the 1960–99 period, is similar to the mass indicated by available sample data. This agreement increases confidence that the primary processes affecting the fate and transport of nitrate in the ground-water system are represented in the simulation model. Even though the model does not simulate concentrations at individual wells, it is a useful tool for assessing the effects of on-site systems on average ground- water nitrate concentrations at the scale required for evaluation of management alternatives for protecting ground-water quality. The spatial distribution of simulated nitrate concentration at the water table in 1999 is shown in figure 15 and closely mirrors the locations of on-site wastewater systems (fig. 1). The effect of ground-water movement on nitrate concentration is evident where areas of high concentration are elongated parallel to the primary directions of ground-water flow, such as immediately south of Burgess Road. The effect of denitrification on the simulated distribution is evident where concentrations sharply decrease along easterly ground-water flow paths that terminate at the Little Deschutes River, such as in central T21S R10E (fig. 15). The sharp concentration gradient is coincident with an area where the oxic part of the system decreases in thickness (compare fig. 8). This decrease, along with the downward component of advective transport, forces a large fraction of the nitrate in the system to be transported into the suboxic zone and lost to denitrification. At the end of the simulation period (1999), the rate of nitrate (as N) loading to the ground-water system was 82,000 lb/yr (37,000 kg/yr). The simulated rate of denitrification in the suboxic part of the system was 31,000 lb/ yr (13,900 kg/yr) and the simulated discharge of nitrate to the near-stream environment was 8,000 lb/yr (3,650 kg/yr). The remaining 43,000 lb/yr (19,400 kg/yr) was added to storage in the shallow ground-water system. Nitrate added to storage increased the mean concentration in the ground-water system from essentially zero in 1960 to a mean of 2 mg N/L in 1999. Management Scenario Simulations Simulation models often are developed with the goal of using them for predicting future effects of management strategies. The study-area model was initially used in what is referred to as a trial-and-error prediction mode. In this mode, future scenarios are designed in which the nitrate loading input to the model is varied according to a hypothetical set of management strategies that could be imposed. The locations and rates of loading over time are specified as input to the simulation model and the model predicts the resulting distribution of nitrate concentrations in the aquifer and the discharge of nitrate to the streams. The scenario results then are compared to assess whether management strategies succeeded in meeting water-quality goals. This is referred to as a trial-and-error procedure because often many simulations must be made to find management strategies that meet water quality goals. The results of the scenario simulations are presented here for later comparison to results of the simulation-optimization approach. OR19-0049_fig14 OregonDepartmentofEnvironmentalQuality data n=109 Simulated 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 n=1,398 Departmentof HumanServices data n=1,572 NI T R A T E , I N M I L L I G R A M S N P E R L I T E R n=109 Number of observations 90th percentile 75th percentileMean Median 25th percentile 10th percentile Sample not included in the 10-90 percentile range EXPLANATION Figure 14. Measured and simulated nitrate concentrations in the La Pine, Oregon, study area, 1999. Nitrate Fate and Transport Simulation Models 37 Figure 15. Simulated nitrate concentrations near the water table in the La Pine, Oregon, study area, 1999. OR19-0049_fig15 Base modified from U.S. Geological Survey 1:500,000 state base map, 1982 with digital data from U.S. Bureau of the Census, TIGER/Line (R), 1990 and U.S. Geological Survey Digital Line Graphs published at 1:100,000 Publication projection is Lambert Conformal Conic Standard parallels 42º20' and 44º40', central meridian -120º30' Datum is NAD83R 9 E R 10 E R 11 E T 21 S T 22 S T 23 S T 24 S T 20 S T 19 S DESCHUTES CO. L A K E C O . KLAMATH CO. Spri n g Riv e r Fall River Cresc e n t Creek Creek Little De s c h u t e s DE S C H U T E S RIV E R Ri v e r Pauli n a Lo n g C r e e k 5 KILOMETERS 5 MILES0 0 Wickiup Reservoir 97 97 31 31 Burgess Road Drive Finley Butt e Road R o a d South Century Spring River Masten Road Sunriver Sunriver La Pine La Pine 43°55' 50' 45' 121°40'35'30'25'121°20' 40' 43°35' Extent of s t u d y a r e a m o d e l EXPLANATION Nitrate concentration, in milligrams N per liter 0 5 10 20 50 100 38 Evaluation of Approaches for Managing Nitate Loading from On-Site Wastewater Systems near La Pine, Oregon The calibrated simulation model was used to predict the effects of eight decentralized wastewater management scenarios on ground-water and surface-water quality. Scenario number 1 was defined as the “base” scenario which would be used to evaluate the effects of a “no action” management strategy and serve as a benchmark for evaluating the benefits of other management alternatives. Under the base scenario, homes built on approximately 4,100 undeveloped lots remaining in 2000 used conventional on-site wastewater systems. Conventional systems were assumed to produce the same effluent concentration (46 mg N/L) and loading as used during the 1960-1999 model calibration simulations. The remaining seven scenarios were defined by Deschutes County using two primary management options to reduce nitrate loading: (1) a transferable development credit (TDC) program to reduce the number of on-site wastewater systems in the area, and (2) advanced treatment on-site wastewater systems. Deschutes County has modified the TDC program since the scenarios were defined; however the goal of the original TDC program was to reduce the number of on-site septic systems in the area by shifting, or transferring, development to a receiving area served by a community sewer and water system. Advanced treatment on-site wastewater systems capable of removing nitrogen were extensively field-tested as part of the La Pine NDP (Barbara Rich, ODEQ, written commun., 2003). Based on data from the field testing program, three levels of nitrogen reduction performance were evaluated using the simulation model. Three reduction levels, expressed as a percentage of the nitrate concentration in effluent reaching the water table from conventional systems (46 mg N/L), were used: 57, 78, and 96 percent. These reductions would be equivalent to effluent nitrate concentrations at the water table of 20, 10, and 2 mg N/L, respectively. Four additional scenarios were defined where advanced treatment systems were combined with a TDC program in which development of 1,500 lots was moved to a receiving area served by centralized sewer. Additional assumptions for the scenarios included: Development would continue at the 1990–99 rates of • 250 homes per year until full build-out (in 2019); All new homes would use advanced treatment on-site • wastewater systems; lots where new homes were built each year were randomly determined; Locations of existing homes where conventional • on-site wastewater systems were upgraded to advanced treatment systems were randomly selected in each year; Upgrades were done at a rate of 94 per year (based on • historic rate of system repair permits issued by county) until all on-site wastewater systems had been upgraded (2056); and For scenarios involving TDCs, 1,500 lots were • randomly selected from a pool of 2,600 candidates provided by Deschutes County. Descriptions of the scenarios and the resulting nitrate loading rates are summarized in table 6. Each scenario was simulated for 140 years beginning in 2000. The historical nitrate loading rates (1960-99) are compared with estimated future loading rates (2000-2139) for each scenario in figure 16. Under the base scenario (number 1, table 6), all available lots (as of 2000) were projected to be developed by 2019, and figure 16 shows that estimated nitrogen loading continued to increase until that time, after which loading remained constant at a rate of 147,000 lb/yr. Simulation of the base scenario showed that nitrate concentrations continued to increase long after the maximum loading rate was reached in 2019. This is because the amount of nitrate entering the ground- water system will exceed the amount leaving the system until equilibrium is reached. Equilibrium occurs when loading is balanced by the sum of the rates of denitrification and discharge of nitrate to streams. The simulation model suggests that it could take more than 140 years to reach equilibrium for scenario 1. At equilibrium, 78 percent of nitrogen entering the system (114,000 lb/yr) will be transported to the suboxic part of the aquifer and removed by denitrification. The remaining 22 percent (33,000 lb/yr) will be transported into the near- stream areas adjacent to the Little Deschutes and Deschutes Rivers. This should be considered an upper bound on the amount of nitrate reaching the rivers because the current study area model cannot account for processes (denitrification, plant uptake, microbial uptake) that may remove nitrate from ground water before it discharges to the rivers. The simulated nitrate concentrations for scenario 1 exceeded 10 mg N/L over large areas prior to equilibrium, however at equilibrium, the nitrate concentration near the water table averaged more than 10 mg N/L over areas totaling about 9,400 acres (table 7, fig. 17). The results of the other seven scenarios showed improved water-quality conditions for each level of increased nitrate loading reduction. Simulations indicate significant improvements in overall ground-water quality for all performance levels tested if all new homes use advanced treatment on-site wastewater systems and all existing homes replace conventional on-site wastewater systems with advanced treatment on-site wastewater systems. For the 20 mg N/L nitrate performance level without a TDC program (scenario 3) the area where nitrate concentrations exceed the 10 mg N/L drinking-water standard is reduced by 80 percent to about 1,900 acres (table 7, fig. 18) at equilibrium. A further reduction in effluent nitrate concentration, to 10 mg N/L, (scenarios 5 and 6) reduced the area where simulated equilibrium nitrate concentrations exceed 10 mg N/L to less than 700 acres. The maximum reduction, to 2 mg N/L, (scenarios 7 and 8) resulted in only a few small areas with concentrations greater than 10 mg N/L, and those areas were related to nonresidential loading (RV parks) not reduced under the scenarios. Nitrate Fate and Transport Simulation Models 39 Table 6. Summary of eight on-site wastewater management scenarios tested with the study-area model in the La Pine, Oregon, study area. [TDC lots: assumes 1,500 lots eremoved from pool of candidate lots. Locations were randomly selected from 2,600 possible lots. Retrofitting: assumes all on-site systems serving homes built prior to 2000 are retrofitted with advanced systems with performance equal to systems installed in new homes. Retrofits are made at a rate of 94 per year until completed in 2057. Abbreviations: TDC, transferable development credit; lb/yr, pound per year; mg N/L, milligram nitrogen per liter] Scenario Effluent recharge concentration (mg N/L) Percent reduction from standard systems TDC lots Retrofitting Peak loading (lb/yr) Peak loading year Final loading (lb/yr) 1 46 0 No No 147,000 2019 147,000 2 46 0 Yes No 125,000 2013 125,000 3 20 57 No Yes 93,000 2019 65,300 4 20 57 Yes Yes 88,100 2013 55,900 5 10 78 No Yes 81,200 2000 34,200 6 10 78 Yes Yes 81,200 2000 29,500 7 2 96 No Yes 80,400 2000 9,200 8 2 96 Yes Yes 80,400 2000 8,300 OR19-0049_fig16 YEAR NI T R A T E L O A D I N G , I N P O U N D S P E R Y E A R X 1 , 0 0 0 1960 1980 2000 2020 2040 2060 2080 2100 2120 2140 1-Base scenario 2-TDCs only 3-20 mg/L 4-20 mg/L + TDCs 5-10 mg/L 6-10 mg/L + TDCs 7-2 mg/L 8-2 mg/L + TDCs Historical 0 40 80 60 20 120 100 160 140 Figure 16. Historical nitrate loading from on-site wastewater systems and eight nitrate loading scenarios tested with the study-area model. See table 6 for scenario descriptions. (mg/L, milligram per liter; TDC, transferable development credit.) 40 Evaluation of Approaches for Managing Nitate Loading from On-Site Wastewater Systems near La Pine, Oregon Each scenario in which conventional systems were replaced with advanced treatment systems indicated that ground-water nitrate concentrations would peak between 2027 and 2053 (about 25–50 years after loading reduction begins) and then decrease to their equilibrium levels. Less time is required to reach the peak and subsequent equilibrium concentrations for scenarios with greater reductions in loading (table 7). The TDC program, as defined for these scenarios, reduced the number of homes that would use on-site wastewater systems by shifting or transferring development of new homes to a receiving area with centralized wastewater treatment. Using conventional on-site systems, the 1,500 homes selected for the TDC program in the scenarios would contribute about 21,000 lb of nitrogen annually, with each home adding 14 lb/yr to the aquifer. This equals nearly 14 percent of the total base scenario loading of 147,000 lb/ yr. For other scenarios, in which advanced treatment on-site wastewater systems are used, the effect of a program like this is diminished. For example, if advanced treatment systems reduce effluent concentration from 46 to 10 mg N/L, the annual loading per home is reduced from 14 to 3 lb/yr. Under this scenario, removing 1,500 homes only reduces total loading by 4,500 lb/yr (3 percent). The relative effectiveness of the TDC program in reducing loading at various levels of assumed advanced on-site system performance is shown in figure 16. Development transfer programs (like the TDC program) might be most effectively applied in high-sensitivity areas, where advanced treatment on-site wastewater systems cannot meet loading reduction goals. Results of trial-and-error simulations show that the capacity to receive on-site wastewater system effluent and maintain satisfactory water-quality conditions is variable within the study area. The capacity of any area to receive on-site wastewater system effluent is related to many factors, including the density of homes, presence of upgradient residential development, ground-water recharge rate, ground- water flow velocity, and thickness of the oxic part of the aquifer. Each scenario tested with the simulation model was limited to management strategies that were applied uniformly in the study area. Typically, this is how simulation models must be used because as the size and complexity of the water- quality management problem increases, the decision makers’ ability to design scenarios with management strategies that reflect variability in the loading capacity of individual areas is diminished. Uniform management strategies, such as requiring all on-site wastewater systems to meet the same nitrate reduction standards, may be more costly than variable management strategies that account for the variability in the nitrate loading capacity of the ground-water system. Uniform strategies that are stringent enough to protect water quality in some areas may be more than is needed to protect water quality in other areas. The simulation model represents the hydrogeologic and chemical processes that cause this variability, and by adding optimization capability to the model, the nitrate loading capacity of the ground-water system can be determined for individual management areas. Table 7. Summary of model simulation results for eight on-site wastewater management scenarios tested with the study-area model in the La Pine, Oregon, study area. [Acres are based on simulated nitrate concentrations in the uppermost active (saturated) model cells. Equilibrium acreages are based on simulated nitrate concentrations at end of simulation (2139). Peak acreages are based on simulated nitrate concentrations in the year when the highest concentrations occur for each scenario. Abbreviations: TDC, transferable development credit; mg N/L, milligram nitrogen per liter; lb/yr, pound per year; mg/L, milligram per liter; Symbol: –, no data] Scenario Effluent recharge concentration (mg N/L) TDC Equilibrium Peak Equilibrium nitrate loading (lb/yr) Reduction in loading from scenario 1 (percent) Acres greater than 10 mg/L at equilibrium Reduction from scenario 1 (percent) Acres greater than 10 mg/L at peak Reduction from scenario 1 (percent) Peak concentration year 1 46 No 147,000 –9,398 –9,398 –2139 2 46 Yes 125,000 15 7,317 22 7,317 22 2139 3 20 No 65,300 56 1,909 80 1,944 79 2053 4 20 Yes 55,900 62 1,433 85 1,456 85 2049 5 10 No 34,200 77 700 93 1,233 87 2038 6 10 Yes 29,500 80 619 93 1,153 88 2035 7 2 No 9,200 94 115 99 975 90 2027 8 2 Yes 8,300 94 109 99 975 90 2027 Nitrate Fate and Transport Simulation Models 41 OR19-0049_fig17 Base modified from U.S. Geological Survey 1:500,000 state base map, 1982 with digital data from U.S. Bureau of the Census, TIGER/Line (R), 1990 and U.S. Geological Survey Digital Line Graphs published at 1:100,000 Publication projection is Lambert Conformal Conic Standard parallels 42º20' and 44º40', central meridian -120º30' Datum is NAD83R 9 E R 10 E R 11 E T 21 S T 22 S T 23 S T 24 S T 20 S T 19 S DESCHUTES L A K E KLAMATH Spring River Fall River Cresc e n t Creek Creek Little De s c h u t e s DE S C H U T E S RIV E R Ri v e r Pauli n a Lo n g C r e e k 5 KILOMETERS 5 MILES0 0 Wickiup Reservoir 97 97 31 31 Burgess Road Drive Finley Butt e Road R o a d South Century Spring River Masten Road Sunriver Sunriver La Pine La Pine 43°55' 50' 45' 121°40'35'30'25'121°20' 40' 43°35' Extent of s t u d y a r e a m o d e l EXPLANATION Nitrate concentration, in milligrams N per liter 0 5 10 20 50 100 Figure 17. Simulated equilibrium ground-water nitrate concentrations near the water table for the base scenario (scenario 1, table 6) in the La Pine, Oregon, study area. (Colors indicate maximum nitrate concentration in vertical dimension.) 42 Evaluation of Approaches for Managing Nitate Loading from On-Site Wastewater Systems near La Pine, Oregon OR19-0049_fig18 Base modified from U.S. Geological Survey 1:500,000 state base map, 1982 with digital data from U.S. Bureau of the Census, TIGER/Line (R), 1990 and U.S. Geological Survey Digital Line Graphs published at 1:100,000 Publication projection is Lambert Conformal Conic Standard parallels 42º20' and 44º40', central meridian -120º30' Datum is NAD83R 9 E R 10 E R 11 E T 21 S T 22 S T 23 S T 24 S T 20 S T 19 S DESCHUTES L A K E KLAMATH Spr i n g Riv e r Fall River Cresc e n t Creek Creek Little De s c h u t e s DE S C H U T E S RIV E R Ri v e r Pauli n a Lo n g C r e e k 5 KILOMETERS 5 MILES0 0 Wickiup Reservoir 97 97 31 31 Burgess Road Drive Finley Butt e Road R o a d South Century Spring River Masten Road Sunriver Sunriver La Pine La Pine 43°55' 50' 45' 121°40'35'30'25'121°20' 40' 43°35' Extent of s t u d y a r e a m o d e l EXPLANATION Nitrate concentration, in milligrams N per liter 0 5 10 20 50 100 Figure 18. Simulated equilibrium ground-water nitrate concentrations near the water table for 20 milligrams N per liter advanced treatment on-site wastewater systems (scenario 3, table 6) in the La Pine, Oregon, study area. (Colors indicate maximum nitrate concentration in vertical dimension.) Nitrate Loading Management Model 43 Nitrate Loading Management Model The study-area simulation model was linked to optimization methods to produce the Nitrate Loading Management Model (NLMM). This section includes a description of how the management model was formulated, how it is solved, and how it can be used to evaluate alternative strategies for managing nitrate loading to the shallow ground- water system. Formulation of Nitrate Loading Management Model To use optimization methods, management goals must be formulated into a mathematical structure. The structure of an optimization problem has three components that must be defined: decision variables, an objective function, and constraints. One inherent value of the optimization approach is that its use requires decision makers and stakeholders to quantify planning goals and objectives as well as environmental and other constraints. The La Pine NLMM was formulated through a close collaboration with Deschutes County planners and resource managers. The management objective of the NLMM, to minimize the reduction from base scenario nitrate loading from on-site wastewater systems, reflects the goals of: (1) allowing as many platted lots as possible to be developed under current development goals and policies, and (2) minimizing the required reduction in nitrate loading from existing on-site systems. Because costs are associated with reducing loading either by not allowing development or using advanced treatment on-site wastewater systems, the management objective can be simply stated as “minimize the cost” of meeting water-quality goals. The water-quality goals are constraints on the management model and have direct and quantifiable effects on the solution (or cost) and their values often reflect regulatory requirements or economic and community values. If regulatory standards apply, the process of setting water-quality constraints is straightforward. However, if less well defined economic or community values are to be the basis for water quality constraints, then a trade- off analysis is a common process for finding the balance (or evaluating the relations) between costs and economic, aesthetic, health, environmental, and other benefits. The management model can assist in this process by quantifying the relationships between constraints and management objectives. The NLMM was formulated mathematically to minimize the reduction in nitrate loading (or cost of reduction) from base scenario loading, subject to constraints on minimum reductions in ground-water nitrate concentrations (relative to base scenario), minimum reductions in ground-water discharge nitrate loading to streams (relative to base scenario), and minimum and maximum loading reductions for existing and future homes in each management area. The decision variables in the La Pine NLMM were the reduction in nitrate loading (relative to base scenario nitrate loading rates) that would be needed to maintain or achieve desired water-quality conditions. See table 6 for a description of the base scenario. (Nitrate loading rates were specified using metric units [kilograms per day] in the NLMM and these units are used in the following description of the model for consistency.) To define decision variables, the study area was divided into 97 management areas. The basic unit for the management areas was a 160-acre area (quarter-section) based on the Public Land Survey System. With the goal of making the base scenario loading in each management area approximately equal, as many as four quarter-sections (640 acres) were combined to form management areas in areas with lower lot density. The average number of lots in each management area was approximately 100 (fig. 19). The model had 194 decision variables, NRi,j, because two decision variables were defined for each management area: loading reduction (kilograms per day, kg/d) for existing homes and loading reduction for future homes. About 350 homes and lots were not included in the NLMM because they were in low density areas. These homes and lots represented only 7 kg/d of the total base scenario loading. The objective function of the NLMM was to minimize the reduction in loading (from the base scenario), and is given as minimize uNR NM jij j NT i NM ,, = = ∑ ∑ 1 1 where is the number of managemment areas, is the number of management area types, whicNTh h can be either 1 for existing homes or 2 for future homes, and is a dimensionless unit cost factor for nitrate load u j iing reduction from existing or future homes. (1) Constraints on Ground-Water Nitrate Concentration The value of the objective function was limited by a set of constraints on minimum reductions (relative to base scenario) in ground-water nitrate concentrations, minimum reductions (relative to base scenario) in ground-water discharge nitrate loading to streams, and minimum and maximum loading reductions to the aquifer for existing and future homes in each management area. 44 Evaluation of Approaches for Managing Nitate Loading from On-Site Wastewater Systems near La Pine, Oregon OR19-0049_fig19 Base modified from U.S. Geological Survey 1:500,000 state base map, 1982 with digital data from U.S. Bureau of the Census, TIGER/Line (R), 1990 and U.S. Geological Survey Digital Line Graphs published at 1:100,000 Publication projection is Lambert Conformal Conic Standard parallels 42º20' and 44º40', central meridian -120º30' Datum is NAD83R 9 E R 10 E R 11 E T 21 S T 22 S T 23 S T 24 S T 20 S T 19 S DESCHUTES L A K E KLAMATH Sp r i n g Ri v e r Fall River Cresc e n t Creek Creek Little De s c h u t e s DE S C H U T E S RIV E R Ri v e r Pauli n a Lo n g C r e e k 5 KILOMETERS 5 MILES0 0 Wickiup Reservoir 97 97 31 31 Burgess Road Drive Finley Butt e Road R o a d South Century Spring River Masten Road Sunriver Sunriver La Pine La Pine 43°55' 50' 45' 121°40'35'30'25'121°20' 40' 43°35' Ex t e n t o f s t u d y a r e a m o d e l EXPLANATION Management area Location of homes Existing (1999) Future Ground-water quality constraint location See figure 20for details Figure 19. Locations of management areas and ground-water nitrate concentration constraint locations in the Nitrate Loading Management Model for the La Pine, Oregon, study area. Nitrate Loading Management Model 45 Minimum reductions in ground-water nitrate concentration constraints were set at 339 locations in the simulation model. The minimum reduction values were determined by simulating the base scenario equilibrium concentration at each location and computing the reduction necessary to meet a specified concentration value. For example, if the base scenario nitrate concentration were calculated by the simulation model to be 23 mg N/L and the maximum allowable concentration was 7 mg N/L, then the minimum reduction constraint at that location would be 16 mg N/L. Constraints were set at one or two locations in the simulation model for each management area. One point was selected to be sensitive to loading from existing homes and another point was selected to be sensitive to loading from future homes in the management area. The most sensitive locations for existing and future loading were determined by simulating loading only from existing or future homes in a management area and determining the location (cell) in the model where the highest simulated concentrations occurred. If the same location were most sensitive to both existing and future loading from a management area, then only one location was set for that management area. The model simulates three-dimensional flow and transport; therefore, nitrate concentrations can vary with depth. To account for the variation in concentration with depth, shallow and deep constraints were specified at most locations. The shallow constraint was specified 5–10 ft below the water table (an average of 20 ft below land surface) and the deep constraint was specified immediately above the suboxic boundary (an average of 50 ft below land surface). Four unique constraints (one shallow and one deep for both existing and future homes) specified in each management area for each of the 194 locations where concentration was constrained would have required specified constraints in 388 model cells. However, forty-nine locations were eliminated because the same location was sensitive to loading from both existing and future homes, and some cells were eliminated because the oxic ground-water layer was only two cells thick and only one cell was used. In all, there were 339 concentration constraint cells at 174 locations in the NLMM (fig. 19). Mathematically, the minimum ground-water concentration reduction constraints were specified as CRmink ≤ CRm,k,. (2) The minimum concentration reduction was computed as CRminm,k = Csqm,k – Cmaxk, (2a) The effect of loading from the 350 homes and lots not included in the NLMM was accounted for by simulating equilibrium concentrations throughout the model that resulted from base scenario loading at these 350 locations. The resulting concentrations at each constraint site were used to adjust the CRminm,k values at each site. Constraints on Discharge of Nitrate from Ground Water to Streams The simulation model results indicated that nitrate from on-site wastewater systems can reach streams through ground- water discharge. Because the addition of nitrate to streams could have a deleterious effect on stream quality, the NLMM was configured to allow constraints on the amount of nitrate discharged to streams. Constraints on minimum reduction in discharge of nitrate from ground water to streams were specified for 14 reaches on the Deschutes and Little Deschutes Rivers. The minimum reduction values were determined by simulating the base scenario equilibrium ground-water discharge nitrate loading to each reach and computing the reduction necessary to meet a specified discharge constraint. For example, if the base scenario ground-water discharge of nitrate to a reach was determined to be 3 kg/d and the specified discharge constraint (maximum allowable discharge of nitrate) was 1 kg/d, then the minimum reduction for that reach would be 2 kg/d. Mathematically, the minimum reduction in ground- water discharge nitrate loading to stream constraints were specified as DRminr ≤ DRr (3) The minimum discharge loading reduction was computed as DRminr = Dsqr – Dmaxr (3a) Constraints on Reduction of Nitrate Loading Minimum and maximum nitrate loading reduction constraints were specified in the NLMM. Mathematically the constraints were expressed as NRminj ≤ NRj ≤ NRmaxj, (4) where NRminj and NRmaxj are minimum and maximum loading reduction constraints for existing (j=1) and future (j=2) homes (units of kg/d). The loading reduction constraints establish minimum or maximum loading reduction constraints on either existing or future homes. 46 Evaluation of Approaches for Managing Nitate Loading from On-Site Wastewater Systems near La Pine, Oregon Response-Matrix Technique for Solution of Nitrate Loading Management Model The optimization method used to solve the NLMM is based on a widely applied technique for solving ground-water management problems called the response-matrix technique. The assumption that must be satisfied to use this technique is that the nitrate concentrations at each constraint site are a linear function of the loading rates in each management area. By assuming linearity, determining the nitrate concentration or ground-water discharge loading rate to streams is possible at any location where a constraint is specified by summing the contribution of loading in each management area to the concentration or discharge at that location. The response- matrix technique is described in detail by Gorelick and others (1993) and Ahlfeld and Mulligan (2000). The response- matrix approach has been used to solve ground-water waste- management problems similar to the problem evaluated in this work by Moosburner and Wood (1980), Gorelick (1982), and Gorelick and Remson (1982). The assumption that simulated nitrate concentration and discharge nitrate loading to streams is a linear function of loading to the aquifer was tested through a series of simulations. The loading rate to a single management area was varied in each simulation and the computed nitrate concentrations at several constraint locations (model cells) were recorded. When loading rate was plotted against concentration for each location, the relation was shown to be linear. One requirement of this technique is that the effect of the sources of nitrate loading on the ground-water velocity field is known because the mass loading of nitrate is the product of the nitrate concentration and hydraulic loading rate of the on-site wastewater systems. Previous workers have assumed that for concentrated pollutant sources, the source-water flow rate (hydraulic loading rate) has a negligible influence on the ground-water velocity field (Gorelick, 1982; Gorelick and Remson, 1982). This also is the assumption used for this study, where recharge from on-site wastewater systems to, and domestic water-supply well withdrawals from, the shallow aquifer are nearly equal, and both are small relative to natural recharge rates. Therefore, the ground-water velocity field without the influence of on-site wastewater systems as sources of recharge was used to simulate transport. Use of the response-matrix technique requires that response functions for ground-water nitrate concentrations and ground-water discharge of nitrate to streams are calculated at each of the 339 model cells where concentration constraints were specified and the 14 stream reaches where ground-water discharge of nitrate was constrained. The response functions were calculated by making 194 simulations, one for each decision variable (97 management areas, each with decision variables for loading reduction for existing and future homes). The response to base scenario loading from either existing or future homes in a single management area was simulated. The spatial distribution of loading within each management area was at the resolution of a model cell—500 ft in the x- and y- dimensions. The purpose of these simulations was to compute the change in concentration at each constraint location caused by a unit change in loading at the location represented by the decisions variable. Calculation of the unit change in concentration was made using initial nitrate concentrations of zero and simulating equilibrium concentrations. The base scenario loading rates (kg/d) for existing and future homes in management area i and type j were defined as Nsqi,j. Concentration response coefficients, rc i,j,m,k, were computed as rc C Nijmk mk ij sq sq,,, , , ,= (5) Ground-water discharge nitrate loading response coefficients, rd i,j,r, for each stream reach were computed as rd D Nijr r ij sq sq,, , ,= (6) Units of milligrams per liter per kilogram per day were used for concentration response coefficients and ground- water discharge nitrate to stream response coefficients are dimensionless. The magnitude of the response coefficient is directly proportional to the sensitivity of the nitrate concentration or discharge nitrate loading at a constraint site to loading in a management area. This relation is illustrated for the concentration constraint site 31-E-S (fig. 20), which is the shallow concentration constraint site selected for its sensitivity to loading from existing homes in management area 31. Management area 31 is adjacent to the west bank of the Little Deschutes River, approximately 1 to 1.5 mi north of Burgess Road (fig. 20). The linear response coefficients, rc i,j,k,m, for several nearby management areas and types of homes (existing or future), show that loading in management areas 31, 32, 50, 51, 52, and 53 significantly affect the nitrate concentration at constraint location 31-E-S (table 7). Management areas 48, 49, 63, and 64 have lesser effects. Response coefficient values (table 8) indicate that the nitrate concentration at site 31-E-S is not a simple function of the number of homes in management area 31 or the distance from the site to adjacent management areas. Table 8 shows that the largest influence on concentration at point 31-E-S is from future homes in area 31, followed by existing homes in areas 31 and 50, future homes in areas 50 and 51, and existing homes in area 51. Response coefficients indicate that management area 32, the closest area to site 31-E-S, has less influence on concentration than more distant areas because of the direction of ground-water flow through the area (toward the Little Deschutes River) and the location of site 31-E-S in relation to homes in area 32. Nitrate Loading Management Model 47 Assuming the system is linear, the reduction in nitrate concentration, CRm,k , at constraint location m and depth k can be calculated with the concentration response coefficients by summation of the individual concentration reductions caused by reductions in loading to existing and future homes in each management area. The summation is written as CR rc NRmkijmkij j NT i NM ,,,,,.= = = ∑ ∑ 1 1 (7) OR19-0049_fig20 Base modified from U.S. Geological Survey 1:500,000 state base map, 1982 with digital data from U.S. Bureau of the Census, TIGER/Line (R), 1990 and U.S. Geological Survey Digital Line Graphs published at 1:100,000 Publication projection is Lambert Conformal Conic Standard parallels 42º20' and 44º40', central meridian -120º30' Datum is North American Datum of 1983 R 1 0 E R 9 E R 1 0 E T 21 S T 22 S Litt l e De s c h u t e s Ri v e r 0 1 MILE 0 1 KILOMETER 43°45' 121°35'32'30”121°30' 43°42'30” EXPLANATION Management area Line of equal simulated water table elevation— In feet above NAD83. Contour interval is 10 feet Location of homes Existing (1999) Future Nitrate concentration constraint location 31-E-S 4220 97 Burgess Road 4 2 0 0 4 2 6 0 4 2 5 0 42 4 0 4220 42 3 0 4210 422 0 42 1 0 420 0 41 9 0 67 66 56 58 57 61 62 65 54 74 64 63 53 52 51 50 32 31 26 35 55 36 25 4948 44 46 45 47 43 41 42 30 29 27 Similarly, the reduction in ground-water discharge nitrate loading to streams, DRr, can be calculated with the discharge loading response coefficients by summation of the individual discharge loading reductions caused by reductions in loading to existing and future homes in each management area. The summation is written as DR rd NRrijrij j NT i NM= = = ∑ ∑,,,. 1 1 (8) Figure 20. Locations of management areas near Burgess Road and management area 31 in the La Pine, Oregon, study area. 48 Evaluation of Approaches for Managing Nitate Loading from On-Site Wastewater Systems near La Pine, Oregon These summations include 194 terms because there are 97 management areas (NM) and 2 loading types (NT), existing and future homes, in each management area. In each summation, however, many terms are equal to zero because the response coefficients are zero; this occurs when concentration or discharge loading at a constraint location does not affect loading in a management area. The response matrix was prepared by running one simulation for each decision variable in which loading was applied only at the locations defined for that decision variable (for example, existing homes in management area 31). The loading rate and resulting concentrations at each of the constraint locations were used to compute the response coefficient at each constraint location using equations 5 and 6. A set of utility programs and scripts were developed to run the 194 simulations, extract the simulated concentration values at constraint sites, compute the response coefficients, and format the coefficients into a matrix for input to the optimization program. Table 8. Response coefficients relating the effects of loading in nearby areas to the nitrate concentration at a constraint location in management area 31 in the La Pine, Oregon, study area. [Management area: 31—site 31-E-S in figure 20. Response coefficients are in milligrams per liter per kilogram per day loading] Management area Type Response coefficient 31 Future 14.85 50 Existing 11.10 31 Existing 9.92 50 Future 8.85 51 Future 3.49 51 Existing 3.07 32 Future 1.71 52 Future 1.56 52 Existing 1.31 53 Existing 0.75 32 Existing 0.74 53 Future 0.50 63 Existing 0.15 63 Future 0.15 64 Existing 0.03 64 Future 0.02 49 Existing 0.01 49 Future 0.01 48 Future 0.01 48 Existing 0.01 Response coefficients are the link between the simulation model and the NLMM. The response coefficients are utilized by the NLMM by replacing CRm,k (equation 2) with the right- hand side of equation 7 and replacing DRr (equation 3) with the right hand side of equation 8. The constraints for reduction in nitrate concentration and discharge loading to streams are then written as CR rc NRmkijmkij j NT i NM min ,,,,,,≤ = = ∑ ∑ 1 1 (9) and DR rd NRrijrij j NT i NM min ≤ = = ∑ ∑,,,. 1 1 (10) Equations 9 and 10 replace equations 2 and 3 in the NLMM. The modified NLMM, defined by equations 1 (objective function), 4 (loading constraints), 9 (concentration constraints), and 10 (discharge loading constraints), constitutes a linear program. This program was solved using the “What’s Best!” optimization program (LINDO Systems, 2003). This set of solvers is implemented as an add-in to Microsoft Excel. The response matrix and constraint definitions are defined in the spreadsheet using special functions provided in the “What’s Best!” add-in. The NLMM can mathematically search for the minimum nitrate loading reductions for existing and future homes in each management area that satisfy the constraints on nitrate concentrations in ground water and ground-water discharge loading of nitrate to streams. The program also identifies management problems that are not feasible. This occurs when at least one constraint cannot be met with any combination of decision variable values. Application of Model In the application of the La Pine NLMM described here, the values of constraints were varied in a sensitivity analysis to explore relations between constraint values and optimal loading rates to the aquifer. The three constraint options used in the NLMM were varied and optimal solutions were computed to demonstrate how decision makers might use the model in a trade-off analysis to determine the effect of constraint values on the objective of minimizing nitrate loading reductions. The NLMM also was used to evaluate the influence of a cost variable that accounts for differential costs in reducing nitrate loading from existing and future homes. Nitrate Loading Management Model 49 Sensitivity of Optimal Solution to Water-Quality Constraints Ground-Water Nitrate Concentration Ground-water concentration constraints were specified at as many as two locations for each management area: one location was the most sensitive to loading from existing homes in that management area, and one location was most sensitive to loading from future homes. In 20 management areas, the same location was most sensitive for both existing and future homes. A shallow constraint was specified near the water table at each these 174 locations (fig. 19). In addition, where the oxic part of the aquifer was greater than 10-ft thick (163 locations), a deep constraint was specified. As described in the discussion of the model formulation, the concentration constraint values, CRminm,k, were computed (equation 2a) as the minimum reduction from base scenario concentration that would be required to meet a specified concentration limit, Cmaxk. Concentration constraints were varied to show the relative sensitivity of optimal loading solutions to constraints in different parts of the aquifer system. The total nitrate loading for existing and future homes in all 97 management areas was summed for each optimal solution to provide a basis for comparing the sensitivity of the solutions to values of the concentration constraints. The NLMM was solved using a range of 1 to 25 mg N/L for the maximum allowable concentration values for both the shallow (Cmaxs) and deep (Cmaxd) constraint locations. This range was selected because it includes most of the range of values that would constrain, or bind, the optimal solution. Binding constraints limit the amount of loading to the aquifer. Nonbinding constraints do not limit the loading to the aquifer system, because of their value or location. The NLMM was used to compute optimal nitrate loading rates for various combinations of shallow and deep concentration constraints (fig. 21). Optimal solutions were most sensitive to concentration constraints in the shallow part of the ground-water system. This result was expected because concentrations are greatest at the water table where loading occurs, and decrease with depth and distance downgradient from the source. The base scenario loading used in the NLMM was 190 kg/d (153,000 lb/yr) and, as expected, this is the optimal loading solution for the case where there are no constraints specified. Curve A (fig. 21) shows the effect on optimal loading when concentrations are constrained only in the deep part of the system. Deep constraints do not limit optimal loading until constraint values are less than 10 mg N/L (point C, fig. 21). Specifying a nitrate concentration constraint of 1 mg N/L in the deep part of the aquifer limited optimal loading to 110 kg/d (point D). Curve B shows the effect on optimal loading when concentrations are constrained only in the shallow part of the system. Shallow constraints limit optimal loading throughout the range, with loading limited to 17 kg/d at a constraint value of 1 mg N/L (point E) and 168 kg/d at a constraint value of 25 mg N/L (point F). If a regulatory limit, such as the ODEQ “action level” of 7 mg N/L is applied to the shallow constraints (and no deep constraints are specified), optimal loading is reduced to 84 kg/d (point G)—a 56 percent reduction from base scenario loading. For comparison, if no shallow constraints are specified and 7 mg N/L is applied to the deep constraints, optimal loading is reduced very little, to 183 kg/d (point H). Loading sensitivity curves also are shown in figure 21 for shallow concentration constraint (Cmaxs) values of 5, 10, 15, 20, and 25 mg N/L; these curves were constructed by keeping the shallow constraint constant at the indicated value and varying the value of the deep constraint. For example, with shallow and deep constraints of 5 and 15 mg N/L respectively (point I), the optimal loading is 65 kg/d. For reference, the optimal loading for shallow and deep concentration constraints of 7 and 3 mg N/L, respectively, is 84 kg/d and plots at point J in figure 21. The effects of more- or less-stringent concentration constraints on nitrate loading in the shallow and deep parts of the ground-water system can be analyzed using figure 21. OR19-0049_fig 21 NITRATE CONCENTRATION CONSTRAINT, MILLIGRAMS NITROGEN PER LITER 0 5 10 15 20 25 OP T I M A L N I T R A T E L O A D I N G , K I L O G R A M S P E R D A Y 0 50 100 150 200 250 Unconstrained loading = 190 kg/d Cmaxs = 25 Cmaxs = 20 Cmaxs = 15 Cmaxs = 10 Cmaxs = 5 A Deep constraints only B Shallow constraints only C D E F G I J H EXPLANATION Curve A—Relation between optimal loading and values of concentration constraints at deep locations Curve B—Relation between optimal loading and values of concentration constraints at shallow locations Points C-J—Optimal loading for combinations of shallow and deep concentration constraints C—Deep constraints set to 10 mg N/L, no shallow constraints D—Deep constraints set to 1 mg N/L, no shallow constraints E—Shallow constraints set to 1 mg N/L, no deep constraints F—Shallow constraints set to 25 mg N/L, no deep constraints G—Shallow constraints set to 7 mg N/L, no deep constraints H—Deep constraints set to 7 mg N/L, no shallow constraints I—Shallow constraints set to 5 mg N/L, deep constraints set to 15 mg N/L J—Shallow constraints set to 7 mg N/L, deep constraints set to 3 mg N/L Figure 21. Sensitivity of optimal loading solutions to ground-water nitrate concentration constraints in the La Pine, Oregon, study area. 50 Evaluation of Approaches for Managing Nitate Loading from On-Site Wastewater Systems near La Pine, Oregon These results can be used to assess trade-offs in protection of water quality in the shallow and deep parts of the aquifer. Few wells in the La Pine area are open to the upper 10 ft of the aquifer where the shallow constraints are specified. Using these results, decision makers could evaluate the cost, in terms of reduced loading, of protecting the shallowest part of the system (within 10 ft of the water table) to the same degree as the deeper part of the system (30–50 below the water table), where most domestic wells obtain water. Ground-Water Nitrate Discharge Loading to Streams Fourteen stream reaches were defined where constraints could be applied to ground-water nitrate discharge loading. As described in the discussion of the model formulation, the discharge loading constraint values, DRminr, were computed (equation 3a) as the minimum reduction from base scenario discharge loading that would be required to meet a specified limit, Dmaxr. The beginning and end of each reach were selected to coincide with confluences or road crossings. The purpose of this analysis was to demonstrate how the NLMM can be used to conjunctively manage water quality of ground-water and surface-water resources using optimization techniques. Discharge loading constraints were specified by setting a minimum percent reduction from base scenario ground-water discharge loading to streams. To determine the sensitivity to discharge loading constraints, the percent reduction was varied from 0 to 99 percent. Two sets of solutions were computed with NLMM: 1) with no constraints on ground-water concentrations, and 2) with shallow and deep ground-water concentration constraints of 7 and 3 mg N/L. Without concentration constraints, the discharge loading constraint directly limited the loading to streams as would be expected based on the formulation of the model (fig. 22). However, with the limitations imposed on loading by concentration constraints (7 and 3 mg N/L), discharge loading constraints had no effect on loading to streams until the constraint values were greater than about 50 percent reduction (fig. 22). At values greater than 50 percent, most loading reductions required to meet this constraint are needed in the management areas adjacent to streams, where, according to simulation results, shallow ground-water flow paths through the thin oxic part of the ground-water system are connected to the streams. With no concentration constraints and discharge loading to streams constrained to a minimum reduction of 97 percent, the total loading to the system is about 100 kg/d. By comparison, constraining concentration to 7 and 3 mg N/L (shallow and deep, respectively) and constraining discharge loading reduction to at least 97 percent requires that total loading be reduced to about 40 kg/d (fig. 22). The additional reduction in total loading required to meet the ground-water concentration constraints, 60 kg/d, reflects the additional costs of management strategies designed to protect both ground-water quality and stream quality. These results can be used to assess trade-offs in the protection of surface-water quality. To make decisions on the values of discharge constraints, the processes affecting nitrate as it is transported through the near stream and riparian environments need to be better understood (Hinkle and others, 2007b). The simulation model uses simple assumptions regarding the fate and transport of nitrate in this part of the ground-water system and the estimates of ground-water discharge of nitrate to streams should be considered the upper limits of possible discharge. Sensitivity of Optimal Solution to Nitrate Loading Constraints Minimum and maximum loading reduction constraints, NRmin and NRmax in equation 4, can be specified for existing or future homes in the NLMM. The constraints are computed as a percentage of the base scenario loading for the existing or future homes in each management area. For example, if base scenario loading for future homes in a management area is 2 kg/d, and the desired loading reduction is a minimum of 25 percent of status-quo build-out loading, then NRmin would be equal to 0.5 kg/d. OR19-0049_fig 22 MINIMUM REDUCTION IN DISCHARGE LOADING TO STREAMS, PERCENT 0 20 40 60 80 100 NI T R A T E L O A D I N G , K I L O G R A M S N P E R D A Y 0 50 100 150 200 Total loading, without concentration constraints Total loading, with concentration constraints Discharge to streams, without concentration constraints Discharge to streams, with concentration constraints EXPLANATION Figure 22. Sensitivity of optimal loading solutions to constraints on the minimum reduction in ground-water discharge loading to streams in the La Pine, Oregon, study area. Nitrate Loading Management Model 51 In this example, the loading constraints were used to evaluate how specifying minimum nitrate reduction standards for future homes would affect the overall loading and the proportion of loading from existing homes. As formulated, the NLMM also offers the ability to specify other constraints on loading reduction, such as maximum loading reduction for either future of existing homes. This type of constraint could be used to reflect the limitations of alternative treatment systems to reduce loading by more than a specified percentage. Optimal solutions were computed in which the minimum reduction constraint for future homes varied and all other constraints were constant. Ground-water concentration constraints of 7 and 3 mg N/L were specified for the shallow and deep sites, respectively, and ground-water discharge nitrate loading to streams was unconstrained. All existing on-site wastewater systems in the study area are assumed to discharge effluent with 46 mg N/L nitrate, and this was the performance level used to compute the base scenario loading of 190 kg/d. Maximum loading reduction constraints were 96 percent of base scenario loading for both existing and future homes; this constraint reflects the assumption that the best attainable on-site wastewater system performance is 2 mg N/L. The minimum loading reduction constraint for future homes was specified on the basis of assumed performance standards for on-site wastewater systems that ranged from 2 to 46 mg N/L concentration in effluent that recharged the ground-water system. Thus, in this series of solutions, the 46 mg N/L performance level was the equivalent of zero reduction from base scenario loading. The other performance levels used were 2, 10, 20, and 30 mg N/L, corresponding to minimum loading reductions of 96, 78, 57, and 35 percent, respectively (fig. 23). Under base scenario conditions, existing and future homes will contribute 104 and 86 kg/d, respectively, to the total loading of 190 kg/d. The results of this analysis show that as the minimum loading reduction constraint for future homes is increased from 0 to 96 percent, optimal loading from future homes decreases from 38 to 3 kg/d and the associated total loading decreases from 84 to 58 kg/d. The reduction in loading to the aquifer from future homes implemented using a minimum reduction constraint allows higher loading rates to be maintained from existing homes while still meeting concentration constraints. If no loading reduction is required for future homes, loading from existing homes will have to be reduced by 56 percent (from 104 to 46 kg/d). By requiring improved performance of on-site wastewater systems in future homes, there is less need for loading reduction from existing homes. For example, if a 96 percent reduction requirement is imposed for future homes, loading from existing homes would have to be reduced by only 47 percent to meet ground-water concentration constraints of 7 and 3 mg N/L for shallow and deep parts of the aquifer. If it were less costly to reduce loading from future homes by installing advanced treatment on-site wastewater systems than requiring existing homes to be retrofitted with advanced treatment on-site wastewater systems, then using this type of constraint in the NLMM would allow planners to incorporate specific on-site wastewater system performance standards for future homes into the optimal solution. Sensitivity of Optimal Solution to Cost Factors The simulation model accounts for the physical and geochemical complexities of the ground-water system and this information is available to the NLMM through the response coefficients that were computed using the study area simulation model. Other variables (external to the simulation model) also can be important in determining the optimal nitrate loading solution. The cost of implementing management strategies is the most common external variable that affects management decisions. In many optimization problems, the objective is to minimize the cost of satisfying the constraints on the problem. OR19-0049_fig 23 MINIMUM REQUIRED REDUCTION IN NITRATE LOADING FROM NEW HOMES, IN PERCENT 0 35 57 78 96 OP T I M A L N I T R A T E L O A D I N G , I N K I L O G R A M S N P E R D A Y 0 20 40 60 80 100 Existing homes Future homes Figure 23. Sensitivity of optimal solution to minimum decentralized wastewater treatment performance standards for future homes in the La Pine, Oregon, study area. 52 Evaluation of Approaches for Managing Nitate Loading from On-Site Wastewater Systems near La Pine, Oregon Reducing loading from on-site wastewater systems can incur significant costs whether by limiting housing density or installing and maintaining advanced treatment on-site wastewater systems. The cost factor of reducing nitrate loading, uj in equation 1 of the NLMM, can be used to account for differences in cost for existing and future homes. If the cost of nitrate reduction varies among decision variables in other ways, such as geographically, cost variables can be specified for individual management areas. The sensitivity of the La Pine NLMM to differences in the cost of reducing nitrate loading from existing and future homes was evaluated by computing the optimal loading solutions for a range of unit cost ratios. Arbitrary cost factors were specified that resulted in ratios of existing to future unit costs ranging from 0.11 (1:9) to 9.0 (9:1). For example, for a cost ratio of 0.11, the cost factors for existing and future loading reduction were 1 and 9, meaning that it was 9 times more costly to reduce nitrate loading from future homes. To define the extremes, two additional solutions were computed in which the unit cost was set to zero, first for existing, and then for future homes. The only constraints were ground-water concentration constraints of 7 and 3 mg N/L for the shallow and deep sites. The loading from existing and future homes for each cost ratio are shown in figure 24. The highest optimal total loading (84 kg/d) occurs when the cost ratio (existing:future) is 1.0 (costs are equal). As the ratio increases or decreases to favor reductions in future or existing homes, respectively, the optimal balance in loading is affected because the objective function (to minimize cost) is most efficiently reduced by eliminating loading from homes that have the lowest cost per unit reduction. As the cost ratio increases or decreases from 1.0, the total loading that can be maintained decreases because cost variables now act as weighting factors that partially determine which management areas and home types will have reduced loading. It is not likely that the ratio of unit costs would fall outside the range of 0.43 to 2.33, within which the effect on total loading is relatively small. The relative contributions to loading from existing and future homes, however, do vary significantly within this range. This indicates that wherever possible, true cost factors should be incorporated into the NLMM to account for this important external variable. Spatial Distribution of Loading for Optimal Solution The NLMM computes the minimum loading reduction needed from existing and future homes in each management area to achieve the water-quality goals prescribed by a constraint set. To illustrate the variation in optimal loading between management areas, optimal reductions in loading rates to each management area from both existing and future homes were mapped for a specific set of constraints. The constraints for this solution included (1) ground-water nitrate concentrations could not exceed 7 mg N/L at shallow locations and 3 mg N/L at deep locations, and (2) the maximum loading reduction possible for either existing or future homes was 96 percent. The ground-water concentration limits were selected to reflect the goals of minimizing loading reductions and insuring protection of the part of the aquifer (30 to 50 ft below the water table) where most domestic wells obtain water. The 96 percent limit on loading reduction is consistent with data from the La Pine NDP that show that the best-performing advanced treatment on-site wastewater systems tested are capable of reducing nitrogen to about 2 mg N/L as nitrate in effluent leaving the drain field. No constraints were placed on discharge of nitrate to streams or minimum loading reduction and no differential cost factors were included. The optimal minimum reductions vary over a broad range in the 97 management areas. The breadth of the range is a reflection of the complex relations between development location and density, hydrogeology, and geochemical processes. For the specified constraints, the optimal reduction in total loading is 107 kg/d, or 56 percent of the 190 kg/d of loading projected for the base scenario. Contributions to build- out loading were reduced from 104 to 46 kg/d for existing OR19-0049_fig 24 NITRATE LOADING REDUCTION COST RATIO, COST OF REDUCING EXISTING HOMES LOADING/ COST OF REDUCING FUTURE HOMES LOADING Exi s t i n g = 0 0.1 1 0.2 5 0.4 3 0.6 6 1.0 0 1.5 0 2.3 3 4.0 0 9.0 0 Fut u r e = 0 OP T I M A L N I T R A T E L O A D I N G , I N K I L O G R A M S N P E R D A Y 0 20 40 60 80 100 Higher costs for existing homesHigher costs for future homes Loading from future homes Loading from existing homes EQ U A L C O S T Optimal total loading Figure 24. Sensitivity of optimal solutions to relative cost difference of nitrate loading reduction for existing and future homes in the La Pine, Oregon, study area. Nitrate Loading Management Model 53 homes and from 86 to 38 kg/d for future homes. The optimal reductions in each management area for existing and future homes are shown in figures 25 and 26, respectively. Overall, the loading from existing homes was reduced by the same proportion, 56 percent, as the loading from future homes because there was roughly the same number of existing and future homes (undeveloped lots) in 2000. Locally, the reductions in loading from existing and future homes for individual management areas often were quite different. For example, in management area 33, where most lots had been developed by 2000, loading from existing homes and future homes would need to be reduced by 81 and 67 percent, respectively (figs. 25, 26). Even fewer undeveloped lots were in the adjacent management area 34 and the entire loading reduction needed to meet concentration constraints (93 percent) would need to come from existing homes. To further validate the assumption that the simulated nitrate concentrations and ground-water discharge nitrate loading to streams were linear functions of nitrate loading to the aquifer, the base scenario loading (scenario 1) was reduced in each management area by the percentages computed using the NLMM (figs. 25, 26). This loading was used as input to the study-area simulation model and the equilibrium nitrate concentrations and discharge loading to streams simulated by the study-area model were compared to the values computed by the NLMM at the 339 concentration and 14 discharge loading constraint locations and reaches. The simulated concentrations and discharge loading were equal to the values computed by the NLMM using the response coefficients at all constraint locations and reaches. The detailed spatial distribution of loading reduction illustrated in this example could be used by decision makers to delineate ground-water protection zones and set performance standards for on-site wastewater systems to achieve the needed loading reductions. Comparison of Scenario Simulations and Optimal Solution Simulated ground-water nitrate concentrations were used to compare the results of the scenario simulations with the results of an optimal solution computed using the NLMM. For the comparison, concentration values were compiled at the 339 NLMM constraint locations (fig. 19) for four of the scenarios simulated using the simulation model in a “trial- and-error” mode. The four scenarios (1, 3, 5, and 7 in table 6) specified on-site wastewater concentrations at the water table of 46, 20, 10, and 2 mg N/L, respectively. For this analysis, a fifth scenario using a wastewater concentration of 30 mg N/L also was simulated. Scenario 1 was the base scenario where conventional on-site wastewater systems yield 46 mg N/L nitrate at the water table. The other four scenarios are based on the assumption that all existing and future homes would install advanced treatment on-site wastewater systems that reduce loading to the same standard. The optimal solution used in the comparison is that in which ground-water nitrate concentrations could not exceed 7 mg N/L at shallow sites and 3 mg N/L at deep sites, and the maximum loading reduction possible for either existing or future homes was 96 percent. The relative effectiveness of the management alternatives used in each scenario was evaluated by comparing water- quality improvements (as measured by the percentage of constraint locations with nitrate concentrations greater than 7 mg N/L) with reduced loading for the scenarios and the optimal solution (fig. 27). The base scenario (no loading reduction) resulted in equilibrium concentrations greater than 7 mg N/L for 46 percent of the constraint locations. Using advanced treatment systems that can produce nitrate concentrations of 30, 20, 10, and 2 mg N/L, reduced loading by 35, 57, 78, and 96 percent and reduced the fraction of constraint locations where ground-water concentrations exceeded 7 mg N/L to 36, 26, 8, and 1 percent, respectively. The optimal solution would reduce total loading by 56 percent, and yet had only 3 constraint locations (<1 percent) with concentrations greater than 7 mg N/L. These three locations were affected by a small amount of unmanaged loading from dispersed homes not included in the NLMM. Loading reduction for the optimal solution was 106 kg/d, which was nearly equivalent to the loading reduction in the 20 mg N/L scenario (3), in which 26 percent of the sites had concentrations greater than 7 mg N/L. The 10 mg N/L and 2 mg N/L scenarios (5 and 7, respectively) are approximately equivalent to the optimal solution in reducing nitrate concentrations in ground water. Because they apply uniform management strategies, however, loading must be reduced by 40–69 percent more than would be required under the optimal solution to achieve similar results. The scenarios are based on uniform management strategies (for example, all new homes have advanced treatment on-site wastewater systems and all existing systems are replaced), whereas the optimal solution implements loading reductions only where reductions are needed to meet quality constraints. Decision makers would unlikely be able to implement the optimal solution exactly because it would be difficult to have variable on-site wastewater system performance requirements across management areas as small as those defined in the NLMM. More likely, decentralized wastewater treatment would be managed over larger areas that have similar nitrate loading capacity in the NLMM solution. This approach could increase the overall loading reduction required to meet water-quality standards, but still be less costly than uniform management strategies. 54 Evaluation of Approaches for Managing Nitate Loading from On-Site Wastewater Systems near La Pine, Oregon OR19-0049_fig25 Base modified from U.S. Geological Survey 1:500,000 state base map, 1982 with digital data from U.S. Bureau of the Census, TIGER/Line (R), 1990 and U.S. Geological Survey Digital Line Graphs published at 1:100,000 Publication projection is Lambert Conformal Conic Standard parallels 42º20' and 44º40', central meridian -120º30' Datum is NAD83R 9 E R 10 E R 11 E T 21 S T 22 S T 23 S T 24 S T 20 S T 19 S DESCHUTES L A K E KLAMATH EXPLANATION Management area with numberOptimal reduction from base scenario loading— In percent 0-10 11-35 36-57 58-78 79-100 16 Spr i n g Riv e r Fall River Cresc e n t Creek Creek Little De s c h u t e s DE S C H U T E S RIV E R Ri v e r Pauli n a Lo n g C r e e k 5 KILOMETERS 5 MILES0 0 Wickiup Reservoir 97 97 31 31 Burgess Road Drive Finley Butt e Road R o a d South Century Spring River Masten Road Sunriver Sunriver La Pine La Pine 43°55' 50' 45' 121°40'35'30'25'121°20' 40' 43°35' Ex t e n t o f s t u d y a r e a m o d e l 77 76 88 89 91 87 86 85 84 2483 24 81 8079 78 75 73 7172 68 69 70 67 66 93 56 58 57 61 62 65 54 74 90 64 63 53 52 51 50 32 31 26 35 55 36 34 33 25 4948 44 46 45 47 43 41 40 39 38 37 42 30 29 27 28 1494 13 12 19 22 21 95 1718 16 15 44 11 23 10 9 8 7 1 6 2 3 5 59 60 92 20 Figure 25. Optimal reduction in nitrate loading from existing homes in the La Pine, Oregon, study area. Nitrate Loading Management Model 55 OR19-0049_fig26 Base modified from U.S. Geological Survey 1:500,000 state base map, 1982 with digital data from U.S. Bureau of the Census, TIGER/Line (R), 1990 and U.S. Geological Survey Digital Line Graphs published at 1:100,000 Publication projection is Lambert Conformal Conic Standard parallels 42º20' and 44º40', central meridian -120º30' Datum is NAD83R 9 E R 10 E R 11 E T 21 S T 22 S T 23 S T 24 S T 20 S T 19 S DESCHUTES L A K E KLAMATH EXPLANATION Management area with numberOptimal reduction from base scenario loading— In percent 0-10 11-35 36-57 58-78 79-100 16 Spr i n g Riv e r Fall River Cresc e n t Creek Creek Little De s c h u t e s DE S C H U T E S RIV E R Ri v e r Pauli n a Lo n g C r e e k 5 KILOMETERS 5 MILES0 0 Wickiup Reservoir 97 97 31 31 Burgess Road Drive Finley Butt e Road R o a d South Century Spring River Masten Road Sunriver Sunriver La Pine La Pine 43°55' 50' 45' 121°40'35'30'25'121°20' 40' 43°35' Ex t e n t o f s t u d y a r e a m o d e l 77 76 88 89 91 87 86 85 84 2483 24 81 8079 78 75 73 7172 68 69 70 67 66 93 56 58 57 61 62 65 54 74 90 64 63 53 52 51 50 32 31 26 35 55 36 34 33 25 4948 44 46 45 47 43 41 40 39 38 37 42 30 29 27 28 1494 13 12 19 22 21 95 1718 16 15 44 11 23 10 9 8 7 1 6 2 3 5 59 60 92 20 Figure 26. Optimal reduction in nitrate loading from future homes in the La Pine, Oregon, study area. 56 Evaluation of Approaches for Managing Nitate Loading from On-Site Wastewater Systems near La Pine, Oregon Limitations and Appropriate Use of Models The transect and study-area simulation models were developed to generate a better understanding of the fate and transport of nitrate from on-site wastewater systems at multiple scales. The study-area model also may be used to help evaluate alternative options for management of nitrate loading from on-site wastewater systems. Limitations of the modeling software, assumptions made during model development, and results of model calibration and sensitivity analysis all are factors that constrain the appropriate use of these models and highlight potential future improvements. A simulation model is a means for testing a conceptual understanding of a system. Because ground-water flow systems are inherently complex, simplifying assumptions must be made in developing and applying model codes (Anderson and Woessner, 1992). Models solve for average conditions (for example, head or nitrate concentrations) within each cell using parameters which are interpolated or extrapolated from measurements, and (or) estimated during calibration. Practical limitations on model size, and hence minimum cell size, are imposed by the size and speed of available computers. More commonly, however, it is the availability of data to define the system that limits the scale and accuracy of the model. In light OR19-0049_fig27 46 mg/Lsystems(Scenario 1) 30 mg/Lsystems Optimalsolution 20 mg/Lsystems(Scenario 3) 10 mg/Lsystems(Scenario 5) 2 mg/Lsystems(Scenario 7) NI T R A T E L O A D I N G R E D U C T I O N , IN K I L O G R A M S P E R L I T E R 0 50 100 150 200 PE R C E N T A G E O F S I T E S G R E A T E R T H A N 7 M I L L I G R A M S P E R L I T E R 0 10 20 30 40 50 Figure 27. Comparison of loading and water quality between optimal and nonoptimal management scenarios for the La Pine, Oregon, study area. of this, the intent in developing the simulation models was not to reproduce every detail of the natural system, but to portray its important characteristics in sufficient detail to provide a useful tool for testing the conceptual model and evaluating alternative management options. Simulation Models The study-area simulation model is a decision-support tool for evaluating the effects of wastewater management alternatives on ground-water and surface-water quality at the neighborhood to watershed scale. The study area and transect models are not capable of simulating nitrate concentrations at individual wells; however, the transect model (which has more than twice the lateral resolution of the study-area model) has sufficient detail to approximately simulate the location of nitrate plumes. The ground-water flow system was assumed to be at steady-state, meaning that the velocity and direction of ground-water flow did not change with time. Water-level variation occurs seasonally and over the long term in response to stresses like climatic variation. The variation can change the velocity, and possibly direction, of ground-water flow over periods ranging from hours to years depending on the cause; a change in river stage might affect the system for hours to days whereas an extended drought might have effects that last for months to years. These changes in the flow system could have effects on the fate and transport of nitrate not represented by the simulation models. The simulation models are designed to evaluate the long-term effects of options for management of nitrate loading. The models should not be used to evaluate short-term changes without considering the possible effects of changes in the ground-water velocity distribution from the steady-state conditions represented in the models. The location of the boundary between the oxic and suboxic parts of the ground-water system was mapped based on dissolved oxygen concentrations in 256 wells sampled as part of a synoptic sampling of private wells by ODEQ and Deschutes County in June 2000. Because denitrification is assumed to occur at the oxic-suboxic boundary and nitrate concentration below the boundary (in the suboxic zone) is specified as zero, simulated nitrate concentrations near and below the boundary are sensitive to location. Uncertainty in the boundary location will result in uncertainty in simulated nitrate concentrations. The distribution of wells used to map the boundary was generally good for a study area this size, however, the boundary location is less certain in some areas. For example, there were fewer wells available to constrain the location of the boundary near the margin of the model area and near streams. In these areas, model results should be evaluated with respect to the effects of uncertainty on simulated nitrate concentrations. Summary and Conclusions 57 The ground-water discharge to evapotranspiration process is simulated by the study-area model and accounts for the mass of water lost from the system where deep-rooted plants extract ground water for transpiration and where ground water is shallow enough to be evaporated from bare soil. Plants also may take up nutrients dissolved in ground water; however, the rate of uptake is highly variable and poorly understood in non-agricultural settings. Nutrients and other solutes are not removed by evaporation and this process results in concentration of solutes in ground water. For this study, there was no basis for partitioning the mass of ground water discharged by ET into its transpiration and evaporation components and it was assumed that no nitrate was taken up with the mass of water discharged by ET. This assumption may bias simulated nitrate concentrations toward high values in areas where ET is a significant part of ground-water discharge. Management Model Because the NLMM was developed using optimization methods with the study-area simulation model, the NLMM is subject to the same limitations listed for the study-area model. However, additional factors should be considered when using the management model that relate to how the management problem is formulated. The sensitivity analysis of the NLMM presented in this report illustrates how closely optimal solutions are tied to the definition of the management problem. The NLMM solutions were shown to be highly dependent on the value of the maximum nitrate concentration constraint and on the number, location, and depth of specified constraints. Assignment of the constraints is an important part of developing a strategy for protecting ground-water resources. The management problem for this study was formulated with the objective of minimizing the amount of reduction in nitrate loading that would be required to meet specified water-quality goals within management areas. Management area boundaries were defined using the township and section lines of the Public Land Survey System (PLSS) and included areas ranging from 160 to 640 acres. The management-area boundaries do not coincide with the hydrologic, geologic, and geochemical boundaries that control the nitrate loading capacity of the system. The loading capacity for some management areas may be strongly controlled by loading in part of the area close to where constraints were specified. Large differences in computed optimal reduction requirements can occur across management-area boundaries even though there may be little difference in lot densities, recharge, depth of the suboxic zone, or other factors that affect loading capacity. Users of the NLMM need to be cognizant of the effects of problem formulation on results and interject knowledge of on-the-ground conditions when using model results to support management decisions. Summary and Conclusions Ground-water is an important resource in the rural communities of southern Deschutes and northern Klamath County, near La Pine, Oregon. The primary aquifer, and only source of drinking water to about 14,000 residents, comprises alluvial sand and gravel deposits within 100 ft of land surface. Nearly 60 percent of residential lots are less than 1 acre and almost all homes use on-site wastewater disposal systems. Nitrate concentrations greater than the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency drinking water MCL of 10 mg/L were discovered in the oldest developed part of the area in the late 1970s and elevated concentrations have subsequently been detected in more recently developed areas. In 2000, nitrate concentrations greater than 4 mg N/L were detected in 10 percent of domestic wells sampled by Oregon Department of Environmental Quality. Because of concern for the vulnerability of the ground-water resource, the Oregon Department of Environmental Quality and Deschutes County, in cooperation with the U.S. Geological Survey, conducted a study to develop a better understanding of the hydrologic and chemical processes that affect the movement and fate of nitrogen within the shallow aquifers of the La Pine region. Simulation models were used to test the conceptual understanding of the system and were coupled with optimization methods to provide a management model that can be used to efficiently evaluate alternative approaches for managing nitrate loading from on-site wastewater systems. The geologic, hydrologic, and geochemical frameworks for the conceptual and numerical models were developed using several data sources including previous hydrogeologic and water-quality studies in the area, an associated, large- scale field experiment evaluating advanced treatment on-site wastewater systems, literature for similar studies in other areas, and extensive field data collection for this study. The primary aquifer in the study area is composed of complexly interbedded fluvial silt, sand, and gravel deposits. A three-dimensional hydrofacies model of the fluvial system was created with transition probability geostatistical methods using parameters derived from analysis of two-dimensional lithologic sections and lithologic data from more than 400 drillers’ logs. Five hydrofacies were included in the final model: clay-silt, sand, gravel, lacustrine clay-silt, and basalt. Mean annual ground-water recharge to the alluvial aquifer is 3.2 in/yr, primarily from infiltration of precipitation and snowmelt. Ground-water discharges to streams, springs, and wells, and by evapotranspiration. The water-table generally is within 5–20 ft of land surface and varies seasonally over a range of a few feet in response to recharge and changing stream stage. 58 Evaluation of Approaches for Managing Nitate Loading from On-Site Wastewater Systems near La Pine, Oregon On-site wastewater systems are the only significant source of anthropogenic nitrogen to shallow ground water in the study area. Low recharge rates and ground-water flow velocities have, for now, generally restricted nitrate occurrence to discrete plumes within 20–30 ft of the water table. Concentrations of nitrate typically are low in deeper, older ground water due to the nature and timing of nitrate loading and transport, and to loss by denitrification. Ground water in the study area evolves from oxic to increasingly reduced conditions with increasing depth below the water table. Suboxic conditions are achieved in 15–30 years, and the transition zone from oxic to suboxic ground water is narrow. Nitrate is denitrified near the oxic-suboxic boundary. Nitrate loading from residential, commercial, and other sources using on-site wastewater systems was estimated for 1960–99 using county building records, census data, monitoring data from field studies of on-site systems, and literature values. Adjusted for seasonal residency, residential loading estimates ranged from 12 to 14 lbs/yr per home between 1960 and 1999. During this period total nitrogen loading increased from 3,900 to 81,000 lb/yr. Nitrogen loading increased by 17,000 to 98,000 lb/yr between 1999 and 2005. When all approved lots are developed (projected to occur in 2019 at current building rates), nitrogen loading is estimated to reach nearly 150,000 lb/yr. Three-dimensional numerical simulation models were constructed at transect (2.4 mi2) and study-area (247 mi2) scales to simulate the fate and transport of nitrate within the shallow ground-water system. The transect model was used to test conceptual models at the site of a detailed geochemical investigation along a 3.5-mi long flow path within the study area. The study-area model was constructed at a scale appropriate as a planning tool for prediction of average nitrate concentrations in neighborhoods and subdivisions. Calibration of the models was constrained by data that included measured heads, measured and estimated ground-water discharge to streams, time-of-travel estimated from chlorofluorocarbon age dates, and measured ground- water nitrate concentrations. Eight scenarios representing nitrate-loading management strategies were simulated for the 140-year period, 2000–2139. A base scenario was simulated which assumed existing and future homes would continue to use conventional on-site systems and nitrogen loading would reach the projected maximum of nearly 150,000 lb/yr in 2019. Under this scenario, simulated nitrate concentrations continue to increase until the rate of nitrate loading to the aquifer system is balanced by nitrate losses to denitrification and ground-water discharge to the nearstream environment of the Deschutes and Little Deschutes Rivers. At equilibrium, average nitrate concentrations near the water table exceed 10 mg N/L over areas totaling 9,400 acres. Other scenarios were simulated that evaluated the effects of reduced loading on water quality. Scenarios in which nitrate loading was reduced by 15–94 percent overall resulted in reductions of 22–99 percent in the area where average nitrate concentrations near the water table exceed 10 mg N/L at equilibrium. Simulated ground-water ages agree with ground- water age data and show that the system is slow to respond to changes in nitrate loading due to low recharge rates and ground-water flow velocity. Consequently, reductions in nitrate loading will not immediately reduce average nitrate concentrations and the average concentration in the aquifer will continue to increase for 25–50 years depending on the amount and timing of loading reduction. The time required for average concentrations to decrease is, in part, also due to the assumption that replacement of existing on-site wastewater systems would take place over approximately 50 years. Results of the scenario simulations showed that there is variable capacity to receive on-site wastewater system effluent. The capacity of an area to receive on-site wastewater system effluent is related to many factors, including the density of homes, presence of upgradient residential development, ground-water recharge rate, ground-water flow velocity, and thickness of the oxic part of the aquifer. The study-area simulation model was used to develop a decision-support tool by incorporating optimization methods. The resulting model, the Nitrate Loading Management Model (NLMM), was formulated to minimize the reduction from estimated base scenario loading that would be needed to maintain ground-water nitrate concentrations or ground-water discharge of nitrate to streams below specified levels. The NLMM uses the response matrix approach to find the optimal (minimum) loading reductions in each of 97 management areas that will meet the specified water-quality constraints. The sensitivity of the optimal solutions (loading reductions) to water-quality and other constraints was evaluated by altering constraint values. The sensitivity of optimal solutions to constraints allows decision makers to assess tradeoffs between higher levels of water quality protection and the cost of reducing nitrate loading. The sensitivity analysis of the NLMM showed that optimal (minimum) loading reductions were most sensitive to the constraints on ground-water nitrate concentration in the shallow part of the oxic ground-water system, within 5–10 ft of the water table. References Cited 59 Acknowledgments We gratefully acknowledge the cooperation and assistance of the hundreds of residents of southern Deschutes and northern Klamath Counties who gave us permission to collect geologic and water-level data from their wells, allowed us access to their property, and provided other information that proved invaluable to this study. This study also benefited greatly from the dedicated efforts of many Deschutes County Community Development Department employees; special thanks go to Barbara Rich, Dan Haldeman, Catherine Morrow, Todd Cleveland, Peter Gutowsky, and Tim Berg. Oregon Department of Environmental Quality employees Bill Mason, Diane Naglee, Robert Bagget, and Dick Nichols, also provided valuable assistance during the study. Joe Miller, Nicholas Zerr, and Justin Rohrbaugh, all formerly of the U.S. Geological Survey, also are acknowledged for their valuable assistance in collecting and compiling data for this investigation. References Cited Ahlfeld, D.P., and Mulligan, A.E., 2000, Optimal management of flow in groundwater systems: San Diego, Calif., Academic Press, Inc., 185 p. Allen, J.E., 1966, The Cascade Range volcanic-tectonic depression of Oregon, in Transactions of the Lunar Geological Field Conference, Bend, Oregon, August 1965: Oregon Department of Mineral Industries, p. 21-23. 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Zheng, C., and Wang, P.P., 1999, MT3DMS—A modular three-dimensional multispecies transport model (release DoD_3.50.A) Documentation and User’s Guide: U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Contract Report SERDP-99, 220 p. 62 Evaluation of Approaches for Managing Nitate Loading from On-Site Wastewater Systems near La Pine, Oregon This page intentionally left blank. Appendix A 63 Appendix A. Vertical Hydraulic Head Gradient Data from Measurements Made on the Deschutes and Little Deschutes Rivers, in the La Pine, Oregon, Study Area, October 23– November 4, 2000. Figure A1. Locations of vertical head gradient measurement sites in the La Pine, Oregon, study area. OR19-0049_figA1 Base modified from U.S. Geological Survey 1:500,000 state base map, 1982 with digital data from U.S. Bureau of the Census, TIGER/Line (R), 1990 and U.S. Geological Survey Digital Line Graphs published at 1:100,000 Publication projection is Lambert Conformal Conic Standard parallels 42º20' and 44º40', central meridian -120º30' Datum is NAD83R 9 E R 10 E R 11 E T 21 S T 22 S T 23 S T 24 S T 20 S T 19 S DESCHUTES L A K E KLAMATH S p r i n g Ri v e r Fall River Cresc e n t Creek Creek Little De s c h u t e s DE S C H U T E S RIV E R Ri v e r Pauli n a Lo n g C r e e k 5 KILOMETERS 5 MILES0 0 Wickiup Reservoir 97 97 31 31 Burgess Road Drive Finley Butt e Road R o a d South Century Spring River Masten Road Sunriver Sunriver La Pine La Pine 43°55' 50' 45' 121°40'35'30'25'121°20' 40' 43°35' Ex t e n t o f s t u d y - a r e a m o d e l EXPLANATION Gradient measurement site with number L02-0N D192-5N L02-0N L05-4F L07-8N L09-8N L12-5N L14-8F L16-7N L19-1N L21-2N L23-0N L24-9FL26-5N L28-1NL29-5NL32-1NL34-2N L37-6N L38-6N L40-8N L42-6N D194-7N D196-8ND198-8N D200-6N D201-9F D203-8N D207-0N D209-4N D211-7ND212-7N D218-4N 64 Evaluation of Approaches for Managing Nitate Loading from On-Site Wastewater Systems near La Pine, Oregon OR 1 9 - 0 0 4 9 _ T a b l e A 1 Ta b l e A 1 . V e r t i c a l h y d r a u l i c h e a d g r a d i e n t d a t a f r o m m e a s u r e m e n t s m a d e o n t h e D e s c h u t e s a n d L i t t l e D e s c h u t e s R i v e r s , i n t h e L a P i n e , O r e g o n , s t u d y a r e a , O c t o b e r 2 3 – No v e m b e r 4 , 2 0 0 0 . [Nu t r i e n t s : Y e s , g r o u n d - w a t e r s a m p l e s c o l l e c t e d a n d a n l a y z e d f o r n i t r o g e n b y O r e g o n D e p a r t m e n t o f E n v i r o n m e n t a l Q u a l i t y , u s i n g m e t h o d s d e s c r i b e d i n H i n k l e a n d o t h e r s , 2 0 0 7 a . De p t h : a v e r a g e s t r e a m d e p t h at t i m e o f m e a s u r e m e n t . Wi d t h , s t r e a m w i d t h a t t i m e o f m e a s u r e m e n t . HW _ d e p t h : a v e r a g e d e p t h a t h i g h w a t e r m a r k . HW _ w i d t h : w i d t h a t h i g h w a t e r . SU R F A C E _ L I T H : s t r e a m b e d l i t h o l o g y a t s u r f a c e ( s e e li t h o l o g y c o d e s ) . UN D E R L Y I N G _ L I T H : s t r e a m b e d l i t h o l o g y 0 . 5 – 1 . 0 f o o t b e l o w s u r f a c e . ME A N _ G R A D I E N T : v e r t i c a l h y d r a u l i c g r a d i e n t b e t w e e n s t r e a m a n d s e d i m e n t s 1 . 0 f o o t b e l o w s t e a m b e d s u r f a c e . Gr a d i e n t s a r e i n u n i t s o f f o o t p e r f o o t , p o s i t i v e u p w a r d . Li t h o l o g y c o d e s : C L , c l a y ; C S , c l a y s t o n e ; G C , g r a v e l , c o a r s e ; G F , g r a v e l , f i n e ; G R , g r a v e l , m e d i u m ; M L , s i l t ; S A , s a n d , m e d i u m ; S C , s a n d , c o a r s e ; S F , s a n d , fi n e ; T U , t u f f . Ab b r e v i a t i o n : f t , f o o t . Sy m b o l : > , g r e a t e r t h a n ] Si t e id e n t i f i c a t i o n No . La t i t u d e L o n g i t u d e D a t e N u t r i e n t s De p t h (f t ) Wi d t h (f t ) HW _ d e p t h (f t ) HW _ w i d t h (f t ) SU R F A C E _ L I T H U N D E R L Y I N G _ L I T H M E A N _ G R A D I E N T Re m a r k s De s c h u t e s R i v e r D1 9 2 - 5 N 4 3 . 8 5 4 . 0 4 - 1 2 1 . 4 5 3 . 4 1 1 0 - 2 6 - 0 0 3 . 0 1 2 0 5 . 0 1 5 0 G F S A 0. 0 2 0 D1 9 4 - 7 N 4 3 . 8 3 8 . 0 6 - 1 2 1 . 4 6 2 . 7 7 1 0 - 2 6 - 0 0 4 . 0 1 2 0 6 . 0 1 5 0 S A S F SC G F .0 4 0 D1 9 6 - 8 N 4 3 . 8 2 3 . 5 8 - 1 2 1 . 4 7 1 . 8 4 1 0 - 2 6 - 0 0 4 . 0 1 0 0 7 . 0 1 4 0 S A G R SA .0 4 5 D1 9 8 - 8 N 4 3 . 8 1 7 . 4 1 - 1 2 1 . 4 9 1 . 0 7 1 0 - 2 6 - 0 0 2 . 0 1 9 5 4 . 0 2 3 5 S C S A SC G F .0 2 5 D2 0 0 - 6 N 4 3 . 8 0 9 . 1 3 - 1 2 1 . 4 9 7 . 7 3 1 1 - 0 4 - 0 0 3 . 0 1 0 0 5 . 0 1 2 0 G F G R .0 5 0 H a r d ( t u f f ? ) b e l o w 1 f t . D2 0 1 - 9 F 4 3 . 7 9 6 . 9 8 - 1 2 1 . 5 0 0 . 6 3 1 1 - 0 4 - 0 0 3 . 0 6 0 5 . 0 1 0 0 S C S A GF .0 1 0 D2 0 3 - 8 N 4 3 . 7 9 1 . 8 2 - 1 2 1 . 5 0 7 . 6 5 1 1 - 0 4 - 0 0 4 . 0 8 0 6 . 0 1 0 0 S A .0 2 5 D2 0 7 - 0 N 4 3 . 7 7 2 . 6 6 - 1 2 1 . 5 1 8 . 4 4 1 1 - 0 4 - 0 0 2 . 0 1 1 0 5 . 0 1 5 0 G R S A GC M L .0 6 0 D2 0 9 - 4 N 4 3 . 7 7 1 . 6 6 - 1 2 1 . 5 3 8 . 7 1 1 0 - 2 6 - 0 0 2 . 5 9 0 4 . 0 1 3 0 G C T U TU .0 1 0 G r a v e l o n b e d r o c k . D2 1 1 - 7 N 4 3 . 7 6 3 . 9 8 - 1 2 1 . 5 6 7 . 1 3 1 0 - 2 5 - 0 0 2 . 0 1 0 5 3 . 5 1 2 5 G C T U GR S A .0 3 1 G r a v e l o n b e d r o c k ( 0 . 8 f t pe n e t r a t i o n ) , i r o n r i c h . D2 1 2 - 7 N 4 3 . 7 6 0 . 8 0 - 1 2 1 . 5 8 0 . 5 5 1 0 - 2 5 - 0 0 2 . 0 1 0 6 4 . 0 1 2 0 G C T U TU .0 3 5 G r a v e l / c o b b l e s o n b e d r o c k . D2 1 8 - 4 N 4 3 . 7 3 2 . 7 3 - 1 2 1 . 6 2 2 . 2 4 1 0 - 2 4 - 0 0 2 . 5 1 2 8 4 . 5 1 4 0 G C T U TU .0 4 5 g r a v e l / c o b b l e s o n b e d r o c k . Li t t l e D e s c h u t e s R i v e r L0 2 - 0 N 4 3 . 8 4 1 . 2 5 - 1 2 1 . 4 4 5 . 9 2 1 0 - 2 7 - 0 0 3 . 0 4 6 6 . 0 6 0 S A S C GR .0 3 3 B l o c k s o f t u f f o n r t b a n k . L0 5 - 4 F 4 3 . 8 2 0 . 9 9 - 1 2 1 . 4 5 1 . 2 1 1 0 - 2 7 - 0 0 3 . 0 4 2 5 . 0 5 0 S C SA M L .0 2 8 L0 7 - 8 N 4 3 . 8 0 1 . 5 5 - 1 2 1 . 4 5 4 . 1 0 1 0 - 2 7 - 0 0 Y e s 2 . 5 4 2 4 . 5 4 6 S C ML G R .0 1 0 L0 9 - 8 N 4 3 . 7 9 1 . 5 6 - 1 2 1 . 4 5 9 . 2 3 1 0 - 2 7 - 0 0 Y e s 2 . 0 4 4 4 . 5 5 2 S C SF M L .0 2 0 D e p t h s 1 , 2 , 3 f t . L1 2 - 5 N 4 3 . 7 7 8 . 0 4 - 1 2 1 . 4 7 1 . 1 4 1 0 - 2 7 - 0 0 Y e s 1 . 5 4 7 3 . 5 5 7 S C M L ML S F .0 3 5 D e p t h s 1 , 2 , 3 f t . L1 4 - 8 F 4 3 . 7 6 2 . 1 6 - 1 2 1 . 4 8 0 . 1 9 1 0 - 2 7 - 0 0 2 . 0 3 5 4 . 0 5 5 G F C S SA M L .0 5 0 T h r e e m e a s u r e m e n t s a t 1 - f t d e p t h . L1 6 - 7 N 4 3 . 7 4 9 . 3 3 - 1 2 1 . 4 8 8 . 8 7 1 0 - 2 6 - 0 0 Y e s 2 . 0 3 1 3 . 0 5 0 S A G R SC M L .0 1 5 L1 9 - 1 N 4 3 . 7 3 7 . 5 7 - 1 2 1 . 4 9 0 . 4 2 1 0 - 2 6 - 0 0 Y e s 2 . 0 4 0 3 . 5 5 0 S C G F SF M L .0 1 5 M e a s u r e m e n t s a t 1 , 2 f t . L2 1 - 2 N 4 3 . 7 2 5 . 5 4 - 1 2 1 . 4 9 1 . 9 1 1 0 - 2 6 - 0 0 Y e s 2 . 0 4 0 3 . 0 4 5 S C CS M L .0 1 0 N o y i e l d a t 1 f t , g a s ; t h i s i s 2 f t me a s u r e m e n t . L2 3 - 0 N 4 3 . 7 1 4 . 7 1 - 1 2 1 . 4 9 4 . 1 3 1 0 - 2 6 - 0 0 2 . 0 3 2 4 . 0 3 6 S A S C SF M L .0 2 0 L2 4 - 9 F 4 3 . 7 0 3 . 2 5 - 1 2 1 . 4 9 9 . 0 2 1 0 - 2 3 - 0 0 Y e s 1 . 5 5 7 3 . 5 7 7 G F S A .0 1 7 1 5 m e a s u r e m e n t s , 3 p e r d e p t h (1 – 3 f t ) . L2 6 - 5 N 4 3 . 6 9 1 . 5 9 - 1 2 1 . 5 0 3 . 0 7 1 0 - 2 5 - 0 0 2 . 0 3 7 4 . 0 4 7 S C G F ML S A .0 1 0 M e a s u r e m e n t s a t 1 , 2 f t . L2 8 - 1 N 4 3 . 6 8 5 . 0 7 - 1 2 1 . 5 1 3 . 4 4 1 0 - 2 5 - 0 0 2 . 5 3 6 4 . 0 4 5 S C G F ML S F .0 0 0 M e a s u r e m e n t s a t 1 , 2 f t . L2 9 - 5 N 4 3 . 6 8 0 . 9 9 - 1 2 1 . 5 2 0 . 4 3 1 0 - 2 5 - 0 0 2 . 0 3 5 3 . 5 4 0 S C G F CL -. 0 0 3 C l a y a t > 1 f t , n o y i e l d a t 2 f t . L3 2 - 1 N 4 3 . 6 7 4 . 3 5 - 1 2 1 . 5 4 2 . 2 0 1 0 - 2 5 - 0 0 2 . 0 4 0 3 . 5 4 6 S C G R ML .0 1 0 L3 4 - 2 N 4 3 . 6 6 9 . 0 7 - 1 2 1 . 5 6 3 . 5 9 1 0 - 2 5 - 0 0 2 . 0 2 8 3 . 0 3 0 G F CL .0 2 5 C l a y > 1 f t , n o y i e l d a t 2 f t . L3 7 - 6 N 4 3 . 6 5 0 . 2 2 - 1 2 1 . 5 9 1 . 2 1 1 0 - 2 4 - 0 0 1 . 5 4 7 3 . 5 5 2 G R CL .0 7 5 C l a y > 2 f t , n o y i e l d a t 3 f t . L3 8 - 6 N 4 3 . 6 4 0 . 2 4 - 1 2 1 . 5 9 0 . 3 1 1 0 - 2 4 - 0 0 2 . 0 3 8 3 . 5 4 0 G R C S ML .0 2 5 S i l t > 1 f t , n o y i e l d a t 2 f t . L4 0 - 8 N 4 3 . 6 2 8 . 7 1 - 1 2 1 . 5 8 5 . 8 9 1 0 - 2 4 - 0 0 2 . 0 5 0 4 . 0 5 5 G F S A SA M L .0 1 0 S i l t > 1 f t , n o y i e l d a t 2 f t . L4 2 - 6 N 4 3 . 6 1 7 . 5 6 - 1 2 1 . 6 0 0 . 1 7 1 0 - 2 4 - 0 0 1 . 5 4 0 3 . 0 5 0 S C G R ML .0 1 0 S i l t > 1 f t , n o y i e l d a t 2 f t . Manuscript approved for publication, September 29, 2007 Prepared by the USGS Publishing Network, Publishing Service Center, Tacoma, Washington Bob Crist Bill Gibbs Debra Grillo Jackie Olson Bobbie Jo Richey Sharon Wahlstrom For more information concerning the research in this report, contact Director, Oregon Water Science Center U.S. Geological Survey, 2130 SW 5th Avenue Portland, Oregon 97201 http://or.water.usgs.gov M o r g a n a n d o t h e r s — E v a l u a t i o n o f A p p r o a c h e s f o r M a n a g i n g N i t r a t e L o a d i n g n e a r L a P i n e , O r e g o n — S c i e n t i fi c I n v e s t i g a t i o n s R e p o r t 2 0 0 7 - 5 2 3 7