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HomeMy WebLinkAboutMeasure 50 Horizontal InequitiesOREGON’S PROPERTY TAX SYSTEM Horizontal Inequities under Measure 50 RESEARCH REPORT # 4-10 September 2010 Legislative Revenue Office State Capitol Building 900 Court Street NE, Room 143 Salem, Oregon 97301 (503) 986-1266 http://www.leg.state.or.us/comm/lro/home.htm STATE OF O REGON L EGISL A TIVE REVENUE OFFICE 143 State Capitol Building Salem, Oregon 97301 Research Report (503) 986-1266 Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Oregon’s Property Tax System Horizontal Inequities under Measure 50 Summary During the 2008 interim, the Senate Finance and Revenue Committee conducted hearings on the consequences of Measure 50, ten years after its passage. Measure 50 has had a profound impact on local government finances throughout Oregon because it fundamentally changed property taxes—the largest local revenue source. The committee heard testimony describing the implications of these changes for the local government fiscal system but it also heard testimony from individual taxpayers describing how they were adversely affected by Measure 50 compared to other taxpayers. Testimony from key participants in the design of Measure 50, analysis by Multnomah County, and an examination of Measure 50’s mechanics confirmed that the property tax system is subject to widespread horizontal inequities where taxpayers in equal circumstances are treated differently by the tax system. The committee directed the Legislative Revenue Office to analyze how widespread horizontal inequities are in under the Measure 50 system. Building on the work of Multnomah County and working with county assessors and the Department of Revenue, the Legislative Revenue Office built a detailed data base of properties in Deschutes, Jackson, Multnomah and Sherman counties. This report summarizes the information on horizontal inequities under Measure 50 gathered by the committee, traces through the mechanics of Measure 50 and shows how horizontal inequities occur under the system and then reports on the findings from the analysis of the four county data base. The report concludes with possible policy approaches to addressing horizontal inequities in the property tax system. The key findings of the report are: x Horizontal inequities—unequal tax treatment of taxpayers with similarly valued property, are widespread among the four counties observed. x There does not appear to be a systematic relationship between assessed to market value ratios and market price, in other words variability in the ratio is spread throughout the price spectrum. x The variability of assessed value to market value is widespread in the most common $200,000 to $300,000 price segment. x The housing market collapse, with its corresponding home price deflation, slowed down the build- up of horizontal inequities but did not stop it because nearly all residential property is still assessed well below market value. Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 2 x When general home price appreciation begins again, horizontal inequities can be expected to grow over time. This is because the recovery will likely be uneven with certain properties, neighborhoods and regions of the state growing more rapidly than others. x Among the sample counties, Multnomah County is experiencing the most acute degree of horizontal inequity. This is likely due to its larger, more diverse, housing market relative to the other counties. Possible policy approaches to reduce horizontal inequities over time within the property tax system include: return to a modified market value based system, rebasing assessed value to market value at time of transaction, establishing an acceptable assessed value to market value range and adjusting annual assessed value growth for properties outside range, and requiring Measure 50 to be subject to constitutional uniformity in taxation provisions, thereby forcing the Legislature to develop a remedy to meet the constitutional requirement. Introduction and Background Technically Measure 50 was a product of the 1997 Legislature, but its policy directives were determined by voters through the passage of Measure 47 in the fall of 1996. Measure 47 was designed to correct what was perceived as a major flaw in Measure 5 passed in 1990. Measure 5 imposed a rate based system that limited education district taxes to $5 per $1,000 of market value. A $10 per $1,000 of market value rate limit was imposed for the sum of non-education districts. In most areas, the sum of the non-school district taxes were less than $10 leaving the previous levy based system in effect for those districts. A key feature of Measure 5 was its retention of real market value as the property tax base. When Measure 5 took effect in 1991, Oregon residential real estate values were just beginning to grow more rapidly following a period of weakness through most of the 1980s. This meant that as Measure 5’s rate limits were phased in over a 5-year period, much of the property tax bill reductions homeowners were expecting from lower rates were offset by rising market values. Adding to the frustration of homeowners during this period was the fact that residential property values were growing much faster than commercial and industrial property as the state went through a period of strong net in-migration. As a result, property taxes on residential property remained roughly constant over the 1991-96 phase-in period while overall property tax collections dropped 12%. The rate reductions called for under Measure 5 reached their limit in 1996. This meant that property tax bills for the 1996-97 tax year would be largely determined by changes in market values without the offsetting effect of further rate reductions. Those bills began arriving in mailboxes around the state in October of 1996. Overall property tax collections rose by 12% compared to the prior year. Reacting to disenchantment with Measure 5, Measure 47 was written and sufficient signatures were gathered for the November 1996 ballot. Measure 47 had a number of features; all designed Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 3 to limit property taxes and local government in general, but the most significant was a process for reducing and limiting growth in assessed property values. In other words, Measure 47, while not repealing Measure 5, fundamentally changed the property tax system by moving away from real market value as the tax base and replacing it with a calculated assessed value to be used for tax purposes. Measure 47 passed 52% to 48%. Following the passage of Measure 47, the Legislature was confronted with a series of interpretation and implementation issues. The Legislature had to decide between implementing Measure 47 as-is or developing a more workable alternative for voters to consider. Implementing the measure as-is raised the strong likelihood of numerous legal challenges, disappointed voters and continued political instability around the state’s property tax system. Developing an alternative required finding the right balance between retaining the basic elements of Measure 47 while putting together clear legal language to address complex issues under tight timelines. The Legislature chose the latter. The result was Measure 50 approved by voters 57% to 43% in May of 1997. In September of 2008, the Interim Senate Finance and Revenue Committee heard testimony from three key participants in the development of Measure 50: Tom Brian (Chair of the House Revenue Committee in 1997), Jim Scherzinger (Legislative Revenue Officer in 1997) and Tom Linhares (Columbia County Assessor and representative of the Oregon Association of County Assessors in 1997). The testimony centered on legislative decisions to replace Measure 47 with a constitutional value and rate limit, to design a local option system within the double majority requirements contained in Measure 47 and to incorporate a more simplified urban renewal system. The key decision, derived directly from Measure 47, was the imposition of a value limit. Measure 50 created and defined a new “maximum assessed value”. The maximum assessed value is compared with real market value with the tax bill for the property based on the lower of the two. The maximum assessed value was initially set at 90% of the 1995-96 assessed value for each property. The maximum assessed value is then increased 3% annually after 1995-96. An important element of Measure 50 is that the maximum assessed value calculation remains with the property when ownership changes. In contrast to California’s property tax limit (Proposition 13 in 1978), assessed value is not adjusted back to market value when property changes hands. Measure 50 specifies events that allow for adjustment in the maximum assessed value calculation (outside the 3% annual increase). These events occur when the property is subject to: new construction or substantial improvements, partition or subdivision, rezoning, previous assessor omission or disqualification from exemption or special assessment. The Legislature made the decision to treat new construction the same as existing property in terms of assessed value. This led to the creation of the “changed property ratio”. The changed property ratio is equal to the ratio of assessed value to market value for all existing property within the same class and geographic area. Geographic area was defined statutorily (SB 1215 in 1997) to be the county. The use of the changed property ratio means that newly constructed Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 4 property receives the same assessed value benefits under Measure 50 on average as existing properties in that county. In constructing Measure 50, the Legislature focused on what was perceived as the main sources of dissatisfaction with Measure 5: x Unpredictable tax bills when property values are rising rapidly. x Creation of imbalances between classes of property, especially between residential and industrial/commercial property. The creation of maximum assessed value largely achieved this goal. For most property owners, tax bills would not rise by more than 3% in a given year. Moreover, for classes of property experiencing rapid market value growth (residential property), the 3% annual cap has the largest relative impact. However, the Legislature recognized that the predictability provided by Measure 50 would inevitably lead to variations in assessed value relative to market value for individual properties. This meant that homes with the same market value could be paying widely different property taxes under Measure 50. In recognition of this likely outcome, Measure 50 contains language that exempts it from other provisions of the constitution that guarantee uniform tax treatment. Specifically, Measure 50 (section 18, Article XI) states that section 32, Article 1 and section 1, Article 9 do not apply. Section 32, Article 1 states “….all taxation shall be uniform on the same class of subjects within the territorial limits of the authority levying the tax”. Similar language is contained in section 1, Article 9. Horizontal Inequities and the Mechanics of Measure 50 Equity is one of the fundamental criteria used by public finance experts to evaluate individual taxes and tax systems. Most taxpayers and policy makers consider equity or fairness to be extremely important. However, equity is an inherently subjective concept with individual and societal perceptions of what constitutes tax fairness changing over time. For tax policy most of this debate revolves around vertical equity, which refers to how taxpayers with differing ability to pay are treated by the tax system. Most agree that higher income or wealthier individuals should contribute more in taxes than those with lesser ability to pay but how much more is often the subject of fierce public debate. Horizontal equity, on the other hand, is generally less controversial. Horizontal equity means that equals are treated equally under the tax system or those with the same ability to pay, pay the same amount of taxes. Theoretically, the property tax is a wealth based tax with the value of property (usually restricted to real estate property) serving as the tax base or measure of ability to pay. This implies that under a horizontally equitable property tax, taxpayers with equally valued property pay the same amount of taxes. The implicit assumption is that real market value is the appropriate measure of wealth because it reflects the amount that the owner would receive if the property was liquidated Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 5 or sold. Measure 50, by separating assessed value from market value, virtually assured that this definition of horizontal equity would be violated. Shortly after passage of Measure 50, the consequences of this separation were pointed out by Governor Kitzhaber’s Tax Review Technical Advisory Committee: “The implementation of Measure 50 may lead to horizontal inequities in the property tax system. Measure 50 may have reduced the horizontal equity in the property tax system through separation of assessed values from market values. Initial inequities in assessments may be harder to correct, and assessed values will not reflect differences in market value growth rates between properties.” (Governor’s Tax Review Technical Advisory Committee, “Review of Oregon’s Tax System”, June 1998). In October of 2007, Willamette Week newspaper published an article detailing the differential impacts of Measure 50 on residential properties in Multnomah County. The article cited the example of two families in the Portland area living in homes with a similar market value. Despite the roughly equivalent market value for the two homes, one family was paying 3.5 times more in annual property taxes compared to the other family. The mechanics of assessed value determination under Measure 50 was the cause of the difference in tax bills between the two properties. The Senate Finance and Revenue Committee also received detailed testimony from individual homeowners adversely affected by the Measure 50 value calculation relative to other taxpayers. Irene Vlatch from Portland presented testimony showing that her home had a substantially higher tax burden than other properties in the neighborhood with higher market values. Bob James, from Eagle Point, also presented detailed information showing higher property taxes for his home compared to other higher valued homes in the same area. Mr. James asked for an explanation from Jackson County Assessor Dan Ross. Assessor Ross agreed with Mr. James that his home had a higher assessed value than comparable homes but explained that the provisions of Measure 50 prevented an adjustment in his maximum assessed value calculation.(Legislative Revenue Office: Exhibits from Interim Senate Finance and Revenue Committee, September 23, 2008) While the cases of Ms. Vlatch and Mr. James may be extreme, the mechanics of Measure 50 make variations in the ratio of assessed value to market value inevitable. In testimony before the Task Force on Comprehensive Revenue Restructuring in May of 2008, Tom Linhares pointed out three ways in which Measure 50 can cause horizontal inequities for residential property: x Base Year (1995-96) o Measure 50, following Measure 47, established a new lower assessed value for all properties by taking the 1995-96 value and reducing it by 10%. This means that any inequities that were in place in 1995-96 or differential growth rates that had occurred between 1995-96 and 1997-98 were locked into place because the maximum assessed value grows at 3% annually for all properties from this base year forward. Properties whose value was set too high or too low compared to other properties in the base year would remain so over time. Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 6 x Neighborhood to Neighborhood o Maximum assessed value grows 3% annually for most properties regardless of what is happening to market value. This means that properties with rapid market value growth over time will be “under assessed” compared to properties with slower market value growth. The differential impact of the residential real estate boom between 1998 and 2006 exaggerated this effect. x New Construction vs. Existing Property o Newly built homes are assessed at the change property ratio. The change property ratio is the average ratio of assessed value to market value for the class of property (residential in this case) for the county. Because it is based on the average, roughly half the residential property in the county will have a higher assessment ratio and roughly half will have a lower assessment ratio compared to the new construction. Three hypothetical examples show how these inequities develop over time: Example 1: Equal Valued Properties with Differential Growth Rates Property 1 Property 2 2010 Real Market Value $200,000 $200,000 2010 Maximum Assessed Value $160,000 $160,000 Ratio of Assessed Value to Market Value .8 .8 Tax Rate Based on Assessed Value 1.5%1.5% Tax Rate Based on Market Value 1.2% 1.2% Assumed Real Market Value Annual Growth 10%4% Maximum Annual Assessed Value Growth Under Measure 50 3%3% Tax Bill $2,400 $2,400 Values and Taxes After 10 Years of Differential Growth 2020 Real Market Value $518,748 $296,049 2020 Maximum Assessed $215,027 $215,027 Ratio of Assessed Value to Market Value .415 .726 Tax Rate Based on Assessed Value 1.5% 1.5% Tax Rate Based on Market Value 0.62%1.1% Tax Bill $3,225 $3,225 Example 1 is based on a scenario in which properties begin with the same market value ($200,000) and the same maximum assessed value ($160,000). Because assessed values are the same, the two properties have the same property tax liability ($2,400). However the real market value of the two properties is assumed to grow at different annual rates over the next ten years. Property 1 is assumed to be located in a high growth area experiencing 10% annual growth. After 10 years, the market value of property 1 is $518,748. Property 2, assumed to grow at a 4% Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 7 annual rate, has a real market value of $296,049 after ten years. Despite the fact that property 1 has a market value that is 75% greater than property 2, the tax liability on the two properties is the same. This occurs because the ratio of the maximum assessed value to real market value is .415 for property 1 and .726 for property 2. Dividing the tax bill for each property by its real market value shows a large difference in effective tax rates (tax bill/market value) with property 1 facing an effective rate of .62% and property 2 paying 1.1% of market value. Example 1 shows how differential property value growth rates can lead to a situation where taxpayers with large differences in the values of their home pay the same amount of taxes. Example 2: Unequal Valued Properties with Differential Growth Rates Property 1 Property 2 2010 Real Market Value $200,000 $100,000 2010 Maximum Assessed Value $160,000 $80,000 Ratio of Assessed Value to Market Value .8 .8 Tax Rate Based on Assessed Value 1.5%1.5% Tax Rate Based on Market Value 1.2%1.2% Assumed Real Market Value Annual Growth 5%12.54% Maximum Annual Assessed Value Growth Under Measure 50 3%3% Tax Bill $2,400 $1,200 Values and Taxes After 10 Years of Differential Growth 2020 Real Market Value $325,779 $325,888 2020 Maximum Assessed $215,027 $107,513 Ratio of Assessed Value to Market Value .66 .33 Tax Rate Based on Assessed Value 1.5%1.5% Tax Rate Based on Market Value 0.99% 0.49% Tax Bill $3,225 $1,613 Example 2 shows how differential growth rates for properties with previously unequal values can lead to a classic case of horizontal inequity. Properties 1 and 2 begin with the same assessment ratio and the same tax rate. Since property 1 has an assessed value twice that of property 2, it is subject to twice the property tax burden. However, if the market value of property 2 consistently grows at a faster rate than property 1, the two properties can have essentially the same market value ($325,000) after 10 years with property 1 still paying twice the amount of property taxes. This is a clear situation where taxpayers with equal ability to pay based on the market value of their property are subject to a vastly different property tax burden. Examples 1 and 2 are both the result of differential growth in property values over time. Given that Measure 50 was followed by a period of rapid home price appreciation, these examples are descriptive of what happened in many parts of the state between 1997 and 2007. However, since 2007, residential property values have declined in many parts of the state. The real market value Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 8 of single family residential property declined 7.3% between January 1, 2008 and January 1, 2009 on a statewide basis. Assessors are reporting further declines for the 2010-11 tax year. Example 3 presents a scenario where properties are declining at differential rates. Example 3: Unequal Valued Properties with Differential Rates of Decline Property 1 Property 2 2010 Real Market Value $200,000 $150,000 2010 Maximum Assessed Value $120,000 $90,000 Ratio of Assessed Value to Market Value .6 .6 Tax Rate Based on Assessed Value 1.5%1.5% Tax Rate Based on Market Value 0.9%0.9% Assumed Real Market Value Annual Rate of Decline -7.0% -1.0% Maximum Annual Assessed Value Growth Under Measure 50 +3%+3% Tax Bill $1,800 $1,350 Values and Taxes After 5 Years of Differential Rates of Decline 2020 Real Market Value $139,138 $142,648 2020 Maximum Assessed Value $139,113 $104,335 Ratio of Assessed Value to Market Value .99 .73 Tax Rate Based on Assessed Value 1.5%1.5% Tax Rate Based on Market Value 1.5%1.1% Tax Bill $2,087 $1,565 Example 3 shows a situation where market values are declining for both properties. However, the rate of decline for property 1 is greater (-7% annually) than for property 2 (-1% annually). At the beginning of the period, property 1 has a market value that is 33% greater than property 2 but both have the same assessment ratio (.6) and the same effective tax rate (0.9%). After 5 years, the market value of property 1 has fallen to $139,138 while property 2 has declined to $142,648. Despite the fact that property 2 is now worth more than property 1, it is subject to lower taxes ($1,565) than property 1 ($2,087) because it has a lower maximum assessed value. This means that horizontal inequities can develop under Measure 50 when market prices are falling as long as the rate of decline is not the same. There is, however, an important difference under a scenario of falling home prices over an extended period of time. In example 3, the market value of property 1 has fallen almost back to its market value; at that point the market value would become the assessed value. Under Measure 50, the assessed value of a property is the lesser of the maximum assessed value or the market value. Evidence of Horizontal Inequities under Measure 50 The designers of Measure 50 recognized that the loss of equity among similarly valued properties was the cost of providing predictability for annual property tax bills. Individual property owners have come forward with detailed descriptions of instances where horizontal equity has been Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 9 violated. Finally, the mechanics of Measure 50 demonstrate that horizontal inequities are almost certain to develop over time. The next step is to systematically look for the degree to which these inequities exist in the diverse real estate markets around the state. Multnomah County was the first to do an in-depth analysis of variations in the ratio of assessed value to market value after 10 years under Measure 50. The Multnomah County analysis showed that this ratio varied widely for residential properties throughout the price spectrum. The county did not find a systematic relationship between the price of a home and variations in the ratio of assessed values to market values. The Interim Senate Finance and Revenue Committee directed the Legislative Revenue Office (LRO) to build on the work of Multnomah County and extend the analysis to other counties in the state. Working with the assessors from Multnomah, Jackson, Deschutes and Sherman counties and the Department of Revenue, LRO built a data base consisting of assessed value, market value and tax bill for properties in the four counties. The data are for fiscal years 2005 through 2010. Data were gathered for residential property as well as commercial and industrial property. This report will focus on the residential property data only. Table 1 shows the ratio of assessed value to market value for all single family residential property in each of the four counties for the 5 year sample period. Table 1: Ratio of Assessed Value to Market Value for Residential Property County 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Deschutes .700 .658 .533 .442 .471 .570 Jackson .655 .575 .487 .484 .527 .628 Multnomah .656 .612 .567 .514 .503 .551 Sherman .813 .816 .677 .610 .519 .523 Table 1 shows the movement of the assessed to market value ratio through the peak of the real estate boom and the beginning of the bust in 2008. Both Deschutes and Jackson counties experienced rapid drops in the ratio from 2005 through 2008 as market value growth soared well above the 3% annual maximum assessment growth. As the national housing bust hit Oregon in 2008, market values began declining for many residential properties. As a result the ratio of maximum assessed value to market value rose sharply in Deschutes and Jackson counties. Multnomah County went through a similar but milder cycle while rural Sherman County had a steady decline in the ratio until flattening out in 2010. Despite the uptick in the ratio, especially for Deschutes and Jackson Counties, the average maximum assessed value remains well below market value. This means the maximum assessed value is the basis for property taxes for nearly all residential property in the four counties. However, with further market value declines expected in 2011 and beyond, an increasing number of properties will be assessed at market value. Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 10 Table 2: Ratio of Assessed Value to Market Value by Market Value Segment Real Market Value in FY 2010 Deschutes Jackson Multnomah $0 to $100,000 .468 .528 .435 $100,000 to $200,000 .611 .653 .558 $200,000 to $300,000 .598 .653 .541 $300,000 to $400,000 .559 .631 .514 $400,000 to $500,000 .555 .609 .521 $500,000 to $600,000 .559 .591 .546 $600,000 to $700,000 .546 .574 .567 $700,000 to $800,000 .534 .578 .578 $800,000 to $900,000 .555 .595 .585 $900,000 to $1,000,000 .562 .608 .593 Table 2 indicates that the assessed to market value ratio is relatively low for all segments of the housing market in the three counties. Sherman County is excluded from this table because of its relatively small number of properties. There is no clearly discernable relationship between market value and the assessed to market value ratio. In other words, there is no systematic increase or decrease in the ratio as real market value rises. Based on the information in Tables 1 and 2, it is clear that the assessed value to market value ratio is well below one for most residential property. However, these data do not address the issue of horizontal inequities or cases where properties with similar market values are subject to significantly different tax burdens. For this issue it is necessary to look for variations in the ratio of assessed value to market value for individual properties. Table 3 displays single family residential properties for the 2010 fiscal year grouped by the ratio of assessed value to market value for Jackson, Deschutes, Sherman and Multnomah Counties. Table 3: Ratio of Assessed Value to Market Value for Residential Property Jackson Deschutes Sherman Multnomah Ratio Number %Number %Number %Number % 0 to .2 124 .3 50 .2 2 .6 4,731 2.5 .2 to .4 399 1.0 1668 5.3 56 17.8 21,429 11.5 .4 to .6 10,964 26.5 16,169 51.5 163 51.7 95,726 51.4 .6 to .8 28,299 68.5 12,364 39.4 70 22.2 58,647 31.5 .8 to 1 1,406 3.4 1,092 3.5 24 7.6 5,412 2.9 1 129 .3 25 .1 0 0 223 .1 All 41,321 100 31,368 100 315 100 186,168 100 Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 11 Table 3 indicates that the assessed value for residential properties is widely spread between 40 and 80% of market value in all four counties. Urban Multnomah County and rural Sherman both have a substantial proportion of residential properties assessed in the 20 to 40% of market value range. Table 4 presents the same data with tighter 5% intervals. Sherman County is dropped from this table because of its relatively small number of residential properties. Table 4: Ratio of Assessed Value to Market Value at 5% Intervals Jackson Deschutes Multnomah Ratio Percent of Total Percent of Total Percent of Total 0 to .05 .06 0 .53 .05 to .1 .07 .02 .14 .1 to .15 .05 .05 .43 .15 to .2 .12 .08 1.45 .2 to .25 .08 .35 1.28 .25 to .3 .08 .85 1.32 .3 to .35 .24 1.72 2.69 .35 to .4 .55 2.36 6.28 .4 to .45 1.54 3.64 11.35 .45 to .5 3.29 7.42 14.82 .5 to .55 6.32 16.87 13.79 .55 to .6 15.34 23.58 11.51 .6 to .65 25.84 19.39 10.81 .65 to .7 22.11 11.0 10.54 .7 to .75 13.59 5.69 6.46 .75 to .8 7.0 3.4 3.61 .8 to .85 2.21 2.03 1.56 .85 to .9 .72 1.02 .79 .9 to .95 .33 .37 .37 .95 to 1 .13 .08 .14 1 .31 .08 .11 All 100 100 100 Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 12 The three counties show a large proportion of homes with ratios scattered between .5 and .7. Multnomah County shows the greatest spread with 11.3% of homes assessed between 40 and 45 % of market value and 10.5% assessed between 65 and 70% of market value. It is important to recognize the differences in tax burdens implied by this spread. For example, a home assessed at 70% of market value will have an effective tax rate (tax bill/ market value) that is 40% higher than a home assessed at 50% of market value. Another way to look at the variability in assessment ratios is to focus on typically priced homes. Table 5 shows only homes with a market value between $200,000 and $300,000, a range that includes the statewide median home price as well as the median price for most counties. Table 5: Assessed Value to Market Value Ratio for Homes with a Market Value Between $200 and $300 K Jackson Deschutes Multnomah Ratio Number %Number %Number % 0 to .1 2 0 2 0 505 .6 .1 to .2 2 0 7 0 2,549 3.1 .2 to .3 3 0 117 .8 2,743 3.3 .3 to .4 59 .4 465 3.3 8,173 9.9 .4 to .5 469 3.1 1,144 8.1 18,858 22.8 .5 to .6 2,579 16.8 5,725 40.8 18,217 22.0 .6 to .7 8,555 55.7 4,608 32.8 18,233 22.0 .7 to .8 3,234 21.0 1,341 9.6 10,850 13.1 .8 to .9 416 2.7 556 4.0 2,201 2.7 .9 to 1 36 .2 66 .5 343 .4 1 16 .1 7 0 46 .1 All 15,371 100 14,038 100 82,718 100 Table 3 confirms that there is widespread variability in the ratio of assessed value to market value for typically priced homes in Jackson, Deschutes and Multnomah Counties. The variability is most striking in Multnomah County where 8,173 homes in the $200,000 to $300,000 price range are assessed between 30 and 40 % of market value while 10,850 homes in this same range are assessed at 70 to 80% of market value. There is less variability in the more homogeneous Jackson and Deschutes county residential market but nonetheless homes are widely spread in the 40 to 80% of market value range in these two counties as well. Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 13 Data was gathered for Jackson, Deschutes and Multnomah Counties for a 5-year period. Sherman County data is not available for 2005. Table 6 shows how the ratio of assessed to market value for residential properties has shifted over time for the three counties. Table 6: Change in Assessed Value to Market Value Ratios over Time Jackson Deschutes Multnomah FY 2005 FY 2010 FY 2005 FY 2010 FY 2005 FY 2010 Ratio % of Total % of Total % of Total % of Total % of Total % of Total 0 to .2 .2 .3 0 .2 .5 2.5 .2 to .4 .6 1.0 .4 5.3 4.9 11.5 .4 to .6 11.9 26.5 11.0 51.5 41.9 51.4 .6 to .8 85.0 68.5 78.0 39.4 48.0 31.5 .8 to 1 2.2 3.4 10.3 3.5 4.5 2.9 1 .2 .3 .3 .1 .2 .1 All 100 100 100 100 100 100 Table 6 shows the general downward drift in the assessed value to market value ratio over the 5- year period. A general spreading out of properties into the different ratio segments can also be seen. Both of these trends have slowed over the past two years as the housing market collapsed but they are expected to resume when widespread recovery begins. Tables 1 through 6 highlight the major findings of the study but more detailed information from the same data base can be found in Appendix A. Conclusions and Policy Options Analyzing the assessed value and market value data for the four counties leads to the following general conclusions: x Horizontal inequities—unequal tax treatment of taxpayers with similarly valued property, are widespread among the four counties observed. x There does not appear to be a systematic relationship between assessed to market value ratios and market price, in other words variability in the ratio is spread throughout the price spectrum. x The variability of assessed value to market value is widespread in the most common $200,000 to $300,000 price segment. x The housing market collapse, with its corresponding home price deflation, slowed down the build- up of horizontal inequities but did not stop it because nearly all residential property is still assessed well below market value. x When general home price appreciation begins again, horizontal inequities can be expected to grow over time. This is because the recovery will likely be uneven with Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 14 certain properties, neighborhoods and regions of the state growing more rapidly than others. x Among the sample counties, Multnomah County is experiencing the most acute degree of horizontal inequity. This is likely due to its larger, more diverse, housing market relative to the other counties. Policy Options Possible policy options to mitigate the growing inequities in the property tax system were discussed during the hearings held by the Interim Senate Finance and Revenue Committee. A more general policy options discussion regarding local government finance and Measure 50 was also a major part of the report issued by the Task Force on Comprehensive Revenue Restructuring (Legislative Revenue Office: Task Force on Comprehensive Revenue Restructuring, Final Report, January 2009). The options list below builds on those discussions. The intent of the suggested options is to provide a possible framework for addressing horizontal inequities in the system while minimizing the loss of predictability for taxpayers. They can also be set up to be revenue neutral in the short term with appropriate phase-in periods. x Eliminate maximum assessed value calculation and return to market based assessments with lower tax rates. o This is essentially a proposal to return to the Measure 5 based system and was made in testimony before the committee by Don McIntire, Measure 5’s principle author. Property tax rates (now roughly .95% of market value on a statewide basis) could be adjusted to achieve short-term revenue neutrality. The proposal would eliminate horizontal inequities, as defined in this report, but would re- introduce uncertainty for taxpayers concerning annual tax bills. This could be softened by incorporating a proportional adjustment factor for periods when general housing prices are rising rapidly. x Rebase residential property to market value at time of transaction. o The designers of Measure 50 explicitly avoided this option because of concerns over horizontal inequities. In the short-term, horizontal inequities would increase, as newly sold property is assessed at 100% of market value and existing property is assessed at 50 to 60%. However, rebasing to market value does provide a long- term safety valve on the degree of horizontal inequity over time. Assuming that nearly all property is eventually sold, this proposal would require most properties to be assessed at market value at some point over the long-term. Measure 50 does not provide a long-term re-adjustment, as long as property values grow more than 3% over time, the assessed value to market value ratio will continuously fall. Rebasing to market value would generate additional property tax revenue initially. This could be partially offset by a phase-in period in which newly sold properties are assessed at a higher, but less than 100%, proportion of market value. Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 15 x Establish assessed value to market value range; adjust 3% annual growth factor according to where property ratios are with respect to range. o Assessment ratios above or below the acceptable range would in effect become a form of exception to the annual 3% growth restriction, similar to new construction and rezoning. The growth factor adjustment would be positive for properties below the range and negative for those above. The annual growth factor adjustments could be designed in a way that moves properties into the range over a period of time. Such a system could be designed in a revenue neutral manner in the short-term but market forces would inevitably influence the revenue impact over time. Such a system is also likely to be complicated for local assessors and taxpayers. x Repeal Measure 50’s exemption for constitutional requirements of uniformity in taxation and direct Legislature to design adjustments to the property tax system that are consistent with uniformity in taxation principles. o This would give the Legislature the mandate to develop a remedy for horizontal inequities in the system. It could also be designed in a way that gave the Legislature the flexibility to develop a combination of approaches and adjust them over time based on results. This approach would however generate uncertainty around the system during the period when modifications are being developed and implemented. All policy options listed above would require a constitutional amendment because they entail some direct change in Measure 50. In the case of multiple changes, a constitutional revision would be required. This would entail revisiting some of the policy decisions made by voters in 1997. Restructuring the Measure 50 system to reduce horizontal inequities is likely to cause some loss in year-to-year predictability for taxpayers—a major reason for passage of Measures 47 and 50. Policy-makers will have to weigh this trade-off carefully and be prepared to fully explain the changes to voters in order to get their support. Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 16 APPENDIX A DETAILED STATISTICAL ANALYSIS Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 17 AV/RMV Ratio, All Real Properties, All Counties, FY 2009-2010 FY 2009-2010 Real Property County RMV AV AV/RMV Ratio Baker 1,293,730 891,958 0.689 Benton 9,485,646 5,979,884 0.630 Clackamas 52,244,324 33,870,105 0.648 Clatsop 8,546,223 4,628,304 0.542 Columbia 5,169,904 3,456,022 0.668 Coos 6,741,373 4,005,795 0.594 Crook 3,348,708 1,558,477 0.465 Curry 3,638,999 2,276,511 0.626 Deschutes 32,227,491 16,702,792 0.518 Douglas 10,474,073 6,547,573 0.625 Gilliam 404,910 230,891 0.570 Grant 615,626 405,238 0.658 Harney 586,968 375,014 0.639 Hood River 3,019,838 1,624,882 0.538 Jackson 25,317,423 14,718,486 0.581 Jefferson 2,106,820 1,030,619 0.489 Josephine 8,771,264 5,507,279 0.628 Klamath 6,573,294 3,846,761 0.585 Lake 786,674 439,366 0.559 Lane 40,188,761 23,855,306 0.594 Lincoln 10,169,748 5,856,413 0.576 Linn 9,769,917 7,087,310 0.725 Malheur 1,868,674 1,319,500 0.706 Marion 26,886,231 17,639,932 0.656 Morrow 1,030,292 758,858 0.737 Mult.99,417,282 53,805,915 0.541 Polk 6,248,309 4,241,034 0.679 Sherman 254,509 138,777 0.545 Tillamook 6,299,553 3,584,175 0.569 Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 18 Umatilla 4,680,564 3,278,104 0.700 Union 1,925,962 1,247,345 0.648 Wallowa 1,035,529 536,005 0.518 Wasco 2,740,094 1,495,403 0.546 Wash.65,467,506 41,974,973 0.641 Wheeler 273,508 96,982 0.355 Yamhill 9,869,326 5,968,869 0.605 State Total 469,479,056 280,980,858 0.598 AV/RMV Ratio, Single Family Residential, FY 2005-2010 County 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Deschutes 0.700 0.658 0.533 0.442 0.471 0.570 Jackson 0.655 0.575 0.487 0.484 0.527 0.628 Multnomah 0.656 0.612 0.567 0.514 0.503 0.551 Sherman 0.813 0.816 0.677 0.610 0.519 0.523 Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 19 AV/RMV Ratio, Commercial and Industrial, FY 2005-2010 County 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Deschutes 0.695 0.625 0.504 0.427 0.415 0.488 Jackson 0.630 0.587 0.571 0.506 0.501 0.503 Multnomah 0.627 0.590 0.565 0.520 0.509 0.515 Sherman 0.780 0.847 0.874 0.859 0.857 0.828 Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 20 AV/RMV Ratios based on Real Market Value, FY 2009-2010 Single Family Residential RMV < $1 million RMV ($) Deschutes Jackson Multnomah [0, 100000) 46.8% 52.8% 43.5% [100000, 200000) 61.1% 65.3% 55.8% [200000, 300000) 59.8% 65.3% 54.1% [300000, 400000) 55.9% 63.1% 51.4% [400000, 500000) 55.5% 60.9% 52.1% [500000, 600000) 55.9% 59.1% 54.6% [600000, 700000) 54.6% 57.4% 56.7% [700000, 800000) 53.4% 57.8% 57.8% [800000, 900000) 55.5% 59.5% 58.5% [900000, 1000000) 56.2% 60.8% 59.3% Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 21 Expected Increase in AV per $1 increase in RMV Single Family Residential, FY 2009-2010 Jackson Multnomah Deschutes RMV Less than $100,000 $0.66 $0.45 $0.45 $ 100,000<=RMV<$ 200,000 $0.68 $0.74 $0.66 $ 200,000<=RMV<$ 300,000 $0.60 $0.39 $0.50 $ 300,000<=RMV<$ 400,000 $0.56 $0.51 $0.53 $ 400,000<=RMV<$ 500,000 $0.49 $0.57 $0.60 $ 500,000<=RMV<$ 1M $0.60 $0.67 $0.55 $ 1M<=RMV $0.42 $0.60 $0.48 Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 22 AV/RMV Ratio, Single Family Residential, By Tax Code Area Deschutes County, FY 2009-2010 Code Area Mean Std. Dev. Obs. 1001 0.578 0.117 22727 1003 0.532 0.052 23 1016 0.385 NA 1 1017 0.516 0.088 65 1060 0.553 0.000 2 1061 0.378 0.085 118 1087 0.600 0.057 374 1108 0.568 0.016 24 1109 0.571 0.066 163 1110 0.541 0.017 77 1120 0.521 NA 1 1122 0.529 NA 1 2001 0.614 0.081 6952 2003 0.431 NA 1 2004 0.595 0.099 7 2033 0.358 NA 1 2036 0.837 0.110 52 2039 0.578 0.070 186 5015 0.565 NA 1 6001 0.594 0.130 558 6002 0.632 NA 1 6045 0.404 0.030 2 6047 0.502 0.128 31 All 0.586 0.111 31368 Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 23 AV/RMV Ratio, Single Family Residential, By Tax Code Area Jackson County, FY 2009-2010 Code Area Mean Std. Dev. Obs. 101 0.559 0.078 915 102 0.563 0.106 99 401 0.637 0.052 1095 405 0.614 0.030 26 407 0.686 0.092 1380 408 0.500 0.100 5 419 0.629 0.120 32 429 0.625 0.005 2 501 0.544 0.107 5275 504 0.565 0.091 6 508 0.316 0.164 18 511 0.412 0.196 10 515 0.586 0.104 113 601 0.693 0.084 373 602 0.715 0.074 4512 603 0.583 0.183 13 604 0.617 0.091 453 610 0.595 0.106 73 628 0.623 0.077 576 901 0.680 0.099 2373 903 0.427 0.220 4 906 0.667 0.043 6 909 0.483 0.011 26 915 0.663 0.081 529 924 0.628 0.000 2 926 0.643 0.080 1489 2201 0.610 0.065 1225 2206 0.574 0.100 135 3501 0.665 0.079 538 3503 0.359 0.395 2 4901 0.655 0.075 18280 4903 0.589 0.057 494 4905 0.600 0.037 300 4910 0.598 0.050 99 4915 0.576 0.065 99 4916 0.559 0.076 2 4919 0.612 0.038 53 4939 0.641 0.094 10 4946 0.589 0.074 44 4947 0.620 0.050 16 4949 0.675 0.077 332 4950 0.664 0.127 193 6202 0.674 NA 1 9101 0.635 0.069 93 All 0.642 0.096 41321 Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 24 AV/RMV Ratio, Single Family Residential, By Tax Code Area Multnomah County, FY 2009-2010 Code Area Mean Std. Dev. Obs. Code Area Mean Std. Dev. Obs. 1 0.592 0.109 25376 248 0.683 0.132 106 2 0.640 0.185 35 264 0.677 0.111 40 5 0.636 0.136 27 276 0.641 0.151 82 6 0.611 0.092 6283 277 0.528 NA 1 11 0.625 0.008 2 278 0.690 0.194 143 16 0.629 0.128 27 279 0.762 0.097 3 26 0.700 0.095 12398 281 0.701 0.092 490 27 0.690 0.135 29 296 0.675 0.205 26 28 0.715 0.173 32 303 0.707 0.156 104 36 0.689 0.275 4 304 0.709 0.157 444 40 0.698 0.077 1901 331 0.640 0.062 305 47 0.680 0.059 103 350 0.645 0.081 86 49 0.658 0.137 120 353 0.698 0.090 5 62 0.513 0.185 22 354 0.611 0.115 87 72 0.550 0.129 52 358 0.671 0.180 29 74 0.646 0.145 155 370 0.613 0.080 27 82 0.434 0.246 32 374 0.689 0.125 34 85 0.623 0.156 45 378 0.700 0.139 40 86 0.788 0.180 8 381 0.674 0.104 620 87 0.682 0.169 18 383 0.776 0.105 2056 88 0.671 0.156 47 386 0.666 0.061 1343 90 0.530 0.174 5 391 0.652 0.128 346 103 0.607 0.130 135 402 0.665 0.092 3371 113 0.627 0.112 10986 403 0.575 0.069 4 118 0.664 0.125 116 404 0.648 0.128 216 121 0.650 0.103 339 406 0.627 0.094 1762 122 0.724 0.085 37 407 0.658 0.082 2426 137 0.651 0.073 1226 410 0.834 0.010 2 144 0.599 0.072 35 411 0.678 0.148 17 147 0.642 NA 1 412 0.817 NA 1 149 0.686 0.121 4 413 0.560 NA 1 151 0.572 0.068 2 414 0.663 0.023 2 154 0.698 0.073 54 606 0.644 0.061 3 155 0.873 0.081 6 703 0.555 0.121 4144 160 0.621 0.081 418 704 0.627 0.051 7 161 0.666 0.072 549 705 0.578 0.141 2101 175 0.670 0.092 3564 709 0.534 0.078 12 181 0.539 0.061 23 710 0.358 0.127 8751 187 0.633 0.115 35 711 0.553 0.116 35 201 0.454 0.105 85890 712 0.558 0.108 172 203 0.433 0.240 27 883 0.297 0.135 48 236 0.660 0.104 156 884 0.471 0.114 46 240 0.637 0.090 1555 885 0.330 0.195 5 241 0.627 0.118 526 901 0.669 0.099 194 242 0.699 0.081 4020 904 0.880 0.167 3 243 0.574 0.041 3 All 0.539 0.148 186168 Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 25 AV/RMV Ratios for Single Family Residential Properties, FY 2009-2010 AV=Assessed Value, RMV=Real Market Value 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00Frequency AV/RMV Deschutes County RATIO Mean Std. Dev.Obs. [0, 0.2)0.147659 0.038065 50 [0.2, 0.4)0.334837 0.047674 1668 [0.4, 0.6)0.535246 0.047532 16169 [0.6, 0.8)0.664325 0.050379 12364 [0.8, 1)0.850560 0.040589 1092 1 1.000000 0.000000 25 All 0.586196 0.111019 31368 Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 26 AV/RMV Ratios for Single Family Residential Properties, FY 2009-2010 AV=Assessed Value, RMV=Real Market Value 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0Frequency AV/RMV JacksonCounty RATIO Mean Std. Dev.Obs. [0, 0.2)0.114739 0.059465 124 [0.2, 0.4)0.344790 0.049767 399 [0.4, 0.6)0.544820 0.047689 10964 [0.6, 0.8)0.674983 0.050209 28299 [0.8, 1)0.847431 0.043280 1406 1 1.000000 0.000000 129 All 0.642459 0.095927 41321 Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 27 AV/RMV Ratios for Single Family Residential Properties, FY 2009-2010 AV=Assessed Value, RMV=Real Market Value 0 4000 8000 12000 16000 20000 24000 28000 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0Frequency AV/RMV MultnomahCounty RATIO Mean Std. Dev.Obs. [0, 0.1)0.017648 0.033248 1248 [0.1, 0.2)0.166028 0.023261 3483 [0.2, 0.3)0.250779 0.029901 4826 [0.3, 0.4)0.363288 0.026545 16603 [0.4, 0.5)0.454218 0.027840 48548 [0.5, 0.6)0.547006 0.028641 47178 [0.6, 0.7)0.649289 0.028434 39831 [0.7, 0.8)0.740403 0.027841 18816 [0.8, 0.9)0.838372 0.028312 4431 [0.9, 1)0.935385 0.026665 981 1 1.000000 0.000000 223 All 0.539024 0.148081 186168 Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 28 AV/RMV Ratios for Single Family Residential Properties, FY 2009-2010 AV=Assessed Value, RMV=Real Market Value 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00Frequency AV/RMV ShermanCounty RATIO Mean Std. Dev.Obs. [0, 0.2)0.144135 0.061520 2 [0.2, 0.4)0.337985 0.048040 56 [0.4, 0.6)0.493057 0.053872 163 [0.6, 0.8)0.692308 0.055391 70 [0.8, 1)0.892408 0.062089 24 1 1.000000 0.000000 0 All 0.537978 0.164165 315 Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 29 Scatter Diagram for AV/RMV ratios AV/RMV ratio based on RMV, Deschutes County, Single family residential, FY 2009-2010 RATIO Mean Std. Dev.Obs. [0, 0.1)0.073103 0.023122 7 [0.1, 0.2)0.159796 0.023169 43 [0.2, 0.3)0.262903 0.025822 375 [0.3, 0.4)0.355726 0.028195 1271 [0.4, 0.5)0.461728 0.028255 3448 [0.5, 0.6)0.555593 0.027472 12610 [0.6, 0.7)0.641319 0.027446 9474 [0.7, 0.8)0.741150 0.028799 2832 [0.8, 0.9)0.838804 0.026944 951 [0.9, 1)0.930379 0.024630 140 1 1.000000 0.000000 25 All 0.586474 0.110947 31176 Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 30 Scatter Diagram for AV/RMV ratios AV/RMV ratio based on RMV, Jackson County, Single family residential, FY 2009-2010 RATIO Mean Std. Dev.Obs. [0, 0.1)0.055302 0.028163 54 [0.1, 0.2)0.160591 0.028222 70 [0.2, 0.3)0.252740 0.028047 67 [0.3, 0.4)0.363134 0.027511 327 [0.4, 0.5)0.462257 0.027075 1992 [0.5, 0.6)0.563462 0.027122 8931 [0.6, 0.7)0.647483 0.027920 19765 [0.7, 0.8)0.739062 0.026652 8486 [0.8, 0.9)0.833538 0.025193 1210 [0.9, 1)0.935768 0.026784 189 1 1.000000 0.000000 129 All 0.642567 0.095808 41220 Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 31 Scatter Diagram for AV/RMV ratios AV/RMV ratio based on RMV, Multnomah County, Single family residential, FY 2009-2010 RATIO Mean Std. Dev.Obs. [0, 0.1)0.017758 0.033312 1231 [0.1, 0.2)0.166035 0.023262 3475 [0.2, 0.3)0.250740 0.029915 4798 [0.3, 0.4)0.363287 0.026547 16538 [0.4, 0.5)0.454205 0.027833 48267 [0.5, 0.6)0.546966 0.028647 46660 [0.6, 0.7)0.649298 0.028428 39364 [0.7, 0.8)0.740449 0.027845 18570 [0.8, 0.9)0.838465 0.028360 4339 [0.9, 1)0.934979 0.026561 941 1 1.000000 0.000000 212 All 0.538483 0.147955 184395 Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 32 Scatter Diagram for AV/RMV ratios AV/RMV ratio based on RMV, Sherman County, Single family residential, FY 2009-2010 RATIO Mean Std. Dev.Obs. [0.1, 0.2)0.144135 0.061520 2 [0.2, 0.3)0.262598 0.026280 11 [0.3, 0.4)0.356413 0.030979 45 [0.4, 0.5)0.452830 0.025696 93 [0.5, 0.6)0.546501 0.029235 70 [0.6, 0.7)0.649089 0.031331 38 [0.7, 0.8)0.743631 0.025475 32 [0.8, 0.9)0.841076 0.022004 13 [0.9, 1)0.953072 0.028498 11 1 1.000000 0.000000 0 All 0.537978 0.164165 315 Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 33 Scatter Diagram for AV/RMV ratios AV/RMV ratio based on RMV, Deschutes County, Commercial/Industrial, FY 2009-2010 RATIO Mean Std. Dev.Obs. [0, 0.1)0.069457 0.019457 12 [0.1, 0.2)0.164824 0.027641 55 [0.2, 0.3)0.264552 0.027506 324 [0.3, 0.4)0.355662 0.029285 765 [0.4, 0.5)0.449756 0.028179 1079 [0.5, 0.6)0.541646 0.027304 642 [0.6, 0.7)0.640158 0.027668 243 [0.7, 0.8)0.745587 0.028704 90 [0.8, 0.9)0.843833 0.033238 35 [0.9, 1)0.952568 0.028193 18 1 1.000000 0.000000 24 All 0.454536 0.141679 3287 Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 34 Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 35 Scatter Diagram for AV/RMV ratios AV/RMV ratio based on RMV, Jackson County, Commercial/Industrial, FY 2009-2010 RATIO Mean Std. Dev.Obs. [0, 0.1)0.074893 0.022194 8 [0.1, 0.2)0.156019 0.030975 27 [0.2, 0.3)0.266706 0.026292 96 [0.3, 0.4)0.354925 0.027300 649 [0.4, 0.5)0.454697 0.027540 1238 [0.5, 0.6)0.540246 0.027069 858 [0.6, 0.7)0.647103 0.027127 272 [0.7, 0.8)0.754067 0.028767 205 [0.8, 0.9)0.842823 0.029787 131 [0.9, 1)0.940465 0.026708 81 1 1.000000 0.000000 160 All 0.527353 0.177691 3725 Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 36 Scatter Diagram for AV/RMV ratios AV/RMV ratio based on RMV, Multnomah County, Commercial/Industrial, FY 2009-2010 RATIO Mean Std. Dev.Obs. [0, 0.1)0.006254 0.019946 1125 [0.1, 0.2)0.163539 0.024943 466 [0.2, 0.3)0.256110 0.028033 1465 [0.3, 0.4)0.356286 0.027147 3435 [0.4, 0.5)0.444690 0.027899 3365 [0.5, 0.6)0.538631 0.027538 1315 [0.6, 0.7)0.635380 0.028830 395 [0.7, 0.8)0.744826 0.030450 155 [0.8, 0.9)0.846998 0.027651 95 [0.9, 1)0.951883 0.026582 56 1 1.000000 0.000000 204 All 0.380189 0.187172 12076 Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 37 Scatter Diagram for AV/RMV ratios AV/RMV ratio based on RMV, Sherman County, Commercial/Industrial, FY 2009-2010 RATIO Mean Std. Dev.Obs. [0.1, 0.2)0.142584 0.022769 3 [0.2, 0.3)0.237313 0.023383 6 [0.3, 0.4)0.354574 0.028801 7 [0.4, 0.5)0.443648 0.030046 11 [0.5, 0.6)0.547458 0.024495 8 [0.6, 0.7)0.648931 0.030539 14 [0.7, 0.8)0.734467 0.022607 15 [0.8, 0.9)0.849258 0.023125 11 [0.9, 1)0.949964 0.016522 4 All 0.592876 0.216352 79 Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 38 Scatter Diagram for AV/RMV ratios Deschutes County, Single family residential, Tax Code Area = 1001, FY 2009-2010 RATIO Mean Std. Dev.Obs. [0, 0.1)0.078323 0.020313 6 [0.1, 0.2)0.160684 0.024201 33 [0.2, 0.3)0.263117 0.025965 356 [0.3, 0.4)0.355929 0.028229 1127 [0.4, 0.5)0.461290 0.028437 2913 [0.5, 0.6)0.552881 0.027647 8988 [0.6, 0.7)0.640800 0.027331 6296 [0.7, 0.8)0.743815 0.029188 1934 [0.8, 0.9)0.838851 0.026990 780 [0.9, 1)0.931757 0.026589 91 [1, 1.1)1.000000 0.000000 21 All 0.578697 0.116701 22545 Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 39 Scatter Diagram for AV/RMV ratios Jackson County, Single family residential, Tax Code Area = 4901, FY 2009-2010 RATIO Mean Std. Dev.Obs. [0, 0.1)0.081886 0.012076 6 [0.1, 0.2)0.144667 0.027432 11 [0.2, 0.3)0.251729 0.029465 19 [0.3, 0.4)0.354035 0.027751 55 [0.4, 0.5)0.464463 0.028058 211 [0.5, 0.6)0.569154 0.023488 3133 [0.6, 0.7)0.649537 0.027541 10567 [0.7, 0.8)0.734081 0.025729 3756 [0.8, 0.9)0.833889 0.025181 386 [0.9, 1)0.940320 0.026275 70 1 1.000000 0.000000 42 All 0.655021 0.075210 18256 Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 40 Scatter Diagram for AV/RMV ratios Multnomah County, Single family residential, Tax Code Area = 201, FY 2009-2010 RATIO Mean Std. Dev.Obs. [0, 0.1)0.015575 0.032002 662 [0.1, 0.2)0.165370 0.022648 2054 [0.2, 0.3)0.253743 0.029340 3389 [0.3, 0.4)0.363622 0.026494 12960 [0.4, 0.5)0.454168 0.027535 39750 [0.5, 0.6)0.536048 0.025915 22780 [0.6, 0.7)0.634866 0.027032 3130 [0.7, 0.8)0.737221 0.026278 733 [0.8, 0.9)0.838473 0.027288 116 [0.9, 1)0.942055 0.033359 25 1 1.000000 0.000000 10 All 0.453750 0.104944 85609 Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 41 Scatter Diagram for AV/RMV ratios Multnomah County, Single family residential, FY 2009-2010 RMV between $200,000 and $300,000 RATIO Mean Std. Dev. Obs. Share [0, 0.1) 0.015 0.033 505 0.6% [0.1, 0.2) 0.166 0.023 2549 3.1% [0.2, 0.3) 0.249 0.030 2743 3.3% [0.3, 0.4) 0.362 0.027 8173 9.9% [0.4, 0.5) 0.453 0.028 18858 22.8% [0.5, 0.6) 0.546 0.029 18217 22.0% [0.6, 0.7) 0.653 0.028 18233 22.0% [0.7, 0.8) 0.741 0.028 10850 13.1% [0.8, 0.9) 0.837 0.028 2201 2.7% [0.9, 1) 0.931 0.024 343 0.4% 1 1.000 0.000 46 0.1% All 0.541 0.160 82718 100.0% Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 42 Scatter Diagram for AV/RMV ratios Deschutes County, Single family residential, FY 2009-2010 RMV between $200,000 and $300,000 RATIO Mean Std. Dev. Obs. Share [0, 0.1) 0.074 0.022 2 0.0% [0.1, 0.2) 0.159 0.033 7 0.0% [0.2, 0.3) 0.271 0.025 117 0.8% [0.3, 0.4) 0.353 0.029 465 3.3% [0.4, 0.5) 0.461 0.028 1144 8.1% [0.5, 0.6) 0.557 0.026 5725 40.8% [0.6, 0.7) 0.642 0.027 4608 32.8% [0.7, 0.8) 0.742 0.030 1341 9.6% [0.8, 0.9) 0.841 0.027 556 4.0% [0.9, 1) 0.932 0.025 66 0.5% 1 1.000 0.000 7 0.0% All 0.598 0.107 14038 100.0% Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 43 Scatter Diagram for AV/RMV ratios Jackson County, Single family residential, FY 2009-2010 RMV between $200,000 and $300,000 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 200000 220000 240000 260000 280000 300000 RMVRATIOJacksonCounty,Single familyresidential,FY2009-10 RMV between$200,000 and $300,000 RATIO Mean Std. Dev. Obs. Share [0, 0.1) 0.015 0.017 2 0.0% [0.1, 0.2) 0.180 0.006 2 0.0% [0.2, 0.3) 0.241 0.005 3 0.0% [0.3, 0.4) 0.365 0.027 59 0.4% [0.4, 0.5) 0.468 0.025 469 3.1% [0.5, 0.6) 0.567 0.026 2579 16.8% [0.6, 0.7) 0.650 0.028 8555 55.7% [0.7, 0.8) 0.737 0.026 3234 21.0% [0.8, 0.9) 0.835 0.025 416 2.7% [0.9, 1) 0.934 0.023 36 0.2% 1 1.000 0.000 16 0.1% All 0.653 0.078 15371 100.0% Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 44 Scatter Diagram for AV/RMV ratios Sherman County, Single family residential, FY 2009-2010 All RMV Range RATIO Mean Std. Dev. Obs. Share [0, 0.1) NA NA 0 0.0% [0.1, 0.2) 0.144 0.062 2 0.6% [0.2, 0.3) 0.263 0.026 11 3.5% [0.3, 0.4) 0.356 0.031 45 14.3% [0.4, 0.5) 0.453 0.026 93 29.5% [0.5, 0.6) 0.547 0.029 70 22.2% [0.6, 0.7) 0.649 0.031 38 12.1% [0.7, 0.8) 0.744 0.025 32 10.2% [0.8, 0.9) 0.841 0.022 13 4.1% [0.9, 1) 0.953 0.028 11 3.5% 1 1.000 0.000 0 0.0% All 0.538 0.164 315 100.0% Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 45 AV/RMV Ratio Distribution Comparison between FY 2005 and 2010 Single family residential Deschutes County FY2005 FY 2010 RATIO Obs. Share Obs. Share [0, 0.2) 11 0.0% 50 0.2% [0.2, 0.4) 93 0.4% 1668 5.3% [0.4, 0.6) 2631 11.0% 16169 51.5% [0.6, 0.8) 18627 78.0% 12364 39.4% [0.8, 1) 2457 10.3% 1092 3.5% 1 77 0.3% 25 0.1% All 23896 100.0% 31368 100.0% Jackson County FY2005 FY 2010 RATIO Obs. Share Obs. Share [0, 0.2) 60 0.2% 124 0.3% [0.2, 0.4) 232 0.6% 399 1.0% [0.4, 0.6) 4367 11.9% 10964 26.5% [0.6, 0.8) 31242 85.0% 28299 68.5% [0.8, 1) 795 2.2% 1406 3.4% 1 72 0.2% 129 0.3% All 36768 100.0% 41321 100.0% Multnomah County FY2005 FY 2010 RATIO Obs. Share Obs. Share [0, 0.2) 849 0.5% 4731 2.5% [0.2, 0.4) 8971 4.9% 21429 11.5% [0.4, 0.6) 76696 41.9% 95726 51.4% [0.6, 0.8) 88057 48.0% 58647 31.5% [0.8, 1) 8321 4.5% 5412 2.9% 1 369 0.2% 223 0.1% All 183263 100.0% 186168 100.0% Sherman County - FY 2005 Data not available Research Report #4-10 September 2010 Page 46